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Arkansas State vs Georgia State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 20:30
Final 85-59
44-19 41-40
Position#54
Record13-5
FormWLLWW
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game70.7
vs
Position#274
Record7-11
FormLWWWL
Points / game72.9
Allowed / game78.9
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Arkansas State v Georgia State
09 Jan 2027
ARKA v GEOR
upcoming
18 Jan 2025
ARKA85
GEOR59
18 Feb 2023
ARKA75
GEOR70
06 Jan 2020
ARKA90
GEOR87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arkansas State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Georgia State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Arkansas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jackson State
#221
W
66-64
66
64
+2
H06/12
NCAA
Memphis
#15
W
85-72
85
72
+13
A08/12
NCAA
UT Arlington
#277
W
83-79
83
79
+4
H13/12
NCAA
UAB
#91
W
98-89 OT
98
89
+9
A15/12
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#326
W
97-67
97
67
+30
H21/12
NCAA
Old Dominion
#261
W
78-59
78
59
+19
A03/01
NCAA
James Madison
#110
L
62-67
62
67
-5
A04/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
L
62-76
62
76
-14
A10/01
NCAA
Troy
#68
W
84-78
84
78
+6
A11/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
W
83-63
83
63
+20
H17/01
NCAA
1H
2H
37-31
29-33
42-29
43-43
35-39
48-40
28-53
56-31
53-22
44-45
32-29
46-30
39-33
23-34
31-41
31-35
34-43
50-35
44-24
39-39
151.2Avg total
79.8Scored
71.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)78.870.7149.5+8.172%
Season at home (10)78.466.3144.7+12.180%
Season away (8)79.276.2155.5+3.062%
Last 10 (10)79.871.4151.2+8.480%
Last 5 (5)73.868.6142.4+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)71.275.6146.8-4.460%
vs Similar (10)82.877.2160.0+5.670%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)74.865.8140.6+8.977%
This opponent (Georgia State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Georgia StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kennesaw State
#142
L
77-81
77
81
-4
H07/12
NCAA
Charlotte
#323
L
63-77
63
77
-14
H14/12
NCAA
Auburn
#12
L
59-100
59
100
-41
A18/12
NCAA
Troy
#68
L
57-77
57
77
-20
A21/12
NCAA
Mercer
#264
L
68-71
68
71
-3
H28/12
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
L
51-77
51
77
-26
H03/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
W
94-70
94
70
+24
H05/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#201
W
82-78 OT
82
78
+4
H09/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#326
W
79-74
79
74
+5
H11/01
NCAA
Texas State
#207
L
80-94
80
94
-14
A16/01
NCAA
1H
2H
39-36
38-45
25-32
38-45
31-43
28-57
25-39
32-38
37-40
31-31
30-33
21-44
51-32
43-38
38-38
31-31
31-44
48-30
35-46
45-48
150.9Avg total
71.0Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)72.978.9151.9-6.039%
Season at home (12)75.772.7148.3+3.058%
Season away (6)67.591.5159.0-24.00%
Last 10 (10)71.079.9150.9-8.930%
Last 5 (5)77.278.6155.8-1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)70.284.1154.4-13.914%
vs Similar (9)69.669.2138.8+0.356%
vs Weaker (7)82.774.6157.3+8.171%
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +3.1+3.11st half: -4.1-4.12nd half2nd half: +4.4+4.42nd half: -5.2-5.2
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +3.1+3.11st half: -4.1-4.12nd half2nd half: +4.4+4.42nd half: -5.2-5.2
Arkansas StateGeorgia State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Arkansas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jackson State
#221
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H06/12
NCAA
Memphis
#15
W
42-29
42
29
+13
A08/12
NCAA
UT Arlington
#277
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H13/12
NCAA
UAB
#91
L
28-53
28
53
-25
A15/12
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#326
W
53-22
53
22
+31
H21/12
NCAA
Old Dominion
#261
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A03/01
NCAA
James Madison
#110
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A04/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A10/01
NCAA
Troy
#68
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A11/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
W
44-24
44
24
+20
H17/01
NCAA
71.9Avg total
37.5Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.133.671.7+4.563%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.130.870.9+9.373%-
Last 30 away (15)36.136.472.5-0.353%-
Last 10 (10)37.534.471.9+3.160%-
Last 5 (5)36.034.070.0+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)34.636.671.2-2.040%-
vs Similar (10)38.538.577.0+0.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)37.829.367.1+8.577%-
This opponent (Georgia State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Georgia StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kennesaw State
#142
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H07/12
NCAA
Charlotte
#323
L
25-32
25
32
-7
H14/12
NCAA
Auburn
#12
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A18/12
NCAA
Troy
#68
L
25-39
25
39
-14
A21/12
NCAA
Mercer
#264
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H28/12
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H03/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H05/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#201
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H09/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#326
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H11/01
NCAA
Texas State
#207
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A16/01
NCAA
72.5Avg total
34.2Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.736.871.5-2.137%-
Last 30 at home (20)36.035.070.9+1.040%-
Last 30 away (10)32.140.572.6-8.430%-
Last 10 (10)34.238.372.5-4.120%-
Last 5 (5)37.038.675.6-1.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)32.939.472.2-6.521%-
vs Similar (9)31.935.066.9-3.122%-
vs Weaker (7)41.934.075.9+7.986%-
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Arkansas State wins
2
Georgia State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/25HLouisiana Lafayette83-63
11/01/25ATroy84-78
10/01/25ASouth Alabama62-76
04/01/25AJames Madison62-67
03/01/25AOld Dominion78-59
21/12/24HCoastal Carolina97-67
15/12/24AUAB98-89 OT
13/12/24HUT Arlington83-79
08/12/24AMemphis85-72
06/12/24HJackson State66-64
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/25ATexas State80-94
11/01/25HCoastal Carolina79-74
09/01/25HGeorgia Southern82-78 OT
05/01/25HLouisiana Lafayette94-70
03/01/25HSouth Alabama51-77
28/12/24HMercer68-71
21/12/24ATroy57-77
18/12/24AAuburn59-100
14/12/24HCharlotte63-77
07/12/24HKennesaw State77-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Arkansas State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW72%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayWWLLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %72%80%62%
Points / game78.878.479.2
Allowed / game70.766.376.2
Point differential+8.1+12.1+3.0
Avg total149.5144.7155.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)75% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %11%10%12%
Georgia State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL39%
HomeLLWWW58%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18126
Win %39%58%0%
Points / game72.975.767.5
Allowed / game78.972.791.5
Point differential-6.0+3.0-24.0
Avg total151.9148.3159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)67% (6)0% (1)
Overtime %6%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 South Alabama1813572%74.561.6+12.9
2 Arkansas State1813572%78.870.7+8.1
3 Troy1711665%74.166.5+7.6
4 Appalachian State1710759%70.362.9+7.4
5 Texas State1810856%77.271.1+6.1
6 James Madison1810856%73.970.4+3.6
7 Marshall1910953%74.971.3+3.6
8 Georgia Southern189950%74.479.7-5.3
9 Coastal Carolina1881044%69.469.3+0.1
10 Southern Miss1881044%73.376.5-3.2
11 Old Dominion1881044%68.272.7-4.6
12 Georgia State1871139%72.978.9-6.0
13 Louisiana Lafayette1961332%65.975.2-9.3
14 Louisiana Monroe2041620%70.273.5-3.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Arkansas State444185
Georgia State194059
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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