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Canberra Capitals W vs Perth Lynx W Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 11 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 08:00
Final 81-75
17-19 20-17 19-23 25-16
Position#8
Record3-9
FormLWWLW
Points / game76.4
Allowed / game82.4
Canberra Capitals W 🏆
Australia
vs
Perth Lynx W
Australia
Position#4
Record9-5
FormWWLLW
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game82.9
AustraliaNBL W· National Convention Centre
Women2023-24
Meetings · Canberra Capitals W v Perth Lynx W
04 Jan 2026
CANB77
PERT74
29 Nov 2025
CANB67
PERT91
29 Dec 2024
CANB80
PERT89
14 Nov 2024
CANB90
PERT92
11 Jan 2024
CANB81
PERT75
04 Mar 2023
CANB94
PERT107
21 Dec 2022
CANB83
PERT97
14 Jan 2022
CANB69
PERT88
26 Nov 2020
CANB73
PERT70
22 Jan 2020
CANB89
PERT75
24 Nov 2019
CANB84
PERT66
25 Jan 2019
CANB95
PERT76
16 Dec 2018
CANB92
PERT60
29 Dec 2017
CANB74
PERT69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Canberra Capitals W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Perth Lynx W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Canberra Capitals WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Sydney W
#6
L
81-86
81
86
-5
68avg 66
A15/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
L
73-85
73
85
-12
65avg 66
A18/11
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
L
81-87 OT
81
87
-6
no box
A26/11
NBL W
Southside W
#1
L
64-81
64
81
-17
58avg 66
A02/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
L
70-72
70
72
-2
55avg 66
H08/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
L
55-84
55
84
-29
37avg 66
H10/12
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
W
84-72
84
72
+12
80avg 66
H15/12
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
86-73
86
73
+13
80avg 66
H21/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#4
L
90-98
90
98
-8
82avg 66
A27/12
NBL W
Southside W
#1
W
75-65
75
65
+10
68avg 66
A06/01
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-29
19-23
15-16
21-18
16-20
17-21
21-24
19-20
20-16
18-23
15-17
23-20
10-24
21-14
17-21
16-22
14-22
18-22
23-5
15-23
19-18
13-19
11-25
12-22
20-16
26-21
19-21
19-14
24-14
19-19
23-18
20-22
27-15
19-27
24-33
20-23
14-20
16-14
21-14
24-17
156.2Avg total
75.9Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)76.482.4158.8-6.025%
Season at home (6)75.581.2156.7-5.733%
Season away (6)77.383.7161.0-6.317%
Last 10 (10)75.980.3156.2-4.430%
Last 5 (5)78.078.4156.4-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)76.786.3163.0-9.617%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Perth Lynx W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Perth Lynx WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Townsville W
#2
L
76-92
76
92
-16
72avg 77
H25/11
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
W
80-63
80
63
+17
70avg 77
A03/12
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
L
62-93
62
93
-31
49avg 77
H07/12
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
98-95 OT
98
95
+3
no box
A10/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
W
98-58
98
58
+40
98avg 77
H13/12
NBL W
Southside W
#1
W
95-85
95
85
+10
85avg 77
H23/12
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#8
W
98-90
98
90
+8
89avg 77
H27/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
L
64-87
64
87
-23
53avg 77
A31/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
L
91-104
91
104
-13
81avg 77
A03/01
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
84-68
84
68
+16
81avg 77
H07/01
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
26-23
10-28
17-19
19-19
23-9
14-25
24-10
22-17
17-26
19-23
4-27
13-26
23-23
25-19
27-20
23-19
29-14
26-8
20-17
27-25
21-21
29-23
18-16
15-27
27-19
33-24
23-20
23-24
15-14
13-22
13-27
30-23
22-31
19-26
20-24
20-14
17-14
31-21
16-19
168.1Avg total
84.6Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)85.882.9168.7+2.964%
Season at home (9)86.279.8166.0+6.478%
Season away (5)85.088.6173.6-3.640%
Last 10 (10)84.683.5168.1+1.160%
Last 5 (5)86.486.8173.2-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)80.890.4171.1-9.612%
vs Similar (12)87.481.3168.8+6.175%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)94.281.2175.4+13.0100%
This opponent (Canberra Capitals W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -1.7-1.7
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -1.7-1.7
Canberra Capitals WPerth Lynx W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Canberra Capitals WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney W
#6
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A15/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A18/11
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A26/11
NBL W
Southside W
#1
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A02/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H08/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H10/12
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H15/12
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H21/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#4
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A27/12
NBL W
Southside W
#1
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A06/01
NBL W
77.3Avg total
37.6Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.643.181.6-4.523%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.145.086.1-3.931%-
Last 30 away (14)35.640.976.5-5.214%-
Last 10 (10)37.639.777.3-2.130%-
Last 5 (5)39.436.676.0+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)38.643.181.6-4.523%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Perth Lynx W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Perth Lynx WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Townsville W
#2
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H25/11
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A03/12
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H07/12
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A10/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H13/12
NBL W
Southside W
#1
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H23/12
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#8
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H27/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A31/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
L
52-54
52
54
-2
A03/01
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H07/01
NBL W
84.5Avg total
43.5Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.442.688.0+2.860%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.741.485.1+2.362%-
Last 30 away (14)47.444.091.4+3.457%-
Last 10 (10)43.541.084.5+2.550%-
Last 5 (5)43.442.485.8+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)44.446.991.2-2.538%-
vs Similar (12)43.840.884.6+2.958%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)48.341.389.6+7.080%-
This opponent (Canberra Capitals W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Canberra Capitals Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Canberra Capitals W: 74.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.318.2
45.2%
47.3%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.18.7
32.1%
32.7%26.1
🏀 Free throws16.412.2
74.4%
74.3%12.2
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Perth Lynx Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Perth Lynx W: 83.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.220.5
46.4%
47.3%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.88.7
33.7%
32.7%26.1
🏀 Free throws21.116.1
76.3%
74.3%16.1
They take 70.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Canberra Capitals W
WLWWLLLLLL
Perth Lynx W
WLLWWWWLWL
#8
League position
#4
-8.1
Net rating
+1.1
95.7
Offensive rating
102.0
103.8
Defensive rating
100.9
46.4%
Effective FG%
47.9%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
48.3%
20.3%
Turnover %
18.1%
30.4%
Off. rebound %
29.2%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.30
32.1%
3-point %
33.7%
57.6%
Assist %
60.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence95.7 · 102.0Defence103.8 · 100.9Shooting46.4% · 47.9%3-point %32.1% · 33.7%Ball care20.3% · 18.1%Off. rebounds30.4% · 29.2%Free throws0.24 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Canberra Capitals W   ■ Perth Lynx W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Canberra Capitals W wins
7
Perth Lynx W wins
DateGameScore
27/12/23Perth Lynx W v Canberra Capitals W98-90
04/03/23Canberra Capitals W v Perth Lynx W94-107
21/12/22Canberra Capitals W v Perth Lynx W83-97
12/11/22Perth Lynx W v Canberra Capitals W97-62
24/03/22Perth Lynx W v Canberra Capitals W91-77
12/03/22Perth Lynx W v Canberra Capitals W80-96
19/01/22Perth Lynx W v Canberra Capitals W102-73
14/01/22Canberra Capitals W v Perth Lynx W69-88
10/12/20Perth Lynx W v Canberra Capitals W69-96
26/11/20Canberra Capitals W v Perth Lynx W73-70
Canberra Capitals Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/24ASouthside W75-65
27/12/23APerth Lynx W90-98
21/12/23HAdelaide Lightning W86-73
15/12/23HGeelong United W84-72
10/12/23HTownsville W55-84
08/12/23HSydney W70-72
02/12/23ASouthside W64-81
26/11/23AGeelong United W81-87 OT
18/11/23ATownsville W73-85
15/11/23ASydney W81-86
Perth Lynx Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/24HAdelaide Lightning W84-68
03/01/24ATownsville W91-104
31/12/23ATownsville W64-87
27/12/23HCanberra Capitals W98-90
23/12/23HSouthside W95-85
13/12/23HSydney W98-58
10/12/23AAdelaide Lightning W98-95 OT
07/12/23HGeelong United W62-93
03/12/23AGeelong United W80-63
25/11/23HTownsville W76-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Canberra Capitals W
NBL W 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW25%
HomeLLLWW33%
AwayLLLLW17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %25%33%17%
Points / game76.475.577.3
Allowed / game82.481.283.7
Point differential-6.0-5.7-6.3
Avg total158.8156.7161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %8%0%17%
Perth Lynx W
NBL W 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW64%
HomeLWWWW78%
AwayLWWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1495
Win %64%78%40%
Points / game85.886.285.0
Allowed / game82.979.888.6
Point differential+2.9+6.4-3.6
Avg total168.7166.0173.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%56%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %7%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Townsville W1512380%81.769.3+12.5
2 Perth Lynx W149564%85.882.9+2.9
3 Geelong United W159660%72.971.5+1.4
4 Southside W137654%78.676.1+2.5
5 Sydney W147750%69.974.4-4.5
6 Bendigo W135838%74.877.6-2.8
7 Canberra Capitals W123925%76.482.4-6.0
8 Adelaide Lightning W1641225%70.076.9-6.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Canberra Capitals W1720192581
Perth Lynx W1917231675
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