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Canberra Capitals W vs Perth Lynx W Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 14 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 07:30
Final 90-92
25-27 26-20 21-21 18-24
Position#4
Record0-2
FormLLLLL
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game100.5
Canberra Capitals W
Australia
vs
Perth Lynx W 🏆
Australia
Position#2
Record2-1
FormLLWLW
Points / game88.7
Allowed / game80.3
AustraliaNBL WRound 3· AIS Arena
Women2024-25
Meetings · Canberra Capitals W v Perth Lynx W
04 Jan 2026
CANB77
PERT74
29 Nov 2025
CANB67
PERT91
29 Dec 2024
CANB80
PERT89
14 Nov 2024
CANB90
PERT92
11 Jan 2024
CANB81
PERT75
04 Mar 2023
CANB94
PERT107
21 Dec 2022
CANB83
PERT97
14 Jan 2022
CANB69
PERT88
26 Nov 2020
CANB73
PERT70
22 Jan 2020
CANB89
PERT75
24 Nov 2019
CANB84
PERT66
25 Jan 2019
CANB95
PERT76
16 Dec 2018
CANB92
PERT60
29 Dec 2017
CANB74
PERT69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Canberra Capitals W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Perth Lynx W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Canberra Capitals WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Bendigo W
#5
L
66-88
66
88
-22
54avg 65
A14/01
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
L
65-90
65
90
-25
46avg 65
A19/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
L
75-93
75
93
-18
60avg 65
A25/01
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
L
67-84
67
84
-17
53avg 65
A28/01
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
L
83-91
83
91
-8
79avg 65
H30/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
L
77-85
77
85
-8
67avg 65
H15/02
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#4
L
79-94
79
94
-15
64avg 65
A18/02
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
L
74-75
74
75
-1
72avg 65
H24/02
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
L
85-102
85
102
-17
72avg 65
A03/11
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
L
76-99
76
99
-23
61avg 65
H08/11
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-22
21-23
11-30
10-13
17-18
13-24
19-27
16-21
14-25
26-29
16-14
19-25
26-23
15-16
12-18
14-27
16-25
24-22
16-29
27-15
20-27
18-22
21-17
18-19
15-18
17-28
27-16
20-32
22-26
26-18
7-16
19-15
21-35
23-24
18-22
23-21
22-28
19-25
14-25
21-21
164.8Avg total
74.7Scored
90.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)80.5100.5181.0-20.00%
Season at home (1)76.099.0175.0-23.00%
Season away (1)85.0102.0187.0-17.00%
Last 10 (10)74.790.1164.8-15.40%
Last 5 (5)78.291.0169.2-12.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)77.786.4164.1-8.717%
vs Similar (1)85.0102.0187.0-17.00%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Perth Lynx W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Perth Lynx WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Canberra Capitals W
#8
W
94-79
94
79
+15
92avg 77
H18/02
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
W
93-74
93
74
+19
81avg 77
A24/02
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
W
88-87
88
87
+1
80avg 77
A29/02
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
W
108-102
108
102
+6
110avg 77
H03/03
NBL W
Southside W
#1
W
101-79
101
79
+22
98avg 77
A10/03
NBL W
Southside W
#1
L
95-97
95
97
-2
82avg 77
H14/03
NBL W
Southside W
#1
L
81-115
81
115
-34
64avg 77
A17/03
NBL W
Southside W
#7
W
94-79
94
79
+15
93avg 77
H02/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
L
80-84
80
84
-4
67avg 77
H06/11
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#6
W
92-78
92
78
+14
86avg 77
A09/11
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-15
28-17
16-27
32-20
16-27
28-22
24-13
25-12
25-27
19-24
27-14
17-22
28-23
28-21
23-24
29-34
26-16
34-21
22-16
19-26
25-28
18-27
28-23
24-19
27-28
12-24
26-33
16-30
31-27
26-18
29-12
8-22
21-26
25-25
17-16
17-17
25-28
28-18
18-18
21-14
180.0Avg total
92.6Scored
87.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)88.780.3169.0+8.367%
Season at home (2)87.081.5168.5+5.550%
Season away (1)92.078.0170.0+14.0100%
Last 10 (10)92.687.4180.0+5.270%
Last 5 (5)88.490.6179.0-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)85.293.8179.0-8.733%
vs Similar (19)85.684.2169.8+1.453%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)90.681.4172.0+9.280%
This opponent (Canberra Capitals W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.0-5.0Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -5.3-5.3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -0.8-0.8
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.0-5.0Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -5.3-5.3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -0.8-0.8
Canberra Capitals WPerth Lynx W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Canberra Capitals WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bendigo W
#5
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A14/01
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A19/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
L
40-54
40
54
-14
A25/01
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A28/01
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H30/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H15/02
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#4
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A18/02
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H24/02
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
L
44-59
44
59
-15
A03/11
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
L
41-53
41
53
-12
H08/11
NBL W
87.7Avg total
39.9Scored
47.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.444.683.9-5.227%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.245.286.4-3.938%-
Last 30 away (14)37.243.981.1-6.614%-
Last 10 (10)39.947.887.7-7.920%-
Last 5 (5)40.650.290.8-9.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)39.244.183.3-4.928%-
vs Similar (1)44.059.0103.0-15.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Perth Lynx W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Perth Lynx WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Canberra Capitals W
#8
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H18/02
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A24/02
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A29/02
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
W
56-44
56
44
+12
H03/03
NBL W
Southside W
#1
W
60-37
60
37
+23
A10/03
NBL W
Southside W
#1
L
43-55
43
55
-12
H14/03
NBL W
Southside W
#1
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A17/03
NBL W
Southside W
#7
W
57-45
57
45
+12
H02/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
L
46-51
46
51
-5
H06/11
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#6
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A09/11
NBL W
95.0Avg total
48.8Scored
46.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.943.688.5+1.343%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.242.888.0+2.556%-
Last 30 away (14)44.444.689.0-0.129%-
Last 10 (10)48.846.295.0+2.650%-
Last 5 (5)47.649.897.4-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)47.047.594.5-0.533%-
vs Similar (19)43.743.086.7+0.742%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)46.841.288.0+5.660%-
This opponent (Canberra Capitals W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Canberra Capitals Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Canberra Capitals W: 73.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.520.4
46.9%
46.9%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.57.1
26.8%
32.2%21.3
🏀 Free throws15.411.6
75.3%
75.1%11.6
They take 70.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Perth Lynx Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Perth Lynx W: 92.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.5 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.921.0
50.1%
46.9%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.212.5
41.4%
32.2%37.5
🏀 Free throws18.012.7
70.6%
75.1%12.7
They take 72.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Canberra Capitals W
LLLLLLLLLL
Perth Lynx W
WLWLLWWWWW
#4
League position
#2
-20.0
Net rating
+6.1
94.3
Offensive rating
110.8
114.2
Defensive rating
104.7
44.4%
Effective FG%
55.1%
55.9%
Opp. effective FG%
48.5%
19.4%
Turnover %
17.2%
32.0%
Off. rebound %
27.7%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.25
26.8%
3-point %
41.4%
56.0%
Assist %
55.5%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence94.3 · 110.8Defence114.2 · 104.7Shooting44.4% · 55.1%3-point %26.8% · 41.4%Ball care19.4% · 17.2%Off. rebounds32.0% · 27.7%Free throws0.22 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)0% · 70%
■ Canberra Capitals W   ■ Perth Lynx W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Canberra Capitals W wins
8
Perth Lynx W wins
DateGameScore
18/02/24Perth Lynx W v Canberra Capitals W94-79
11/01/24Canberra Capitals W v Perth Lynx W81-75
27/12/23Perth Lynx W v Canberra Capitals W98-90
04/03/23Canberra Capitals W v Perth Lynx W94-107
21/12/22Canberra Capitals W v Perth Lynx W83-97
12/11/22Perth Lynx W v Canberra Capitals W97-62
24/03/22Perth Lynx W v Canberra Capitals W91-77
12/03/22Perth Lynx W v Canberra Capitals W80-96
19/01/22Perth Lynx W v Canberra Capitals W102-73
14/01/22Canberra Capitals W v Perth Lynx W69-88
Canberra Capitals Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/24HBendigo W76-99
03/11/24ASydney W85-102
24/02/24HGeelong United W74-75
18/02/24APerth Lynx W79-94
15/02/24HBendigo W77-85
30/01/24HTownsville W83-91
28/01/24AAdelaide Lightning W67-84
25/01/24ABendigo W75-93
19/01/24ASydney W65-90
14/01/24ABendigo W66-88
Perth Lynx Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/24AAdelaide Lightning W92-78
06/11/24HTownsville W80-84
02/11/24HSouthside W94-79
17/03/24ASouthside W81-115
14/03/24HSouthside W95-97
10/03/24ASouthside W101-79
03/03/24HTownsville W108-102
29/02/24ATownsville W88-87
24/02/24ABendigo W93-74
18/02/24HCanberra Capitals W94-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Canberra Capitals W
NBL W 2024-25
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game80.576.085.0
Allowed / game100.599.0102.0
Point differential-20.0-23.0-17.0
Avg total181.0175.0187.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Perth Lynx W
NBL W 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeWL50%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%50%100%
Points / game88.787.092.0
Allowed / game80.381.578.0
Point differential+8.3+5.5+14.0
Avg total169.0168.5170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bendigo W440100%92.073.8+18.2
2 Townsville W220100%84.069.0+15.0
3 Perth Lynx W32167%88.780.3+8.3
4 Southside W31233%83.086.3-3.3
5 Sydney W31233%82.786.0-3.3
6 Geelong United W31233%75.388.7-13.3
7 Adelaide Lightning W2020%74.088.0-14.0
8 Canberra Capitals W2020%80.5100.5-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Canberra Capitals W2526211890
Perth Lynx W2720212492
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