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Brisbane Bullets vs Illawarra Hawks Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 05:00
Final 78-77
28-26 22-23 15-12 13-16
Position#6
Record6-7
FormWLLLW
Points / game87.4
Allowed / game88.4
Brisbane Bullets 🏆
Australia
vs
Illawarra Hawks
Australia
Position#4
Record3-7
FormWLLLW
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game92.3
AustraliaNBLRound 9· Brisbane Convention & Exhibition Centre
Other2023-24
Meetings · Brisbane Bullets v Illawarra Hawks
17 Jan 2027
BRIS v ILLA
upcoming
25 Sep 2026
BRIS103
ILLA95
26 Jan 2026
BRIS75
ILLA113
27 Dec 2024
BRIS84
ILLA102
14 Jan 2024
BRIS110
ILLA103
03 Dec 2023
BRIS78
ILLA77
27 Oct 2022
BRIS86
ILLA61
09 Apr 2022
BRIS77
ILLA108
19 Dec 2021
BRIS96
ILLA92
26 Feb 2021
BRIS97
ILLA91
21 Jan 2021
BRIS82
ILLA90
16 Jan 2021
BRIS84
ILLA90
18 Jan 2020
BRIS106
ILLA77
07 Dec 2019
BRIS101
ILLA91
07 Feb 2019
BRIS98
ILLA87
22 Nov 2018
BRIS104
ILLA85
08 Feb 2018
BRIS99
ILLA91
03 Nov 2017
BRIS81
ILLA112
19 Dec 2016
BRIS85
ILLA91
10 Dec 2016
BRIS88
ILLA98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brisbane Bullets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illawarra Hawks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Brisbane BulletsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBullets
Date
Competition
Sydney
#7
L
102-113
102
113
-11
95avg 77
H13/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
78-89
78
89
-11
66avg 77
A15/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
L
73-96
73
96
-23
59avg 77
A21/10
NBL
Perth
#3
W
84-79
84
79
+5
76avg 77
A27/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
90-87
90
87
+3
82avg 77
H29/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
108-92
108
92
+16
104avg 77
H02/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
85-87
85
87
-2
81avg 77
A04/11
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
95-104
95
104
-9
77avg 77
A12/11
NBL
Perth
#3
L
76-79
76
79
-3
64avg 77
H18/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
84-79
84
79
+5
73avg 77
A01/12
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-29
17-27
25-29
35-28
14-14
14-29
17-23
33-23
15-17
18-28
16-22
24-29
20-9
22-27
26-16
16-27
24-21
21-18
24-23
21-25
26-23
33-19
24-29
25-21
19-21
26-20
21-34
19-12
26-20
25-25
20-31
24-28
16-14
17-18
20-18
23-29
17-21
26-21
25-12
16-25
178.0Avg total
87.5Scored
90.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)87.488.4175.8-1.046%
Season at home (6)91.388.5179.8+2.850%
Season away (7)84.088.3172.3-4.343%
Last 10 (10)87.590.5178.0-3.040%
Last 5 (5)89.688.2177.8+1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)84.495.4179.8-11.022%
vs Similar ◀ (5)89.681.8171.4+7.880%
vs Weaker (2)90.594.0184.5-3.550%
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illawarra HawksAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
Sydney
#7
L
81-96
81
96
-15
65avg 66
H30/09
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
113-106
113
106
+7
85avg 66
H07/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
73-103
73
103
-30
62avg 66
A12/10
NBL
Adelaide
#9
L
80-89
80
89
-9
60avg 66
A14/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
91-101
91
101
-10
67avg 66
H20/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
84-83
84
83
+1
71avg 66
H26/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
84-96
84
96
-12
68avg 66
A29/10
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
83-103
83
103
-20
65avg 66
H03/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
L
71-81
71
81
-10
50avg 66
A11/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
69-65
69
65
+4
66avg 66
A19/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-26
15-25
25-23
17-22
26-26
34-29
22-27
31-24
19-24
10-31
25-26
19-22
25-23
15-16
20-15
20-35
22-29
29-30
12-18
28-24
24-15
20-23
17-22
23-23
29-24
22-28
18-19
15-25
17-20
25-32
18-32
23-19
18-14
20-19
17-23
16-25
19-12
17-23
17-16
16-14
175.2Avg total
82.9Scored
92.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)82.992.3175.2-9.430%
Season at home (5)90.497.8188.2-7.440%
Season away (5)75.486.8162.2-11.420%
Last 10 (10)82.992.3175.2-9.430%
Last 5 (5)78.285.6163.8-7.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)82.394.3176.6-12.09%
vs Similar ◀ (7)79.188.6167.7-9.429%
vs Weaker (1)113.0106.0219.0+7.0100%
This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -4.9-4.9Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -2.5-2.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -4.9-4.9Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -2.5-2.5
Brisbane BulletsIllawarra Hawks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Brisbane BulletsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney
#7
L
42-56
42
56
-14
H13/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A15/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A21/10
NBL
Perth
#3
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A27/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H29/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
59-42
59
42
+17
H02/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A04/11
NBL
Sydney
#7
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A12/11
NBL
Perth
#3
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H18/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A01/12
NBL
84.2Avg total
42.1Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.745.988.6-3.247%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.946.489.2-3.544%-
Last 30 away (14)42.545.387.8-2.850%-
Last 10 (10)42.142.184.2+0.070%-
Last 5 (5)46.240.486.6+5.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)42.146.688.7-4.539%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)44.043.487.4+0.680%-
vs Weaker (2)46.043.589.5+2.550%-
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney
#7
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H30/09
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
60-55
60
55
+5
H07/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
29-55
29
55
-26
A12/10
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A14/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
51-59
51
59
-8
H20/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H26/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A29/10
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H03/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A11/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A19/11
NBL
89.9Avg total
43.0Scored
46.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.347.290.5-3.833%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.849.895.6-4.029%-
Last 30 away (16)41.244.986.1-3.738%-
Last 10 (10)43.046.989.9-3.950%-
Last 5 (5)42.242.084.2+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)43.348.391.6-5.023%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)41.042.683.6-1.657%-
vs Weaker (1)60.055.0115.0+5.0100%-
This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brisbane Bulletstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brisbane Bullets: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.523.9
51.4%
50.9%47.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.87.4
31.1%
33.9%22.2
🏀 Free throws21.116.5
78.2%
73.8%16.5
They take 70.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Illawarra Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illawarra Hawks: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.122.1
46.9%
50.9%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.98.5
31.6%
33.9%25.5
🏀 Free throws17.412.2
70.1%
73.8%12.2
They take 74.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brisbane Bullets
WLLLWWWLLL
Illawarra Hawks
WLLLWLLLWL
#6
League position
#4
-3.9
Net rating
-12.1
106.7
Offensive rating
102.8
110.6
Defensive rating
114.9
49.8%
Effective FG%
47.1%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
55.0%
16.5%
Turnover %
15.5%
29.5%
Off. rebound %
31.1%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.24
31.1%
3-point %
31.6%
48.6%
Assist %
46.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence106.7 · 102.8Defence110.6 · 114.9Shooting49.8% · 47.1%3-point %31.1% · 31.6%Ball care16.5% · 15.5%Off. rebounds29.5% · 31.1%Free throws0.30 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Brisbane Bullets   ■ Illawarra Hawks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Brisbane Bullets wins
4
Illawarra Hawks wins
DateGameScore
21/01/23Illawarra Hawks v Brisbane Bullets86-103
27/10/22Brisbane Bullets v Illawarra Hawks86-61
24/10/22Illawarra Hawks v Brisbane Bullets56-82
09/04/22Brisbane Bullets v Illawarra Hawks77-108
31/03/22Illawarra Hawks v Brisbane Bullets87-70
19/12/21Brisbane Bullets v Illawarra Hawks96-92
07/04/21Illawarra Hawks v Brisbane Bullets82-88
29/03/21Illawarra Hawks v Brisbane Bullets96-72
26/02/21Brisbane Bullets v Illawarra Hawks97-91
21/01/21Brisbane Bullets v Illawarra Hawks82-90
Brisbane Bulletslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/23ACairns Taipans84-79
18/11/23HPerth76-79
12/11/23ASydney95-104
04/11/23ATasmania JackJumpers85-87
02/11/23HSouth East Melbourne108-92
29/10/23HTasmania JackJumpers90-87
27/10/23APerth84-79
21/10/23ASouth East Melbourne73-96
15/10/23AMelbourne United78-89
13/10/23HSydney102-113
Illawarra Hawkslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/23ANew Zealand Breakers69-65
11/11/23ACairns Taipans71-81
03/11/23HSydney83-103
29/10/23AMelbourne United84-96
26/10/23HCairns Taipans84-83
20/10/23HMelbourne United91-101
14/10/23AAdelaide80-89
12/10/23ATasmania JackJumpers73-103
07/10/23HSouth East Melbourne113-106
30/09/23HSydney81-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brisbane Bullets
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW46%
HomeLLWWL50%
AwayLWLLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %46%50%43%
Points / game87.491.384.0
Allowed / game88.488.588.3
Point differential-1.0+2.8-4.3
Avg total175.8179.8172.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)33% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Illawarra Hawks
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW30%
HomeLWLWL40%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %30%40%20%
Points / game82.990.475.4
Allowed / game92.397.886.8
Point differential-9.4-7.4-11.4
Avg total175.2188.2162.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Melbourne United1310377%91.986.0+5.9
2 Tasmania JackJumpers138562%89.483.2+6.2
3 Perth138562%90.989.2+1.7
4 Sydney127558%96.393.6+2.8
5 South East Melbourne137654%92.290.5+1.7
6 Brisbane Bullets136746%87.488.4-1.0
7 Cairns Taipans125742%86.287.2-1.0
8 New Zealand Breakers124833%87.089.1-2.1
9 Adelaide134931%82.989.8-6.9
10 Illawarra Hawks103730%82.992.3-9.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brisbane Bullets2822151378
Illawarra Hawks2623121677
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