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Virtus Bologna vs Pistoia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Jan 2020
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 90-60
19-8 27-20 16-20 28-12
Position#1
Record15-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game75.3
Virtus Bologna 🏆
Italy
vs
Pistoia
Italy
Position#16
Record5-12
FormWWLLL
Points / game73.9
Allowed / game82.4
ItalyLega ARound 19
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Virtus Bologna v Pistoia
06 Oct 2024
VIR84
PIS68
01 Apr 2024
VIR93
PIS100
18 Jan 2020
VIR90
PIS60
07 Apr 2019
VIR67
PIS78
02 Jan 2018
VIR75
PIS67
20 Dec 2015
VIR76
PIS72
01 Mar 2015
VIR90
PIS67
04 May 2014
VIR70
PIS77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pistoia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviso
#13
W
84-79
84
79
+5
H10/11
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
89-85 OT
89
85
+4
A17/11
Lega A
Cantu
#11
W
89-70
89
70
+19
H01/12
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
66-78
66
78
-12
A08/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
99-87
99
87
+12
H14/12
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
77-91
77
91
-14
A22/12
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
94-62
94
62
+32
H25/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
83-70
83
70
+13
H29/12
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
83-77
83
77
+6
A05/01
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
97-68
97
68
+29
A12/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
20-29
28-14
16-19
16-20
19-28
20-12
17-12
21-21
20-15
28-13
20-21
14-26
20-20
18-14
14-18
22-20
32-23
23-22
22-22
17-22
21-21
19-27
20-21
22-11
23-14
20-21
29-16
24-20
22-20
17-16
20-14
21-17
21-8
13-25
28-27
22-14
28-15
21-21
26-18
162.8Avg total
86.1Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)84.775.3160.0+9.488%
Season at home (8)85.673.1158.8+12.5100%
Season away (9)83.977.2161.1+6.778%
Last 10 (10)86.176.7162.8+9.480%
Last 5 (5)86.873.6160.4+13.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)76.374.3150.7+2.067%
vs Similar (9)76.275.6151.8+0.756%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)82.972.6155.6+10.389%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
63-83
63
83
-20
A11/11
Lega A
Cantu
#11
W
77-69
77
69
+8
H17/11
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
67-100
67
100
-33
A24/11
Lega A
Venezia
#7
W
89-87
89
87
+2
H01/12
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
74-86
74
86
-12
A08/12
Lega A
Cremona
#6
W
84-71
84
71
+13
H15/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
91-79
91
79
+12
H22/12
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
60-91
60
91
-31
A26/12
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
70-78
70
78
-8
H04/01
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
71-74
71
74
-3
H12/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-21
16-21
15-33
20-8
17-14
18-24
26-13
16-18
13-26
15-26
22-27
17-21
16-21
25-25
28-22
20-19
19-28
20-20
14-14
21-24
29-15
11-20
15-23
29-13
27-26
14-20
27-20
23-13
14-26
19-18
15-24
12-23
15-20
24-12
13-23
18-23
22-24
9-18
17-15
23-17
156.4Avg total
74.6Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)73.982.4156.3-8.429%
Season at home (9)78.177.7155.8+0.456%
Season away (8)69.287.6156.9-18.40%
Last 10 (10)74.681.8156.4-7.240%
Last 5 (5)75.278.6153.8-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)72.580.6153.1-8.121%
vs Similar (1)67.081.0148.0-14.00%
vs Weaker (1)91.079.0170.0+12.0100%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +2.0+2.0
Virtus BolognaPistoia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviso
#13
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H10/11
Lega A
Trieste
#14
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A17/11
Lega A
Cantu
#11
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H01/12
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A08/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H14/12
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A22/12
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
45-25
45
25
+20
H25/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H29/12
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
42-25
42
25
+17
A05/01
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
50-29
50
29
+21
A12/01
Lega A
80.6Avg total
42.5Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.435.776.1+4.760%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.635.275.8+5.369%-
Last 30 away (14)40.236.176.4+4.150%-
Last 10 (10)42.538.180.6+4.460%-
Last 5 (5)44.232.476.6+11.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)40.333.073.3+7.367%-
vs Similar (9)37.036.173.1+0.933%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)42.135.978.0+6.272%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
28-42
28
42
-14
A11/11
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H17/11
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
28-52
28
52
-24
A24/11
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H01/12
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A08/12
Lega A
Cremona
#6
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H15/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H22/12
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A26/12
Lega A
Sassari
#2
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H04/01
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H12/01
Lega A
78.0Avg total
35.5Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)36.941.378.2-4.321%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.740.177.7-2.420%-
Last 30 away (14)36.142.678.7-6.421%-
Last 10 (10)35.542.578.0-7.020%-
Last 5 (5)36.839.876.6-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)36.941.178.0-4.322%-
vs Similar (1)35.041.076.0-6.00%-
vs Weaker (1)41.046.087.0-5.00%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.821.5
58.4%
52.0%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.69.3
35.0%
35.1%27.9
🏀 Free throws19.713.2
67.0%
73.6%13.2
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 73.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.516.8
46.0%
52.0%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.38.1
30.8%
35.1%24.3
🏀 Free throws21.315.9
74.6%
73.6%15.9
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Jan 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Virtus Bologna
WWWWLWLWWW
Pistoia
LLLWWLWLWL
#1
League position
#16
+15.0
Net rating
-10.0
114.6
Offensive rating
105.2
99.6
Defensive rating
115.2
55.9%
Effective FG%
46.1%
44.6%
Opp. effective FG%
55.1%
17.4%
Turnover %
14.7%
31.4%
Off. rebound %
30.2%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.34
35.0%
3-point %
30.8%
67.9%
Assist %
49.4%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence114.6 · 105.2Defence99.6 · 115.2Shooting55.9% · 46.1%3-point %35.0% · 30.8%Ball care17.4% · 14.7%Off. rebounds31.4% · 30.2%Free throws0.31 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Virtus Bologna   ■ Pistoia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Virtus Bologna wins
3
Pistoia wins
DateGameScore
29/09/19Pistoia v Virtus Bologna78-88
07/04/19Virtus Bologna v Pistoia67-78
16/12/18Pistoia v Virtus Bologna71-81
29/04/18Pistoia v Virtus Bologna61-74
02/01/18Virtus Bologna v Pistoia75-67
10/04/16Pistoia v Virtus Bologna88-76
20/12/15Virtus Bologna v Pistoia76-72
01/03/15Virtus Bologna v Pistoia90-67
09/11/14Pistoia v Virtus Bologna72-73
04/05/14Virtus Bologna v Pistoia70-77
Virtus Bolognalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/20AVirtus Roma97-68
05/01/20ATrento83-77
29/12/19HOlimpia Milano83-70
25/12/19HFortitudo Bologna94-62
22/12/19ASassari77-91
14/12/19HBrindisi99-87
08/12/19ACremona66-78
01/12/19HCantu89-70
17/11/19ATrieste89-85 OT
10/11/19HTreviso84-79
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/20HTrento71-74
04/01/20HSassari70-78
26/12/19AVarese60-91
22/12/19HPesaro91-79
15/12/19HCremona84-71
08/12/19ABrescia74-86
01/12/19HVenezia89-87
24/11/19ABrindisi67-100
17/11/19HCantu77-69
11/11/19AOlimpia Milano63-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Bologna
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW88%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLLWW78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %88%100%78%
Points / game84.785.683.9
Allowed / game75.373.177.2
Point differential+9.4+12.5+6.7
Avg total160.0158.8161.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%50%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Pistoia
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL29%
HomeWWWLL56%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %29%56%0%
Points / game73.978.169.2
Allowed / game82.477.787.6
Point differential-8.4+0.4-18.4
Avg total156.3155.8156.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%22%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna1715288%84.775.3+9.4
2 Sassari1714382%83.973.6+10.4
3 Brescia1712571%83.274.1+9.2
4 Olimpia Milano1711665%80.974.2+6.7
5 Brindisi1710759%83.881.1+2.7
6 Cremona169756%78.879.4-0.6
7 Venezia179853%78.375.0+3.3
8 Fortitudo Bologna179853%77.379.1-1.8
9 Varese178947%82.579.9+2.6
10 Cantu178947%76.978.8-1.8
11 Reggiana1881044%82.483.8-1.4
12 Trento1881044%77.980.6-2.7
13 Virtus Roma1771041%76.183.5-7.4
14 Treviso1761135%76.479.4-3.0
15 Trieste1751229%74.479.8-5.4
16 Pistoia1751229%73.982.4-8.4
17 Pesaro171166%78.590.2-11.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Virtus Bologna1927162890
Pistoia820201260
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