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Mega Basket vs Buducnost Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 72-92
20-19 14-31 18-18 20-24
Position#4
Record9-8
FormWWWWL
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game82.5
vs
Position#2
Record12-5
FormWWLWL
Points / game84.6
Allowed / game77.2
EuropeABA LeagueRound 18· Hala sportova Ranko
Domestic2023
Meetings · Mega Basket v Buducnost
23 Nov 2025
MEG65
BUD98
16 May 2025
MEG87
BUD92
09 Mar 2025
MEG93
BUD79
28 Jan 2024
MEG72
BUD92
07 May 2023
MEG80
BUD82
08 Apr 2023
MEG76
BUD85
07 Nov 2021
MEG87
BUD81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mega Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Buducnost winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mega BasketLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
L
72-77
72
77
-5
60avg 81
H19/11
ABA League
Cibona
#12
W
83-69
83
69
+14
71avg 81
A24/11
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#9
L
82-89
82
89
-7
65avg 81
A04/12
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
88-98
88
98
-10
81avg 81
H11/12
ABA League
Split
#8
L
73-88
73
88
-15
62avg 81
A18/12
ABA League
Igokea
#7
W
92-76
92
76
+16
98avg 81
H25/12
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
W
97-86
97
86
+11
94avg 81
H31/12
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#10
W
94-78
94
78
+16
103avg 81
A08/01
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#11
W
86-72
86
72
+14
80avg 81
H14/01
ABA League
Partizan
#3
L
80-112
80
112
-32
76avg 81
A22/01
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-13
21-19
19-27
11-18
15-18
20-11
23-20
25-20
17-17
19-29
24-13
22-30
27-22
13-26
30-20
18-30
20-24
27-21
10-17
16-26
19-24
22-13
30-16
21-23
14-23
24-18
27-21
32-24
30-18
13-20
25-21
26-19
23-18
23-14
22-18
18-22
26-25
13-34
23-26
18-27
169.2Avg total
84.7Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)85.682.5168.1+3.153%
Season at home (8)87.983.2171.1+4.662%
Season away (9)83.681.8165.3+1.844%
Last 10 (10)84.784.5169.2+0.250%
Last 5 (5)89.884.8174.6+5.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)78.789.1167.8-10.411%
vs Similar (7)84.484.6169.0-0.143%
vs Weaker (14)86.476.4162.9+10.071%
This opponent (Buducnost) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuducnostLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBuducnost
Date
Competition
Slask Wroclaw
#18
W
80-79
80
79
+1
72avg 72
A20/12
Eurocup
Studentski Centar
#9
L
82-94
82
94
-12
65avg 72
H23/12
ABA League
Cluj-Napoca
#4
L
77-79
77
79
-2
67avg 72
H27/12
Eurocup
Zadar
#6
W
67-57
67
57
+10
58avg 72
A30/12
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#13
W
103-100 OT
103
100
+3
98avg 72
H05/01
ABA League
JL Bourg
#2
W
78-74
78
74
+4
70avg 72
H10/01
Eurocup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
86-75
86
75
+11
81avg 72
A14/01
ABA League
Aris
#11
L
75-76
75
76
-1
68avg 72
A17/01
Eurocup
Cibona
#12
W
98-66
98
66
+32
103avg 72
A19/01
ABA League
Ulm
#9
L
80-84 OT
80
84
-4
75avg 72
H23/01
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-22
21-12
22-16
22-29
24-25
25-22
15-18
18-29
22-19
23-12
16-19
16-29
14-15
21-16
10-14
22-12
23-20
25-26
20-22
18-18
15-14
15-25
21-15
27-20
25-23
31-15
21-18
9-19
18-17
21-17
24-20
12-22
21-16
25-13
25-18
27-19
16-17
14-21
18-21
24-13
161.0Avg total
82.6Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)84.677.2161.8+7.471%
Season at home (9)85.778.7164.3+7.078%
Season away (8)83.475.6159.0+7.862%
Last 10 (10)82.678.4161.0+4.260%
Last 5 (5)83.475.0158.4+8.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)77.386.9164.1-9.614%
vs Similar (8)77.082.6159.6-5.625%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)84.177.1161.2+7.180%
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: -1.5-1.5
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: -1.5-1.5
Mega BasketBuducnost
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mega BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H19/11
ABA League
Cibona
#12
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A24/11
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#9
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A04/12
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H11/12
ABA League
Split
#8
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A18/12
ABA League
Igokea
#7
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H25/12
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H31/12
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#10
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A08/01
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#11
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H14/01
ABA League
Partizan
#3
L
39-59
39
59
-20
A22/01
ABA League
81.4Avg total
40.7Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.040.882.8+1.263%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.738.782.4+5.173%-
Last 30 away (15)40.343.083.3-2.753%-
Last 10 (10)40.740.781.4+0.060%-
Last 5 (5)41.441.482.8+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)37.944.882.7-6.922%-
vs Similar (7)42.642.685.1+0.057%-
vs Weaker (14)44.437.481.8+6.993%-
This opponent (Buducnost) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuducnostLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slask Wroclaw
#18
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A20/12
Eurocup
Studentski Centar
#9
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H23/12
ABA League
Cluj-Napoca
#4
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H27/12
Eurocup
Zadar
#6
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A30/12
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#13
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H05/01
ABA League
JL Bourg
#2
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H10/01
Eurocup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
56-38
56
38
+18
A14/01
ABA League
Aris
#11
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A17/01
Eurocup
Cibona
#12
W
46-29
46
29
+17
A19/01
ABA League
Ulm
#9
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H23/01
Eurocup
78.1Avg total
41.4Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.139.680.7+1.563%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.738.780.3+3.073%-
Last 30 away (15)40.640.581.1+0.153%-
Last 10 (10)41.436.778.1+4.780%-
Last 5 (5)40.235.675.8+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)41.144.085.1-2.929%-
vs Similar (8)37.939.277.1-1.438%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)42.937.780.6+5.193%-
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mega Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mega Basket: 83.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.423.0
55.6%
54.3%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.87.7
33.8%
34.1%23.1
🏀 Free throws21.514.8
68.8%
73.8%14.8
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Buducnosttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Buducnost: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.621.1
53.3%
54.3%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.27.9
34.1%
34.1%23.7
🏀 Free throws20.715.7
75.8%
73.8%15.7
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mega Basket
LWWWWLLLWL
Buducnost
LWLWWWWLLW
#4
League position
#2
-0.3
Net rating
+5.4
108.6
Offensive rating
110.0
108.8
Defensive rating
104.6
53.8%
Effective FG%
52.5%
55.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
17.9%
Turnover %
19.0%
29.7%
Off. rebound %
35.2%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.33
33.8%
3-point %
34.1%
64.8%
Assist %
56.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence108.6 · 110.0Defence108.8 · 104.6Shooting53.8% · 52.5%3-point %33.8% · 34.1%Ball care17.9% · 19.0%Off. rebounds29.7% · 35.2%Free throws0.33 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Mega Basket   ■ Buducnost
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Mega Basket wins
6
Buducnost wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/24APartizan80-112
14/01/24HFMP Beograd86-72
08/01/24ABorac Mozzart94-78
31/12/23HCedevita Olimpija97-86
25/12/23HIgokea92-76
18/12/23ASplit73-88
11/12/23HCrvena zvezda88-98
04/12/23AStudentski Centar82-89
24/11/23ACibona83-69
19/11/23HKK Krka Novo mesto72-77
Buducnostlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/01/24HUlm80-84 OT
19/01/24ACibona98-66
17/01/24AAris75-76
14/01/24AKK Krka Novo mesto86-75
10/01/24HJL Bourg78-74
05/01/24HMornar Bar103-100 OT
30/12/23AZadar67-57
27/12/23HCluj-Napoca77-79
23/12/23HStudentski Centar82-94
20/12/23ASlask Wroclaw80-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mega Basket
ABA League 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL53%
HomeLLWWW62%
AwayWLLWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %53%62%44%
Points / game85.687.983.6
Allowed / game82.583.281.8
Point differential+3.1+4.6+1.8
Avg total168.1171.1165.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%50%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)33% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Buducnost
ABA League 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW71%
HomeWLWLW78%
AwayWLWWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %71%78%62%
Points / game84.685.783.4
Allowed / game77.278.775.6
Point differential+7.4+7.0+7.8
Avg total161.8164.3159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%33%62%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda1715288%88.572.5+15.9
2 Partizan1713476%94.475.4+19.0
3 Buducnost1712571%84.677.2+7.4
4 Cedevita Olimpija1812667%86.784.1+2.6
5 Igokea1811761%81.180.9+0.2
6 Zadar179853%80.577.1+3.4
7 Mega Basket179853%85.682.5+3.1
8 Studentski Centar1881044%85.285.9-0.7
9 Borac Mozzart1881044%78.883.7-4.9
10 Split1771041%76.781.3-4.6
11 Cibona1761135%78.485.6-7.3
12 FMP Beograd1751229%77.486.8-9.4
13 KK Krka Novo mesto1841422%74.684.5-9.9
14 Mornar Bar1831517%75.488.7-13.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mega Basket2014182072
Buducnost1931182492
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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