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Pistoia vs Cantu Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Apr 2019
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 74-84
25-19 16-22 14-17 19-26
Position#16
Record6-21
FormLLWLL
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game83.0
Pistoia
Italy
vs
Cantu 🏆
Italy
Position#8
Record14-13
FormLLWLW
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game86.4
ItalyLega ARound 28
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Pistoia v Cantu
03 Jun 2023
PIS80
KAN77
01 Jun 2023
PIS73
KAN69
02 Apr 2023
PIS60
KAN65
10 Oct 2021
PIS68
KAN82
17 Nov 2019
PIS77
KAN69
27 Apr 2019
PIS74
KAN84
04 Nov 2017
PIS82
KAN93
19 Dec 2016
PIS94
KAN87
08 Nov 2015
PIS95
KAN89
30 Mar 2015
PIS88
KAN87
19 Jan 2014
PIS82
KAN77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pistoia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cantu winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
20-0
20
0
+20
no box
H04/02
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
70-80
70
80
-10
93avg 101
A10/02
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
77-90
77
90
-13
no box
H03/03
Lega A
Cremona
#3
L
80-90
80
90
-10
81avg 101
A10/03
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
82-90 OT
82
90
-8
no box
H17/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
L
76-80
76
80
-4
70avg 101
H24/03
Lega A
Brescia
#12
L
79-87
79
87
-8
68avg 101
A31/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
W
78-67
78
67
+11
71avg 101
A07/04
Lega A
Torino
#13
L
78-81
78
81
-3
67avg 101
H14/04
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
73-82
73
82
-9
no box
A20/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
–
–
–
–
12-18
19-28
20-22
19-12
22-24
14-16
25-25
16-25
26-23
19-29
21-17
14-21
23-21
23-18
13-17
19-22
17-22
22-18
24-23
13-17
27-16
13-22
21-24
18-25
22-11
23-22
16-17
17-17
14-18
23-20
20-20
21-23
21-24
17-16
18-24
17-18
146.0Avg total
71.3Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)75.483.0158.4-7.622%
Season at home (13)70.176.4146.5-6.323%
Season away (14)80.489.1169.5-8.821%
Last 10 (10)71.374.7146.0-3.420%
Last 5 (5)76.879.4156.2-2.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)75.283.5158.7-8.225%
vs Similar (2)77.082.0159.0-5.00%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cantu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CantuItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCantu
Date
Competition
Cremona
#3
W
82-66
82
66
+16
120avg 122
H03/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
99-89
99
89
+10
131avg 122
A09/02
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
81-79
81
79
+2
114avg 122
H04/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
W
96-94
96
94
+2
97avg 122
H10/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
80-72
80
72
+8
no box
A17/03
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
66-88
66
88
-22
58avg 122
H24/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
91-98
91
98
-7
79avg 122
A31/03
Lega A
Brescia
#12
W
82-76
82
76
+6
no box
H07/04
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
90-94 OT
90
94
-4
no box
A14/04
Lega A
Varese
#7
W
84-75
84
75
+9
234avg 122
H20/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-18
19-10
14-20
20-18
21-19
24-17
31-24
23-29
22-21
22-23
22-17
15-18
20-22
22-20
26-20
28-32
20-22
20-14
15-23
25-13
22-24
16-24
13-23
15-17
26-22
30-21
17-26
18-29
16-20
26-17
21-20
19-19
14-18
23-23
17-17
23-19
18-25
21-15
23-13
22-22
168.2Avg total
85.1Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)84.386.4170.7-2.252%
Season at home (14)84.284.1168.4+0.164%
Season away (13)84.388.9173.2-4.638%
Last 10 (10)85.183.1168.2+2.070%
Last 5 (5)82.686.2168.8-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)81.489.3170.6-7.927%
vs Similar (15)85.586.3171.9-0.860%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)89.278.0167.2+11.275%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: -0.8-0.8
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: -0.8-0.8
PistoiaCantu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#5
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A10/02
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H03/03
Lega A
Cremona
#3
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A10/03
Lega A
Sassari
#4
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H17/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H24/03
Lega A
Brescia
#12
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A31/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A07/04
Lega A
Torino
#13
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H14/04
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A20/04
Lega A
80.3Avg total
39.7Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)39.642.782.3-3.134%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.641.579.1-3.929%-
Last 30 away (15)41.543.885.3-2.340%-
Last 10 (9)39.740.780.3-1.033%-
Last 5 (5)39.837.877.6+2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)39.342.782.0-3.433%-
vs Similar (2)44.542.587.0+2.050%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cantu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CantuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#3
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H03/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A09/02
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H04/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H10/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A17/03
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H24/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
56-43
56
43
+13
A31/03
Lega A
Brescia
#12
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H07/04
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A14/04
Lega A
Varese
#7
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H20/04
Lega A
82.6Avg total
43.1Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.042.585.5+0.540%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.541.483.9+1.133%-
Last 30 away (15)43.543.587.0-0.147%-
Last 10 (10)43.139.582.6+3.650%-
Last 5 (5)42.441.884.2+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)42.542.785.3-0.227%-
vs Similar (15)42.443.185.5-0.740%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)46.539.285.8+7.275%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 75.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.919.6
47.9%
51.0%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.66.8
33.0%
35.1%20.4
🏀 Free throws21.415.6
72.9%
72.3%15.6
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cantutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cantu: 85.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.124.1
54.6%
51.0%48.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.26.8
33.7%
35.1%20.4
🏀 Free throws21.616.6
76.9%
72.3%16.6
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Apr 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pistoia
LLWLLLLLLW
Cantu
WLWLLWWWWW
#16
League position
#8
-9.9
Net rating
+3.8
97.1
Offensive rating
110.4
107.0
Defensive rating
106.6
48.5%
Effective FG%
53.3%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
48.8%
20.7%
Turnover %
20.1%
26.9%
Off. rebound %
34.2%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.34
33.0%
3-point %
33.7%
53.0%
Assist %
50.2%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence97.1 · 110.4Defence107.0 · 106.6Shooting48.5% · 53.3%3-point %33.0% · 33.7%Ball care20.7% · 20.1%Off. rebounds26.9% · 34.2%Free throws0.35 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)20% · 70%
■ Pistoia   ■ Cantu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Pistoia wins
5
Cantu wins
DateGameScore
30/12/18Cantu v Pistoia100-79
11/03/18Cantu v Pistoia106-85
04/11/17Pistoia v Cantu82-93
15/04/17Cantu v Pistoia73-71
19/12/16Pistoia v Cantu94-87 OT
29/02/16Cantu v Pistoia82-74
08/11/15Pistoia v Cantu95-89
30/03/15Pistoia v Cantu88-87 OT
07/12/14Cantu v Pistoia76-80 OT
19/01/14Pistoia v Cantu82-77 OT
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/04/19ATrento73-82
14/04/19HTorino78-81
07/04/19AVirtus Bologna78-67
31/03/19ABrescia79-87
24/03/19HReggiana76-80
17/03/19HSassari82-90 OT
10/03/19ACremona80-90
03/03/19HTrieste77-90
10/02/19ABrindisi70-80
04/02/19HOlimpia Milano20-0
Cantulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/04/19HVarese84-75
14/04/19AVenezia90-94 OT
07/04/19HBrescia82-76
31/03/19AOlimpia Milano91-98
24/03/19HTrieste66-88
17/03/19APesaro80-72
10/03/19HVirtus Bologna96-94
04/03/19HBrindisi81-79
09/02/19AReggiana99-89
03/02/19HCremona82-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pistoia
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL22%
HomeWLLLL23%
AwayLLLWL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %22%23%21%
Points / game75.470.180.4
Allowed / game83.076.489.1
Point differential-7.6-6.3-8.8
Avg total158.4146.5169.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%8%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)25% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Cantu
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW52%
HomeWWLWW64%
AwayWWWLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %52%64%38%
Points / game84.384.284.3
Allowed / game86.484.188.9
Point differential-2.2+0.1-4.6
Avg total170.7168.4173.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%29%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %7%0%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2720774%87.179.5+7.6
2 Venezia2718967%82.075.4+6.6
3 Cremona2718967%83.378.7+4.6
4 Trieste27161159%89.083.8+5.2
5 Brindisi27161159%81.778.9+2.9
6 Trento27161159%79.980.8-0.9
7 Sassari27151256%86.181.6+4.5
8 Avellino27151256%82.281.9+0.3
9 Varese27141352%79.076.1+2.9
10 Cantu27141352%84.386.4-2.2
11 Brescia28141450%80.480.8-0.4
12 Virtus Bologna28131546%79.681.0-1.4
13 Torino2781930%82.887.4-4.6
14 Reggiana2772026%78.183.8-5.7
15 Pesaro2772026%80.191.9-11.7
16 Pistoia2762122%75.483.0-7.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pistoia2516141974
Cantu1922172684
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