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Cairns Taipans vs New Zealand Breakers Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 25 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 04:00
Final 86-84
16-25 23-21 21-16 26-22
Position#4
Record4-4
FormLWWWL
Points / game90.5
Allowed / game97.5
Cairns Taipans 🏆
Australia
vs
New Zealand Breakers
Australia
Position#9
Record4-4
FormWWLWL
Points / game92.1
Allowed / game89.0
AustraliaNBLRound 6· Cairns Convention Centre
Other2026-27
Meetings · Cairns Taipans v New Zealand Breakers
31 Dec 2026
CAIR v NEW
upcoming
25 Oct 2026
CAIR86
NEW 84
17 Jan 2026
CAIR86
NEW 104
19 Dec 2025
CAIR99
NEW 95
22 Nov 2025
CAIR96
NEW 102
31 Dec 2024
CAIR68
NEW 92
16 Nov 2024
CAIR69
NEW 77
15 Dec 2023
CAIR82
NEW 111
25 Nov 2022
CAIR71
NEW 82
23 Oct 2022
CAIR64
NEW 68
14 Feb 2022
CAIR83
NEW 84
06 Jan 2017
CAIR65
NEW 63
27 Nov 2016
CAIR91
NEW 80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cairns Taipans winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
New Zealand Breakers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cairns TaipansAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTaipans
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#4
L
85-89
85
89
-4
79avg 79
H12/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
84-115
84
115
-31
74avg 79
A19/02
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
90-111
90
111
-21
78avg 79
A20/09
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
93-87
93
87
+6
84avg 79
H23/09
NBL
Adelaide
#5
L
69-83
69
83
-14
58avg 79
A27/09
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
75-98
75
98
-23
59avg 79
A30/09
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
W
107-95
107
95
+12
99avg 79
A03/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
97-91
97
91
+6
93avg 79
H08/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#10
W
110-100
110
100
+10
109avg 79
A11/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#8
L
83-115
83
115
-32
72avg 79
A17/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
27-21
14-16
25-33
24-24
20-37
22-27
18-27
26-32
27-27
20-31
17-21
32-16
13-28
21-22
27-21
17-32
17-20
17-15
18-16
18-19
17-23
25-30
15-26
18-14
29-32
25-35
35-14
23-17
24-33
27-22
23-19
28-27
29-23
29-27
24-23
35-27
19-35
9-27
20-26
187.7Avg total
89.3Scored
98.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)90.597.5188.0-7.050%
Season at home (2)95.089.0184.0+6.0100%
Season away (6)89.0100.3189.3-11.333%
Last 10 (10)89.398.4187.7-9.140%
Last 5 (5)94.499.8194.2-5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)88.1100.6188.7-12.525%
vs Similar ◀ (5)82.085.4167.4-3.460%
vs Weaker (1)110.0100.0210.0+10.0100%
This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New Zealand BreakersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreakers
Date
Competition
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
115-84
115
84
+31
110avg 84
H19/02
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
111-107
111
107
+4
no box
A22/02
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#10
W
95-81
95
81
+14
84avg 84
H20/09
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
85-88
85
88
-3
69avg 84
A22/09
NBL
Perth
#7
L
93-97
93
97
-4
84avg 84
A26/09
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
W
98-75
98
75
+23
99avg 84
H30/09
NBL
Adelaide
#5
W
88-72
88
72
+16
84avg 84
A04/10
NBL
Perth
#7
L
84-100
84
100
-16
63avg 84
A10/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
102-101
102
101
+1
99avg 84
A14/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
92-98
92
98
-6
89avg 84
A18/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-24
37-20
27-22
27-18
28-25
19-29
34-28
30-25
28-24
26-23
22-14
19-20
26-19
18-18
19-28
22-23
26-22
25-25
22-29
20-21
19-18
23-17
30-25
26-15
23-19
25-23
12-15
28-15
22-21
16-20
28-29
18-30
31-29
20-32
24-12
27-28
32-31
19-22
14-17
27-28
186.6Avg total
96.3Scored
90.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)92.189.0181.1+3.150%
Season at home (2)96.578.0174.5+18.5100%
Season away (6)90.792.7183.3-2.033%
Last 10 (10)96.390.3186.6+6.060%
Last 5 (5)92.889.2182.0+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)89.3100.3189.6-11.030%
vs Similar ◀ (13)94.991.6186.5+3.354%
vs Weaker (7)101.389.9191.1+11.471%
This opponent (Cairns Taipans) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -5.7-5.7Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +2.1+2.1
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -5.7-5.7Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +2.1+2.1
Cairns TaipansNew Zealand Breakers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Cairns TaipansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#4
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H12/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
44-61
44
61
-17
A19/02
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
53-59
53
59
-6
A20/09
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H23/09
NBL
Adelaide
#5
L
34-52
34
52
-18
A27/09
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A30/09
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A03/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H08/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#10
W
57-50
57
50
+7
A11/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#8
L
54-62
54
62
-8
A17/10
NBL
96.8Avg total
46.2Scored
50.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.348.194.4-1.747%-
Last 30 at home (13)47.246.193.3+1.262%-
Last 30 away (17)45.649.695.2-3.935%-
Last 10 (10)46.250.696.8-4.440%-
Last 5 (5)48.050.098.0-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)47.049.096.0-2.146%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)41.243.084.2-1.840%-
vs Weaker (1)57.050.0107.0+7.0100%-
This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New Zealand BreakersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
61-44
61
44
+17
H19/02
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
47-54
47
54
-7
A22/02
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#10
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H20/09
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A22/09
NBL
Perth
#7
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A26/09
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H30/09
NBL
Adelaide
#5
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A04/10
NBL
Perth
#7
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A10/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
51-61
51
61
-10
A14/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
51-53
51
53
-2
A18/10
NBL
94.8Avg total
48.7Scored
46.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.747.194.7+0.653%-
Last 30 at home (11)48.246.494.5+1.864%-
Last 30 away (19)47.447.594.8-0.147%-
Last 10 (10)48.746.194.8+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)46.046.492.4-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)45.152.097.1-6.920%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)46.943.590.5+3.469%-
vs Weaker (7)52.746.699.3+6.171%-
This opponent (Cairns Taipans) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cairns Taipanstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cairns Taipans: 88.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.421.0
56.1%
56.4%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.311.2
32.7%
34.2%33.6
🏀 Free throws16.213.3
82.1%
74.0%13.3
They take 71.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
New Zealand Breakerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

New Zealand Breakers: 92.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.123.1
57.6%
56.4%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.211.4
41.9%
34.2%34.2
🏀 Free throws18.112.4
68.5%
74.0%12.4
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cairns Taipans
LWWWLLWLLL
New Zealand Breakers
LWLWWLLWWW
#4
League position
#9
-9.4
Net rating
+7.4
94.6
Offensive rating
105.5
103.9
Defensive rating
98.1
52.7%
Effective FG%
59.7%
54.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
12.9%
Turnover %
13.7%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.27
32.7%
3-point %
41.9%
62.4%
Assist %
60.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence94.6 · 105.5Defence103.9 · 98.1Shooting52.7% · 59.7%3-point %32.7% · 41.9%Ball care12.9% · 13.7%Free throws0.23 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Cairns Taipans   ■ New Zealand Breakers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Cairns Taipans wins
9
New Zealand Breakers wins
DateGameScore
30/09/26New Zealand Breakers v Cairns Taipans98-75
19/02/26New Zealand Breakers v Cairns Taipans115-84
17/01/26Cairns Taipans v New Zealand Breakers86-104
19/12/25Cairns Taipans v New Zealand Breakers99-95
22/11/25Cairns Taipans v New Zealand Breakers96-102
01/02/25New Zealand Breakers v Cairns Taipans99-92
31/12/24Cairns Taipans v New Zealand Breakers68-92
16/11/24Cairns Taipans v New Zealand Breakers69-77
15/12/23Cairns Taipans v New Zealand Breakers82-111
03/11/23New Zealand Breakers v Cairns Taipans91-81
Cairns Taipanslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/10/26ASouth East Melbourne83-115
11/10/26AIllawarra Hawks110-100
08/10/26HBrisbane Bullets97-91
03/10/26AMelbourne United107-95
30/09/26ANew Zealand Breakers75-98
27/09/26AAdelaide69-83
23/09/26HTasmania JackJumpers93-87
20/09/26ASydney90-111
19/02/26ANew Zealand Breakers84-115
12/02/26HMelbourne United85-89
New Zealand Breakerslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/26ATasmania JackJumpers92-98
14/10/26ASydney102-101
10/10/26APerth84-100
04/10/26AAdelaide88-72
30/09/26HCairns Taipans98-75
26/09/26APerth93-97
22/09/26ABrisbane Bullets85-88
20/09/26HIllawarra Hawks95-81
22/02/26AAdelaide111-107
19/02/26HCairns Taipans115-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cairns Taipans
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLWWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games826
Win %50%100%33%
Points / game90.595.089.0
Allowed / game97.589.0100.3
Point differential-7.0+6.0-11.3
Avg total188.0184.0189.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
New Zealand Breakers
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLWLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games826
Win %50%100%33%
Points / game92.196.590.7
Allowed / game89.078.092.7
Point differential+3.1+18.5-2.0
Avg total181.1174.5183.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%100%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tasmania JackJumpers86275%98.893.5+5.2
2 Sydney75271%102.088.1+13.9
3 Perth75271%92.995.1-2.3
4 New Zealand Breakers84450%92.189.0+3.1
5 Brisbane Bullets84450%94.696.4-1.8
6 Cairns Taipans84450%90.597.5-7.0
7 South East Melbourne94544%97.893.9+3.9
8 Adelaide94544%89.392.7-3.3
9 Melbourne United83538%93.691.6+2.0
10 Illawarra Hawks102820%95.2105.1-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cairns Taipans1623212686
New Zealand Breakers2521162284
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