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Basket Napoli vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 71-90
21-16 19-23 10-24 21-27
Position#11
Record7-12
FormLWLLL
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game86.4
Basket Napoli
Italy
vs
Virtus Bologna 🏆
Italy
Position#1
Record17-3
FormWLWWL
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game74.5
ItalyLega ARound 21· PalaBarbuto
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Basket Napoli v Virtus Bologna
03 Jan 2027
NAP v VIR
upcoming
07 Mar 2026
NAP71
VIR90
16 Mar 2025
NAP93
VIR88
21 Sep 2024
NAP87
VIR96
30 Oct 2023
NAP75
VIR88
02 Oct 2022
NAP77
VIR89
24 Oct 2021
NAP92
VIR89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Basket Napoli winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Basket NapoliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNapoli
Date
Competition
Udine
#13
L
71-78
71
78
-7
61avg 77
A07/12
Lega A
Cremona
#12
W
102-76
102
76
+26
99avg 77
H14/12
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
96-106
96
106
-10
87avg 77
A21/12
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
98-86
98
86
+12
97avg 77
H28/12
Lega A
Varese
#8
L
80-84
80
84
-4
82avg 77
A03/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
71-77
71
77
-6
65avg 77
H12/01
Lega A
Sassari
#16
W
84-78
84
78
+6
no box
A18/01
Lega A
Tortona
#6
L
76-82
76
82
-6
67avg 77
H24/01
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
64-79
64
79
-15
46avg 77
H08/02
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
84-110
84
110
-26
66avg 77
A14/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-27
18-14
16-22
16-15
20-17
34-18
21-22
27-19
29-30
19-23
18-27
30-26
21-21
30-19
21-17
26-29
18-20
24-18
18-24
20-22
23-15
15-17
17-20
16-25
20-17
19-20
22-20
23-21
21-17
15-28
20-19
20-18
17-20
14-22
18-17
15-20
23-38
22-32
22-20
17-20
168.2Avg total
82.6Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)83.786.4170.2-2.737%
Season at home (10)83.382.8166.1+0.540%
Season away (9)84.290.4174.7-6.233%
Last 10 (10)82.685.6168.2-3.030%
Last 5 (5)75.885.2161.0-9.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)83.593.0176.5-9.525%
vs Similar (17)86.186.0172.1+0.147%
vs Weaker (1)70.074.0144.0-4.00%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Cremona
#12
W
84-74
84
74
+10
83avg 79
A26/01
Lega A
Monaco
#10
W
84-82
84
82
+2
84avg 79
A30/01
Euroleague
Trento
#9
L
85-87
85
87
-2
87avg 79
H01/02
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
L
70-80
70
80
-10
64avg 79
H04/02
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
L
77-109
77
109
-32
66avg 79
A06/02
Euroleague
Brescia
#4
W
87-79
87
79
+8
78avg 79
A09/02
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#19
L
60-91
60
91
-31
48avg 79
A12/02
Euroleague
Udine
#13
W
90-86
90
86
+4
87avg 79
H15/02
Lega A
Barcelona
#8
W
85-80
85
80
+5
84avg 79
H25/02
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
L
84-92
84
92
-8
80avg 79
A05/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
24-14
20-17
18-24
22-30
22-21
18-14
22-17
23-20
21-22
28-21
13-24
17-21
16-22
21-12
16-25
23-24
11-37
16-28
27-20
23-19
23-18
25-18
16-24
19-22
16-21
10-21
15-27
31-15
23-34
17-16
19-21
20-28
27-15
21-14
17-23
23-22
17-24
21-18
23-28
166.6Avg total
80.6Scored
86.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)82.574.5157.1+8.085%
Season at home (10)80.572.6153.1+7.980%
Season away (10)84.676.4161.0+8.290%
Last 10 (10)80.686.0166.6-5.450%
Last 5 (5)81.285.6166.8-4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)81.285.4166.6-4.136%
vs Similar (7)78.479.0157.4-0.657%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)78.168.8146.9+9.389%
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -4.7-4.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -4.7-4.7
Basket NapoliVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Basket NapoliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Udine
#13
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A07/12
Lega A
Cremona
#12
W
54-35
54
35
+19
H14/12
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A21/12
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H28/12
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A03/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H12/01
Lega A
Sassari
#16
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A18/01
Lega A
Tortona
#6
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H24/01
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H08/02
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
45-70
45
70
-25
A14/02
Lega A
85.6Avg total
42.3Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.443.885.2-2.443%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.642.984.5-1.444%-
Last 30 away (14)41.244.886.0-3.643%-
Last 10 (10)42.343.385.6-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)37.845.283.0-7.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)38.845.183.9-6.225%-
vs Similar (17)43.143.486.5-0.253%-
vs Weaker (1)43.036.079.0+7.0100%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#12
W
46-33
46
33
+13
A26/01
Lega A
Monaco
#10
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A30/01
Euroleague
Trento
#9
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H01/02
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H04/02
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
L
34-61
34
61
-27
A06/02
Euroleague
Brescia
#4
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A09/02
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#19
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A12/02
Euroleague
Udine
#13
W
54-49
54
49
+5
H15/02
Lega A
Barcelona
#8
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H25/02
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A05/03
Euroleague
87.1Avg total
42.3Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)42.041.583.6+0.559%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.741.986.6+2.864%-
Last 30 away (15)39.541.180.7-1.653%-
Last 10 (10)42.344.887.1-2.550%-
Last 5 (5)44.443.688.0+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)41.443.885.2-2.450%-
vs Similar (7)39.640.079.6-0.443%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)45.238.984.1+6.488%-
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Basket Napolitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Napoli: 82.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.222.7
53.8%
54.1%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.58.1
33.1%
34.6%24.3
🏀 Free throws16.612.6
75.9%
76.1%12.6
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.620.2
60.1%
54.1%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.79.1
35.4%
34.6%27.3
🏀 Free throws14.211.2
78.9%
76.1%11.2
They take 59.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Basket Napoli
LLLWLLWLWL
Virtus Bologna
LWWLWLLLWW
#11
League position
#1
-3.1
Net rating
-7.4
101.5
Offensive rating
90.9
104.6
Defensive rating
98.4
52.2%
Effective FG%
57.1%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
57.6%
16.1%
Turnover %
16.6%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.24
33.1%
3-point %
35.4%
53.9%
Assist %
63.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence101.5 · 90.9Defence104.6 · 98.4Shooting52.2% · 57.1%3-point %33.1% · 35.4%Ball care16.1% · 16.6%Off. rebounds30.2% · -Free throws0.25 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Basket Napoli   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Basket Napoli wins
7
Virtus Bologna wins
DateGameScore
06/10/25Virtus Bologna v Basket Napoli105-88
16/03/25Basket Napoli v Virtus Bologna93-88
12/01/25Virtus Bologna v Basket Napoli86-75
21/09/24Basket Napoli v Virtus Bologna87-96
28/01/24Virtus Bologna v Basket Napoli101-89
30/10/23Basket Napoli v Virtus Bologna75-88
08/04/23Virtus Bologna v Basket Napoli81-89
02/10/22Basket Napoli v Virtus Bologna77-89
06/03/22Virtus Bologna v Basket Napoli86-75
24/10/21Basket Napoli v Virtus Bologna92-89
Basket Napolilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/26ATrieste84-110
08/02/26HVenezia64-79
24/01/26HTortona76-82
18/01/26ASassari84-78
12/01/26HOlimpia Milano71-77
03/01/26AVarese80-84
28/12/25HCantu98-86
21/12/25AVenezia96-106
14/12/25HCremona102-76
07/12/25AUdine71-78
Virtus Bolognalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/26AReal Madrid84-92
25/02/26HBarcelona85-80
15/02/26HUdine90-86
12/02/26AAnadolu Efes60-91
09/02/26ABrescia87-79
06/02/26AOlympiacos77-109
04/02/26HLyon-Villeurbanne70-80
01/02/26HTrento85-87
30/01/26AMonaco84-82
26/01/26ACremona84-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Basket Napoli
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL37%
HomeWWLLL40%
AwayLLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %37%40%33%
Points / game83.783.384.2
Allowed / game86.482.890.4
Point differential-2.7+0.5-6.2
Avg total170.2166.1174.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%30%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Virtus Bologna
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW85%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayLWWWW90%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %85%80%90%
Points / game82.580.584.6
Allowed / game74.572.676.4
Point differential+8.1+7.9+8.2
Avg total157.1153.1161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%60%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2017385%82.574.5+8.1
2 Brescia2015575%88.883.7+5.1
3 Olimpia Milano2014670%84.877.5+7.2
4 Venezia1913668%91.285.1+6.1
5 Trapani1510567%78.877.9+0.9
6 Tortona2013765%88.086.8+1.3
7 Trieste20101050%84.587.8-3.2
8 Trento21101148%83.081.2+1.8
9 Reggiana2081240%80.880.2+0.6
10 Udine2081240%81.681.8-0.1
11 Cremona2081240%82.185.2-3.0
12 Varese2081240%82.586.5-4.0
13 Sassari2181338%85.588.0-2.6
14 Basket Napoli1971237%83.786.4-2.7
15 Cantu2051525%83.489.4-6.0
16 Treviso1931616%80.689.9-9.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Basket Napoli2119102171
Virtus Bologna1623242790
← all games of the day
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