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Varese vs Trento Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Dec 2019
Tip-off: 16:15
Final 81-86
16-20 20-26 17-19 28-21
Position#10
Record7-7
FormWLWLW
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game78.6
vs
Trento 🏆
Italy
Position#8
Record6-8
FormWLLLW
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game79.5
ItalyLega ARound 16
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Varese v Trento
21 Mar 2027
VAR v TRE
upcoming
25 Oct 2025
VAR74
TRE85
09 Feb 2025
VAR79
TRE92
22 Oct 2023
VAR84
TRE85
16 Oct 2022
VAR91
TRE94
30 Jan 2022
VAR90
TRE89
28 Mar 2021
VAR88
TRE70
29 Dec 2019
VAR81
TRE86
21 Oct 2018
VAR93
TRE85
04 Nov 2017
VAR93
TRE66
15 Apr 2017
VAR83
TRE80
06 Mar 2016
VAR96
TRE82
09 Nov 2014
VAR70
TRE76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Trento winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#5
W
102-78
102
78
+24
no box
H27/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
69-93
69
93
-24
no box
A03/11
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
74-91
74
91
-17
58avg 99
A10/11
Lega A
Venezia
#7
W
93-91 OT
93
91
+2
no box
H17/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
74-81
74
81
-7
66avg 99
A23/11
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
99-69
99
69
+30
96avg 99
H01/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
67-74
67
74
-7
58avg 99
A08/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
103-87
103
87
+16
99avg 99
H15/12
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
72-93
72
93
-21
no box
A21/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
91-60
91
60
+31
94avg 99
H26/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-19
24-17
27-23
25-19
14-26
16-20
15-28
24-19
21-18
14-25
19-23
20-25
24-14
17-14
12-20
22-27
20-23
28-20
13-18
13-20
34-19
24-20
21-15
20-15
14-14
21-23
12-17
20-20
25-24
31-30
26-20
21-13
24-18
17-29
16-24
15-22
26-14
18-19
24-15
23-12
166.1Avg total
84.4Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)82.278.6160.8+3.650%
Season at home (7)89.074.1163.1+14.986%
Season away (7)75.483.0158.4-7.614%
Last 10 (10)84.481.7166.1+2.750%
Last 5 (5)86.476.6163.0+9.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)68.784.0152.7-15.30%
vs Similar ◀ (12)80.384.0164.3-3.733%
vs Weaker (15)83.572.3155.8+11.173%
This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrento
Date
Competition
Cantu
#11
L
72-78
72
78
-6
64avg 91
A20/10
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
76-71
76
71
+5
no box
H26/10
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
101-95 OT
101
95
+6
no box
A09/11
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
79-89
79
89
-10
no box
H17/11
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
69-79
69
79
-10
58avg 91
A24/11
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
78-67
78
67
+11
70avg 91
H30/11
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
L
68-93
68
93
-25
55avg 91
A07/12
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
L
82-88
82
88
-6
57avg 91
H14/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
69-81
69
81
-12
55avg 91
A22/12
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
80-53
80
53
+27
73avg 91
H26/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-26
11-19
15-16
23-17
25-16
15-23
9-18
27-14
18-8
24-23
15-30
25-21
21-22
22-22
20-22
16-23
21-17
16-20
16-25
16-17
14-16
20-15
18-23
26-13
13-30
19-20
19-24
17-19
30-30
22-17
15-13
15-28
21-28
17-15
9-19
22-19
19-3
21-22
18-11
22-17
156.8Avg total
77.4Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)77.579.5157.0-2.043%
Season at home (7)79.474.1153.6+5.357%
Season away (7)75.684.9160.4-9.329%
Last 10 (10)77.479.4156.8-2.040%
Last 5 (5)75.476.4151.8-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)73.878.0151.8-4.242%
vs Similar ◀ (13)81.679.4161.0+2.262%
vs Weaker (5)86.881.4168.2+5.480%
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: -4.7-4.7Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +2.1+2.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: -4.7-4.7Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +2.1+2.1
VareseTrento
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#5
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H27/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A03/11
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A10/11
Lega A
Venezia
#7
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H17/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A23/11
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
58-39
58
39
+19
H01/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A08/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
56-54
56
54
+2
H15/12
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A21/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H26/12
Lega A
84.4Avg total
43.8Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.437.579.0+3.967%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.236.079.2+7.287%-
Last 30 away (15)39.739.178.7+0.647%-
Last 10 (10)43.840.684.4+3.260%-
Last 5 (5)46.842.088.8+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)31.041.072.0-10.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)41.639.481.0+2.267%-
vs Weaker (15)43.435.378.7+8.180%-
This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#11
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A20/10
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H26/10
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A09/11
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H17/11
Lega A
Venezia
#7
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A24/11
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H30/11
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A07/12
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H14/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A22/12
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H26/12
Lega A
78.4Avg total
39.2Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.038.677.6+0.450%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.939.180.1+1.867%-
Last 30 away (15)37.138.175.1-1.033%-
Last 10 (10)39.239.278.4+0.050%-
Last 5 (5)39.239.278.4+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)36.236.672.8-0.350%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)40.240.480.5-0.238%-
vs Weaker (5)42.638.881.4+3.880%-
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.616.2
52.9%
52.0%32.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.811.5
36.2%
35.1%34.5
🏀 Free throws17.915.0
83.8%
73.6%15.0
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Trentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trento: 72.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀63%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 63% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.3 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.0 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.022.8
49.6%
52.0%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.96.1
32.3%
35.1%18.3
🏀 Free throws14.39.0
62.9%
73.6%9.0
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Dec 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
WLWLWLWLLW
Trento
WLLLWLLWWL
#10
League position
#8
+3.4
Net rating
-7.6
120.1
Offensive rating
102.4
116.7
Defensive rating
109.9
53.6%
Effective FG%
49.2%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
15.7%
Turnover %
16.2%
31.7%
Off. rebound %
29.2%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.22
36.2%
3-point %
32.3%
50.5%
Assist %
43.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence120.1 · 102.4Defence116.7 · 109.9Shooting53.6% · 49.2%3-point %36.2% · 32.3%Ball care15.7% · 16.2%Off. rebounds31.7% · 29.2%Free throws0.29 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Varese   ■ Trento
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Varese wins
6
Trento wins
DateGameScore
02/02/19Trento v Varese74-71
21/10/18Varese v Trento93-85
10/03/18Trento v Varese82-74
04/11/17Varese v Trento93-66
15/04/17Varese v Trento83-80
18/12/16Trento v Varese84-68
06/03/16Varese v Trento96-82
15/11/15Trento v Varese89-63
02/03/15Trento v Varese78-65
09/11/14Varese v Trento70-76
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/12/19HPistoia91-60
21/12/19ACremona72-93
15/12/19HPesaro103-87
08/12/19ACantu67-74
01/12/19HVirtus Roma99-69
23/11/19AReggiana74-81
17/11/19HVenezia93-91 OT
10/11/19ABrescia74-91
03/11/19AOlimpia Milano69-93
27/10/19HBrindisi102-78
Trentolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/12/19HTrieste80-53
22/12/19AOlimpia Milano69-81
14/12/19HVirtus Roma82-88
07/12/19AFortitudo Bologna68-93
30/11/19HBrindisi78-67
24/11/19AVenezia69-79
17/11/19HCremona79-89
09/11/19APesaro101-95 OT
26/10/19HTreviso76-71
20/10/19ACantu72-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW50%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %50%86%14%
Points / game82.289.075.4
Allowed / game78.674.183.0
Point differential+3.6+14.9-7.6
Avg total160.8163.1158.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%71%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %7%14%0%
Trento
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW43%
HomeWLWLW57%
AwayLWLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %43%57%29%
Points / game77.579.475.6
Allowed / game79.574.184.9
Point differential-2.0+5.3-9.3
Avg total157.0153.6160.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %7%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna1513287%84.075.7+8.3
2 Sassari1411379%83.772.9+10.9
3 Brescia1510567%83.974.3+9.6
4 Olimpia Milano1510567%80.173.7+6.4
5 Brindisi148657%83.080.0+3.0
6 Cremona148657%78.178.4-0.3
7 Fortitudo Bologna148657%77.379.0-1.7
8 Varese147750%82.278.6+3.6
9 Venezia147750%77.774.4+3.4
10 Cantu157847%75.177.5-2.4
11 Virtus Roma157847%75.981.8-5.9
12 Treviso146843%77.178.1-1.1
13 Trento146843%77.579.5-2.0
14 Reggiana146843%81.183.4-2.3
15 Pistoia1551033%74.483.2-8.8
16 Trieste1431121%73.080.7-7.7
17 Pesaro140140%77.691.1-13.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese1620172881
Trento2026192186
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