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Cantu vs Pistoia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 30 Dec 2018
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 100-79
26-17 24-18 25-21 25-23
Position#8
Record3-9
FormLLLLL
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game88.8
Cantu 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#16
Record3-9
FormWWLLL
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game89.2
ItalyLega ARound 13
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Cantu v Pistoia
06 Jun 2023
KAN67
PIS75
29 May 2023
KAN82
PIS68
27 May 2023
KAN74
PIS73
23 Apr 2023
KAN68
PIS70
16 Mar 2022
KAN75
PIS59
15 Mar 2020
KAN v PIS
upcoming
30 Dec 2018
KAN100
PIS79
11 Mar 2018
KAN106
PIS85
15 Apr 2017
KAN73
PIS71
29 Feb 2016
KAN82
PIS74
07 Dec 2014
KAN76
PIS80
13 Oct 2013
KAN87
PIS77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cantu winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pistoia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CantuItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#3
W
96-79
96
79
+17
A20/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
101-95
101
95
+6
H28/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
59-76
59
76
-17
A04/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
81-90
81
90
-9
A11/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
87-90
87
90
-3
H19/11
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
82-102
82
102
-20
A25/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
74-101
74
101
-27
H09/12
Lega A
Brescia
#12
L
63-81
63
81
-18
A16/12
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
71-93
71
93
-22
H23/12
Lega A
Varese
#7
L
71-89
71
89
-18
A25/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-21
21-8
23-19
22-31
29-25
20-20
21-27
31-23
5-22
28-21
10-23
16-10
26-17
16-30
18-19
21-24
17-26
28-21
27-18
15-25
21-24
24-26
15-39
22-13
18-18
18-26
16-20
22-37
14-25
15-18
22-17
12-21
20-29
16-18
17-23
18-23
18-37
19-17
17-18
17-17
168.1Avg total
78.5Scored
89.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)79.288.8168.0-9.725%
Season at home (5)83.490.2173.6-6.840%
Season away (7)76.187.9164.0-11.714%
Last 10 (10)78.589.6168.1-11.120%
Last 5 (5)72.293.2165.4-21.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)78.191.9170.0-13.817%
vs Similar (12)84.086.1170.1-2.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)85.577.8163.3+7.767%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
83-107
83
107
-24
A21/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
74-90
74
90
-16
H28/10
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
79-96
79
96
-17
A04/11
Lega A
Cremona
#3
L
73-90
73
90
-17
H11/11
Lega A
Sassari
#4
W
113-111
113
111
+2
A18/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
84-82
84
82
+2
A24/11
Lega A
Brescia
#12
W
73-70
73
70
+3
H09/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
71-81
71
81
-10
H16/12
Lega A
Torino
#13
L
80-86
80
86
-6
A23/12
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
70-78
70
78
-8
H26/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-26
24-27
13-19
22-35
16-28
22-21
19-12
17-29
21-31
14-21
15-23
29-21
17-20
22-22
15-22
19-26
30-28
22-29
25-26
36-28
21-15
19-17
23-20
21-30
19-15
16-20
22-20
16-15
12-28
16-22
16-21
27-10
21-13
29-23
17-26
13-24
20-23
16-12
18-21
16-22
169.1Avg total
80.0Scored
89.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)78.889.2168.1-10.425%
Season at home (6)71.784.3156.0-12.717%
Season away (6)86.094.2180.2-8.233%
Last 10 (10)80.089.1169.1-9.130%
Last 5 (5)75.679.4155.0-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)76.385.6162.0-9.328%
vs Similar (4)76.882.0158.8-5.225%
vs Weaker (1)91.069.0160.0+22.0100%
This opponent (Cantu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.6-4.6Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: -2.4-2.4
CantuPistoia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CantuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#3
W
51-29
51
29
+22
A20/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H28/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A04/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A11/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H19/11
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A25/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H09/12
Lega A
Brescia
#12
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A16/12
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H23/12
Lega A
Varese
#7
L
37-54
37
54
-17
A25/12
Lega A
85.2Avg total
40.3Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.044.586.5-2.527%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.943.985.7-2.029%-
Last 30 away (16)42.145.187.2-2.925%-
Last 10 (10)40.344.985.2-4.620%-
Last 5 (5)36.647.684.2-11.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)39.646.486.0-6.817%-
vs Similar (12)41.846.187.8-4.38%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)47.337.584.8+9.883%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A21/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H28/10
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A04/11
Lega A
Cremona
#3
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H11/11
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
52-57
52
57
-5
A18/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A24/11
Lega A
Brescia
#12
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H09/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
28-50
28
50
-22
H16/12
Lega A
Torino
#13
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A23/12
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H26/12
Lega A
84.2Avg total
40.1Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.941.880.7-2.940%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.138.875.9-1.747%-
Last 30 away (15)40.744.885.5-4.133%-
Last 10 (10)40.144.184.2-4.030%-
Last 5 (5)37.837.675.4+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)38.342.981.2-4.632%-
vs Similar (4)40.837.077.8+3.875%-
vs Weaker (1)46.034.080.0+12.0100%-
This opponent (Cantu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cantutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cantu: 77.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.8 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.823.3
50.9%
51.0%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.45.6
27.5%
35.1%16.8
🏀 Free throws20.914.3
68.4%
72.3%14.3
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.920.1
51.7%
51.0%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.77.6
36.7%
35.1%22.8
🏀 Free throws19.312.3
63.7%
72.3%12.3
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Dec 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cantu
LLLLLLLLWW
Pistoia
LLLWWWLLLL
#8
League position
#16
-14.8
Net rating
-16.0
99.9
Offensive rating
104.1
114.7
Defensive rating
120.1
47.9%
Effective FG%
52.9%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
56.1%
19.2%
Turnover %
19.8%
32.6%
Off. rebound %
33.5%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.32
27.5%
3-point %
36.7%
50.9%
Assist %
49.5%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence99.9 · 104.1Defence114.7 · 120.1Shooting47.9% · 52.9%3-point %27.5% · 36.7%Ball care19.2% · 19.8%Off. rebounds32.6% · 33.5%Free throws0.32 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)20% · 30%
■ Cantu   ■ Pistoia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Cantu wins
5
Pistoia wins
DateGameScore
11/03/18Cantu v Pistoia106-85
04/11/17Pistoia v Cantu82-93
15/04/17Cantu v Pistoia73-71
19/12/16Pistoia v Cantu94-87 OT
29/02/16Cantu v Pistoia82-74
08/11/15Pistoia v Cantu95-89
30/03/15Pistoia v Cantu88-87 OT
07/12/14Cantu v Pistoia76-80 OT
19/01/14Pistoia v Cantu82-77 OT
13/10/13Cantu v Pistoia87-77
Cantulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/12/18AVarese71-89
23/12/18HVenezia71-93
16/12/18ABrescia63-81
09/12/18HOlimpia Milano74-101
25/11/18ATrieste82-102
19/11/18HPesaro87-90
11/11/18AVirtus Bologna81-90
04/11/18ABrindisi59-76
28/10/18HReggiana101-95
20/10/18ACremona96-79
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/12/18HTrento70-78
23/12/18ATorino80-86
16/12/18HVirtus Bologna71-81
09/12/18HBrescia73-70
24/11/18AReggiana84-82
18/11/18ASassari113-111
11/11/18HCremona73-90
04/11/18ATrieste79-96
28/10/18HBrindisi74-90
21/10/18AOlimpia Milano83-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cantu
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL25%
HomeWWLLL40%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %25%40%14%
Points / game79.283.476.1
Allowed / game88.890.287.9
Point differential-9.7-6.8-11.7
Avg total168.0173.6164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%20%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pistoia
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL25%
HomeLLWLL17%
AwayLLWWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %25%17%33%
Points / game78.871.786.0
Allowed / game89.284.394.2
Point differential-10.4-12.7-8.2
Avg total168.1156.0180.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano12120100%92.980.0+12.9
2 Venezia129375%83.070.0+13.0
3 Cremona128467%89.084.0+5.0
4 Varese128467%77.172.4+4.7
5 Avellino128467%84.583.2+1.3
6 Trieste127558%86.181.4+4.7
7 Brindisi126650%78.077.2+0.8
8 Virtus Bologna126650%81.984.0-2.1
9 Sassari125742%87.683.4+4.2
10 Brescia125742%78.978.6+0.3
11 Trento125742%76.782.1-5.4
12 Torino124833%78.783.2-4.5
13 Pesaro124833%82.390.7-8.3
14 Reggiana123925%77.183.5-6.4
15 Cantu123925%79.288.8-9.7
16 Pistoia123925%78.889.2-10.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cantu26242525100
Pistoia1718212379
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