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Pistoia vs Cantu Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Nov 2019
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 77-69
17-14 18-24 26-13 16-18
Position#16
Record1-7
FormLLLWL
Points / game71.8
Allowed / game83.1
Pistoia 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#11
Record3-4
FormLWLWL
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game74.4
ItalyLega ARound 9
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Pistoia v Cantu
03 Jun 2023
PIS80
KAN77
01 Jun 2023
PIS73
KAN69
02 Apr 2023
PIS60
KAN65
10 Oct 2021
PIS68
KAN82
17 Nov 2019
PIS77
KAN69
27 Apr 2019
PIS74
KAN84
04 Nov 2017
PIS82
KAN93
19 Dec 2016
PIS94
KAN87
08 Nov 2015
PIS95
KAN89
30 Mar 2015
PIS88
KAN87
19 Jan 2014
PIS82
KAN77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pistoia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cantu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Varese
#7
L
70-98
70
98
-28
57avg 92
A05/05
Lega A
Avellino
#9
L
73-88
73
88
-15
54avg 92
H12/05
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
75-88
75
88
-13
61avg 92
A25/09
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
78-88
78
88
-10
61avg 92
H29/09
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
72-87
72
87
-15
69avg 92
A06/10
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
L
67-81
67
81
-14
53avg 92
H12/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
72-84
72
84
-12
65avg 92
A20/10
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
L
71-82
71
82
-11
70avg 92
A27/10
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
76-72
76
72
+4
73avg 92
H03/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
63-83
63
83
-20
no box
A11/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-18
13-22
23-28
20-30
22-20
22-25
17-33
12-10
19-19
18-25
17-24
21-20
12-18
18-24
23-20
25-26
9-15
24-26
23-22
16-24
19-22
16-19
17-24
15-16
23-20
20-17
13-20
16-27
17-22
22-17
15-16
17-27
14-19
16-17
19-17
27-19
12-21
16-21
15-33
20-8
156.8Avg total
71.7Scored
85.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)71.883.1154.9-11.412%
Season at home (3)73.780.3154.0-6.733%
Season away (5)70.684.8155.4-14.20%
Last 10 (10)71.785.1156.8-13.410%
Last 5 (5)69.880.4150.2-10.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)72.580.6153.2-8.118%
vs Similar (2)72.081.0153.0-9.00%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cantu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CantuItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCantu
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#16
W
84-74
84
74
+10
236avg 111
A27/04
Lega A
Torino
#13
W
86-76
86
76
+10
82avg 111
H05/05
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
81-87
81
87
-6
71avg 111
A12/05
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
69-64
69
64
+5
58avg 111
A26/09
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
75-92
75
92
-17
61avg 111
H06/10
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
46-76
46
76
-30
31avg 111
A13/10
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
78-72
78
72
+6
68avg 111
H20/10
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
70-87
70
87
-17
59avg 111
H27/10
Lega A
Cremona
#6
W
78-54
78
54
+24
74avg 111
A03/11
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
L
74-76
74
76
-2
60avg 111
H10/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-25
22-16
17-14
26-19
20-20
16-16
28-22
22-18
24-23
20-27
22-11
15-26
19-20
17-11
23-20
10-13
15-19
17-20
21-29
22-24
9-23
19-16
7-20
11-17
26-23
19-11
16-15
17-23
15-24
19-21
13-23
23-19
29-14
20-19
9-14
20-7
19-23
28-17
13-24
14-12
149.9Avg total
74.1Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)70.074.4144.4-4.443%
Season at home (4)74.281.8156.0-7.525%
Season away (3)64.364.7129.0-0.367%
Last 10 (10)74.175.8149.9-1.750%
Last 5 (5)69.273.0142.2-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)76.186.9163.0-10.921%
vs Similar (12)85.381.2166.5+4.283%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)84.575.2159.8+9.275%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -5.5-5.5Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +0.2+0.2
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -5.5-5.5Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +0.2+0.2
PistoiaCantu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#7
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A05/05
Lega A
Avellino
#9
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H12/05
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A25/09
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H29/09
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A06/10
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H12/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A20/10
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A27/10
Lega A
Trieste
#14
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H03/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
28-42
28
42
-14
A11/11
Lega A
75.3Avg total
34.6Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)37.940.878.6-2.928%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.140.277.3-3.121%-
Last 30 away (15)38.641.379.9-2.733%-
Last 10 (10)34.640.775.3-6.110%-
Last 5 (5)35.039.074.0-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)37.740.678.2-2.930%-
vs Similar (2)40.543.584.0-3.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cantu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CantuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#16
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A27/04
Lega A
Torino
#13
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H05/05
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A12/05
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A26/09
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H06/10
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A13/10
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H20/10
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H27/10
Lega A
Cremona
#6
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A03/11
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H10/11
Lega A
78.0Avg total
39.2Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.140.681.7+0.543%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.739.680.3+1.138%-
Last 30 away (14)41.641.883.4-0.250%-
Last 10 (10)39.238.878.0+0.440%-
Last 5 (5)40.638.278.8+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)39.943.383.2-3.421%-
vs Similar (12)41.338.479.8+2.958%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)44.538.082.5+6.575%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 70.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.616.0
44.9%
52.0%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.77.4
32.6%
35.1%22.2
🏀 Free throws22.016.5
75.0%
73.6%16.5
They take 58.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cantutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cantu: 73.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.419.3
49.0%
52.0%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.2
31.1%
35.1%24.6
🏀 Free throws14.99.9
66.4%
73.6%9.9
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Nov 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pistoia
LWLLLLLLLL
Cantu
LWLWLLWLWW
#16
League position
#11
-18.6
Net rating
-2.7
96.7
Offensive rating
105.2
115.3
Defensive rating
107.9
46.5%
Effective FG%
48.0%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
48.7%
17.7%
Turnover %
13.6%
22.1%
Off. rebound %
31.3%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.23
32.6%
3-point %
31.1%
47.0%
Assist %
56.7%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence96.7 · 105.2Defence115.3 · 107.9Shooting46.5% · 48.0%3-point %32.6% · 31.1%Ball care17.7% · 13.6%Off. rebounds22.1% · 31.3%Free throws0.38 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)10% · 50%
■ Pistoia   ■ Cantu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Pistoia wins
6
Cantu wins
DateGameScore
27/04/19Pistoia v Cantu74-84
30/12/18Cantu v Pistoia100-79
11/03/18Cantu v Pistoia106-85
04/11/17Pistoia v Cantu82-93
15/04/17Cantu v Pistoia73-71
19/12/16Pistoia v Cantu94-87 OT
29/02/16Cantu v Pistoia82-74
08/11/15Pistoia v Cantu95-89
30/03/15Pistoia v Cantu88-87 OT
07/12/14Cantu v Pistoia76-80 OT
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/19AOlimpia Milano63-83
03/11/19HTrieste76-72
27/10/19AFortitudo Bologna71-82
20/10/19AReggiana72-84
12/10/19HVirtus Roma67-81
06/10/19ATreviso72-87
29/09/19HVirtus Bologna78-88
25/09/19ATrento75-88
12/05/19HAvellino73-88
05/05/19AVarese70-98
Cantulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/19HVirtus Roma74-76
03/11/19ACremona78-54
27/10/19HSassari70-87
20/10/19HTrento78-72
13/10/19AVenezia46-76
06/10/19HReggiana75-92
26/09/19ABrindisi69-64
12/05/19ASassari81-87
05/05/19HTorino86-76
27/04/19APistoia84-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pistoia
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL12%
HomeLLW33%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %12%33%0%
Points / game71.873.770.6
Allowed / game83.180.384.8
Point differential-11.4-6.7-14.2
Avg total154.9154.0155.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cantu
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL43%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %43%25%67%
Points / game70.074.264.3
Allowed / game74.481.864.7
Point differential-4.4-7.5-0.3
Avg total144.4156.0129.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna990100%83.675.2+8.3
2 Sassari86275%82.168.4+13.8
3 Brindisi86275%84.080.4+3.6
4 Olimpia Milano95456%81.173.7+7.4
5 Brescia95456%81.675.4+6.1
6 Fortitudo Bologna95456%76.178.2-2.1
7 Reggiana84450%81.179.5+1.6
8 Varese84450%80.679.5+1.1
9 Trento84450%79.981.5-1.6
10 Cremona84450%76.880.5-3.8
11 Virtus Roma84450%76.081.0-5.0
12 Venezia94544%74.372.2+2.1
13 Treviso94544%77.077.2-0.2
14 Cantu73443%70.074.4-4.4
15 Trieste82625%72.279.5-7.2
16 Pistoia81712%71.883.1-11.4
17 Pesaro7070%80.693.9-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pistoia1718261677
Cantu1424131869
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