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Broncos vs Toros de Aragua Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 04 Jul 2024
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 93-77
Position#10
Record10-10
FormLLLWL
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game84.7
Broncos 🏆
Venezuela
vs
Position#18
Record3-17
FormLLLWL
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game88.0
VenezuelaSuperliga· Gimnasio José Joaquín Papá Carrillo
Other2024
Meetings · Broncos v Toros de Aragua
04 Jul 2024
BRON93
TORO77
25 May 2024
BRON96
TORO90
12 May 2023
BRON102
TORO82
19 Apr 2023
BRON98
TORO78
02 Sep 2022
BRON73
TORO62
21 Jul 2022
BRON71
TORO56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Broncos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toros de Aragua winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BroncosVenezuelaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBroncos
Date
Competition
Frontinos
#13
W
78-77
78
77
+1
71avg 74
A31/05
Superliga
Brillantes
#8
W
76-69
76
69
+7
76avg 74
H03/06
Superliga
Frontinos
#13
L
80-88
80
88
-8
74avg 74
H06/06
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#18
W
94-87
94
87
+7
84avg 74
A08/06
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
W
100-98 OT
100
98
+2
86avg 74
H12/06
Superliga
Spartans
#9
L
79-92
79
92
-13
64avg 74
H14/06
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
94-97
94
97
-3
86avg 74
H18/06
Superliga
Frontinos
#13
L
90-98
90
98
-8
78avg 74
A21/06
Superliga
Pioneros
#7
W
88-87
88
87
+1
78avg 74
H24/06
Superliga
Gladiadores
#1
L
70-88
70
88
-18
51avg 74
A30/06
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-19
14-15
16-21
22-22
32-16
20-20
16-17
8-16
20-17
19-17
15-26
26-28
29-29
25-23
23-17
17-18
16-30
21-18
22-23
26-14
22-28
16-25
19-20
22-19
23-11
29-19
28-34
14-33
20-21
28-27
11-25
31-25
23-21
24-29
27-17
14-20
20-15
20-22
11-22
19-29
173.0Avg total
84.9Scored
88.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)83.484.7168.1-1.350%
Season at home (10)87.787.3175.0+0.450%
Season away (10)79.182.1161.2-3.050%
Last 10 (10)84.988.1173.0-3.250%
Last 5 (5)84.292.4176.6-8.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)79.585.2164.7-5.730%
vs Similar (5)87.080.4167.4+6.680%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)83.581.8165.3+1.753%
This opponent (Toros de Aragua) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toros de AraguaVenezuelaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAragua
Date
Competition
Broncos
#10
L
90-96 OT
90
96
-6
74avg 65
A25/05
Superliga
Gladiadores
#1
L
70-86
70
86
-16
50avg 65
A28/05
Superliga
Llaneros
#16
L
90-95
90
95
-5
83avg 65
A31/05
Superliga
Gladiadores
#1
L
71-91
71
91
-20
56avg 65
H04/06
Superliga
Broncos
#10
L
87-94
87
94
-7
79avg 65
H08/06
Superliga
Spartans
#9
L
76-97
76
97
-21
63avg 65
H11/06
Superliga
Gladiadores
#1
L
76-82
76
82
-6
63avg 65
A21/06
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
80-93
80
93
-13
70avg 65
A24/06
Superliga
Frontinos
#13
W
81-75
81
75
+6
69avg 65
A29/06
Superliga
Spartans
#9
L
69-102
69
102
-33
64avg 65
A02/07
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-21
10-24
14-19
31-16
21-17
16-33
14-17
19-19
17-17
21-28
21-18
31-32
14-27
24-15
21-20
12-29
29-29
23-25
17-23
18-17
19-27
23-28
10-22
24-20
17-16
26-31
18-16
15-19
18-29
20-16
20-22
22-26
13-20
21-19
20-17
27-19
19-13
15-37
24-29
11-23
170.1Avg total
79.0Scored
91.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)76.888.0164.8-11.215%
Season at home (8)79.187.6166.8-8.525%
Season away (12)75.288.2163.5-13.08%
Last 10 (10)79.091.1170.1-12.110%
Last 5 (5)76.489.8166.2-13.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)77.089.7166.7-12.712%
vs Similar (3)77.077.7154.7-0.767%
vs Weaker (1)84.076.0160.0+8.0100%
This opponent (Broncos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -5.7-5.7Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -1.0-1.0
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -5.7-5.7Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -1.0-1.0
BroncosToros de Aragua
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BroncosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Frontinos
#13
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A31/05
Superliga
Brillantes
#8
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H03/06
Superliga
Frontinos
#13
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H06/06
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#18
W
54-52
54
52
+2
A08/06
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H12/06
Superliga
Spartans
#9
L
38-53
38
53
-15
H14/06
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
W
52-30
52
30
+22
H18/06
Superliga
Frontinos
#13
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A21/06
Superliga
Pioneros
#7
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H24/06
Superliga
Gladiadores
#1
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A30/06
Superliga
86.9Avg total
44.7Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.041.084.1+2.053%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.939.584.4+5.367%-
Last 30 away (15)41.242.583.7-1.340%-
Last 10 (10)44.742.286.9+2.560%-
Last 5 (5)45.043.688.6+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)39.840.680.4-0.850%-
vs Similar (5)44.241.685.8+2.640%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)44.841.185.9+3.760%-
This opponent (Toros de Aragua) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toros de AraguaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Broncos
#10
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A25/05
Superliga
Gladiadores
#1
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A28/05
Superliga
Llaneros
#16
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A31/05
Superliga
Gladiadores
#1
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H04/06
Superliga
Broncos
#10
L
52-54
52
54
-2
H08/06
Superliga
Spartans
#9
L
42-55
42
55
-13
H11/06
Superliga
Gladiadores
#1
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A21/06
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A24/06
Superliga
Frontinos
#13
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A29/06
Superliga
Spartans
#9
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A02/07
Superliga
86.3Avg total
39.1Scored
47.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.445.483.7-7.017%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.545.986.4-5.515%-
Last 30 away (17)36.844.981.7-8.218%-
Last 10 (10)39.147.286.3-8.10%-
Last 5 (5)38.247.285.4-9.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)38.345.984.3-7.615%-
vs Similar (3)33.742.376.0-8.70%-
vs Weaker (1)53.040.093.0+13.0100%-
This opponent (Broncos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Broncostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Broncos: 84.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.020.1
49.0%
50.4%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.08.6
31.9%
32.2%25.8
🏀 Free throws24.018.8
78.3%
68.8%18.8
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Toros de Araguatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toros de Aragua: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.519.0
45.8%
50.4%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.78.6
32.2%
32.2%25.8
🏀 Free throws20.814.0
67.3%
68.8%14.0
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Jul 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Broncos
LWLLLWWLWW
Toros de Aragua
LWLLLLLLLL
#10
League position
#18
-2.9
Net rating
-16.7
106.9
Offensive rating
102.3
109.8
Defensive rating
119.0
48.5%
Effective FG%
46.8%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
59.5%
16.0%
Turnover %
15.1%
29.9%
Off. rebound %
28.8%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.30
31.9%
3-point %
32.2%
50.5%
Assist %
58.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence106.9 · 102.3Defence109.8 · 119.0Shooting48.5% · 46.8%3-point %31.9% · 32.2%Ball care16.0% · 15.1%Off. rebounds29.9% · 28.8%Free throws0.35 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 10%
■ Broncos   ■ Toros de Aragua
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Broncos wins
0
Toros de Aragua wins
Broncoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/06/24AGladiadores70-88
24/06/24HPioneros88-87
21/06/24AFrontinos90-98
18/06/24HTrotamundos94-97
14/06/24HSpartans79-92
12/06/24HTrotamundos100-98 OT
08/06/24AToros de Aragua94-87
06/06/24HFrontinos80-88
03/06/24HBrillantes76-69
31/05/24AFrontinos78-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/07/24ASpartans69-102
29/06/24AFrontinos81-75
24/06/24ATrotamundos80-93
21/06/24AGladiadores76-82
11/06/24HSpartans76-97
08/06/24HBroncos87-94
04/06/24HGladiadores71-91
31/05/24ALlaneros90-95
28/05/24AGladiadores70-86
25/05/24ABroncos90-96 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Broncos
Superliga 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL50%
HomeLWLLW50%
AwayWWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game83.487.779.1
Allowed / game84.787.382.1
Point differential-1.3+0.4-3.0
Avg total168.1175.0161.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%10%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)50% (4)75% (4)
Overtime %10%20%0%
Toros de Aragua
Superliga 2024
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL15%
HomeLLLLL25%
AwayLLLWL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20812
Win %15%25%8%
Points / game76.879.175.2
Allowed / game88.087.688.2
Point differential-11.2-8.5-13.0
Avg total164.8166.8163.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %10%12%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gladiadores2220291%87.276.5+10.8
2 Cocodrilos2318578%80.574.0+6.4
3 Trotamundos2115671%84.379.3+5.0
4 Guaiqueries2215768%75.771.6+4.1
5 Marinos2214864%77.972.4+5.5
6 Piratas de La Guaira2012860%75.271.7+3.5
7 Brillantes2112957%79.374.7+4.6
8 Spartans21111052%84.379.9+4.4
9 Pioneros21111052%78.779.8-1.1
10 Heroes de Falcon23121152%75.974.0+1.9
11 Broncos20101050%83.484.7-1.3
12 Gaiteros del Zulia20101050%75.278.1-2.9
13 Frontinos2381535%73.380.3-7.0
14 Panteras2271532%71.775.7-4.0
15 Centauros2361726%76.382.0-5.7
16 Llaneros2151624%76.781.2-4.6
17 Diablos2141719%74.684.0-9.3
18 Toros de Aragua2031715%76.888.0-11.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

No period scores for this game.
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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