Brisbane Bullets vs Illawarra Hawks Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 19 Dec 2016

Tip-off: 08:30

Final 85-91 (OT)

17-18 17-24 19-21 24-14 8-14

Position#8

Record8-8

FormWLLLW

Points / game83.9

Allowed / game83.6

Brisbane Bullets

Illawarra Hawks 🏆

Position#3

Record8-8

FormWWLWL

Points / game88.6

Allowed / game87.6

NBL

Other2016-17

Meetings · Brisbane Bullets v Illawarra Hawks

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brisbane Bullets winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Illawarra Hawks winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Brisbane Bullets Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

New Zealand Breakers

70-86

-16

A06/11

NBL

Sydney

86-73

+13

H10/11

NBL

Cairns Taipans

84-76

A13/11

NBL

Adelaide

105-87

105

+18

A19/11

NBL

Adelaide

83-101

101

-18

H24/11

NBL

Perth

90-75

+15

A01/12

NBL

Cairns Taipans

84-89

-5

H03/12

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

75-82

-7

A08/12

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

88-98

-10

H10/12

NBL

Melbourne United

100-90

100

+10

H17/12

NBL

23-22

17-27

21-16

9-21

19-22

20-11

23-27

24-13

17-16

28-27

24-17

15-16

31-19

25-27

34-20

15-21

18-36

20-21

17-20

28-24

28-18

21-11

16-25

25-21

21-27

17-21

22-21

24-20

20-23

19-16

16-24

20-19

22-26

23-20

22-23

21-29

20-23

30-26

29-23

21-18

172.2Avg total

86.5Scored

85.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	83.9	83.6	167.6	+0.3	50%
Season at home (8)	86.8	86.8	173.5	+0.0	50%
Season away (8)	81.1	80.5	161.6	+0.6	50%
Last 10 (10)	86.5	85.7	172.2	+0.8	50%
Last 5 (5)	87.4	86.8	174.2	+0.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	87.6	86.2	173.9	+1.4	50%
vs Similar (8)	80.2	81.0	161.2	-0.8	50%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Illawarra Hawks Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cairns Taipans

83-98

-15

H30/10

NBL

Melbourne United

82-73

H06/11

NBL

Adelaide

85-74

+11

A12/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

85-100

100

-15

A18/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

109-78

109

+31

H20/11

NBL

Perth

89-85

A27/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

95-91

A02/12

NBL

Sydney

93-99

-6

H05/12

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

98-88

+10

A10/12

NBL

Cairns Taipans

82-99

-17

A17/12

NBL

23-27

18-25

24-21

18-25

21-20

20-10

12-20

29-23

24-28

17-18

20-17

24-11

16-33

22-24

31-23

16-20

26-20

30-24

27-20

26-14

24-29

28-17

21-17

16-22

29-24

26-16

23-23

17-28

25-25

19-27

22-26

27-21

26-22

20-23

23-22

29-21

21-26

32-19

11-28

18-26

178.6Avg total

90.1Scored

88.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	88.6	87.6	176.2	+0.9	50%
Season at home (7)	93.4	85.7	179.1	+7.7	57%
Season away (9)	84.8	89.1	173.9	-4.3	44%
Last 10 (10)	90.1	88.5	178.6	+1.6	60%
Last 5 (5)	91.4	92.4	183.8	-1.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (23)	86.8	87.3	174.0	-0.5	43%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	102.0	92.1	194.1	+9.9	86%

This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Brisbane BulletsIllawarra Hawks

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (16)	20.4	20.6	41.0	-0.1	56%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	19.8	24.0	43.8	-4.2	25%	-
Last 30 away (8)	21.1	17.1	38.2	+4.0	88%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	23.2	45.1	-1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	23.4	45.6	-1.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	20.9	21.9	42.8	-1.0	50%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.0	19.2	39.2	+0.8	62%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.1	22.8	46.9	+1.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	24.6	22.3	46.9	+2.3	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	23.7	23.2	46.9	+0.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.5	25.4	48.9	-1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.0	25.2	50.2	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (23)	22.7	23.3	46.1	-0.6	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	28.6	21.0	49.6	+7.6	86%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (16)	20.8	21.0	41.8	-0.2	62%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	22.5	19.5	42.0	+3.0	75%	-
Last 30 away (8)	19.1	22.5	41.6	-3.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	20.7	42.7	+1.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	18.8	40.8	+3.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	21.9	21.4	43.2	+0.5	62%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.8	20.6	40.4	-0.9	62%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.8	22.9	45.7	-0.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	23.2	23.0	46.2	+0.2	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	22.5	22.8	45.3	-0.2	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.2	20.3	43.5	+2.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.0	20.4	45.4	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (23)	22.8	22.3	45.1	+0.4	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	22.9	24.6	47.4	-1.7	14%	-

Brisbane BulletsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

New Zealand Breakers

40-49

-9

A06/11

NBL

Sydney

39-33

H10/11

NBL

Cairns Taipans

45-43

A13/11

NBL

Adelaide

56-46

+10

A19/11

NBL

Adelaide

38-57

-19

H24/11

NBL

Perth

49-29

+20

A01/12

NBL

Cairns Taipans

38-48

-10

H03/12

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

39-39

A08/12

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

45-46

-1

H10/12

NBL

Melbourne United

50-49

H17/12

NBL

87.8Avg total

43.9Scored

43.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (16)	41.2	41.6	82.8	-0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	42.2	43.5	85.8	-1.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (8)	40.2	39.6	79.9	+0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.9	43.9	87.8	+0.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.2	42.2	86.4	+2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	42.8	43.2	86.0	-0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (8)	39.8	39.9	79.6	-0.1	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cairns Taipans

41-52

-11

H30/10

NBL

Melbourne United

41-30

+11

H06/11

NBL

Adelaide

41-46

-5

A12/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

38-57

-19

A18/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

56-44

+12

H20/11

NBL

Perth

52-46

A27/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

55-40

+15

A02/12

NBL

Sydney

44-52

-8

H05/12

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

46-45

A10/12

NBL

Cairns Taipans

53-45

A17/12

NBL

92.4Avg total

46.7Scored

45.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.9	45.7	92.6	+1.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	47.8	45.3	93.1	+2.5	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	46.2	45.9	92.2	+0.3	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.7	45.7	92.4	+1.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	50.0	45.6	95.6	+4.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (23)	45.5	45.7	91.2	-0.2	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	51.4	45.6	97.0	+5.9	86%	-

This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (16)	21.5	20.8	42.2	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	21.5	21.9	43.4	-0.4	38%	-
Last 30 away (8)	21.5	19.6	41.1	+1.9	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	21.6	44.0	+0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	23.2	44.2	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	22.9	20.2	43.1	+2.6	50%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.1	21.2	41.4	-1.1	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	21.5	42.4	-0.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	22.7	19.8	42.5	+2.9	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.5	22.8	42.4	-3.3	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	21.7	43.1	-0.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	23.2	43.2	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (23)	19.8	21.5	41.3	-1.7	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	24.6	21.4	46.0	+3.1	86%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (16)	20.6	20.5	41.1	+0.1	56%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	21.8	19.8	41.5	+2.0	75%	-
Last 30 away (8)	19.4	21.2	40.6	-1.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	20.2	40.4	+0.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	21.4	43.6	+0.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	20.8	21.1	41.9	-0.4	62%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.4	19.9	40.2	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	20.4	41.7	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	23.2	20.8	44.0	+2.3	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.8	20.1	39.9	-0.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	21.1	43.1	+0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	23.6	45.0	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (23)	20.5	19.3	39.8	+1.1	48%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	23.9	24.0	47.9	-0.1	71%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (16)	42.1	41.2	83.3	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	43.2	41.6	84.9	+1.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (8)	40.9	40.9	81.8	+0.0	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.6	41.8	84.4	+0.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.2	44.6	87.8	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	43.6	41.4	85.0	+2.2	62%	-
vs Similar (8)	40.5	41.1	81.6	-0.6	38%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.2	41.9	84.1	+0.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	45.8	40.6	86.5	+5.2	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	39.4	42.9	82.3	-3.6	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.4	42.8	86.2	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	46.8	88.2	-5.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (23)	40.3	40.9	81.1	-0.6	35%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	48.4	45.4	93.9	+3.0	71%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Brisbane Bullets wins

Illawarra Hawks wins

Date	Game	Score
10/12/16	Brisbane Bullets v Illawarra Hawks	88-98

Brisbane Bulletslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/12/16	H	Melbourne United	100-90
10/12/16	H	Illawarra Hawks	88-98
08/12/16	A	New Zealand Breakers	75-82
03/12/16	H	Cairns Taipans	84-89
01/12/16	A	Perth	90-75
24/11/16	H	Adelaide	83-101
19/11/16	A	Adelaide	105-87
13/11/16	A	Cairns Taipans	84-76
10/11/16	H	Sydney	86-73
06/11/16	A	New Zealand Breakers	70-86

Illawarra Hawkslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/12/16	A	Cairns Taipans	82-99
10/12/16	A	Brisbane Bullets	98-88
05/12/16	H	Sydney	93-99
02/12/16	A	New Zealand Breakers	95-91
27/11/16	A	Perth	89-85
20/11/16	H	New Zealand Breakers	109-78
18/11/16	A	New Zealand Breakers	85-100
12/11/16	A	Adelaide	85-74
06/11/16	H	Melbourne United	82-73
30/10/16	H	Cairns Taipans	83-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brisbane Bullets

NBL 2016-17

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLW	50%
Home	WLLLW	50%
Away	LWWWL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	8	8
Win %	50%	50%	50%
Points / game	83.9	86.8	81.1
Allowed / game	83.6	86.8	80.5
Point differential	+0.3	+0.0	+0.6
Avg total	167.6	173.5	161.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	25%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	0% (2)	100% (1)
Overtime %	6%	12%	0%

Illawarra Hawks

NBL 2016-17

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWL	50%
Home	WLWWL	57%
Away	LWWWL	44%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	7	9
Win %	50%	57%	44%
Points / game	88.6	93.4	84.8
Allowed / game	87.6	85.7	89.1
Point differential	+0.9	+7.7	-4.3
Avg total	176.2	179.1	173.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	29%	22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	50% (2)	100% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Adelaide	16	10	6	62%	91.6	92.4	-0.9
2	Sydney	19	10	9	53%	84.2	82.2	+2.1
3	Illawarra Hawks	16	8	8	50%	88.6	87.6	+0.9
4	Brisbane Bullets	16	8	8	50%	83.9	83.6	+0.3
5	New Zealand Breakers	17	8	9	47%	84.9	86.2	-1.2
6	Cairns Taipans	15	7	8	47%	81.5	81.9	-0.5
7	Perth	15	7	8	47%	80.3	81.6	-1.3
8	Melbourne United	16	7	9	44%	84.1	83.9	+0.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
Brisbane Bullets	17	17	19	24	8	85
Illawarra Hawks	18	24	21	14	14	91

← all games of the day

Brisbane Bullets vs Illawarra Hawks Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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