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Broncos vs Toros de Aragua Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 12 May 2023
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 102-82
31-23 21-22 33-21 17-16
Position#5
Record16-7
FormLWWWL
Points / game88.9
Allowed / game78.4
Broncos 🏆
Venezuela
vs
Position#20
Record3-19
FormLLWLL
Points / game74.6
Allowed / game84.5
VenezuelaSuperliga· Gimnasio José Joaquín Papá Carrillo (Caracas)
Other2023
Meetings · Broncos v Toros de Aragua
04 Jul 2024
BRON93
TORO77
25 May 2024
BRON96
TORO90
12 May 2023
BRON102
TORO82
19 Apr 2023
BRON98
TORO78
02 Sep 2022
BRON73
TORO62
21 Jul 2022
BRON71
TORO56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Broncos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toros de Aragua winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BroncosVenezuelaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBroncos
Date
Competition
Brillantes
#6
L
62-77
62
77
-15
49avg 81
H17/04
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#20
W
98-78
98
78
+20
95avg 81
H19/04
Superliga
Centauros
#12
W
82-65
82
65
+17
69avg 81
A23/04
Superliga
Guaros de Lara
#3
L
73-80
73
80
-7
57avg 81
A24/04
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
W
82-78
82
78
+4
66avg 81
A27/04
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
88-101
88
101
-13
78avg 81
A28/04
Superliga
Centauros
#12
W
92-84
92
84
+8
96avg 81
H02/05
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#20
W
96-84
96
84
+12
88avg 81
A04/05
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
W
94-78
94
78
+16
99avg 81
H09/05
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
89-101
89
101
-12
77avg 81
H10/05
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-16
14-28
13-15
18-18
32-19
26-19
22-26
18-14
21-13
13-17
22-20
26-15
21-32
17-13
18-21
17-14
14-23
23-21
19-15
26-19
23-30
17-21
22-25
26-25
27-17
30-26
14-17
21-24
27-23
25-22
21-25
23-14
27-20
13-23
28-10
26-25
32-37
20-30
21-22
16-12
168.2Avg total
85.6Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)88.978.4167.3+10.570%
Season at home (12)91.478.2169.7+13.275%
Season away (11)86.278.6164.8+7.564%
Last 10 (10)85.682.6168.2+3.060%
Last 5 (5)91.889.6181.4+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)77.778.3156.0-0.629%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)88.978.4167.3+10.570%
This opponent (Toros de Aragua) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toros de AraguaVenezuelaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAragua
Date
Competition
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
L
80-88
80
88
-8
68avg 61
H15/04
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
57-68
57
68
-11
35avg 61
A17/04
Superliga
Broncos
#5
L
78-98
78
98
-20
72avg 61
A19/04
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
L
94-100 OT
94
100
-6
no box
H21/04
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
W
85-76
85
76
+9
90avg 61
H25/04
Superliga
Centauros
#12
L
73-97
73
97
-24
61avg 61
H29/04
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
77-82
77
82
-5
65avg 61
A30/04
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
W
85-79
85
79
+6
79avg 61
A02/05
Superliga
Broncos
#5
L
84-96
84
96
-12
78avg 61
H04/05
Superliga
Guaros de Lara
#3
L
67-91
67
91
-24
53avg 61
A08/05
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-23
21-20
16-25
30-20
12-6
12-19
10-25
23-18
19-32
19-26
26-22
14-18
18-27
21-22
28-18
20-20
29-18
26-21
18-22
12-15
19-26
15-29
24-12
15-30
19-29
18-19
21-13
19-21
20-16
24-22
21-24
20-17
23-27
22-25
25-21
14-23
23-24
16-18
12-24
16-25
165.5Avg total
78.0Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)74.684.5159.1-10.014%
Season at home (11)78.787.6166.4-8.918%
Season away (11)70.581.5151.9-11.09%
Last 10 (10)78.087.5165.5-9.520%
Last 5 (5)77.289.0166.2-11.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)72.683.9156.4-11.37%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (3)78.081.3159.3-3.333%
This opponent (Broncos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: -2.4-2.4
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: -2.4-2.4
BroncosToros de Aragua
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BroncosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brillantes
#6
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H17/04
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#20
W
58-38
58
38
+20
H19/04
Superliga
Centauros
#12
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A23/04
Superliga
Guaros de Lara
#3
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A24/04
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A27/04
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A28/04
Superliga
Centauros
#12
W
57-43
57
43
+14
H02/05
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#20
W
52-45
52
45
+7
A04/05
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H09/05
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
52-67
52
67
-15
H10/05
Superliga
88.9Avg total
43.9Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.039.681.6+2.350%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.440.783.1+1.747%-
Last 30 away (13)41.438.279.6+3.254%-
Last 10 (10)43.945.088.9-1.140%-
Last 5 (5)48.249.898.0-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)38.136.474.6+1.757%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)43.140.683.7+2.548%-
This opponent (Toros de Aragua) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toros de AraguaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H15/04
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
24-25
24
25
-1
A17/04
Superliga
Broncos
#5
L
38-58
38
58
-20
A19/04
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H21/04
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
W
55-39
55
39
+16
H25/04
Superliga
Centauros
#12
L
34-55
34
55
-21
H29/04
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A30/04
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A02/05
Superliga
Broncos
#5
L
45-52
45
52
-7
H04/05
Superliga
Guaros de Lara
#3
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A08/05
Superliga
83.8Avg total
38.9Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.942.878.7-6.920%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.143.680.7-6.520%-
Last 30 away (15)34.742.176.8-7.320%-
Last 10 (10)38.944.983.8-6.020%-
Last 5 (5)39.847.086.8-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)35.743.579.2-7.815%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (3)37.736.774.3+1.067%-
This opponent (Broncos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Broncostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Broncos: 84.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
54%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.220.4
49.5%
50.8%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.69.0
29.4%
31.3%27.0
🏀 Free throws22.616.8
74.3%
65.6%16.8
They take 71.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Toros de Araguatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toros de Aragua: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀64%
🏀🏀🏀19%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.6 pts a game · 64% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers14.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
54%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.024.3
48.6%
50.8%48.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.54.9
25.1%
31.3%14.7
🏀 Free throws20.512.8
62.4%
65.6%12.8
They take 69.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 May 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Broncos
LWWWLWLWWL
Toros de Aragua
LLWLLWLLLL
#5
League position
#20
+3.7
Net rating
-11.8
103.5
Offensive rating
92.3
99.8
Defensive rating
104.1
47.2%
Effective FG%
45.5%
48.3%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
15.1%
Turnover %
21.7%
28.4%
Off. rebound %
33.0%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.29
29.4%
3-point %
25.1%
66.0%
Assist %
53.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence103.5 · 92.3Defence99.8 · 104.1Shooting47.2% · 45.5%3-point %29.4% · 25.1%Ball care15.1% · 21.7%Off. rebounds28.4% · 33.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Broncos   ■ Toros de Aragua
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Broncos wins
0
Toros de Aragua wins
Broncoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/05/23HTrotamundos89-101
09/05/23HLlaneros94-78
04/05/23AToros de Aragua96-84
02/05/23HCentauros92-84
28/04/23ATrotamundos88-101
27/04/23ALlaneros82-78
24/04/23AGuaros de Lara73-80
23/04/23ACentauros82-65
19/04/23HToros de Aragua98-78
17/04/23HBrillantes62-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/05/23AGuaros de Lara67-91
04/05/23HBroncos84-96
02/05/23AHeroes de Falcon85-79
30/04/23ATrotamundos77-82
29/04/23HCentauros73-97
25/04/23HBrillantes85-76
21/04/23HLlaneros94-100 OT
19/04/23ABroncos78-98
17/04/23ATrotamundos57-68
15/04/23HGaiteros del Zulia80-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Broncos
Superliga 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL70%
HomeLWWWL75%
AwayWLWLW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %70%75%64%
Points / game88.991.486.2
Allowed / game78.478.278.6
Point differential+10.5+13.2+7.5
Avg total167.3169.7164.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%50%55%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %9%17%0%
Toros de Aragua
Superliga 2023
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL14%
HomeLLWLL18%
AwayLLLWL9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %14%18%9%
Points / game74.678.770.5
Allowed / game84.587.681.5
Point differential-10.0-8.9-11.0
Avg total159.1166.4151.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)50% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gladiadores2220291%84.673.8+10.8
2 Guaros de Lara2318578%84.076.7+7.3
3 Trotamundos2217577%83.678.9+4.8
4 Cocodrilos2216673%77.070.4+6.6
5 Broncos2316770%88.978.4+10.5
6 Piratas de La Guaira2114767%81.677.5+4.0
7 Brillantes2013765%83.877.0+6.8
8 Guaiqueries2213959%81.478.1+3.3
9 Spartans22121055%79.377.4+1.9
10 Panteras22111150%77.576.3+1.1
11 Heroes de Falcon23111248%81.480.0+1.4
12 Centauros22101245%77.778.6-0.9
13 Gaiteros del Zulia2291341%78.183.1-5.0
14 Gigantes2081240%78.383.6-5.3
15 Llaneros2281436%80.684.6-4.0
16 Marinos2161529%80.587.5-7.0
17 Frontinos2151624%80.091.8-11.8
18 Diablos2141719%75.885.1-9.3
19 Cangrejeros2131814%78.185.6-7.5
20 Toros de Aragua2231914%74.684.5-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Broncos31213317102
Toros de Aragua2322211682
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