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Trento vs Virtus Roma Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Dec 2019
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 82-88
30-30 22-17 15-13 15-28
Position#8
Record5-6
FormWLLWL
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game81.0
Trento
Italy
vs
Virtus Roma 🏆
Italy
Position#15
Record6-6
FormWWLLW
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game81.9
ItalyLega ARound 13
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Trento v Virtus Roma
27 Dec 2020
TRE v VRO
upcoming
14 Dec 2019
TRE82
VRO88
26 Apr 2015
TRE82
VRO68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trento winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Roma winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TrentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#12
W
84-76
84
76
+8
A28/09
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
73-76
73
76
-3
H05/10
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
66-92
66
92
-26
A13/10
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
72-78
72
78
-6
A20/10
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
76-71
76
71
+5
H26/10
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
101-95 OT
101
95
+6
A09/11
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
79-89
79
89
-10
H17/11
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
69-79
69
79
-10
A24/11
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
78-67
78
67
+11
H30/11
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
L
68-93
68
93
-25
A07/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
14-21
19-22
28-14
23-22
13-25
17-12
20-17
18-14
16-26
11-30
21-22
23-26
11-19
15-16
23-17
25-16
15-23
9-18
27-14
18-8
24-23
15-30
25-21
21-22
22-22
20-22
16-23
21-17
16-20
16-25
16-17
14-16
20-15
18-23
26-13
13-30
19-20
19-24
17-19
158.2Avg total
76.6Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)77.681.0158.6-3.445%
Season at home (5)78.875.6154.4+3.260%
Season away (6)76.785.5162.2-8.833%
Last 10 (10)76.681.6158.2-5.040%
Last 5 (5)79.084.6163.6-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)74.578.4152.9-3.942%
vs Similar (14)80.680.2160.8+0.457%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)88.079.8167.8+8.2100%
This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus RomaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#6
W
97-94
97
94
+3
H06/10
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
81-67
81
67
+14
A12/10
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
79-65
79
65
+14
H20/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
73-79
73
79
-6
H27/10
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
72-108
72
108
-36
A02/11
Lega A
Cantu
#11
W
76-74
76
74
+2
A10/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
92-83
92
83
+9
H17/11
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
69-81
69
81
-12
H24/11
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
69-99
69
99
-30
A01/12
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
82-72
82
72
+10
H08/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-26
27-23
21-23
26-22
22-19
19-16
24-17
16-15
21-16
20-20
20-9
18-20
29-16
14-14
15-32
15-17
24-25
11-32
18-31
19-20
23-19
17-28
24-13
12-14
24-20
20-20
23-22
25-21
13-25
22-25
20-14
14-17
19-34
20-24
15-21
15-20
27-22
18-13
20-19
17-18
161.2Avg total
79.0Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)76.781.9158.6-5.250%
Season at home (7)79.380.1159.4-0.957%
Season away (5)73.084.4157.4-11.440%
Last 10 (10)79.082.2161.2-3.260%
Last 5 (5)77.681.8159.4-4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)76.585.5162.1-9.027%
vs Similar (10)78.576.4154.9+2.160%
vs Weaker (9)91.080.3171.3+10.778%
This opponent (Trento) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: -6.3-6.3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: -0.7-0.7
TrentoVirtus Roma
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TrentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#12
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A28/09
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H05/10
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A13/10
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A20/10
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H26/10
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A09/11
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H17/11
Lega A
Venezia
#7
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A24/11
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H30/11
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A07/12
Lega A
77.3Avg total
36.9Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.038.477.3+0.653%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.738.979.7+1.867%-
Last 30 away (15)37.237.875.0-0.640%-
Last 10 (10)36.940.477.3-3.530%-
Last 5 (5)37.638.676.2-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)36.436.272.7+0.258%-
vs Similar (14)40.840.681.4+0.143%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)40.236.877.0+3.575%-
This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#6
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H06/10
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A12/10
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H20/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H27/10
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
35-57
35
57
-22
A02/11
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A10/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H17/11
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
35-50
35
50
-15
H24/11
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
39-58
39
58
-19
A01/12
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H08/12
Lega A
85.0Avg total
41.3Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.741.081.7-0.353%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.639.280.8+2.475%-
Last 30 away (14)39.843.182.9-3.329%-
Last 10 (10)41.343.785.0-2.460%-
Last 5 (5)40.646.086.6-5.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)38.244.582.6-6.336%-
vs Similar (10)39.738.478.1+1.350%-
vs Weaker (9)45.039.784.7+5.378%-
This opponent (Trento) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Trentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trento: 74.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀63%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 63% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.1 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.323.3
51.4%
52.0%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.16.2
32.5%
35.1%18.6
🏀 Free throws14.09.1
65.0%
73.6%9.1
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Romatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Roma: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.121.3
51.8%
52.0%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.87.5
36.1%
35.1%22.5
🏀 Free throws18.613.1
70.4%
73.6%13.1
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Dec 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trento
LWLLWWLLLW
Virtus Roma
WLLWWLLWWW
#8
League position
#15
-6.3
Net rating
-4.0
103.8
Offensive rating
110.6
110.1
Defensive rating
114.5
50.6%
Effective FG%
52.6%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
14.7%
Turnover %
18.5%
25.3%
Off. rebound %
34.5%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.30
32.5%
3-point %
36.1%
51.9%
Assist %
56.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence103.8 · 110.6Defence110.1 · 114.5Shooting50.6% · 52.6%3-point %32.5% · 36.1%Ball care14.7% · 18.5%Off. rebounds25.3% · 34.5%Free throws0.22 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Trento   ■ Virtus Roma
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Trento wins
0
Virtus Roma wins
DateGameScore
26/04/15Trento v Virtus Roma82-68
29/12/14Virtus Roma v Trento68-75
Trentolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/19AFortitudo Bologna68-93
30/11/19HBrindisi78-67
24/11/19AVenezia69-79
17/11/19HCremona79-89
09/11/19APesaro101-95 OT
26/10/19HTreviso76-71
20/10/19ACantu72-78
13/10/19ABrescia66-92
05/10/19HSassari73-76
28/09/19AReggiana84-76
Virtus Romalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/19HTrieste82-72
01/12/19AVarese69-99
24/11/19HTreviso69-81
17/11/19HPesaro92-83
10/11/19ACantu76-74
02/11/19ASassari72-108
27/10/19HOlimpia Milano73-79
20/10/19HFortitudo Bologna79-65
12/10/19APistoia81-67
06/10/19HCremona97-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trento
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL45%
HomeWLWLW60%
AwayLLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %45%60%33%
Points / game77.678.876.7
Allowed / game81.075.685.5
Point differential-3.4+3.2-8.8
Avg total158.6154.4162.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %9%0%17%
Virtus Roma
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW50%
HomeWLWLW57%
AwayLWLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %50%57%40%
Points / game76.779.373.0
Allowed / game81.980.184.4
Point differential-5.2-0.9-11.4
Avg total158.6159.4157.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%29%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna1110191%82.575.0+7.5
2 Sassari118373%81.371.3+10.0
3 Olimpia Milano128467%81.773.7+8.0
4 Brindisi117464%83.379.2+4.1
5 Fortitudo Bologna117464%78.477.6+0.7
6 Cremona117464%77.677.4+0.3
7 Brescia127558%82.675.2+7.3
8 Treviso126650%77.276.3+0.8
9 Virtus Roma126650%76.781.9-5.2
10 Venezia115645%75.973.5+2.5
11 Varese115645%80.578.2+2.3
12 Reggiana115645%81.080.9+0.1
13 Trento115645%77.681.0-3.4
14 Cantu114736%71.476.2-4.8
15 Trieste113827%72.578.8-6.4
16 Pistoia123925%73.483.9-10.5
17 Pesaro110110%77.290.5-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Trento3022151582
Virtus Roma3017132888
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