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Trieste vs Cantu Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 84-79
26-14 18-27 18-15 22-23
Position#10
Record6-8
FormLLLWL
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game88.9
Trieste 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#15
Record3-11
FormLLLLL
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game91.7
ItalyLega ARound 15· PalaTrieste
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Trieste v Cantu
18 Oct 2026
TRI92
KAN72
11 Jan 2026
TRI84
KAN79
12 Jun 2024
TRI83
KAN72
10 Jun 2024
TRI73
KAN74
07 Mar 2021
TRI82
KAN79
22 Dec 2019
TRI86
KAN96
25 Nov 2018
TRI102
KAN82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trieste winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cantu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TriesteItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrieste
Date
Competition
Galatasaray
#8
W
80-79
80
79
+1
72avg 78
A18/11
Champions League
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
86-82
86
82
+4
81avg 78
H23/11
Lega A
Sassari
#16
L
80-85
80
85
-5
72avg 78
A06/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
W
92-82 OT
92
82
+10
86avg 78
H13/12
Lega A
Wurzburg
#15
L
77-90
77
90
-13
61avg 78
H17/12
Champions League
Varese
#8
L
69-84
69
84
-15
65avg 78
A21/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
66-74
66
74
-8
50avg 78
H29/12
Lega A
Trento
#9
L
87-89
87
89
-2
82avg 78
A04/01
Lega A
Szolnoki Olaj
#24
W
82-62
82
62
+20
84avg 78
A06/01
Champions League
Szolnoki Olaj
#24
L
80-89
80
89
-9
76avg 78
H08/01
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
21-21
18-22
23-18
30-21
14-20
26-24
16-17
17-30
20-14
21-25
22-16
16-24
21-19
20-19
18-13
16-24
21-17
12-27
28-22
11-13
26-19
11-28
21-24
22-25
17-19
13-11
14-19
27-20
25-16
29-30
6-23
17-22
21-15
25-13
19-12
13-22
23-22
30-26
14-19
161.5Avg total
79.9Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)84.088.9172.9-4.943%
Season at home (6)85.782.5168.2+3.267%
Season away (8)82.893.8176.5-11.025%
Last 10 (10)79.981.6161.5-1.740%
Last 5 (5)76.879.6156.4-2.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)79.486.2165.5-6.836%
vs Similar ◀ (14)85.888.1173.9-2.336%
vs Weaker (5)92.884.6177.4+8.260%
This opponent (Cantu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CantuItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCantu
Date
Competition
Cremona
#12
W
91-83
91
83
+8
88avg 73
H02/11
Lega A
Sassari
#16
L
84-100
84
100
-16
74avg 73
A06/11
Lega A
Udine
#13
W
90-85 OT
90
85
+5
82avg 73
H09/11
Lega A
Varese
#8
L
82-91
82
91
-9
69avg 73
A16/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
77-89
77
89
-12
78avg 73
H23/11
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
95-101
95
101
-6
85avg 73
A07/12
Lega A
Treviso
#14
L
81-86
81
86
-5
70avg 73
A14/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
89-94
89
94
-5
81avg 73
H20/12
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#11
L
86-98
86
98
-12
72avg 73
A28/12
Lega A
Tortona
#6
L
79-85
79
85
-6
72avg 73
H04/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
24-20
22-18
22-21
20-27
17-28
23-18
24-27
20-17
21-24
13-20
21-14
21-18
19-25
17-27
25-21
15-24
20-23
21-23
21-19
26-36
25-25
14-23
30-17
24-20
17-25
13-12
27-29
22-29
25-25
23-15
19-25
21-21
19-30
17-21
29-26
27-19
17-27
18-16
17-23
176.6Avg total
85.4Scored
91.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)83.191.7174.8-8.621%
Season at home (7)81.785.0166.7-3.343%
Season away (7)84.498.4182.9-14.00%
Last 10 (10)85.491.2176.6-5.820%
Last 5 (5)86.092.8178.8-6.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)81.192.6173.8-11.512%
vs Similar ◀ (10)84.484.9169.3-0.560%
vs Weaker (12)78.972.3151.2+6.667%
This opponent (Trieste) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -4.8-4.8Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +1.3+1.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -4.8-4.8Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +1.3+1.3
TriesteCantu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TriesteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galatasaray
#8
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A18/11
Champions League
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H23/11
Lega A
Sassari
#16
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A06/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H13/12
Lega A
Wurzburg
#15
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H17/12
Champions League
Varese
#8
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A21/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H29/12
Lega A
Trento
#9
W
52-36
52
36
+16
A04/01
Lega A
Szolnoki Olaj
#24
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A06/01
Champions League
Szolnoki Olaj
#24
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H08/01
Champions League
79.7Avg total
39.6Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.643.385.9-0.740%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.343.185.4-0.836%-
Last 30 away (16)42.943.586.4-0.644%-
Last 10 (10)39.640.179.7-0.540%-
Last 5 (5)40.438.679.0+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)39.543.983.5-4.49%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)43.743.186.9+0.657%-
vs Weaker (5)46.242.488.6+3.860%-
This opponent (Cantu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CantuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#12
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H02/11
Lega A
Sassari
#16
L
37-55
37
55
-18
A06/11
Lega A
Udine
#13
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H09/11
Lega A
Varese
#8
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A16/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H23/11
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
51-61
51
61
-10
A07/12
Lega A
Treviso
#14
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A14/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
47-54
47
54
-7
H20/12
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#11
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A28/12
Lega A
Tortona
#6
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H04/01
Lega A
91.0Avg total
42.3Scored
48.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.341.981.2-2.633%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.139.980.9+1.253%-
Last 30 away (15)37.543.981.5-6.413%-
Last 10 (10)42.348.791.0-6.410%-
Last 5 (5)44.651.496.0-6.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)40.450.290.6-9.90%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)39.143.282.3-4.120%-
vs Weaker (12)38.835.274.0+3.567%-
This opponent (Trieste) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Triestetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trieste: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.317.4
53.9%
54.1%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.110.5
34.9%
34.6%31.5
🏀 Free throws16.612.8
77.1%
76.1%12.8
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cantutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cantu: 84.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.618.7
52.5%
54.1%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.29.6
32.9%
34.6%28.8
🏀 Free throws24.518.2
74.3%
76.1%18.2
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trieste
LWLLLLWLWW
Cantu
LLLLLLLWLW
#10
League position
#15
-2.2
Net rating
-7.3
103.5
Offensive rating
106.6
105.8
Defensive rating
113.9
53.1%
Effective FG%
51.1%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
20.0%
Turnover %
16.9%
29.6%
Off. rebound %
25.8%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.38
34.9%
3-point %
32.9%
60.2%
Assist %
64.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence103.5 · 106.6Defence105.8 · 113.9Shooting53.1% · 51.1%3-point %34.9% · 32.9%Ball care20.0% · 16.9%Off. rebounds29.6% · 25.8%Free throws0.27 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Trieste   ■ Cantu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Trieste wins
4
Cantu wins
DateGameScore
12/06/24Trieste v Cantu83-72
10/06/24Trieste v Cantu73-74
06/06/24Cantu v Trieste73-83
04/06/24Cantu v Trieste65-72
17/02/24Cantu v Trieste96-92
07/03/21Trieste v Cantu82-79
16/12/20Cantu v Trieste73-67
22/12/19Trieste v Cantu86-96
24/03/19Cantu v Trieste66-88
25/11/18Trieste v Cantu102-82
Triestelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/26HSzolnoki Olaj80-89
06/01/26ASzolnoki Olaj82-62
04/01/26ATrento87-89
29/12/25HVirtus Bologna66-74
21/12/25AVarese69-84
17/12/25HWurzburg77-90
13/12/25HReggiana92-82 OT
06/12/25ASassari80-85
23/11/25HOlimpia Milano86-82
18/11/25AGalatasaray80-79
Cantulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/26HTortona79-85
28/12/25ABasket Napoli86-98
20/12/25HOlimpia Milano89-94
14/12/25ATreviso81-86
07/12/25AVenezia95-101
23/11/25HVirtus Bologna77-89
16/11/25AVarese82-91
09/11/25HUdine90-85 OT
06/11/25ASassari84-100
02/11/25HCremona91-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trieste
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL43%
HomeWWWWL67%
AwayLLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %43%67%25%
Points / game84.085.782.8
Allowed / game88.982.593.8
Point differential-4.9+3.2-11.0
Avg total172.9168.2176.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %7%17%0%
Cantu
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL21%
HomeWWLLL43%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %21%43%0%
Points / game83.181.784.4
Allowed / game91.785.098.4
Point differential-8.6-3.3-14.0
Avg total174.8166.7182.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %7%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna1412286%81.172.3+8.9
2 Brescia1411379%89.983.6+6.4
3 Olimpia Milano1410471%86.777.8+8.9
4 Venezia1410471%93.486.8+6.6
5 Tortona1410471%88.887.1+1.7
6 Trapani1510567%78.877.9+0.9
7 Trento157847%80.878.3+2.5
8 Basket Napoli146843%86.686.9-0.3
9 Cremona146843%82.683.9-1.3
10 Trieste146843%84.088.9-4.9
11 Sassari156940%85.588.4-2.9
12 Varese156940%82.386.3-4.0
13 Udine145936%80.581.4-0.9
14 Reggiana1541127%79.782.7-3.0
15 Cantu1431121%83.191.7-8.6
16 Treviso1531220%82.791.5-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Trieste2618182284
Cantu1427152379
← all games of the day
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