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Cantu vs Pistoia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Mar 2018
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 106-85
26-20 33-22 19-22 28-21
Position#9
Record10-10
FormLLWLW
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game87.4
Cantu 🏆
Italy
vs
Pistoia
Italy
Position#13
Record7-13
FormWLWLW
Points / game74.8
Allowed / game80.0
ItalyLega ARound 21
Domestic2017-18
Meetings · Cantu v Pistoia
06 Jun 2023
KAN67
PIS75
29 May 2023
KAN82
PIS68
27 May 2023
KAN74
PIS73
23 Apr 2023
KAN68
PIS70
16 Mar 2022
KAN75
PIS59
15 Mar 2020
KAN v PIS
upcoming
30 Dec 2018
KAN100
PIS79
11 Mar 2018
KAN106
PIS85
15 Apr 2017
KAN73
PIS71
29 Feb 2016
KAN82
PIS74
07 Dec 2014
KAN76
PIS80
13 Oct 2013
KAN87
PIS77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cantu winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pistoia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CantuItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCantu
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#11
L
80-86
80
86
-6
102avg 110
A30/12
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
96-73
96
73
+23
134avg 110
H07/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
W
88-86
88
86
+2
111avg 110
A14/01
Lega A
Sassari
#6
W
102-96 OT
102
96
+6
no box
H20/01
Lega A
Cremona
#10
L
100-109
100
109
-9
129avg 110
A28/01
Lega A
Varese
#8
L
85-89
85
89
-4
111avg 110
H05/02
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
76-87
76
87
-11
97avg 110
A10/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#8
W
105-87
105
87
+18
no box
A16/02
Italian Cup
Brescia
#2
L
82-87 OT
82
87
-5
no box
H17/02
Italian Cup
Avellino
#4
W
83-82
83
82
+1
109avg 110
H04/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-15
17-27
21-22
24-22
26-7
18-22
28-20
24-24
20-22
21-17
20-17
27-30
21-24
20-17
16-27
29-18
17-33
33-24
27-31
23-21
25-33
26-23
18-22
16-11
22-16
20-22
17-26
17-23
28-18
29-20
23-25
25-24
18-20
21-23
17-20
20-13
18-19
25-16
21-29
19-18
177.9Avg total
89.7Scored
88.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)86.887.4174.2-0.650%
Season at home (10)91.384.1175.4+7.270%
Season away (10)82.390.7173.0-8.430%
Last 10 (10)89.788.2177.9+1.550%
Last 5 (5)86.286.4172.6-0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)81.687.7169.2-6.133%
vs Similar (14)84.188.6172.7-4.436%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)93.776.0169.7+17.7100%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Sassari
#6
L
81-88
81
88
-7
107avg 111
A16/12
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
79-86
79
86
-7
106avg 111
H23/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
67-75
67
75
-8
92avg 111
A02/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
63-79
63
79
-16
89avg 111
H08/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
72-76
72
76
-4
98avg 111
A14/01
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
91-69
91
69
+22
127avg 111
H21/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
L
74-88
74
88
-14
164avg 111
A28/01
Lega A
Cremona
#10
W
76-65
76
65
+11
176avg 111
H04/02
Lega A
Avellino
#4
L
71-101
71
101
-30
171avg 111
A11/02
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
74-65
74
65
+9
108avg 111
H04/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-26
18-17
20-22
20-23
18-26
23-17
15-24
23-19
20-25
18-23
17-9
12-18
19-26
13-9
14-21
17-23
20-22
16-24
19-14
17-16
27-17
19-17
29-19
16-16
21-20
23-19
19-33
11-16
24-13
11-21
22-17
19-14
17-24
18-27
21-29
15-21
17-16
16-14
22-18
19-17
154.0Avg total
74.8Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)74.880.0154.8-5.235%
Season at home (10)78.576.8155.3+1.760%
Season away (10)71.083.2154.2-12.210%
Last 10 (10)74.879.2154.0-4.430%
Last 5 (5)77.277.6154.8-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)72.082.9154.9-10.914%
vs Similar (12)79.577.1156.6+2.458%
vs Weaker (4)80.570.5151.0+10.075%
This opponent (Cantu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -1.4-1.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -1.4-1.4
CantuPistoia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CantuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#11
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A30/12
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H07/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A14/01
Lega A
Sassari
#6
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H20/01
Lega A
Cremona
#10
L
50-57
50
57
-7
A28/01
Lega A
Varese
#8
L
51-56
51
56
-5
H05/02
Lega A
Trento
#5
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A10/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#8
W
57-38
57
38
+19
A16/02
Italian Cup
Brescia
#2
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H17/02
Italian Cup
Avellino
#4
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H04/03
Lega A
86.1Avg total
44.3Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.442.885.2-0.343%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.141.384.5+1.847%-
Last 30 away (15)41.744.285.9-2.540%-
Last 10 (10)44.341.886.1+2.550%-
Last 5 (5)46.442.088.4+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)40.643.584.1-2.925%-
vs Similar (14)42.644.987.5-2.243%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)44.031.775.7+12.3100%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#6
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A16/12
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H23/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A02/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H08/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A14/01
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H21/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A28/01
Lega A
Cremona
#10
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H04/02
Lega A
Avellino
#4
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A11/02
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H04/03
Lega A
78.4Avg total
38.1Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.740.377.9-2.640%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.438.477.8+1.060%-
Last 30 away (15)35.942.178.1-6.220%-
Last 10 (10)38.140.378.4-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)38.637.676.2+1.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)35.442.678.1-7.214%-
vs Similar (12)39.539.579.0+0.050%-
vs Weaker (4)40.034.274.2+5.8100%-
This opponent (Cantu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cantutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cantu: 86.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.020.2
50.5%
51.6%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.110.1
38.7%
34.9%30.3
🏀 Free throws18.615.4
82.8%
73.0%15.4
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 74.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.618.2
47.2%
51.6%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.99.2
33.0%
34.9%27.6
🏀 Free throws14.210.0
70.4%
73.0%10.0
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Mar 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cantu
WLWLLLWWWL
Pistoia
WLWLWLLLLL
#9
League position
#13
+0.5
Net rating
-6.2
111.7
Offensive rating
101.7
111.2
Defensive rating
107.9
53.5%
Effective FG%
48.1%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
15.3%
Turnover %
16.8%
25.7%
Off. rebound %
32.2%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.21
38.7%
3-point %
33.0%
58.4%
Assist %
55.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence111.7 · 101.7Defence111.2 · 107.9Shooting53.5% · 48.1%3-point %38.7% · 33.0%Ball care15.3% · 16.8%Off. rebounds25.7% · 32.2%Free throws0.28 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Cantu   ■ Pistoia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Cantu wins
5
Pistoia wins
DateGameScore
04/11/17Pistoia v Cantu82-93
15/04/17Cantu v Pistoia73-71
19/12/16Pistoia v Cantu94-87 OT
29/02/16Cantu v Pistoia82-74
08/11/15Pistoia v Cantu95-89
30/03/15Pistoia v Cantu88-87 OT
07/12/14Cantu v Pistoia76-80 OT
19/01/14Pistoia v Cantu82-77 OT
13/10/13Cantu v Pistoia87-77
Cantulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/18HAvellino83-82
17/02/18HBrescia82-87 OT
16/02/18AOlimpia Milano105-87
10/02/18ATrento76-87
05/02/18HVarese85-89
28/01/18ACremona100-109
20/01/18HSassari102-96 OT
14/01/18ABrindisi88-86
07/01/18HCapo d'Orlando96-73
30/12/17AReggiana80-86
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/18HVarese74-65
11/02/18AAvellino71-101
04/02/18HCremona76-65
28/01/18ABrindisi74-88
21/01/18HCapo d'Orlando91-69
14/01/18ABrescia72-76
08/01/18HOlimpia Milano63-79
02/01/18AVirtus Bologna67-75
23/12/17HTrento79-86
16/12/17ASassari81-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cantu
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW50%
HomeWWWLW70%
AwayLLWLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %50%70%30%
Points / game86.891.382.3
Allowed / game87.484.190.7
Point differential-0.6+7.2-8.4
Avg total174.2175.4173.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%30%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)25% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %10%20%0%
Pistoia
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW35%
HomeLLWWW60%
AwayLLLLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %35%60%10%
Points / game74.878.571.0
Allowed / game80.076.883.2
Point differential-5.2+1.7-12.2
Avg total154.8155.3154.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%30%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2116576%79.672.1+7.5
2 Venezia2116576%80.778.3+2.4
3 Avellino2115671%84.777.0+7.7
4 Brescia2014670%79.274.5+4.7
5 Torino2112957%80.781.2-0.5
6 Virtus Bologna21111052%78.875.8+3.0
7 Sassari21111052%85.082.2+2.8
8 Trento21111052%78.177.2+0.9
9 Cantu20101050%86.887.4-0.6
10 Cremona21101148%82.982.0+0.9
11 Reggiana2091145%75.576.5-0.9
12 Varese2181338%77.575.7+1.8
13 Pistoia2071335%74.880.0-5.2
14 Brindisi2161529%76.080.4-4.4
15 Pesaro2151624%77.284.1-7.0
16 Capo d'Orlando2151624%69.382.2-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cantu26331928106
Pistoia2022222185
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