Canberra Capitals W vs Adelaide Lightning W Result & Analysis

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	74.1	82.5	156.6	-8.4	24%
Season at home (8)	75.4	80.8	156.1	-5.4	25%
Season away (9)	73.0	84.1	157.1	-11.1	22%
Last 10 (10)	73.4	83.8	157.2	-10.4	20%
Last 5 (5)	77.4	82.4	159.8	-5.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	69.9	83.8	153.7	-13.8	8%
vs Similar (2)	78.5	77.5	156.0	+1.0	50%
vs Weaker (3)	88.0	81.0	169.0	+7.0	67%

This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Adelaide Lightning W Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Townsville W

42-84

-42

A05/11

NBL W

Dandenong W

69-63

A10/11

NBL W

Geelong United W

74-77

-3

A12/11

NBL W

Townsville W

78-101

101

-23

H18/11

NBL W

Dandenong W

70-49

+21

A25/11

NBL W

Sydney W

77-74

A29/11

NBL W

Perth Lynx W

74-89

-15

H02/12

NBL W

Townsville W

79-64

+15

A07/12

NBL W

Geelong United W

62-64

-2

H09/12

NBL W

Perth Lynx W

82-99

-17

A15/12

NBL W

9-27

13-20

13-23

7-14

20-16

15-12

18-14

16-21

18-24

14-18

20-8

22-27

17-28

16-25

19-18

26-30

18-15

14-11

21-15

17-8

28-19

11-20

13-16

25-19

23-21

17-25

16-20

18-23

23-21

17-18

23-13

16-12

20-19

11-6

14-20

17-19

22-25

24-17

20-30

16-27

147.1Avg total

70.7Scored

76.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	75.4	77.1	152.4	-1.7	53%
Season at home (8)	79.0	81.2	160.2	-2.2	50%
Season away (9)	72.1	73.3	145.4	-1.2	56%
Last 10 (10)	70.7	76.4	147.1	-5.7	40%
Last 5 (5)	74.8	78.0	152.8	-3.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	71.4	81.3	152.7	-9.9	30%
vs Similar (3)	73.3	65.0	138.3	+8.3	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	78.8	75.5	154.2	+3.2	75%

This opponent (Canberra Capitals W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Canberra Capitals WAdelaide Lightning W

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (17)	21.1	19.6	40.8	+1.5	65%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	22.4	18.1	40.5	+4.2	75%	-
Last 30 away (9)	20.0	21.0	41.0	-1.0	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	20.3	40.8	+0.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	21.6	42.8	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	18.8	20.1	38.9	-1.2	50%	-
vs Similar (2)	25.0	18.0	43.0	+7.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (3)	27.7	19.0	46.7	+8.7	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	20.6	40.7	-0.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.8	20.9	40.7	-1.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.3	20.4	40.6	-0.1	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	21.5	41.3	-1.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	21.0	44.2	+2.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	19.7	21.4	41.1	-1.7	48%	-
vs Similar (3)	18.7	17.0	35.7	+1.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	23.0	18.8	41.8	+4.2	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (17)	18.8	20.6	39.4	-1.8	29%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	19.4	18.5	37.9	+0.9	38%	-
Last 30 away (9)	18.3	22.4	40.8	-4.1	22%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	21.4	39.9	-2.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	21.4	40.6	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	18.0	19.2	37.2	-1.2	33%	-
vs Similar (2)	19.5	25.5	45.0	-6.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (3)	21.7	23.0	44.7	-1.3	33%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.3	18.6	35.9	-1.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.2	18.9	37.1	-0.8	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.3	18.1	34.4	-1.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.2	17.2	32.4	-2.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	17.2	33.2	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	17.3	19.3	36.7	-2.0	26%	-
vs Similar (3)	17.0	12.0	29.0	+5.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	17.2	19.2	36.5	-2.0	50%	-

Canberra Capitals WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sydney W

32-42

-10

A02/11

NBL W

Sydney W

36-34

H04/11

NBL W

Perth Lynx W

40-38

A11/11

NBL W

Geelong United W

33-47

-14

A18/11

NBL W

Bendigo W

47-41

H25/11

NBL W

Perth Lynx W

51-39

+12

A30/11

NBL W

Geelong United W

20-51

-31

A02/12

NBL W

Sydney W

35-30

H07/12

NBL W

Dandenong W

45-45

A09/12

NBL W

Bendigo W

51-50

A14/12

NBL W

80.7Avg total

39.0Scored

41.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (17)	39.9	40.2	80.2	-0.3	65%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	41.8	36.6	78.4	+5.1	88%	-
Last 30 away (9)	38.3	43.4	81.8	-5.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.0	41.7	80.7	-2.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	43.0	83.4	-2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	36.8	39.2	76.1	-2.4	58%	-
vs Similar (2)	44.5	43.5	88.0	+1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	49.3	42.0	91.3	+7.3	100%	-

This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Adelaide Lightning WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Townsville W

22-47

-25

A05/11

NBL W

Dandenong W

35-28

A10/11

NBL W

Geelong United W

32-42

-10

A12/11

NBL W

Townsville W

33-53

-20

H18/11

NBL W

Dandenong W

32-26

A25/11

NBL W

Sydney W

39-39

A29/11

NBL W

Perth Lynx W

40-46

-6

H02/12

NBL W

Townsville W

40-39

A07/12

NBL W

Geelong United W

31-25

H09/12

NBL W

Perth Lynx W

46-42

A15/12

NBL W

73.7Avg total

35.0Scored

38.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.3	39.2	76.5	-1.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.0	39.8	77.8	-1.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.6	38.5	75.1	-1.9	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.0	38.7	73.7	-3.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	38.2	77.4	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	37.0	40.7	77.8	-3.7	52%	-
vs Similar (3)	35.7	29.0	64.7	+6.7	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	40.2	38.0	78.2	+2.2	75%	-

This opponent (Canberra Capitals W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (17)	17.4	21.1	38.5	-3.6	18%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	16.2	22.8	39.0	-6.5	12%	-
Last 30 away (9)	18.4	19.6	38.0	-1.1	22%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	20.2	39.1	-1.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	19.8	40.0	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	16.9	21.8	38.7	-4.8	8%	-
vs Similar (2)	16.5	13.5	30.0	+3.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (3)	20.0	23.3	43.3	-3.3	0%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.4	18.5	35.9	-1.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.1	19.1	36.1	-2.0	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.7	17.9	35.6	-0.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	17.7	35.4	+0.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	19.8	37.0	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	16.4	19.6	36.0	-3.2	26%	-
vs Similar (3)	19.7	16.7	36.3	+3.0	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	21.2	14.0	35.2	+7.2	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (17)	16.8	21.2	38.0	-4.5	35%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	17.4	21.4	38.8	-4.0	38%	-
Last 30 away (9)	16.2	21.1	37.3	-4.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.5	21.9	37.4	-6.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	19.6	36.4	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	16.2	22.8	38.9	-6.6	25%	-
vs Similar (2)	17.5	20.5	38.0	-3.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	18.7	15.7	34.3	+3.0	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.5	20.9	38.4	-3.4	23%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.1	21.4	38.5	-4.2	19%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.9	20.3	38.2	-2.4	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	20.0	38.0	-2.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	20.0	38.4	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	18.0	21.0	39.0	-3.0	26%	-
vs Similar (3)	17.0	17.7	34.7	-0.7	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	15.2	22.5	37.8	-7.2	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (17)	34.2	42.3	76.5	-8.1	24%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	33.6	44.1	77.8	-10.5	0%	-
Last 30 away (9)	34.7	40.7	75.3	-6.0	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.4	42.1	76.5	-7.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.0	39.4	76.4	-2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	33.1	44.5	77.6	-11.4	17%	-
vs Similar (2)	34.0	34.0	68.0	+0.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	38.7	39.0	77.7	-0.3	33%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	34.9	39.4	74.3	-4.5	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	34.2	40.4	74.6	-6.2	19%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.6	38.2	73.9	-2.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.7	37.7	73.4	-2.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.6	39.8	75.4	-4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	34.3	40.6	74.9	-6.2	26%	-
vs Similar (3)	36.7	34.3	71.0	+2.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	36.5	36.5	73.0	+0.0	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Canberra Capitals W wins

Adelaide Lightning W wins

Date	Game	Score
25/10/17	Adelaide Lightning W v Canberra Capitals W	80-77
08/10/17	Canberra Capitals W v Adelaide Lightning W	84-77

Canberra Capitals Wlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/12/17	A	Bendigo W	91-80
09/12/17	A	Dandenong W	81-78
07/12/17	H	Sydney W	67-73
02/12/17	A	Geelong United W	72-92
30/11/17	A	Perth Lynx W	76-89
25/11/17	H	Bendigo W	80-83
18/11/17	A	Geelong United W	66-96
11/11/17	A	Perth Lynx W	67-85
04/11/17	H	Sydney W	72-81
02/11/17	A	Sydney W	62-81

Adelaide Lightning Wlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/12/17	A	Perth Lynx W	82-99
09/12/17	H	Geelong United W	62-64
07/12/17	A	Townsville W	79-64
02/12/17	H	Perth Lynx W	74-89
29/11/17	A	Sydney W	77-74
25/11/17	A	Dandenong W	70-49
18/11/17	H	Townsville W	78-101
12/11/17	A	Geelong United W	74-77
10/11/17	A	Dandenong W	69-63
05/11/17	A	Townsville W	42-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Canberra Capitals W

NBL W 2017-18

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWW	24%
Home	LLLLL	25%
Away	LLLWW	22%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	8	9
Win %	24%	25%	22%
Points / game	74.1	75.4	73.0
Allowed / game	82.5	80.8	84.1
Point differential	-8.4	-5.4	-11.1
Avg total	156.6	156.1	157.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	12%	12%	11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (4)	0% (2)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Adelaide Lightning W

NBL W 2017-18

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLL	53%
Home	WLLLL	50%
Away	LWWWL	56%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	8	9
Win %	53%	50%	56%
Points / game	75.4	79.0	72.1
Allowed / game	77.1	81.2	73.3
Point differential	-1.7	-2.2	-1.2
Avg total	152.4	160.2	145.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	24%	12%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (6)	50% (4)	50% (2)
Overtime %	12%	25%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Perth Lynx W	18	14	4	78%	85.0	77.8	+7.2
2	Townsville W	17	11	6	65%	77.1	69.8	+7.2
3	Geelong United W	18	11	7	61%	76.5	68.4	+8.1
4	Sydney W	18	11	7	61%	78.7	74.0	+4.7
5	Adelaide Lightning W	17	9	8	53%	75.4	77.1	-1.7
6	Dandenong W	18	7	11	39%	70.6	72.7	-2.1
7	Canberra Capitals W	17	4	13	24%	74.1	82.5	-8.4
8	Bendigo W	17	3	14	18%	70.2	86.3	-16.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Canberra Capitals W	28	23	19	18	88
Adelaide Lightning W	18	25	30	14	87

← all games of the day

Canberra Capitals W vs Adelaide Lightning W Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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