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Butler vs Providence Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 81-91
42-40 39-51
Position#208
Record16-15
FormWWLLW
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game77.1
vs
Position#246
Record14-17
FormWWWLL
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game84.1
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Butler v Providence
27 Jan 2027
BUTL v PROV
upcoming
11 Mar 2026
BUTL81
PROV91
13 Dec 2025
BUTL113
PROV110
08 Feb 2025
BUTL82
PROV81
10 Feb 2024
BUTL75
PROV72
29 Dec 2022
BUTL52
PROV72
20 Feb 2022
BUTL70
PROV71
23 Dec 2020
BUTL70
PROV64
01 Feb 2020
BUTL61
PROV65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Butler winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Providence winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ButlerUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgetown
#225
L
64-77
64
77
-13
H31/01
NCAA
Providence
#246
L
87-97 OT
87
97
-10
A05/02
NCAA
Marquette
#290
L
55-70
55
70
-15
A07/02
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
70-80
70
80
-10
H12/02
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
L
56-63
56
63
-7
H15/02
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
W
93-89
93
89
+4
A18/02
NCAA
Xavier
#248
W
80-75
80
75
+5
H21/02
NCAA
Villanova
#46
L
73-82
73
82
-9
A26/02
NCAA
Creighton
#238
L
59-76
59
76
-17
H04/03
NCAA
DePaul
#213
W
81-71
81
71
+10
A07/03
NCAA
1H
2H
39-43
25-34
34-32
39-41
28-32
27-38
38-41
32-39
24-23
32-40
54-45
39-44
47-28
33-47
28-42
45-40
36-32
23-44
39-32
42-39
149.8Avg total
71.8Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)79.377.1156.4+2.252%
Season at home (18)81.174.1155.2+6.961%
Season away (13)76.981.2158.2-4.338%
Last 10 (10)71.878.0149.8-6.230%
Last 5 (5)77.278.6155.8-1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)71.982.8154.6-10.912%
vs Similar ◀ (16)77.977.5155.4+0.456%
vs Weaker (6)91.771.7163.3+20.083%
This opponent (Providence) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ProvidenceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Villanova
#46
L
73-87
73
87
-14
A31/01
NCAA
Butler
#208
W
97-87 OT
97
87
+10
H05/02
NCAA
DePaul
#213
W
90-72
90
72
+18
H07/02
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
L
80-87
80
87
-7
A12/02
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
69-79
69
79
-10
H14/02
NCAA
DePaul
#213
W
71-68
71
68
+3
A22/02
NCAA
Xavier
#248
W
94-84
94
84
+10
H26/02
NCAA
Creighton
#238
W
79-76
79
76
+3
A28/02
NCAA
Marquette
#290
L
56-78
56
78
-22
H05/03
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
L
79-80
79
80
-1
A08/03
NCAA
1H
2H
28-45
45-42
32-34
41-39
43-26
47-46
43-39
37-48
29-34
40-45
38-35
33-33
47-34
47-50
39-37
40-39
23-37
33-41
34-43
45-37
158.6Avg total
78.8Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)85.584.1169.6+1.545%
Season at home (17)86.580.9167.4+5.559%
Season away (14)84.487.9172.3-3.429%
Last 10 (10)78.879.8158.6-1.050%
Last 5 (5)75.877.2153.0-1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)80.188.6168.8-8.512%
vs Similar ◀ (19)87.085.4172.4+1.647%
vs Weaker (3)89.765.0154.7+24.7100%
This opponent (Butler) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +1.7+1.71st half: -0.8-0.82nd half2nd half: -6.9-6.92nd half: -1.2-1.2
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +1.7+1.71st half: -0.8-0.82nd half2nd half: -6.9-6.92nd half: -1.2-1.2
ButlerProvidence
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ButlerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgetown
#225
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H31/01
NCAA
Providence
#246
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A05/02
NCAA
Marquette
#290
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A07/02
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H12/02
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
W
24-23
24
23
+1
H15/02
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
W
54-45
54
45
+9
A18/02
NCAA
Xavier
#248
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H21/02
NCAA
Villanova
#46
L
28-42
28
42
-14
A26/02
NCAA
Creighton
#238
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H04/03
NCAA
DePaul
#213
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A07/03
NCAA
71.7Avg total
36.7Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.535.272.7+2.357%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.733.472.1+5.359%-
Last 30 away (13)35.937.573.5-1.654%-
Last 10 (10)36.735.071.7+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)40.835.876.6+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)35.239.674.9-4.438%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)35.334.069.3+1.356%-
vs Weaker (6)46.332.578.8+13.883%-
This opponent (Providence) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ProvidenceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Villanova
#46
L
28-45
28
45
-17
A31/01
NCAA
Butler
#208
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H05/02
NCAA
DePaul
#213
W
43-26
43
26
+17
H07/02
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A12/02
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H14/02
NCAA
DePaul
#213
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A22/02
NCAA
Xavier
#248
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H26/02
NCAA
Creighton
#238
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A28/02
NCAA
Marquette
#290
L
23-37
23
37
-14
H05/03
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A08/03
NCAA
72.0Avg total
35.6Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.438.076.4+0.550%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.035.474.4+3.656%-
Last 30 away (14)37.840.978.6-3.143%-
Last 10 (10)35.636.472.0-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)36.237.273.4-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)34.642.176.8-7.512%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)39.737.877.5+1.858%-
vs Weaker (3)40.727.768.3+13.0100%-
This opponent (Butler) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Butler wins
6
Providence wins
DateGameScore
05/02/26Providence v Butler97-87 OT
13/12/25Butler v Providence113-110 OT
12/03/25Providence v Butler69-75
08/02/25Butler v Providence82-81
09/01/25Providence v Butler84-65
10/02/24Butler v Providence75-72
23/12/23Providence v Butler85-75 OT
26/01/23Providence v Butler79-58
29/12/22Butler v Providence52-72
10/03/22Providence v Butler65-61
Butlerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/26ADePaul81-71
04/03/26HCreighton59-76
26/02/26AVillanova73-82
21/02/26HXavier80-75
18/02/26AGeorgetown93-89
15/02/26HSeton Hall56-63
12/02/26HUconn70-80
07/02/26AMarquette55-70
05/02/26AProvidence87-97 OT
31/01/26HGeorgetown64-77
Providencelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/26AGeorgetown79-80
05/03/26HMarquette56-78
28/02/26ACreighton79-76
26/02/26HXavier94-84
22/02/26ADePaul71-68
14/02/26HSt. John's (N.Y.)69-79
12/02/26ASeton Hall80-87
07/02/26HDePaul90-72
05/02/26HButler97-87 OT
31/01/26AVillanova73-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Butler
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW52%
HomeLLLWL61%
AwayLLWLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311813
Win %52%61%38%
Points / game79.381.176.9
Allowed / game77.174.181.2
Point differential+2.2+6.9-4.3
Avg total156.4155.2158.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%39%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %6%6%8%
Providence
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL45%
HomeWWLWL59%
AwayLLWWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311714
Win %45%59%29%
Points / game85.586.584.4
Allowed / game84.180.987.9
Point differential+1.5+5.5-3.4
Avg total169.6167.4172.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%47%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)25% (4)40% (5)
Overtime %16%12%21%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Uconn3127487%78.265.3+12.9
2 Villanova3124777%77.670.5+7.0
3 St. John's (N.Y.)3325876%80.171.5+8.6
4 Seton Hall31201165%70.465.1+5.3
5 Butler31161552%79.377.1+2.2
6 DePaul31161552%70.769.8+0.9
7 Creighton31151648%75.675.1+0.5
8 Providence31141745%85.584.1+1.5
9 Georgetown31141745%74.573.9+0.6
10 Xavier31141745%78.480.0-1.7
11 Marquette31121939%74.875.4-0.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Butler423981
Providence405191
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