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Trento vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Jan 2020
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 77-83
17-21 8-21 25-13 27-28
Position#8
Record7-8
FormLLLWW
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game79.6
Trento
Italy
vs
Virtus Bologna 🏆
Italy
Position#1
Record13-2
FormLWLWW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game75.7
ItalyLega ARound 17
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Trento v Virtus Bologna
15 Nov 2026
TRE v VIR
upcoming
24 May 2026
TRE81
VIR90
22 May 2026
TRE102
VIR85
01 Nov 2025
TRE83
VIR102
22 Dec 2024
TRE87
VIR79
15 Oct 2023
TRE75
VIR90
20 Nov 2022
TRE64
VIR71
26 Sep 2021
TRE88
VIR102
09 Jan 2021
TRE85
VIR92
05 Jan 2020
TRE77
VIR83
30 Dec 2018
TRE71
VIR65
30 Sep 2017
TRE78
VIR74
12 Dec 2015
TRE80
VIR66
10 May 2015
TRE96
VIR81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trento winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TrentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrento
Date
Competition
Treviso
#13
W
76-71
76
71
+5
no box
H26/10
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
101-95 OT
101
95
+6
no box
A09/11
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
79-89
79
89
-10
no box
H17/11
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
69-79
69
79
-10
58avg 91
A24/11
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
78-67
78
67
+11
70avg 91
H30/11
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
L
68-93
68
93
-25
55avg 91
A07/12
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
L
82-88
82
88
-6
57avg 91
H14/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
69-81
69
81
-12
55avg 91
A22/12
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
80-53
80
53
+27
73avg 91
H26/12
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
86-81
86
81
+5
89avg 91
A29/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-16
15-23
9-18
27-14
18-8
24-23
15-30
25-21
21-22
22-22
20-22
16-23
21-17
16-20
16-25
16-17
14-16
20-15
18-23
26-13
13-30
19-20
19-24
17-19
30-30
22-17
15-13
15-28
21-28
17-15
9-19
22-19
19-3
21-22
18-11
22-17
20-16
26-20
19-17
21-28
158.5Avg total
78.8Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)78.179.6157.7-1.547%
Season at home (7)79.474.1153.6+5.357%
Season away (8)76.984.4161.2-7.538%
Last 10 (10)78.879.7158.5-0.950%
Last 5 (5)77.079.2156.2-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)72.477.5149.8-5.136%
vs Similar (14)81.979.5161.4+2.464%
vs Weaker (5)86.881.4168.2+5.480%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Brescia
#3
W
82-80
82
80
+2
72avg 103
A26/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
W
79-59
79
59
+20
84avg 103
A03/11
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
84-79
84
79
+5
no box
H10/11
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
89-85 OT
89
85
+4
no box
A17/11
Lega A
Cantu
#11
W
89-70
89
70
+19
87avg 103
H01/12
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
66-78
66
78
-12
50avg 103
A08/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
99-87
99
87
+12
103avg 103
H14/12
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
77-91
77
91
-14
69avg 103
A22/12
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
94-62
94
62
+32
87avg 103
H25/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
83-70
83
70
+13
no box
H29/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-19
20-22
19-21
23-18
21-15
19-16
18-11
21-17
20-17
20-29
28-14
16-19
16-20
19-28
20-12
17-12
21-21
20-15
28-13
20-21
14-26
20-20
18-14
14-18
22-20
32-23
23-22
22-22
17-22
21-21
19-27
20-21
22-11
23-14
20-21
29-16
24-20
22-20
17-16
20-14
160.3Avg total
84.2Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)84.075.7159.7+8.387%
Season at home (8)85.673.1158.8+12.5100%
Season away (7)82.178.6160.7+3.671%
Last 10 (10)84.276.1160.3+8.180%
Last 5 (5)83.877.6161.4+6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)76.374.3150.7+2.067%
vs Similar (10)78.077.6155.6+0.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)82.071.8153.8+10.288%
This opponent (Trento) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +2.4+2.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +2.4+2.4
TrentoVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TrentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviso
#13
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H26/10
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A09/11
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H17/11
Lega A
Venezia
#7
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A24/11
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H30/11
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A07/12
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H14/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A22/12
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H26/12
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A29/12
Lega A
78.7Avg total
40.4Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.138.577.5+0.650%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.939.180.1+1.867%-
Last 30 away (15)37.237.875.0-0.633%-
Last 10 (10)40.438.378.7+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)41.640.281.8+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)35.536.371.8-0.745%-
vs Similar (14)40.640.180.6+0.543%-
vs Weaker (5)42.638.881.4+3.880%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#3
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A26/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A03/11
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H10/11
Lega A
Trieste
#14
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A17/11
Lega A
Cantu
#11
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H01/12
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A08/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H14/12
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A22/12
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
45-25
45
25
+20
H25/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H29/12
Lega A
81.2Avg total
41.3Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.236.176.3+4.157%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.734.675.4+6.171%-
Last 30 away (13)39.538.077.5+1.538%-
Last 10 (10)41.339.981.2+1.450%-
Last 5 (5)43.439.482.8+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)40.333.073.3+7.367%-
vs Similar (10)37.536.774.2+0.830%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)41.736.378.0+5.471%-
This opponent (Trento) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Trentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trento: 74.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.2 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.222.2
50.2%
52.0%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.47.1
34.8%
35.1%21.3
🏀 Free throws13.69.2
67.6%
73.6%9.2
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 82.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.021.6
58.4%
52.0%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.78.6
33.5%
35.1%25.8
🏀 Free throws18.813.3
70.7%
73.6%13.3
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Jan 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trento
WWLLLWLLWW
Virtus Bologna
WWLWLWWWWW
#8
League position
#1
-3.3
Net rating
+10.9
106.3
Offensive rating
113.5
109.6
Defensive rating
102.6
50.9%
Effective FG%
55.0%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
46.6%
16.9%
Turnover %
16.4%
31.3%
Off. rebound %
30.2%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.30
34.8%
3-point %
33.5%
46.1%
Assist %
64.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence106.3 · 113.5Defence109.6 · 102.6Shooting50.9% · 55.0%3-point %34.8% · 33.5%Ball care16.9% · 16.4%Off. rebounds31.3% · 30.2%Free throws0.21 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Trento   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Trento wins
3
Virtus Bologna wins
DateGameScore
28/04/19Virtus Bologna v Trento74-69
30/12/18Trento v Virtus Bologna71-65
21/01/18Virtus Bologna v Trento82-75
30/09/17Trento v Virtus Bologna78-74
03/04/16Virtus Bologna v Trento68-75
12/12/15Trento v Virtus Bologna80-66
10/05/15Trento v Virtus Bologna96-81
11/01/15Virtus Bologna v Trento88-78
Trentolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/19AVarese86-81
26/12/19HTrieste80-53
22/12/19AOlimpia Milano69-81
14/12/19HVirtus Roma82-88
07/12/19AFortitudo Bologna68-93
30/11/19HBrindisi78-67
24/11/19AVenezia69-79
17/11/19HCremona79-89
09/11/19APesaro101-95 OT
26/10/19HTreviso76-71
Virtus Bolognalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/19HOlimpia Milano83-70
25/12/19HFortitudo Bologna94-62
22/12/19ASassari77-91
14/12/19HBrindisi99-87
08/12/19ACremona66-78
01/12/19HCantu89-70
17/11/19ATrieste89-85 OT
10/11/19HTreviso84-79
03/11/19AReggiana79-59
26/10/19ABrescia82-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trento
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW47%
HomeWLWLW57%
AwayWLLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %47%57%38%
Points / game78.179.476.9
Allowed / game79.674.184.4
Point differential-1.5+5.3-7.5
Avg total157.7153.6161.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %7%0%12%
Virtus Bologna
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW87%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWLL71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %87%100%71%
Points / game84.085.682.1
Allowed / game75.773.178.6
Point differential+8.3+12.5+3.6
Avg total159.7158.8160.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%50%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %7%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna1513287%84.075.7+8.3
2 Sassari1613381%83.472.8+10.6
3 Brescia1611569%83.073.6+9.4
4 Olimpia Milano1610662%80.374.7+5.6
5 Brindisi169756%83.280.4+2.8
6 Cremona169756%78.879.4-0.6
7 Fortitudo Bologna158753%76.779.7-2.9
8 Venezia168850%78.175.2+2.9
9 Cantu168850%76.077.9-1.9
10 Varese157847%82.179.1+3.1
11 Trento157847%78.179.6-1.5
12 Reggiana157847%82.183.7-1.6
13 Virtus Roma167944%76.682.7-6.1
14 Treviso156940%76.978.3-1.5
15 Pistoia1651131%74.182.9-8.8
16 Trieste1541127%74.179.9-5.9
17 Pesaro150150%78.691.6-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Trento178252777
Virtus Bologna2121132883
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