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Buducnost vs Crvena zvezda Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 05 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 84-62
22-18 24-18 13-15 25-11
Position#2
Record13-5
FormLWLWW
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game76.9
vs
Position#1
Record16-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game88.4
Allowed / game73.3
EuropeABA LeagueRound 19· Moraca Sports Center
Domestic2023
Meetings · Buducnost v Crvena zvezda
17 Jan 2027
BUD v CZV
upcoming
09 Feb 2026
BUD80
CZV93
01 Jun 2025
BUD81
CZV78
26 May 2025
BUD104
CZV70
21 Oct 2024
BUD73
CZV75
05 Feb 2024
BUD84
CZV62
23 May 2023
BUD56
CZV97
15 Jan 2023
BUD56
CZV76
16 Apr 2022
BUD76
CZV80
24 May 2021
BUD81
CZV80
22 May 2021
BUD75
CZV71
21 Mar 2021
BUD83
CZV63
19 Apr 2019
BUD84
CZV80
17 Apr 2019
BUD80
CZV72
07 Oct 2018
BUD71
CZV87
23 Sep 2018
BUD75
CZV89
14 Apr 2018
BUD77
CZV73
13 Apr 2018
BUD78
CZV77
08 Jan 2018
BUD92
CZV86
28 Mar 2017
BUD63
CZV57
11 Dec 2016
BUD54
CZV77
21 Dec 2015
BUD68
CZV54
26 Jan 2015
BUD76
CZV77
04 Nov 2013
BUD62
CZV60
08 Dec 2012
BUD72
CZV63
11 Oct 2011
BUD79
CZV64
12 Oct 2010
BUD89
CZV75
10 Oct 2009
BUD71
CZV63
21 Mar 2009
BUD64
CZV62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Buducnost winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crvena zvezda winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BuducnostLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBuducnost
Date
Competition
Cluj-Napoca
#4
L
77-79
77
79
-2
67avg 73
H27/12
Eurocup
Zadar
#6
W
67-57
67
57
+10
58avg 73
A30/12
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#13
W
103-100 OT
103
100
+3
98avg 73
H05/01
ABA League
JL Bourg
#2
W
78-74
78
74
+4
70avg 73
H10/01
Eurocup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
86-75
86
75
+11
81avg 73
A14/01
ABA League
Aris
#11
L
75-76
75
76
-1
68avg 73
A17/01
Eurocup
Cibona
#12
W
98-66
98
66
+32
103avg 73
A19/01
ABA League
Ulm
#9
L
80-84 OT
80
84
-4
75avg 73
H23/01
Eurocup
Mega Basket
#4
W
92-72
92
72
+20
90avg 73
A28/01
ABA League
Trento
#16
W
97-78
97
78
+19
96avg 73
A31/01
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
23-12
16-19
16-29
14-15
21-16
10-14
22-12
23-20
25-26
20-22
18-18
15-14
15-25
21-15
27-20
25-23
31-15
21-18
9-19
18-17
21-17
24-20
12-22
21-16
25-13
25-18
27-19
16-17
14-21
18-21
24-13
19-20
31-14
18-18
24-20
22-14
23-25
34-17
18-22
161.4Avg total
85.3Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)85.076.9161.9+8.172%
Season at home (9)85.778.7164.3+7.078%
Season away (9)84.375.2159.6+9.167%
Last 10 (10)85.376.1161.4+9.270%
Last 5 (5)88.475.2163.6+13.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)77.386.9164.1-9.614%
vs Similar (8)79.582.5162.0-3.038%
vs Weaker (15)84.877.3162.1+7.580%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Formzvezda
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
86-96
86
96
-10
72avg 80
A06/01
ABA League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
L
91-100
91
100
-9
82avg 80
A09/01
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
76-62
76
62
+14
73avg 80
A11/01
Euroleague
Borac Mozzart
#10
W
90-74
90
74
+16
83avg 80
H14/01
ABA League
Baskonia
#9
L
90-91
90
91
-1
82avg 80
H18/01
Euroleague
FMP Beograd
#11
W
87-54
87
54
+33
88avg 80
H21/01
ABA League
Alba Berlin
#18
L
80-89
80
89
-9
62avg 80
A25/01
Euroleague
Partizan
#3
W
88-86
88
86
+2
82avg 80
H28/01
ABA League
Valencia
#14
W
82-64
82
64
+18
81avg 80
H30/01
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
L
76-85
76
85
-9
65avg 80
H02/02
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
16-26
28-21
21-26
25-25
20-23
22-22
24-30
23-15
24-16
10-16
19-15
35-18
16-26
22-18
17-12
30-20
22-23
10-26
28-22
26-13
20-19
18-14
23-8
16-18
20-33
18-21
26-17
28-15
27-23
17-18
16-30
11-12
28-18
22-19
21-15
17-18
15-27
19-19
25-21
164.7Avg total
84.6Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)88.473.3161.7+15.289%
Season at home (9)89.166.3155.4+22.8100%
Season away (9)87.880.2168.0+7.678%
Last 10 (10)84.680.1164.7+4.550%
Last 5 (5)82.675.6158.2+7.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)75.674.8150.4+0.840%
vs Similar (11)84.781.8166.5+2.955%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)87.674.0161.6+13.679%
This opponent (Buducnost) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +5.5+5.5Q2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +2.4+2.4
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +5.5+5.5Q2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +2.4+2.4
BuducnostCrvena zvezda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BuducnostLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cluj-Napoca
#4
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H27/12
Eurocup
Zadar
#6
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A30/12
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#13
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H05/01
ABA League
JL Bourg
#2
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H10/01
Eurocup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
56-38
56
38
+18
A14/01
ABA League
Aris
#11
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A17/01
Eurocup
Cibona
#12
W
46-29
46
29
+17
A19/01
ABA League
Ulm
#9
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H23/01
Eurocup
Mega Basket
#4
W
50-34
50
34
+16
A28/01
ABA League
Trento
#16
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A31/01
Eurocup
78.3Avg total
42.4Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.539.280.8+2.367%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.439.080.4+2.471%-
Last 30 away (16)41.639.481.1+2.262%-
Last 10 (10)42.435.978.3+6.580%-
Last 5 (5)42.034.876.8+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)41.144.085.1-2.929%-
vs Similar (8)38.837.976.6+0.950%-
vs Weaker (15)43.237.780.9+5.593%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A06/01
ABA League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A09/01
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
47-31
47
31
+16
A11/01
Euroleague
Borac Mozzart
#10
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H14/01
ABA League
Baskonia
#9
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H18/01
Euroleague
FMP Beograd
#11
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H21/01
ABA League
Alba Berlin
#18
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A25/01
Euroleague
Partizan
#3
W
55-38
55
38
+17
H28/01
ABA League
Valencia
#14
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H30/01
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H02/02
Euroleague
85.1Avg total
44.0Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.939.683.5+4.363%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.637.082.6+8.681%-
Last 30 away (14)42.042.684.6-0.643%-
Last 10 (10)44.041.185.1+2.960%-
Last 5 (5)41.639.280.8+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.637.875.4-0.220%-
vs Similar (11)44.641.285.8+3.564%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)45.639.084.6+6.679%-
This opponent (Buducnost) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Buducnosttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Buducnost: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.320.5
53.5%
54.3%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.88.8
34.1%
34.1%26.4
🏀 Free throws21.216.7
78.8%
73.8%16.7
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.320.1
56.9%
54.3%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.99.6
34.4%
34.1%28.8
🏀 Free throws19.314.8
76.7%
73.8%14.8
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Buducnost
WWLWLWWWWL
Crvena zvezda
LWWLWLWWLL
#2
League position
#1
+11.3
Net rating
+6.2
110.8
Offensive rating
116.1
99.4
Defensive rating
109.9
52.6%
Effective FG%
54.6%
50.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
19.7%
Turnover %
15.5%
37.7%
Off. rebound %
31.3%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.31
34.1%
3-point %
34.4%
61.8%
Assist %
55.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence110.8 · 116.1Defence99.4 · 109.9Shooting52.6% · 54.6%3-point %34.1% · 34.4%Ball care19.7% · 15.5%Off. rebounds37.7% · 31.3%Free throws0.33 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Buducnost   ■ Crvena zvezda
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Buducnost wins
8
Crvena zvezda wins
Buducnostlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/24ATrento97-78
28/01/24AMega Basket92-72
23/01/24HUlm80-84 OT
19/01/24ACibona98-66
17/01/24AAris75-76
14/01/24AKK Krka Novo mesto86-75
10/01/24HJL Bourg78-74
05/01/24HMornar Bar103-100 OT
30/12/23AZadar67-57
27/12/23HCluj-Napoca77-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/24HBarcelona76-85
30/01/24HValencia82-64
28/01/24HPartizan88-86
25/01/24AAlba Berlin80-89
21/01/24HFMP Beograd87-54
18/01/24HBaskonia90-91
14/01/24HBorac Mozzart90-74
11/01/24AOlimpia Milano76-62
09/01/24ALyon-Villeurbanne91-100
06/01/24ACedevita Olimpija86-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Buducnost
ABA League 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW72%
HomeWLWLW78%
AwayLWWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %72%78%67%
Points / game85.085.784.3
Allowed / game76.978.775.2
Point differential+8.1+7.0+9.1
Avg total161.9164.3159.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%33%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %6%11%0%
Crvena zvezda
ABA League 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW89%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWL78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %89%100%78%
Points / game88.489.187.8
Allowed / game73.366.380.2
Point differential+15.2+22.8+7.6
Avg total161.7155.4168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%78%56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda1816289%88.473.3+15.2
2 Partizan1813572%93.976.1+17.8
3 Buducnost1813572%85.076.9+8.1
4 Cedevita Olimpija1913668%86.083.1+2.9
5 Igokea1911858%80.280.7-0.5
6 Zadar1810856%80.976.8+4.1
7 Mega Basket189950%84.883.0+1.8
8 Studentski Centar1881044%85.285.9-0.7
9 Split1881044%76.880.4-3.7
10 Borac Mozzart1981142%78.183.2-5.1
11 Cibona1861233%77.985.8-7.8
12 FMP Beograd1961332%76.885.1-8.3
13 KK Krka Novo mesto1841422%74.684.5-9.9
14 Mornar Bar1831517%75.488.7-13.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Buducnost2224132584
Crvena zvezda1818151162
← all games of the day
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