New Zealand Breakers vs Sydney Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 20 Oct 2019

Tip-off: 04:00

Final 66-76

21-25 24-15 13-17 8-19

Position#5

Record0-1

FormLWWLL

Points / game91.0

Allowed / game96.0

New Zealand Breakers

Sydney 🏆

Position#1

Record3-0

FormLLWWW

Points / game92.3

Allowed / game80.7

NBL

Other2019-20

Meetings · New Zealand Breakers v Sydney

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

New Zealand Breakers winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Sydney winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

New Zealand Breakers Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cairns

98-106 OT

106

-8

A21/01

NBL

Cairns

113-106

113

106

H24/01

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

109-96

109

+13

H27/01

NBL

Melbourne United

87-107

107

-20

H01/02

NBL

Melbourne United

102-111 OT

102

111

-9

A03/02

NBL

Adelaide

107-114

107

114

-7

H07/02

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

96-81

+15

A09/02

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

130-96

130

+34

H14/02

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

78-84

-6

A16/02

NBL

Sydney

91-96

-5

A18/10

NBL

31-26

23-25

22-26

15-14

30-26

28-25

24-21

31-34

26-18

30-33

23-22

30-23

21-30

13-29

25-24

28-24

29-21

16-25

23-34

28-16

24-30

26-32

25-26

32-26

26-18

23-21

24-21

23-21

34-24

29-25

37-21

30-26

25-26

17-21

18-15

18-22

28-27

19-21

20-24

24-24

200.8Avg total

101.1Scored

99.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (1)	91.0	96.0	187.0	-5.0	0%
Season at home	no games
Season away (1)	91.0	96.0	187.0	-5.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	101.1	99.7	200.8	+1.4	40%
Last 5 (5)	100.4	94.2	194.6	+6.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	88.0	90.6	178.6	-2.6	20%
vs Similar ◀ (17)	92.0	96.4	188.4	-4.4	29%
vs Weaker (8)	102.8	91.8	194.5	+11.0	75%

This opponent (Sydney) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Sydney

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Brisbane Bullets

95-93

A01/02

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

107-91

107

+16

H03/02

NBL

Melbourne United

97-85

+12

H08/02

NBL

Perth

86-95 OT

-9

A10/02

NBL

Cairns

89-84

H16/02

NBL

Melbourne United

73-95

-22

A28/02

NBL

Melbourne United

76-90

-14

H03/03

NBL

Cairns

79-71

A04/10

NBL

Adelaide

102-80

102

+22

H12/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

96-91

H18/10

NBL

27-26

25-17

24-31

19-19

34-18

23-27

22-16

28-30

21-21

25-18

27-22

24-24

26-12

12-16

17-23

22-26

29-22

18-21

19-22

23-19

24-24

11-28

18-19

20-24

24-22

16-20

18-25

18-23

13-20

24-21

20-22

22-8

30-14

29-28

25-21

18-17

27-28

21-19

24-20

24-24

177.5Avg total

90.0Scored

87.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (3)	92.3	80.7	173.0	+11.7	100%
Season at home (2)	99.0	85.5	184.5	+13.5	100%
Season away (1)	79.0	71.0	150.0	+8.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	90.0	87.5	177.5	+2.5	70%
Last 5 (5)	85.2	85.4	170.6	-0.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	82.2	88.0	170.2	-5.8	50%
vs Similar ◀ (17)	86.5	85.3	171.8	+1.2	65%
vs Weaker (9)	86.7	80.8	167.4	+5.9	78%

This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

New Zealand BreakersSydney

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	25.1	23.3	48.5	+1.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	25.1	23.4	48.5	+1.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	25.2	23.3	48.5	+1.9	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	27.4	24.6	52.0	+2.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.4	25.0	52.4	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	24.4	20.4	44.8	+4.0	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	24.3	25.4	49.6	-1.1	41%	-
vs Weaker (8)	27.4	20.9	48.2	+6.5	88%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.0	20.4	43.4	+2.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	24.4	20.4	44.8	+3.9	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.4	20.4	41.7	+1.0	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.5	20.7	46.2	+4.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	21.6	45.2	+2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	23.8	20.0	43.8	+3.8	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	23.1	22.0	45.1	+1.1	47%	-
vs Weaker (9)	22.3	17.6	39.9	+4.8	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.4	23.3	45.7	-1.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.6	23.9	46.5	-1.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.1	22.8	44.9	-0.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	25.7	48.1	-3.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	24.0	46.8	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	19.6	22.6	42.2	-3.0	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	21.6	23.6	45.2	-1.9	29%	-
vs Weaker (8)	25.6	23.2	48.9	+2.4	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	21.1	42.1	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.3	21.9	44.2	+0.4	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.5	20.2	39.7	-0.7	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	21.5	41.9	-1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	23.2	43.4	-3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	16.2	20.8	37.0	-4.5	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	22.0	21.2	43.2	+0.8	53%	-
vs Weaker (9)	21.2	21.0	42.2	+0.2	56%	-

New Zealand BreakersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cairns

54-51

A21/01

NBL

Cairns

58-51

H24/01

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

56-51

H27/01

NBL

Melbourne United

34-59

-25

H01/02

NBL

Melbourne United

45-46

-1

A03/02

NBL

Adelaide

50-62

-12

H07/02

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

49-39

+10

A09/02

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

63-49

+14

H14/02

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

42-47

-5

A16/02

NBL

Sydney

47-48

-1

A18/10

NBL

100.1Avg total

49.8Scored

50.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	47.5	46.7	94.2	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	47.7	47.3	94.9	+0.4	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	47.3	46.1	93.4	+1.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	49.8	50.3	100.1	-0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	50.2	49.0	99.2	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	44.0	43.0	87.0	+1.0	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	45.9	48.9	94.9	-3.0	29%	-
vs Weaker (8)	53.0	44.1	97.1	+8.9	100%	-

This opponent (Sydney) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

SydneyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Brisbane Bullets

52-43

A01/02

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

57-45

+12

H03/02

NBL

Melbourne United

46-39

H08/02

NBL

Perth

38-28

+10

A10/02

NBL

Cairns

47-43

H16/02

NBL

Melbourne United

35-52

-17

A28/02

NBL

Melbourne United

40-42

-2

H03/03

NBL

Cairns

37-41

-4

A04/10

NBL

Adelaide

59-42

+17

H12/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

48-47

H18/10

NBL

88.1Avg total

45.9Scored

42.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.0	41.5	85.5	+2.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	46.7	42.3	89.0	+4.4	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.9	40.6	81.4	+0.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.9	42.2	88.1	+3.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.8	44.8	88.6	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	40.0	40.8	80.8	-0.8	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	45.1	43.2	88.4	+1.9	59%	-
vs Weaker (9)	43.6	38.6	82.1	+5.0	78%	-

This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.7	23.1	45.8	-0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.2	22.3	45.5	+0.9	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.3	23.9	46.2	-1.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.1	23.4	47.5	+0.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	21.4	46.2	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	23.0	21.6	44.6	+1.4	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	21.2	24.0	45.2	-2.8	35%	-
vs Weaker (8)	25.8	22.1	47.9	+3.6	62%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	21.0	41.0	-0.9	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.1	21.9	42.1	-1.8	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.0	19.9	39.9	+0.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	22.1	43.5	-0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	21.4	42.4	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	16.8	20.8	37.5	-4.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	20.7	20.8	41.5	-0.1	41%	-
vs Weaker (9)	20.3	21.3	41.7	-1.0	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.0	22.6	45.6	+0.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	25.2	22.8	48.0	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	22.4	43.1	-1.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.9	23.0	48.9	+2.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.4	23.8	49.2	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	17.6	21.2	38.8	-3.6	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	24.5	22.5	47.0	+1.9	53%	-
vs Weaker (8)	23.1	23.6	46.8	-0.5	62%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	21.0	42.2	+0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.3	22.1	43.4	-0.8	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.0	19.9	40.9	+1.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	21.4	43.2	+0.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	19.2	39.6	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	23.2	22.0	45.2	+1.2	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	20.6	21.2	41.9	-0.6	29%	-
vs Weaker (9)	21.2	20.2	41.4	+1.0	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.7	45.7	91.4	+0.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	48.4	45.1	93.5	+3.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	43.0	46.3	89.3	-3.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	50.0	46.4	96.4	+3.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	50.2	45.2	95.4	+5.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	40.6	42.8	83.4	-2.2	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	45.7	46.5	92.2	-0.8	41%	-
vs Weaker (8)	48.9	45.8	94.6	+3.1	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.2	42.0	83.2	-0.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.4	44.0	85.4	-2.6	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.0	39.7	80.7	+1.3	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.2	43.5	86.7	-0.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	40.6	82.0	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	40.0	42.8	82.8	-2.8	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	41.4	42.1	83.4	-0.7	53%	-
vs Weaker (9)	41.6	41.6	83.1	+0.0	44%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

New Zealand Breakers wins

Sydney wins

Date	Game	Score
18/10/19	Sydney v New Zealand Breakers	96-91
11/01/19	Sydney v New Zealand Breakers	100-92
09/12/18	New Zealand Breakers v Sydney	70-71
18/11/18	Sydney v New Zealand Breakers	100-87
21/10/18	New Zealand Breakers v Sydney	78-101
18/02/18	Sydney v New Zealand Breakers	101-86
21/12/17	Sydney v New Zealand Breakers	95-98
19/10/17	New Zealand Breakers v Sydney	90-73
13/10/17	New Zealand Breakers v Sydney	87-85
29/01/17	Sydney v New Zealand Breakers	84-57

New Zealand Breakerslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/10/19	A	Sydney	91-96
16/02/19	A	Brisbane Bullets	78-84
14/02/19	H	Illawarra Hawks	130-96
09/02/19	A	Illawarra Hawks	96-81
07/02/19	H	Adelaide	107-114
03/02/19	A	Melbourne United	102-111 OT
01/02/19	H	Melbourne United	87-107
27/01/19	H	Brisbane Bullets	109-96
24/01/19	H	Cairns	113-106
21/01/19	A	Cairns	98-106 OT

Sydneylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/10/19	H	New Zealand Breakers	96-91
12/10/19	H	Adelaide	102-80
04/10/19	A	Cairns	79-71
03/03/19	H	Melbourne United	76-90
28/02/19	A	Melbourne United	73-95
16/02/19	H	Cairns	89-84
10/02/19	A	Perth	86-95 OT
08/02/19	H	Melbourne United	97-85
03/02/19	H	Brisbane Bullets	107-91
01/02/19	A	Brisbane Bullets	95-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

New Zealand Breakers

NBL 2019-20

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	L	0%
Home	-	-
Away	L	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	1	-	1
Win %	0%	-	0%
Points / game	91.0	-	91.0
Allowed / game	96.0	-	96.0
Point differential	-5.0	-	-5.0
Avg total	187.0	-	187.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	-	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	-	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	-	0%

Sydney

NBL 2019-20

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWW	100%
Home	WW	100%
Away	W	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	3	2	1
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	92.3	99.0	79.0
Allowed / game	80.7	85.5	71.0
Point differential	+11.7	+13.5	+8.0
Avg total	173.0	184.5	150.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	50%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Sydney	3	3	0	100%	92.3	80.7	+11.7
2	South East Melbourne	3	3	0	100%	103.3	94.3	+9.0
3	Perth	3	2	1	67%	91.0	89.3	+1.7
4	Brisbane Bullets	4	2	2	50%	92.8	93.0	-0.2
5	Adelaide	2	1	1	50%	92.0	100.0	-8.0
6	Cairns	4	1	3	25%	83.0	83.5	-0.5
7	Illawarra Hawks	4	1	3	25%	87.0	96.8	-9.8
8	Melbourne United	2	0	2	0%	90.5	92.5	-2.0
9	New Zealand Breakers	1	0	1	0%	91.0	96.0	-5.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
New Zealand Breakers	21	24	13	8	66
Sydney	25	15	17	19	76

← all games of the day

New Zealand Breakers vs Sydney Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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