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Brisbane Bullets vs Illawarra Hawks Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 110-103
30-26 29-30 31-24 20-23
Position#6
Record10-11
FormLLWWW
Points / game86.6
Allowed / game88.6
vs
Position#4
Record9-9
FormLWWWW
Points / game89.1
Allowed / game89.7
AustraliaNBLRound 15· Nissan Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Brisbane Bullets v Illawarra Hawks
17 Jan 2027
BRIS v ILLA
upcoming
25 Sep 2026
BRIS103
ILLA95
26 Jan 2026
BRIS75
ILLA113
27 Dec 2024
BRIS84
ILLA102
14 Jan 2024
BRIS110
ILLA103
03 Dec 2023
BRIS78
ILLA77
27 Oct 2022
BRIS86
ILLA61
09 Apr 2022
BRIS77
ILLA108
19 Dec 2021
BRIS96
ILLA92
26 Feb 2021
BRIS97
ILLA91
21 Jan 2021
BRIS82
ILLA90
16 Jan 2021
BRIS84
ILLA90
18 Jan 2020
BRIS106
ILLA77
07 Dec 2019
BRIS101
ILLA91
07 Feb 2019
BRIS98
ILLA87
22 Nov 2018
BRIS104
ILLA85
08 Feb 2018
BRIS99
ILLA91
03 Nov 2017
BRIS81
ILLA112
19 Dec 2016
BRIS85
ILLA91
10 Dec 2016
BRIS88
ILLA98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brisbane Bullets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illawarra Hawks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Brisbane BulletsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBullets
Date
Competition
Perth
#3
L
76-79
76
79
-3
64avg 75
H18/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
84-79
84
79
+5
73avg 75
A01/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
78-77
78
77
+1
75avg 75
H03/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
68-103
68
103
-35
50avg 75
A10/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
L
101-102
101
102
-1
85avg 75
H17/12
NBL
Adelaide
#9
L
88-95
88
95
-7
70avg 75
A24/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
L
71-81
71
81
-10
57avg 75
H27/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
95-83
95
83
+12
82avg 75
H30/12
NBL
Sydney
#7
W
101-93
101
93
+8
90avg 75
A07/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
80-77
80
77
+3
65avg 75
H10/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-14
17-18
20-18
23-29
17-21
26-21
25-12
16-25
28-26
22-23
15-12
13-16
21-18
16-36
22-23
9-26
17-35
26-21
24-23
34-23
23-27
19-25
21-18
25-25
15-15
20-24
18-20
18-22
32-23
25-19
15-25
23-16
23-24
29-15
28-28
21-26
19-18
24-20
18-21
19-18
171.1Avg total
84.2Scored
86.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)86.688.6175.1-2.048%
Season at home (11)88.586.5174.9+2.055%
Season away (10)84.590.9175.4-6.440%
Last 10 (10)84.286.9171.1-2.750%
Last 5 (5)87.085.8172.8+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)84.593.8178.3-9.333%
vs Similar ◀ (9)87.384.9172.2+2.456%
vs Weaker (3)92.090.3182.3+1.767%
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illawarra HawksAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
Cairns Taipans
#8
L
71-81
71
81
-10
50avg 75
A11/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
69-65
69
65
+4
66avg 75
A19/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
77-78
77
78
-1
64avg 75
A03/12
NBL
Perth
#3
W
100-82
100
82
+18
94avg 75
H08/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
100-72
100
72
+28
98avg 75
A16/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
89-100
89
100
-11
81avg 75
H23/12
NBL
Sydney
#7
W
94-90
94
90
+4
80avg 75
A25/12
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
91-84
91
84
+7
86avg 75
H31/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
116-78
116
78
+38
117avg 75
H05/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
108-107 OT
108
107
+1
no box
A12/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-14
20-19
17-23
16-25
19-12
17-23
17-16
16-14
26-28
23-22
12-15
16-13
38-18
20-25
15-22
27-17
22-27
26-12
25-19
27-14
10-23
20-28
26-22
33-27
17-29
29-19
31-25
17-17
19-12
21-29
31-12
20-31
24-15
29-21
33-23
30-19
18-20
18-15
20-15
30-36
175.2Avg total
91.5Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)89.189.7178.8-0.650%
Season at home (9)94.292.6186.8+1.756%
Season away (9)84.086.8170.8-2.844%
Last 10 (10)91.583.7175.2+7.870%
Last 5 (5)99.691.8191.4+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)84.195.3179.4-11.212%
vs Similar ◀ (11)83.386.7170.0-3.545%
vs Weaker (3)109.785.3195.0+24.3100%
This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +1.9+1.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +1.9+1.9
Brisbane BulletsIllawarra Hawks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Brisbane BulletsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perth
#3
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H18/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A01/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H03/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
37-54
37
54
-17
A10/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
L
43-56
43
56
-13
H17/12
NBL
Adelaide
#9
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A24/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H27/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
57-42
57
42
+15
H30/12
NBL
Sydney
#7
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A07/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H10/01
NBL
87.8Avg total
43.5Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.345.188.4-1.957%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.945.588.4-2.653%-
Last 30 away (13)43.844.788.5-0.962%-
Last 10 (10)43.544.387.8-0.860%-
Last 5 (5)45.842.087.8+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)42.245.187.3-2.956%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)43.345.989.2-2.656%-
vs Weaker (3)49.743.092.7+6.767%-
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A11/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A19/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A03/12
NBL
Perth
#3
W
58-43
58
43
+15
H08/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A16/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
30-51
30
51
-21
H23/12
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A25/12
NBL
Adelaide
#9
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H31/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
53-36
53
36
+17
H05/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A12/01
NBL
84.5Avg total
43.4Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.845.989.7-2.040%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.948.694.5-2.733%-
Last 30 away (15)41.743.184.9-1.447%-
Last 10 (10)43.441.184.5+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)41.042.283.2-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)42.147.990.0-5.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)43.643.687.3+0.045%-
vs Weaker (3)53.743.397.0+10.3100%-
This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brisbane Bulletstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brisbane Bullets: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.723.9
49.1%
50.9%47.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.36.5
29.1%
33.9%19.5
🏀 Free throws21.516.3
75.8%
73.8%16.3
They take 71.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Illawarra Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illawarra Hawks: 88.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.325.2
52.2%
50.9%50.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.68.1
32.9%
33.9%24.3
🏀 Free throws18.013.3
73.9%
73.8%13.3
They take 72.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brisbane Bullets
WWWLLLLWWL
Illawarra Hawks
WWWWLWWLWL
#6
League position
#4
-2.9
Net rating
+6.6
105.0
Offensive rating
113.2
107.9
Defensive rating
106.7
47.4%
Effective FG%
51.2%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
49.3%
14.7%
Turnover %
13.2%
28.5%
Off. rebound %
31.3%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.25
29.1%
3-point %
32.9%
41.4%
Assist %
49.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence105.0 · 113.2Defence107.9 · 106.7Shooting47.4% · 51.2%3-point %29.1% · 32.9%Ball care14.7% · 13.2%Off. rebounds28.5% · 31.3%Free throws0.30 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Brisbane Bullets   ■ Illawarra Hawks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/24HTasmania JackJumpers80-77
07/01/24ASydney101-93
30/12/23HSouth East Melbourne95-83
27/12/23HNew Zealand Breakers71-81
24/12/23AAdelaide88-95
17/12/23HCairns Taipans101-102
10/12/23AMelbourne United68-103
03/12/23HIllawarra Hawks78-77
01/12/23ACairns Taipans84-79
18/11/23HPerth76-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/24ATasmania JackJumpers108-107 OT
05/01/24HSouth East Melbourne116-78
31/12/23HAdelaide91-84
25/12/23ASydney94-90
23/12/23HTasmania JackJumpers89-100
16/12/23ASouth East Melbourne100-72
08/12/23HPerth100-82
03/12/23ABrisbane Bullets77-78
19/11/23ANew Zealand Breakers69-65
11/11/23ACairns Taipans71-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brisbane Bullets
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW48%
HomeWLLWW55%
AwayLWLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %48%55%40%
Points / game86.688.584.5
Allowed / game88.686.590.9
Point differential-2.0+2.0-6.4
Avg total175.1174.9175.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%27%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)50% (6)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Illawarra Hawks
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW50%
HomeLWLWW56%
AwayWLWWW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %50%56%44%
Points / game89.194.284.0
Allowed / game89.792.686.8
Point differential-0.6+1.7-2.8
Avg total178.8186.8170.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%22%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (1)75% (4)
Overtime %6%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Melbourne United2116576%94.186.9+7.3
2 Perth2013765%93.591.1+2.4
3 Tasmania JackJumpers22111150%90.385.8+4.5
4 Illawarra Hawks189950%89.189.7-0.6
5 Sydney21101148%94.294.0+0.2
6 Brisbane Bullets21101148%86.688.6-2.0
7 Cairns Taipans22101245%90.391.3-1.0
8 South East Melbourne2191243%88.293.3-5.0
9 New Zealand Breakers1981142%89.889.6+0.2
10 Adelaide2171433%87.293.3-6.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brisbane Bullets30293120110
Illawarra Hawks26302423103
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