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Buffalo vs Georgia State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 75-80
31-38 44-42
Position#333
Record7-15
FormLLWLL
Points / game72.5
Allowed / game81.9
vs
Position#274
Record9-15
FormLLWLW
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game79.5
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Buffalo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Georgia State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BuffaloUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (Ohio)
#41
L
79-93
79
93
-14
A04/01
NCAA
Ohio
#205
L
79-88
79
88
-9
H08/01
NCAA
Kent State
#74
L
49-68
49
68
-19
H10/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#257
L
61-79
61
79
-18
A15/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
W
85-76
85
76
+9
A18/01
NCAA
Akron
#21
L
58-90
58
90
-32
H22/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#212
L
77-90
77
90
-13
A25/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
W
75-69
75
69
+6
H29/01
NCAA
Ball State
#243
L
76-89
76
89
-13
H01/02
NCAA
Toledo
#167
L
74-87
74
87
-13
A05/02
NCAA
1H
2H
39-46
40-47
20-37
59-51
20-24
29-44
28-32
33-47
53-39
32-37
25-40
33-50
45-42
32-48
30-34
45-35
32-45
44-44
32-42
42-45
154.2Avg total
71.3Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)72.581.9154.4-9.532%
Season at home (10)75.278.8154.0-3.650%
Season away (12)70.284.5154.7-14.317%
Last 10 (10)71.382.9154.2-11.620%
Last 5 (5)72.085.0157.0-13.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)69.781.5151.2-11.819%
vs Similar (1)82.081.0163.0+1.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Georgia State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Georgia StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
W
94-70
94
70
+24
H05/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#201
W
82-78 OT
82
78
+4
H09/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#326
W
79-74
79
74
+5
H11/01
NCAA
Texas State
#207
L
80-94
80
94
-14
A16/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#54
L
59-85
59
85
-26
A18/01
NCAA
Marshall
#124
L
79-92
79
92
-13
H24/01
NCAA
James Madison
#110
L
79-86
79
86
-7
H25/01
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
85-81
85
81
+4
A31/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#157
L
76-80
76
80
-4
A01/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
W
97-64
97
64
+33
H06/02
NCAA
1H
2H
51-32
43-38
38-38
31-31
31-44
48-30
35-46
45-48
19-44
40-41
41-40
38-52
39-47
40-39
51-37
34-44
32-38
44-42
51-30
46-34
161.4Avg total
81.0Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)74.579.5154.0-5.038%
Season at home (15)77.574.3151.8+3.353%
Season away (9)69.488.3157.8-18.911%
Last 10 (10)81.080.4161.4+0.650%
Last 5 (5)83.280.6163.8+2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)72.185.0157.1-12.919%
vs Similar (8)71.570.6142.1+0.950%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)82.772.8155.5+9.883%
This opponent (Buffalo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -5.7-5.71st half: -0.8-0.82nd half2nd half: -5.9-5.92nd half: +1.0+1.0
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -5.7-5.71st half: -0.8-0.82nd half2nd half: -5.9-5.92nd half: +1.0+1.0
BuffaloGeorgia State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
BuffaloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (Ohio)
#41
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A04/01
NCAA
Ohio
#205
L
20-37
20
37
-17
H08/01
NCAA
Kent State
#74
L
20-24
20
24
-4
H10/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#257
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A15/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
W
53-39
53
39
+14
A18/01
NCAA
Akron
#21
L
25-40
25
40
-15
H22/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#212
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A25/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H29/01
NCAA
Ball State
#243
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H01/02
NCAA
Toledo
#167
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A05/02
NCAA
70.5Avg total
32.4Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.838.371.1-5.527%-
Last 30 at home (15)31.836.868.6-5.020%-
Last 30 away (15)33.739.873.5-6.133%-
Last 10 (10)32.438.170.5-5.720%-
Last 5 (5)32.840.673.4-7.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)31.738.370.1-6.626%-
vs Similar (1)43.043.086.0+0.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Georgia State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Georgia StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H05/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#201
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H09/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#326
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H11/01
NCAA
Texas State
#207
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A16/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#54
L
19-44
19
44
-25
A18/01
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H24/01
NCAA
James Madison
#110
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H25/01
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
51-37
51
37
+14
A31/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#157
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A01/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
W
51-30
51
30
+21
H06/02
NCAA
78.4Avg total
38.8Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.037.773.7-1.740%-
Last 30 at home (20)37.636.273.8+1.445%-
Last 30 away (10)32.840.573.3-7.730%-
Last 10 (10)38.839.678.4-0.840%-
Last 5 (5)42.838.481.2+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)34.640.074.6-5.431%-
vs Similar (8)34.135.169.2-1.025%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)42.334.877.2+7.583%-
This opponent (Buffalo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Buffalo wins
0
Georgia State wins
No previous meetings.
Buffalolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/02/25AToledo74-87
01/02/25HBall State76-89
29/01/25HCentral Michigan75-69
25/01/25AEastern Michigan77-90
22/01/25HAkron58-90
18/01/25AWestern Michigan85-76
15/01/25ABowling Green61-79
10/01/25HKent State49-68
08/01/25HOhio79-88
04/01/25AMiami (Ohio)79-93
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/02/25HLouisiana Monroe97-64
01/02/25AAppalachian State76-80
31/01/25AMarshall85-81
25/01/25HJames Madison79-86
24/01/25HMarshall79-92
18/01/25AArkansas State59-85
16/01/25ATexas State80-94
11/01/25HCoastal Carolina79-74
09/01/25HGeorgia Southern82-78 OT
05/01/25HLouisiana Lafayette94-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Buffalo
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL32%
HomeLLLWL50%
AwayLLWLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %32%50%17%
Points / game72.575.270.2
Allowed / game81.978.884.5
Point differential-9.5-3.6-14.3
Avg total154.4154.0154.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Georgia State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW38%
HomeWWLLW53%
AwayLLLWL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games24159
Win %38%53%11%
Points / game74.577.569.4
Allowed / game79.574.388.3
Point differential-5.0+3.3-18.9
Avg total154.0151.8157.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%27%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)67% (6)33% (3)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Miami (Ohio)2318578%81.472.3+9.1
2 Akron2217577%83.972.9+11.0
3 Kent State2214864%70.064.4+5.6
4 Toledo2214864%79.177.9+1.2
5 Ohio22121055%80.575.2+5.4
6 Central Michigan22101245%74.070.3+3.6
7 Ball State22101245%76.074.0+2.0
8 Eastern Michigan22101245%72.277.5-5.3
9 UMass23101343%75.775.1+0.6
10 Bowling Green2281436%75.576.3-0.8
11 Buffalo2271532%72.581.9-9.5
12 Western Michigan2371630%70.476.2-5.7
13 Northern Illinois2251723%71.776.8-5.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arkansas State2418675%78.669.6+9.0
2 South Alabama2416867%72.162.2+9.9
3 Troy2415962%72.965.3+7.5
4 James Madison2415962%72.868.5+4.3
5 Appalachian State2314961%69.263.3+5.9
6 Marshall25151060%75.571.4+4.2
7 Georgia Southern25131252%74.676.7-2.1
8 Texas State24121250%76.172.7+3.4
9 Old Dominion24111346%68.071.3-3.3
10 Southern Miss24101442%72.075.0-3.0
11 Georgia State2491538%74.579.5-5.0
12 Coastal Carolina2481633%67.071.2-4.1
13 Louisiana Lafayette2471729%66.574.6-8.1
14 Louisiana Monroe2561924%68.673.8-5.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Buffalo314475
Georgia State384280
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