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CA Queluz vs Braga Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 21 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 18:15
Projected 87-90
Projected total 176.3
Scheduled
Position#8
Record3-3
FormWLWWL
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game91.7
CA Queluz
Portugal
Vs
39%
61%
■ CA Q 39%■ BRAG 61%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
4.7/10
Around normal
6.0/10
Above normal
Braga
Portugal
Position#6
Record4-3
FormWWWLL
Points / game88.1
Allowed / game81.1
PortugalLPBRound 8· Pavilhão Henrique Miranda
Other2026-27
Meetings · CA Queluz v Braga
21 Nov 2026
CA Q v BRAG
upcoming
01 Feb 2026
CA Q83
BRAG82
24 Mar 2024
CA Q81
BRAG54
Sections
Game preview & prediction
CA Queluz host Braga in the LPB. Pythia makes Braga the favourite at 61% and projects 87-90, about 176 points in all. Overtime chance: 5%. CA Queluz are 3-3 this season (87.8 scored, 91.7 allowed a game), form WLWWL; Braga are 4-3 this season (88.1 scored, 81.1 allowed a game), form WWWLL.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CA Queluz win
39.4%fair 2.54
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Braga win
60.6%fair 1.65
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 20:59 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CA QueluzPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormQueluz
Date
Competition
Oliveirense
#5
W
91-84
91
84
+7
88avg 78
H04/04
LPB
Ovarense
#4
W
74-73
74
73
+1
71avg 78
A11/04
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
69-83
69
83
-14
52avg 78
A18/04
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
W
105-74
105
74
+31
99avg 78
H25/04
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
93-110
93
110
-17
80avg 78
H02/10
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
87-83
87
83
+4
84avg 78
A17/10
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
72-89
72
89
-17
54avg 78
H24/10
LPB
Esgueira
#12
W
104-93
104
93
+11
96avg 78
A31/10
LPB
CAB Madeira
#10
W
90-86
90
86
+4
no box
H07/11
LPB
Ovarense
#3
L
81-89
81
89
-8
no box
A14/11
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-21
22-26
22-20
24-17
25-16
13-16
14-24
22-17
13-12
18-19
27-26
11-26
27-16
22-17
21-24
35-17
20-26
23-28
28-29
22-27
28-20
18-18
22-24
19-21
20-22
29-22
10-18
13-27
23-24
26-29
34-13
21-27
20-18
23-18
20-30
27-20
20-14
24-23
26-24
11-28
173.0Avg total
86.6Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)87.891.7179.5-3.850%
Season at home (3)85.095.0180.0-10.033%
Season away (3)90.788.3179.0+2.367%
Last 10 (10)86.686.4173.0+0.260%
Last 5 (5)86.888.0174.8-1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)80.093.5173.5-13.59%
vs Similar (13)83.183.8166.8-0.754%
vs Weaker (6)97.089.2186.2+7.867%
This opponent (Braga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BragaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBraga
Date
Competition
Ovarense
#4
W
74-67
74
67
+7
66avg 77
A25/04
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
72-90
72
90
-18
62avg 77
A09/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
79-94
79
94
-15
68avg 77
H13/05
LPB
Ovarense
#3
L
83-96
83
96
-13
71avg 77
A03/10
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
105-71
105
71
+34
107avg 77
H11/10
LPB
Vitoria
#9
W
91-72
91
72
+19
98avg 77
H18/10
LPB
CD Povoa
#7
W
80-71
80
71
+9
75avg 77
A25/10
LPB
Sporting CP
#5
W
98-86
98
86
+12
102avg 77
H01/11
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
76-81
76
81
-5
no box
A08/11
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
L
84-91
84
91
-7
no box
H14/11
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-21
16-14
18-19
12-13
19-24
15-22
24-24
14-20
18-22
18-22
23-33
20-17
19-26
9-26
20-23
35-21
28-18
33-21
17-18
27-14
20-12
23-18
26-22
22-20
20-22
23-14
19-14
18-21
24-23
22-19
20-21
32-23
21-20
29-29
13-15
13-17
18-21
20-20
25-24
21-26
166.1Avg total
84.2Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)88.181.1169.3+7.057%
Season at home (4)94.580.0174.5+14.575%
Season away (3)79.782.7162.3-3.033%
Last 10 (10)84.281.9166.1+2.350%
Last 5 (5)85.880.2166.0+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)74.287.2161.3-13.017%
vs Similar (10)84.485.1169.5-0.740%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)91.476.0167.4+15.488%
This opponent (CA Queluz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 161
Over 161
82.3%
Under 161
17.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 166
Over 166
73.0%
Under 166
27.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 171
Over 171
61.8%
Under 171
38.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

CA Queluz total 81
Over 81
70.9%
Under 81
29.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CA Queluz total 85
Over 85
55.8%
Under 85
44.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CA Queluz total 89
Over 89
40.0%
Under 89
60.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Braga total 77.5
Over 77.5
88.0%
Under 77.5
12.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Braga total 81.5
Over 81.5
78.5%
Under 81.5
21.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Braga total 85.5
Over 85.5
65.5%
Under 85.5
34.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread CA Queluz -3
CA Q -3
30.7%
BRAG +3
69.3%
Best 5 market prices
CA Q
No market prices yet.
BRAG
No market prices yet.
Spread CA Queluz 0
CA Q 0
39.4%
BRAG 0
60.6%
Best 5 market prices
CA Q
No market prices yet.
BRAG
No market prices yet.
Spread CA Queluz +3
CA Q +3
48.2%
BRAG -3
51.8%
Best 5 market prices
CA Q
No market prices yet.
BRAG
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +2.2+2.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +2.2+2.2
CA QueluzBraga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CA QueluzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oliveirense
#5
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H04/04
LPB
Ovarense
#4
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A11/04
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A18/04
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H25/04
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
43-54
43
54
-11
H02/10
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A17/10
LPB
Benfica
#1
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H24/10
LPB
Esgueira
#12
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A31/10
LPB
CAB Madeira
#10
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H07/11
LPB
Ovarense
#3
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A14/11
LPB
84.2Avg total
43.7Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.644.688.2-1.140%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.445.589.9-1.133%-
Last 30 away (15)42.743.786.5-1.047%-
Last 10 (10)43.740.584.2+3.260%-
Last 5 (5)46.241.687.8+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)41.646.488.0-4.736%-
vs Similar (13)42.242.784.9-0.531%-
vs Weaker (6)50.045.795.7+4.367%-
This opponent (Braga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BragaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ovarense
#4
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A25/04
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A09/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H13/05
LPB
Ovarense
#3
L
28-52
28
52
-24
A03/10
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
61-39
61
39
+22
H11/10
LPB
Vitoria
#9
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H18/10
LPB
CD Povoa
#7
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A25/10
LPB
Sporting CP
#5
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H01/11
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A08/11
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H14/11
LPB
83.7Avg total
42.3Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.342.783.0-2.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.740.981.6-0.147%-
Last 30 away (15)39.944.584.4-4.547%-
Last 10 (10)42.341.483.7+0.960%-
Last 5 (5)44.039.683.6+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)36.946.183.0-9.217%-
vs Similar (10)41.644.085.6-2.460%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)43.935.979.8+8.075%-
This opponent (CA Queluz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
CA Queluztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CA Queluz: 89.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.122.2
52.7%
51.1%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.79.0
36.4%
31.9%27.0
🏀 Free throws24.318.0
74.1%
71.1%18.0
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bragatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Braga: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.217.5
49.7%
51.1%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.19.8
34.9%
31.9%29.4
🏀 Free throws23.417.2
73.5%
71.1%17.2
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
CA Queluz
LWWLWLWLWW
Braga
LLWWWWLLLW
#8
League position
#6
+0.7
Net rating
+5.9
98.7
Offensive rating
92.2
98.0
Defensive rating
86.3
53.4%
Effective FG%
50.9%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
13.6%
Turnover %
18.7%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.37
36.4%
3-point %
34.9%
63.5%
Assist %
72.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence98.7 · 92.2Defence98.0 · 86.3Shooting53.4% · 50.9%3-point %36.4% · 34.9%Ball care13.6% · 18.7%Free throws0.36 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ CA Queluz   ■ Braga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
CA Queluz wins
1
Braga wins
DateGameScore
01/02/26CA Queluz v Braga83-82
11/10/25Braga v CA Queluz58-66
24/03/24CA Queluz v Braga81-54
25/02/24Braga v CA Queluz92-75
CA Queluzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AOvarense81-89
07/11/26HCAB Madeira90-86
31/10/26AEsgueira104-93
24/10/26HBenfica72-89
17/10/26APortimonense87-83
02/10/26HFC Porto93-110
25/04/26HGalitos Barreiro105-74
18/04/26ASporting CP69-83
11/04/26AOvarense74-73
04/04/26HOliveirense91-84
Bragalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HOliveirense84-91
08/11/26AFC Porto76-81
01/11/26HSporting CP98-86
25/10/26ACD Povoa80-71
18/10/26HVitoria91-72
11/10/26HPortimonense105-71
03/10/26AOvarense83-96
13/05/26HBenfica79-94
09/05/26ABenfica72-90
25/04/26AOvarense74-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

CA Queluz
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL50%
HomeLLW33%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%33%67%
Points / game87.885.090.7
Allowed / game91.795.088.3
Point differential-3.8-10.0+2.3
Avg total179.5180.0179.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Braga
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL57%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%75%33%
Points / game88.194.579.7
Allowed / game81.180.082.7
Point differential+7.0+14.5-3.0
Avg total169.3174.5162.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica76186%88.373.6+14.7
2 FC Porto76186%91.681.6+10.0
3 Ovarense76186%84.476.9+7.6
4 Oliveirense64267%92.290.0+2.2
5 Sporting CP74357%83.674.6+9.0
6 Braga74357%88.181.1+7.0
7 CD Povoa74357%75.075.3-0.3
8 CA Queluz63350%87.891.7-3.8
9 Vitoria72529%68.783.9-15.1
10 CAB Madeira71614%82.786.4-3.7
11 Portimonense71614%78.789.0-10.3
12 Esgueira7070%80.397.7-17.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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