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Brindisi vs Virtus Bologna Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 11 Apr 2020
Tip-off: 16:15
Postponed
Position#5
Record13-8
FormWWWLW
Points / game84.6
Allowed / game80.8
vs
Position#1
Record18-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game75.0
ItalyLega ARound 30
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Brindisi v Virtus Bologna
26 Nov 2023
BRI83
VIR75
19 May 2023
BRI95
VIR100
22 Jan 2023
BRI78
VIR77
23 Jan 2022
BRI76
VIR83
25 May 2021
BRI74
VIR83
23 May 2021
BRI66
VIR73
13 Mar 2021
BRI91
VIR85
11 Apr 2020
BRI v VIR
upcoming
22 Dec 2018
BRI89
VIR81
19 Nov 2017
BRI79
VIR75
11 Oct 2015
BRI81
VIR54
23 Nov 2014
BRI75
VIR64
23 Mar 2014
BRI68
VIR77
28 Apr 2013
BRI87
VIR93
24 Oct 2010
BRI87
VIR84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brindisi win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BrindisiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
87-99
87
99
-12
A14/12
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
L
72-78
72
78
-6
A22/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
W
87-72
87
72
+15
H26/12
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
81-74
81
74
+7
H29/12
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
89-93
89
93
-4
A05/01
Lega A
Cantu
#11
W
93-92 OT
93
92
+1
A12/01
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
88-81 OT
88
81
+7
H19/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
86-82
86
82
+4
A26/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
74-77
74
77
-3
H01/02
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
103-77
103
77
+26
A09/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
23-32
22-23
22-22
14-20
18-20
22-21
18-17
24-13
22-25
20-18
21-16
17-20
21-17
26-16
17-21
21-27
19-25
21-18
28-23
24-21
23-22
20-29
17-12
20-15
12-20
23-23
21-18
22-15
18-26
22-25
24-16
16-14
18-18
15-24
25-21
16-18
29-17
33-28
25-14
168.5Avg total
86.0Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)84.680.8165.3+3.862%
Season at home (10)84.277.1161.3+7.170%
Season away (11)84.984.1169.0+0.855%
Last 10 (10)86.082.5168.5+3.560%
Last 5 (5)88.881.8170.6+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)78.382.3160.7-4.033%
vs Similar (14)83.184.4167.5-1.450%
vs Weaker (13)85.177.2162.3+7.869%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#6
L
66-78
66
78
-12
A08/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
99-87
99
87
+12
H14/12
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
77-91
77
91
-14
A22/12
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
94-62
94
62
+32
H25/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
83-70
83
70
+13
H29/12
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
83-77
83
77
+6
A05/01
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
97-68
97
68
+29
A12/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
90-60
90
60
+30
H18/01
Lega A
Venezia
#7
W
83-71
83
71
+12
A25/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
106-89
106
89
+17
H01/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-26
20-20
18-14
14-18
22-20
32-23
23-22
22-22
17-22
21-21
19-27
20-21
22-11
23-14
20-21
29-16
24-20
22-20
17-16
20-14
21-17
21-8
13-25
28-27
22-14
28-15
21-21
26-18
19-8
27-20
16-20
28-12
21-21
23-18
19-16
20-16
25-25
27-22
29-11
25-31
163.1Avg total
87.8Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)86.075.0160.9+11.090%
Season at home (10)88.173.4161.5+14.7100%
Season away (10)83.876.6160.4+7.280%
Last 10 (10)87.875.3163.1+12.580%
Last 5 (5)91.873.0164.8+18.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)76.374.3150.7+2.067%
vs Similar (7)75.976.1152.0-0.357%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)84.772.8157.6+11.990%
This opponent (Brindisi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +6.3+6.3Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: +3.7+3.7
BrindisiVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BrindisiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
43-54
43
54
-11
A14/12
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A22/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H26/12
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H29/12
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A05/01
Lega A
Cantu
#11
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A12/01
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H19/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A26/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H01/02
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A09/02
Lega A
80.4Avg total
39.7Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.239.180.4+2.153%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.236.777.8+4.562%-
Last 30 away (17)41.341.082.3+0.347%-
Last 10 (10)39.740.780.4-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)39.637.276.8+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)39.343.382.7-4.00%-
vs Similar (14)41.740.081.7+1.757%-
vs Weaker (13)41.237.278.4+3.962%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#6
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A08/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H14/12
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A22/12
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
45-25
45
25
+20
H25/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H29/12
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
42-25
42
25
+17
A05/01
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
50-29
50
29
+21
A12/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H18/01
Lega A
Venezia
#7
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A25/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H01/02
Lega A
81.6Avg total
45.1Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.136.077.1+5.063%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.335.476.7+5.971%-
Last 30 away (13)40.836.877.6+3.954%-
Last 10 (10)45.136.581.6+8.680%-
Last 5 (5)46.833.680.4+13.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)40.333.073.3+7.367%-
vs Similar (7)36.637.073.6-0.429%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)42.836.178.9+6.675%-
This opponent (Brindisi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brindisitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brindisi: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.020.9
51.0%
52.0%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.88.4
33.9%
35.1%25.2
🏀 Free throws18.714.3
76.5%
73.6%14.3
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 87.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.622.3
59.3%
52.0%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.29.7
37.0%
35.1%29.1
🏀 Free throws19.413.3
68.6%
73.6%13.3
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Apr 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brindisi
WLWWWLWWLL
Virtus Bologna
WWWWWWWLWL
#5
League position
#1
+0.9
Net rating
+17.2
116.6
Offensive rating
117.8
115.8
Defensive rating
100.6
50.9%
Effective FG%
57.8%
55.9%
Opp. effective FG%
45.6%
13.8%
Turnover %
18.2%
36.4%
Off. rebound %
32.5%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.30
33.9%
3-point %
37.0%
48.5%
Assist %
67.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence116.6 · 117.8Defence115.8 · 100.6Shooting50.9% · 57.8%3-point %33.9% · 37.0%Ball care13.8% · 18.2%Off. rebounds36.4% · 32.5%Free throws0.28 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Brindisi   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Brindisi wins
5
Virtus Bologna wins
Brindisilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/20APesaro103-77
01/02/20HOlimpia Milano74-77
26/01/20ABrescia86-82
19/01/20HVirtus Roma88-81 OT
12/01/20ACantu93-92 OT
05/01/20ACremona89-93
29/12/19HTreviso81-74
26/12/19HReggiana87-72
22/12/19AFortitudo Bologna72-78
14/12/19AVirtus Bologna87-99
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/20HPesaro106-89
25/01/20AVenezia83-71
18/01/20HPistoia90-60
12/01/20AVirtus Roma97-68
05/01/20ATrento83-77
29/12/19HOlimpia Milano83-70
25/12/19HFortitudo Bologna94-62
22/12/19ASassari77-91
14/12/19HBrindisi99-87
08/12/19ACremona66-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brindisi
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW62%
HomeLWWWL70%
AwayLLWWW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %62%70%55%
Points / game84.684.284.9
Allowed / game80.877.184.1
Point differential+3.8+7.1+0.8
Avg total165.3161.3169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%30%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)33% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %10%10%9%
Virtus Bologna
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW90%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %90%100%80%
Points / game86.088.183.8
Allowed / game75.073.476.6
Point differential+10.9+14.7+7.2
Avg total160.9161.5160.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%60%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2018290%86.075.0+10.9
2 Sassari2116576%85.575.9+9.6
3 Brescia2114767%81.374.0+7.3
4 Olimpia Milano2114767%80.374.0+6.3
5 Brindisi2113862%84.680.8+3.8
6 Cremona2012860%81.380.8+0.5
7 Venezia21111052%78.075.3+2.7
8 Trento21111052%77.979.3-1.4
9 Fortitudo Bologna21111052%77.379.5-2.2
10 Varese1991047%82.680.1+2.5
11 Cantu2091145%76.779.0-2.4
12 Reggiana2191243%82.984.0-1.0
13 Treviso2181338%77.179.2-2.1
14 Trieste2271532%76.080.5-4.5
15 Virtus Roma2271532%78.585.5-7.0
16 Pistoia2271532%74.583.3-8.8
17 Pesaro201195%79.292.5-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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