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Brisbane Bullets vs Illawarra Hawks Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 27 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 08:30
Final 84-102
34-29 16-19 18-34 16-20
Position#8
Record9-8
FormWWLWW
Points / game96.5
Allowed / game96.2
Brisbane Bullets
Australia
vs
Illawarra Hawks 🏆
Australia
Position#1
Record12-5
FormLWWWW
Points / game101.1
Allowed / game91.2
AustraliaNBLRound 14· Brisbane Convention & Exhibition Centre
Other2024-25
Meetings · Brisbane Bullets v Illawarra Hawks
17 Jan 2027
BRIS v ILLA
upcoming
25 Sep 2026
BRIS103
ILLA95
26 Jan 2026
BRIS75
ILLA113
27 Dec 2024
BRIS84
ILLA102
14 Jan 2024
BRIS110
ILLA103
03 Dec 2023
BRIS78
ILLA77
27 Oct 2022
BRIS86
ILLA61
09 Apr 2022
BRIS77
ILLA108
19 Dec 2021
BRIS96
ILLA92
26 Feb 2021
BRIS97
ILLA91
21 Jan 2021
BRIS82
ILLA90
16 Jan 2021
BRIS84
ILLA90
18 Jan 2020
BRIS106
ILLA77
07 Dec 2019
BRIS101
ILLA91
07 Feb 2019
BRIS98
ILLA87
22 Nov 2018
BRIS104
ILLA85
08 Feb 2018
BRIS99
ILLA91
03 Nov 2017
BRIS81
ILLA112
19 Dec 2016
BRIS85
ILLA91
10 Dec 2016
BRIS88
ILLA98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brisbane Bullets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illawarra Hawks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Brisbane BulletsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBullets
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#2
L
103-120
103
120
-17
90avg 84
H07/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
L
92-95
92
95
-3
84avg 84
A15/11
NBL
Perth
#3
W
105-84
105
84
+21
98avg 84
H17/11
NBL
Perth
#3
L
89-117
89
117
-28
73avg 84
A29/11
NBL
Adelaide
#6
W
102-83
102
83
+19
94avg 84
H06/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
W
122-114
122
114
+8
121avg 84
A08/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
W
116-108
116
108
+8
107avg 84
H12/12
NBL
Sydney
#4
L
81-93
81
93
-12
74avg 84
A15/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
107-104
107
104
+3
94avg 84
H20/12
NBL
Adelaide
#6
W
111-90
111
90
+21
104avg 84
A24/12
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-24
25-28
26-33
32-35
31-20
15-23
14-25
32-27
25-26
22-13
27-26
31-19
24-31
22-32
13-28
30-26
34-24
19-23
22-17
27-19
28-28
29-29
31-30
34-27
26-34
22-25
34-24
34-25
25-25
29-23
19-18
8-27
29-30
27-24
25-26
26-24
24-23
27-25
27-22
33-20
203.6Avg total
102.8Scored
100.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)96.596.2192.7+0.253%
Season at home (8)97.293.8191.0+3.562%
Season away (9)95.898.4194.2-2.744%
Last 10 (10)102.8100.8203.6+2.060%
Last 5 (5)107.4101.8209.2+5.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)94.6100.5195.1-5.846%
vs Similar (16)93.290.8183.9+2.450%
vs Weaker (1)95.083.0178.0+12.0100%
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illawarra HawksAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
South East Melbourne
#5
W
88-82
88
82
+6
83avg 90
A26/10
NBL
Perth
#3
L
105-113
105
113
-8
94avg 90
A01/11
NBL
Adelaide
#6
L
79-93
79
93
-14
70avg 90
A10/11
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
86-79
86
79
+7
83avg 90
H16/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
109-71
109
71
+38
103avg 90
H28/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
100-103
100
103
-3
96avg 90
A30/11
NBL
Perth
#3
W
121-111
121
111
+10
119avg 90
A06/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
W
106-93
106
93
+13
100avg 90
A13/12
NBL
Perth
#3
W
120-88
120
88
+32
113avg 90
H22/12
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
111-108
111
108
+3
99avg 90
A25/12
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-19
30-20
29-26
14-17
31-39
22-23
30-27
22-24
22-26
19-24
26-26
12-17
22-22
22-13
23-19
19-25
32-12
20-17
20-27
37-15
31-21
28-31
17-26
24-25
29-30
26-23
33-38
33-20
27-24
19-23
27-15
33-31
37-28
26-20
26-15
31-25
23-31
35-27
30-23
23-27
196.6Avg total
102.5Scored
94.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)101.191.2192.4+9.971%
Season at home (7)103.487.0190.4+16.471%
Season away (10)99.594.2193.7+5.370%
Last 10 (10)102.594.1196.6+8.470%
Last 5 (5)111.6100.6212.2+11.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)86.298.8185.0-12.515%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (17)101.191.2192.4+9.971%
This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: +2.2+2.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: +2.2+2.2
Brisbane BulletsIllawarra Hawks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Brisbane BulletsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#2
L
45-52
45
52
-7
H07/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A15/11
NBL
Perth
#3
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H17/11
NBL
Perth
#3
L
46-63
46
63
-17
A29/11
NBL
Adelaide
#6
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H06/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
D
57-57
57
57
+0
A08/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
48-59
48
59
-11
H12/12
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
54-48
54
48
+6
A15/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
56-54
56
54
+2
H20/12
NBL
Adelaide
#6
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A24/12
NBL
101.3Avg total
50.3Scored
51.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.248.494.6-2.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.046.591.5-1.553%-
Last 30 away (15)47.450.397.7-2.940%-
Last 10 (10)50.351.0101.3-0.760%-
Last 5 (5)53.253.2106.4+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)46.250.596.8-4.338%-
vs Similar (16)45.547.192.6-1.650%-
vs Weaker (1)57.042.099.0+15.0100%-
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South East Melbourne
#5
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A26/10
NBL
Perth
#3
L
53-62
53
62
-9
A01/11
NBL
Adelaide
#6
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A10/11
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H16/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
52-29
52
29
+23
H28/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
W
59-52
59
52
+7
A30/11
NBL
Perth
#3
W
55-53
55
53
+2
A06/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A13/12
NBL
Perth
#3
W
63-48
63
48
+15
H22/12
NBL
Sydney
#4
D
58-58
58
58
+0
A25/12
NBL
98.9Avg total
51.6Scored
47.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.746.993.6-0.243%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.443.690.9+3.843%-
Last 30 away (16)46.249.896.0-3.644%-
Last 10 (10)51.647.398.9+4.360%-
Last 5 (5)56.251.6107.8+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)41.347.288.5-5.815%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (17)50.946.797.6+4.265%-
This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brisbane Bulletstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brisbane Bullets: 101.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.924.6
56.0%
52.3%49.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.211.2
42.7%
35.1%33.6
🏀 Free throws24.819.0
76.6%
74.7%19.0
They take 70.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Illawarra Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illawarra Hawks: 101.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.825.3
55.2%
52.3%50.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.910.7
38.4%
35.1%32.1
🏀 Free throws24.918.4
73.9%
74.7%18.4
They take 73.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brisbane Bullets
WWLWWWLWLL
Illawarra Hawks
WWWWLWWLLW
#8
League position
#1
+2.9
Net rating
+9.2
122.5
Offensive rating
122.0
119.7
Defensive rating
112.9
59.1%
Effective FG%
56.1%
57.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
15.9%
Turnover %
14.0%
30.0%
Off. rebound %
33.2%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.34
42.7%
3-point %
38.4%
46.1%
Assist %
55.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence122.5 · 122.0Defence119.7 · 112.9Shooting59.1% · 56.1%3-point %42.7% · 38.4%Ball care15.9% · 14.0%Off. rebounds30.0% · 33.2%Free throws0.35 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Brisbane Bullets   ■ Illawarra Hawks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Brisbane Bullets wins
4
Illawarra Hawks wins
DateGameScore
27/09/24Illawarra Hawks v Brisbane Bullets113-101
03/02/24Illawarra Hawks v Brisbane Bullets89-76
14/01/24Brisbane Bullets v Illawarra Hawks110-103
03/12/23Brisbane Bullets v Illawarra Hawks78-77
21/01/23Illawarra Hawks v Brisbane Bullets86-103
27/10/22Brisbane Bullets v Illawarra Hawks86-61
24/10/22Illawarra Hawks v Brisbane Bullets56-82
09/04/22Brisbane Bullets v Illawarra Hawks77-108
31/03/22Illawarra Hawks v Brisbane Bullets87-70
19/12/21Brisbane Bullets v Illawarra Hawks96-92
Brisbane Bulletslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/12/24AAdelaide111-90
20/12/24HCairns Taipans107-104
15/12/24ASydney81-93
12/12/24HSouth East Melbourne116-108
08/12/24AMelbourne United122-114
06/12/24HAdelaide102-83
29/11/24APerth89-117
17/11/24HPerth105-84
15/11/24ATasmania JackJumpers92-95
07/11/24HMelbourne United103-120
Illawarra Hawkslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/12/24ASydney111-108
22/12/24HPerth120-88
13/12/24AMelbourne United106-93
06/12/24APerth121-111
30/11/24ASouth East Melbourne100-103
28/11/24HNew Zealand Breakers109-71
16/11/24HSydney86-79
10/11/24AAdelaide79-93
01/11/24APerth105-113
26/10/24ASouth East Melbourne88-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brisbane Bullets
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW53%
HomeLWWWW62%
AwayLLWLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %53%62%44%
Points / game96.597.295.8
Allowed / game96.293.898.4
Point differential+0.2+3.5-2.7
Avg total192.7191.0194.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%38%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Illawarra Hawks
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW71%
HomeWLWWW71%
AwayLLWWW70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17710
Win %71%71%70%
Points / game101.1103.499.5
Allowed / game91.287.094.2
Point differential+9.9+16.4+5.3
Avg total192.4190.4193.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%57%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Illawarra Hawks1712571%101.191.2+9.9
2 Melbourne United2113862%95.490.1+5.3
3 Sydney1911858%89.284.7+4.5
4 Tasmania JackJumpers1810856%83.183.2-0.1
5 Brisbane Bullets179853%96.596.2+0.2
6 Perth1910953%96.897.3-0.5
7 South East Melbourne189950%91.488.2+3.2
8 Adelaide1771041%90.996.6-5.7
9 New Zealand Breakers1871139%84.791.8-7.1
10 Cairns Taipans1831517%83.994.6-10.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brisbane Bullets3416181684
Illawarra Hawks29193420102
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