Brisbane Bullets vs Illawarra Hawks Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Jan 2020

Tip-off: 06:30

Final 106-77

24-26 23-21 36-17 23-13

Position#4

Record10-11

FormLWLWW

Points / game91.2

Allowed / game92.0

Brisbane Bullets 🏆

Illawarra Hawks

Position#9

Record5-17

FormWLLLL

Points / game87.1

Allowed / game95.0

NBL

Other2019-20

Meetings · Brisbane Bullets v Illawarra Hawks

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brisbane Bullets winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Illawarra Hawks winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Brisbane Bullets Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

South East Melbourne

95-110

110

-15

H30/11

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

101-91

101

+10

H07/12

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

85-96

-11

A09/12

NBL

Perth

78-86

-8

A14/12

NBL

Sydney

87-80

H21/12

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

96-99

-3

H27/12

NBL

Melbourne United

102-96

102

A29/12

NBL

Cairns

89-91

-2

A03/01

NBL

Perth

97-85

+12

H05/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

95-85

+10

A12/01

NBL

31-35

30-18

18-31

16-26

24-24

25-13

30-28

22-26

17-17

30-30

21-26

17-23

18-20

20-20

18-22

22-24

21-29

27-16

21-13

18-22

29-17

22-24

31-30

14-28

27-29

28-22

25-24

22-21

19-23

24-25

16-29

30-14

28-20

24-27

21-21

24-17

15-18

34-21

20-25

26-21

184.4Avg total

92.5Scored

91.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (21)	91.2	92.0	183.2	-0.9	48%
Season at home (9)	93.8	90.7	184.4	+3.1	67%
Season away (12)	89.2	93.1	182.3	-3.8	33%
Last 10 (10)	92.5	91.9	184.4	+0.6	50%
Last 5 (5)	95.8	91.2	187.0	+4.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	69.0	86.5	155.5	-17.5	0%
vs Similar (19)	89.2	91.4	180.6	-2.3	37%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	92.4	93.1	185.6	-0.7	56%

This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Illawarra Hawks Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Brisbane Bullets

91-101

101

-10

A07/12

NBL

Melbourne United

73-94

-21

H16/12

NBL

Adelaide

93-84

A20/12

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

89-91

-2

H22/12

NBL

South East Melbourne

102-112

102

112

-10

A28/12

NBL

Sydney

85-80

H31/12

NBL

Melbourne United

91-104

104

-13

H04/01

NBL

Adelaide

96-102

102

-6

A06/01

NBL

Perth

77-99

-22

H10/01

NBL

South East Melbourne

82-90

-8

H12/01

NBL

24-24

13-25

28-30

26-22

24-25

16-14

16-26

17-29

22-23

30-19

17-17

24-25

17-23

26-29

25-19

21-20

27-29

31-29

23-33

21-21

21-31

20-15

19-22

25-12

26-28

24-27

24-17

17-32

32-32

29-27

22-28

13-15

17-27

19-27

24-19

17-26

26-18

13-29

23-28

20-15

183.6Avg total

87.9Scored

95.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (22)	87.1	95.0	182.1	-7.8	23%
Season at home (12)	84.8	92.0	176.8	-7.2	25%
Season away (10)	89.9	98.5	188.4	-8.6	20%
Last 10 (10)	87.9	95.7	183.6	-7.8	20%
Last 5 (5)	86.2	95.0	181.2	-8.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	88.1	97.4	185.5	-9.2	21%
vs Similar (2)	96.0	88.0	184.0	+8.0	100%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Brisbane BulletsIllawarra Hawks

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.9	23.8	46.6	-0.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	25.3	24.2	49.5	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.8	23.4	44.1	-2.6	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.9	23.2	46.1	-0.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	21.4	45.0	+2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	18.0	24.0	42.0	-6.0	0%	-
vs Similar (19)	22.3	23.6	45.9	-1.4	32%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	25.2	24.0	49.2	+1.2	56%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.6	26.6	50.2	-3.0	23%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.7	25.6	49.2	-1.9	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.6	27.8	51.4	-4.2	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.6	26.0	49.6	-2.4	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	27.2	51.6	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	23.0	26.8	49.8	-3.7	18%	-
vs Similar (2)	32.0	24.5	56.5	+7.5	100%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.9	23.1	47.0	+0.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.7	22.1	45.9	+1.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	24.0	24.0	48.0	+0.0	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	26.4	21.6	48.0	+4.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.4	23.8	50.2	+2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	22.5	21.0	43.5	+1.5	50%	-
vs Similar (19)	24.1	23.5	47.6	+0.5	42%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	23.8	22.8	46.6	+1.0	44%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.4	24.2	46.6	-1.8	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.6	23.3	43.9	-2.8	19%	-
Last 30 away (14)	24.5	25.3	49.8	-0.8	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	24.1	46.2	-2.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	25.0	46.0	-4.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	22.6	24.2	46.8	-1.6	32%	-
vs Similar (2)	20.0	24.5	44.5	-4.5	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

Brisbane BulletsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

South East Melbourne

61-53

H30/11

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

49-37

+12

H07/12

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

47-47

A09/12

NBL

Perth

38-40

-2

A14/12

NBL

Sydney

48-45

H21/12

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

51-41

+10

H27/12

NBL

Melbourne United

55-51

A29/12

NBL

Cairns

43-48

-5

A03/01

NBL

Perth

52-47

H05/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

49-39

+10

A12/01

NBL

94.1Avg total

49.3Scored

44.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.7	46.9	93.6	-0.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	49.0	46.4	95.4	+2.6	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	44.8	47.4	92.1	-2.6	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	49.3	44.8	94.1	+4.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	50.0	45.2	95.2	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	40.5	45.0	85.5	-4.5	0%	-
vs Similar (19)	46.3	47.2	93.5	-0.8	42%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	49.0	46.8	95.8	+2.2	56%	-

This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Brisbane Bullets

37-49

-12

A07/12

NBL

Melbourne United

40-39

H16/12

NBL

Adelaide

52-42

+10

A20/12

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

43-52

-9

H22/12

NBL

South East Melbourne

58-58

A28/12

NBL

Sydney

41-46

-5

H31/12

NBL

Melbourne United

50-55

-5

H04/01

NBL

Adelaide

61-59

A06/01

NBL

Perth

36-54

-18

H10/01

NBL

South East Melbourne

39-47

-8

H12/01

NBL

95.8Avg total

45.7Scored

50.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.0	50.8	96.9	-4.8	27%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	44.2	48.9	93.1	-4.6	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	48.1	53.1	101.1	-5.0	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.7	50.1	95.8	-4.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.4	52.2	97.6	-6.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	45.6	51.0	96.6	-5.4	25%	-
vs Similar (2)	52.0	49.0	101.0	+3.0	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	23.0	44.1	-1.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.6	22.1	44.7	+0.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.8	23.8	43.5	-4.0	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	24.9	47.0	-2.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	25.8	48.4	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	18.0	25.0	43.0	-7.0	50%	-
vs Similar (19)	21.1	23.2	44.3	-2.1	37%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	21.7	22.1	43.8	-0.4	56%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	24.0	45.2	-2.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.4	21.8	43.2	-0.3	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.9	26.6	47.5	-5.6	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	23.9	46.0	-1.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	22.8	45.2	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	21.1	24.3	45.5	-3.2	36%	-
vs Similar (2)	22.0	19.5	41.5	+2.5	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	21.6	42.1	-1.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.8	20.4	39.1	-1.6	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.1	22.7	44.8	-0.6	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	22.2	43.3	-1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	20.2	43.4	+3.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	10.5	16.5	27.0	-6.0	50%	-
vs Similar (19)	21.7	21.1	42.8	+0.7	53%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	20.2	23.9	44.1	-3.7	11%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	21.2	42.0	-0.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.8	20.9	41.7	-0.2	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.9	21.5	42.4	-0.6	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	21.7	41.8	-1.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	20.0	38.4	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	20.7	21.3	42.0	-0.6	32%	-
vs Similar (2)	22.0	19.5	41.5	+2.5	100%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.6	44.6	86.2	-3.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.4	42.5	83.9	-1.1	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.8	46.4	88.2	-4.6	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.2	47.1	90.3	-3.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.8	46.0	91.8	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	28.5	41.5	70.0	-13.0	50%	-
vs Similar (19)	42.8	44.3	87.1	-1.4	53%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	41.9	46.0	87.9	-4.1	44%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.0	45.2	87.2	-3.2	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.2	42.7	84.9	-0.5	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.8	48.1	89.9	-6.3	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.2	45.6	87.8	-3.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	42.8	83.6	-2.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	41.9	45.6	87.5	-3.8	32%	-
vs Similar (2)	44.0	39.0	83.0	+5.0	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Brisbane Bullets wins

Illawarra Hawks wins

Date	Game	Score
07/12/19	Brisbane Bullets v Illawarra Hawks	101-91
03/11/19	Illawarra Hawks v Brisbane Bullets	69-83
06/10/19	Illawarra Hawks v Brisbane Bullets	81-90
07/02/19	Brisbane Bullets v Illawarra Hawks	98-87 OT
31/12/18	Illawarra Hawks v Brisbane Bullets	74-100
22/11/18	Brisbane Bullets v Illawarra Hawks	104-85
27/10/18	Illawarra Hawks v Brisbane Bullets	86-78
08/02/18	Brisbane Bullets v Illawarra Hawks	99-91
31/12/17	Illawarra Hawks v Brisbane Bullets	104-82
03/11/17	Brisbane Bullets v Illawarra Hawks	81-112

Brisbane Bulletslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/01/20	A	New Zealand Breakers	95-85
05/01/20	H	Perth	97-85
03/01/20	A	Cairns	89-91
29/12/19	A	Melbourne United	102-96
27/12/19	H	New Zealand Breakers	96-99
21/12/19	H	Sydney	87-80
14/12/19	A	Perth	78-86
09/12/19	A	New Zealand Breakers	85-96
07/12/19	H	Illawarra Hawks	101-91
30/11/19	H	South East Melbourne	95-110

Illawarra Hawkslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/01/20	H	South East Melbourne	82-90
10/01/20	H	Perth	77-99
06/01/20	A	Adelaide	96-102
04/01/20	H	Melbourne United	91-104
31/12/19	H	Sydney	85-80
28/12/19	A	South East Melbourne	102-112
22/12/19	H	New Zealand Breakers	89-91
20/12/19	A	Adelaide	93-84
16/12/19	H	Melbourne United	73-94
07/12/19	A	Brisbane Bullets	91-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brisbane Bullets

NBL 2019-20

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWW	48%
Home	LWWLW	67%
Away	LLWLW	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	21	9	12
Win %	48%	67%	33%
Points / game	91.2	93.8	89.2
Allowed / game	92.0	90.7	93.1
Point differential	-0.9	+3.1	-3.8
Avg total	183.2	184.4	182.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	24%	33%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	50% (2)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Illawarra Hawks

NBL 2019-20

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLL	23%
Home	LWLLL	25%
Away	LLWLL	20%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	22	12	10
Win %	23%	25%	20%
Points / game	87.1	84.8	89.9
Allowed / game	95.0	92.0	98.5
Point differential	-7.8	-7.2	-8.6
Avg total	182.1	176.8	188.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	5%	0%	10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (6)	50% (4)	0% (2)
Overtime %	5%	8%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Sydney	22	15	7	68%	92.7	88.0	+4.7
2	Perth	23	15	8	65%	91.0	87.0	+4.0
3	Cairns	22	12	10	55%	91.2	89.8	+1.4
4	Melbourne United	21	11	10	52%	96.1	93.6	+2.6
5	Adelaide	22	11	11	50%	96.2	97.9	-1.7
6	Brisbane Bullets	21	10	11	48%	91.2	92.0	-0.9
7	New Zealand Breakers	22	10	12	45%	90.2	91.3	-1.1
8	South East Melbourne	21	9	12	43%	96.4	97.7	-1.3
9	Illawarra Hawks	22	5	17	23%	87.1	95.0	-7.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Brisbane Bullets	24	23	36	23	106
Illawarra Hawks	26	21	17	13	77

← all games of the day

Brisbane Bullets vs Illawarra Hawks Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature