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Basket Napoli vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 12 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 17:45
Final 71-77
23-15 15-17 17-20 16-25
Position#11
Record6-8
FormLWLWL
Points / game86.6
Allowed / game86.9
vs
Position#2
Record10-4
FormWLWWW
Points / game86.7
Allowed / game77.8
ItalyLega ARound 15· PalaBarbuto
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Basket Napoli v Olimpia Milano
18 Oct 2026
NAP82
MIL98
12 Jan 2026
NAP71
MIL77
31 Mar 2025
NAP95
MIL87
08 Oct 2023
NAP77
MIL68
08 Jan 2023
NAP87
MIL81
25 Sep 2021
NAP63
MIL73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Basket Napoli winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Basket NapoliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNapoli
Date
Competition
Tortona
#6
L
76-87
76
87
-11
65avg 79
A02/11
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
90-97
90
97
-7
86avg 79
H05/11
Lega A
Trento
#9
W
93-87
93
87
+6
86avg 79
A09/11
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
72-85
72
85
-13
64avg 79
H16/11
Lega A
Sassari
#16
W
86-75
86
75
+11
83avg 79
H23/11
Lega A
Udine
#13
L
71-78
71
78
-7
61avg 79
A07/12
Lega A
Cremona
#12
W
102-76
102
76
+26
99avg 79
H14/12
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
96-106
96
106
-10
87avg 79
A21/12
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
98-86
98
86
+12
97avg 79
H28/12
Lega A
Varese
#8
L
80-84
80
84
-4
82avg 79
A03/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
22-20
14-22
21-22
18-27
28-17
27-33
17-20
20-15
21-24
28-24
24-24
15-23
18-21
16-12
23-29
24-21
24-18
15-18
23-18
21-27
18-14
16-22
16-15
20-17
34-18
21-22
27-19
29-30
19-23
18-27
30-26
21-21
30-19
21-17
26-29
18-20
24-18
18-24
20-22
172.5Avg total
86.4Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)86.686.9173.4-0.343%
Season at home (7)88.984.3173.1+4.657%
Season away (7)84.389.4173.7-5.129%
Last 10 (10)86.486.1172.5+0.340%
Last 5 (5)89.486.0175.4+3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)84.694.0178.6-9.431%
vs Similar (16)87.283.8171.0+3.556%
vs Weaker (1)70.074.0144.0-4.00%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
74-63
74
63
+11
65avg 80
H14/12
Lega A
Real Madrid
#2
W
89-82
89
82
+7
83avg 80
H16/12
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#4
L
72-87
72
87
-15
60avg 80
H18/12
Euroleague
Cantu
#15
W
94-89
94
89
+5
90avg 80
A20/12
Lega A
Dubai
#11
L
92-99
92
99
-7
84avg 80
A23/12
Euroleague
Cremona
#12
W
91-74
91
74
+17
93avg 80
H29/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#17
L
85-97
85
97
-12
77avg 80
A02/01
Euroleague
Udine
#13
W
85-84
85
84
+1
75avg 80
H04/01
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#7
W
87-74
87
74
+13
86avg 80
A06/01
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#19
W
87-74
87
74
+13
84avg 80
H09/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-11
14-24
23-14
16-14
23-21
27-18
16-21
23-22
11-19
21-21
23-16
17-31
29-22
25-25
15-23
25-19
20-31
29-25
22-16
21-27
27-12
16-19
29-19
19-24
27-14
20-33
19-30
19-20
15-21
24-19
15-23
31-21
15-20
23-23
23-15
26-16
16-27
22-22
24-8
25-17
167.9Avg total
85.6Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)86.777.8164.5+8.971%
Season at home (8)85.477.8163.1+7.675%
Season away (6)88.577.8166.3+10.767%
Last 10 (10)85.682.3167.9+3.370%
Last 5 (5)87.080.6167.6+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)91.587.5179.0+4.075%
vs Similar (14)83.183.7166.9-0.650%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)87.980.2168.2+7.775%
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +1.1+1.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +1.1+1.1
Basket NapoliOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Basket NapoliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tortona
#6
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A02/11
Lega A
Trapani
#3
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H05/11
Lega A
Trento
#9
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A09/11
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H16/11
Lega A
Sassari
#16
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H23/11
Lega A
Udine
#13
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A07/12
Lega A
Cremona
#12
W
54-35
54
35
+19
H14/12
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A21/12
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H28/12
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A03/01
Lega A
85.9Avg total
44.3Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.743.084.7-1.340%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.742.986.6+0.747%-
Last 30 away (15)39.843.182.9-3.333%-
Last 10 (10)44.341.685.9+2.760%-
Last 5 (5)46.841.488.2+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)38.845.884.5-7.015%-
vs Similar (16)44.141.285.2+2.956%-
vs Weaker (1)43.036.079.0+7.0100%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#1
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H14/12
Lega A
Real Madrid
#2
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H16/12
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#4
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H18/12
Euroleague
Cantu
#15
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A20/12
Lega A
Dubai
#11
L
49-56
49
56
-7
A23/12
Euroleague
Cremona
#12
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H29/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#17
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A02/01
Euroleague
Udine
#13
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H04/01
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#7
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A06/01
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#19
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H09/01
Euroleague
85.2Avg total
42.5Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.441.885.3+1.647%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.040.884.8+3.256%-
Last 30 away (14)42.843.085.8-0.236%-
Last 10 (10)42.542.785.2-0.230%-
Last 5 (5)41.042.083.0-1.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)46.044.590.5+1.550%-
vs Similar (14)42.041.983.9+0.136%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)44.240.885.1+3.458%-
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Basket Napolitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Napoli: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.722.8
56.0%
54.1%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.08.0
34.8%
34.6%24.0
🏀 Free throws21.115.9
75.4%
76.1%15.9
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 84.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.918.4
51.3%
54.1%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.110.7
41.0%
34.6%32.1
🏀 Free throws19.415.9
82.0%
76.1%15.9
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Basket Napoli
LWLWLWLWLL
Olimpia Milano
WWWLWLWLWW
#11
League position
#2
+0.4
Net rating
+4.7
111.8
Offensive rating
114.5
111.4
Defensive rating
109.8
54.6%
Effective FG%
55.6%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
17.2%
Turnover %
16.5%
28.0%
Off. rebound %
29.1%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.31
34.8%
3-point %
41.0%
58.4%
Assist %
58.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence111.8 · 114.5Defence111.4 · 109.8Shooting54.6% · 55.6%3-point %34.8% · 41.0%Ball care17.2% · 16.5%Off. rebounds28.0% · 29.1%Free throws0.33 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Basket Napoli   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Basket Napoli wins
5
Olimpia Milano wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/26AVarese80-84
28/12/25HCantu98-86
21/12/25AVenezia96-106
14/12/25HCremona102-76
07/12/25AUdine71-78
23/11/25HSassari86-75
16/11/25HBrescia72-85
09/11/25ATrento93-87
05/11/25HTrapani90-97
02/11/25ATortona76-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/26HAnadolu Efes87-74
06/01/26APanathinaikos87-74
04/01/26HUdine85-84
02/01/26AVirtus Bologna85-97
29/12/25HCremona91-74
23/12/25ADubai92-99
20/12/25ACantu94-89
18/12/25HFenerbahce72-87
16/12/25HReal Madrid89-82
14/12/25HVirtus Bologna74-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Basket Napoli
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL43%
HomeLLWWW57%
AwayLWLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %43%57%29%
Points / game86.688.984.3
Allowed / game86.984.389.4
Point differential-0.3+4.6-5.1
Avg total173.4173.1173.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW71%
HomeLWWWW75%
AwayWWLLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %71%75%67%
Points / game86.785.488.5
Allowed / game77.877.877.8
Point differential+8.9+7.6+10.7
Avg total164.5163.1166.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)67% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna1513287%81.172.5+8.7
2 Brescia1512380%90.183.7+6.3
3 Olimpia Milano1410471%86.777.8+8.9
4 Venezia1510567%92.186.4+5.7
5 Tortona1510567%88.687.4+1.2
6 Trapani1510567%78.877.9+0.9
7 Trento157847%80.878.3+2.5
8 Trieste157847%84.088.3-4.3
9 Basket Napoli146843%86.686.9-0.3
10 Udine156940%80.680.9-0.3
11 Cremona156940%82.183.8-1.7
12 Sassari156940%85.588.4-2.9
13 Varese156940%82.386.3-4.0
14 Reggiana1541127%79.782.7-3.0
15 Cantu1531220%82.891.2-8.4
16 Treviso1531220%82.791.5-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Basket Napoli2315171671
Olimpia Milano1517202577
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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