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Brisbane Capitals vs Sunshine Coast Phoenix Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Aug 2025
Tip-off: 09:00
Final 81-74
16-15 19-19 23-22 23-18
Position#4
Record9-5
FormLLWLW
Points / game99.8
Allowed / game92.6
vs
Position#2
Record10-5
FormWLWLW
Points / game91.7
Allowed / game87.6
AustraliaNBL1 NorthNBL1 North - Semi-finals
Other2025
Meetings · Brisbane Capitals v Sunshine Coast Phoenix
09 Aug 2025
BRIS81
SUNS74
28 Jun 2025
BRIS114
SUNS79
25 May 2024
BRIS101
SUNS92
29 Apr 2023
BRIS84
SUNS80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brisbane Capitals winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sunshine Coast Phoenix winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Brisbane CapitalsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South West Metro Pirates
#6
W
115-85
115
85
+30
A24/05
NBL1 North
Southern District
#1
W
114-107
114
107
+7
H31/05
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#8
W
99-90
99
90
+9
H08/06
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#5
L
92-103
92
103
-11
H20/06
NBL1 North
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
#2
W
114-79
114
79
+35
H28/06
NBL1 North
Ipswich Force
#7
L
125-130 OT
125
130
-5
H05/07
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#3
L
91-106
91
106
-15
A12/07
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#10
W
109-100
109
100
+9
H18/07
NBL1 North
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
#2
L
83-88
83
88
-5
A19/07
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#9
W
109-96
109
96
+13
H26/07
NBL1 North
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-18
25-20
24-27
31-20
32-32
21-24
34-30
27-21
25-27
23-19
24-14
27-30
33-17
28-30
14-30
17-26
20-15
34-20
31-21
29-23
28-34
37-23
32-29
18-29
22-24
19-32
29-23
21-27
33-34
20-24
26-27
30-15
24-18
21-18
17-25
21-27
30-18
27-22
24-22
28-34
203.5Avg total
105.1Scored
98.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)99.892.6192.4+7.264%
Season at home (7)108.9100.7209.6+8.171%
Season away (7)90.784.4175.1+6.357%
Last 10 (10)105.198.4203.5+6.760%
Last 5 (5)103.4104.0207.4-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)87.087.5174.5-0.550%
vs Similar ◀ (10)92.787.2179.9+5.560%
vs Weaker (16)99.388.6187.9+10.781%
This opponent (Sunshine Coast Phoenix) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sunshine Coast PhoenixAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cairns Marlins
#12
W
79-63
79
63
+16
A06/06
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#11
W
98-77
98
77
+21
A07/06
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#9
W
85-68
85
68
+17
A14/06
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#8
W
112-85
112
85
+27
H21/06
NBL1 North
Brisbane Capitals
#4
L
79-114
79
114
-35
A28/06
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#10
W
108-93
108
93
+15
A05/07
NBL1 North
South West Metro Pirates
#6
L
78-102
78
102
-24
H06/07
NBL1 North
Brisbane Capitals
#4
W
88-83
88
83
+5
H19/07
NBL1 North
Southern District
#1
L
71-101
71
101
-30
A26/07
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#8
W
117-86
117
86
+31
H02/08
NBL1 North
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-10
20-16
23-19
14-18
24-26
27-14
33-25
14-12
32-25
17-17
15-10
21-16
38-25
27-19
17-24
30-17
15-20
20-34
21-31
23-29
36-30
31-19
22-17
19-27
16-29
22-29
18-17
22-27
18-24
18-21
25-17
27-21
17-28
18-17
17-20
19-36
23-29
34-27
25-12
35-18
178.7Avg total
91.5Scored
87.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)91.787.6179.3+4.167%
Season at home (8)97.990.2188.1+7.675%
Season away (7)84.784.6169.3+0.157%
Last 10 (10)91.587.2178.7+4.370%
Last 5 (5)92.493.0185.4-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)82.595.2177.8-12.812%
vs Similar ◀ (13)88.791.9180.6-3.262%
vs Weaker (9)94.680.0174.6+14.678%
This opponent (Brisbane Capitals) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.5+4.5Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +0.3+0.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.5+4.5Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +0.3+0.3
Brisbane CapitalsSunshine Coast Phoenix
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Brisbane CapitalsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South West Metro Pirates
#6
W
60-38
60
38
+22
A24/05
NBL1 North
Southern District
#1
L
53-56
53
56
-3
H31/05
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#8
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H08/06
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#5
W
61-47
61
47
+14
H20/06
NBL1 North
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
#2
W
54-35
54
35
+19
H28/06
NBL1 North
Ipswich Force
#7
W
65-57
65
57
+8
H05/07
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#3
L
41-56
41
56
-15
A12/07
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#10
L
53-58
53
58
-5
H18/07
NBL1 North
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
#2
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A19/07
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#9
W
57-40
57
40
+17
H26/07
NBL1 North
100.6Avg total
53.7Scored
46.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.143.090.1+4.163%-
Last 30 at home (16)51.344.295.5+7.175%-
Last 30 away (14)42.341.784.0+0.650%-
Last 10 (10)53.746.9100.6+6.870%-
Last 5 (5)52.249.4101.6+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)46.846.092.8+0.850%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)44.040.984.9+3.160%-
vs Weaker (16)49.143.692.8+5.569%-
This opponent (Sunshine Coast Phoenix) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sunshine Coast PhoenixLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cairns Marlins
#12
W
42-26
42
26
+16
A06/06
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#11
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A07/06
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#9
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A14/06
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#8
W
65-44
65
44
+21
H21/06
NBL1 North
Brisbane Capitals
#4
L
35-54
35
54
-19
A28/06
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#10
W
67-49
67
49
+18
A05/07
NBL1 North
South West Metro Pirates
#6
L
38-58
38
58
-20
H06/07
NBL1 North
Brisbane Capitals
#4
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H19/07
NBL1 North
Southern District
#1
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A26/07
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#8
W
57-56
57
56
+1
H02/08
NBL1 North
93.4Avg total
47.5Scored
45.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.244.790.9+1.557%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.145.995.0+3.160%-
Last 30 away (15)43.343.586.8-0.153%-
Last 10 (10)47.545.993.4+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)46.650.697.2-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)41.947.189.0-5.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)44.944.989.8+0.054%-
vs Weaker (9)51.942.294.1+9.789%-
This opponent (Brisbane Capitals) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
26/07/25HNorthside Wizards109-96
19/07/25ASunshine Coast Phoenix83-88
18/07/25HLogan Thunder109-100
12/07/25AGold Coast Rollers91-106
05/07/25HIpswich Force125-130 OT
28/06/25HSunshine Coast Phoenix114-79
20/06/25HMackay Meteors92-103
08/06/25HRockhampton Rockets99-90
31/05/25HSouthern District114-107
24/05/25ASouth West Metro Pirates115-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/08/25HRockhampton Rockets117-86
26/07/25ASouthern District71-101
19/07/25HBrisbane Capitals88-83
06/07/25HSouth West Metro Pirates78-102
05/07/25ALogan Thunder108-93
28/06/25ABrisbane Capitals79-114
21/06/25HRockhampton Rockets112-85
14/06/25ANorthside Wizards85-68
07/06/25ATownsville Heat98-77
06/06/25ACairns Marlins79-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brisbane Capitals
NBL1 North 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW64%
HomeLWLWW71%
AwayWWWLL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %64%71%57%
Points / game99.8108.990.7
Allowed / game92.6100.784.4
Point differential+7.2+8.1+6.3
Avg total192.4209.6175.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%29%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %7%14%0%
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
NBL1 North 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW67%
HomeLWLWW75%
AwayWWLWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %67%75%57%
Points / game91.797.984.7
Allowed / game87.690.284.6
Point differential+4.1+7.6+0.1
Avg total179.3188.1169.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%62%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sunshine Coast Phoenix1510567%91.787.6+4.1
2 Brisbane Capitals149564%99.892.6+7.2
3 Southern District1610662%95.494.3+1.1
4 Gold Coast Rollers159660%95.592.0+3.5
5 Mackay Meteors158753%96.896.1+0.7
6 South West Metro Pirates147750%91.590.9+0.6
7 Ipswich Force147750%95.897.3-1.5
8 Rockhampton Rockets157847%93.095.7-2.7
9 Northside Wizards146843%87.488.4-1.1
10 Logan Thunder145936%94.895.9-1.1
11 Townsville Heat145936%90.392.4-2.1
12 Cairns Marlins1441029%90.199.4-9.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brisbane Capitals1619232381
Sunshine Coast Phoenix1519221874
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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