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Cantu vs Virtus Roma Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Nov 2019
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 74-76
19-23 28-17 13-24 14-12
Position#11
Record3-3
FormLLWLW
Points / game69.3
Allowed / game74.2
vs
Position#15
Record3-4
FormWWWLL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game82.0
ItalyLega ARound 8
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Cantu v Virtus Roma
22 Nov 2020
KAN101
VRO85
10 Nov 2019
KAN74
VRO76
11 Jan 2015
KAN60
VRO70
22 May 2014
KAN62
VRO64
20 May 2014
KAN71
VRO75
16 Feb 2014
KAN83
VRO80
04 Jun 2013
KAN69
VRO74
31 May 2013
KAN81
VRO73
29 May 2013
KAN81
VRO73
07 Feb 2013
KAN85
VRO89
27 Jan 2013
KAN60
VRO65
17 Mar 2012
KAN73
VRO72
06 Feb 2011
KAN79
VRO74
28 Mar 2010
KAN79
VRO61
18 Jan 2009
KAN77
VRO88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cantu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Roma winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CantuItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCantu
Date
Competition
Varese
#7
W
84-75
84
75
+9
234avg 113
H20/04
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
84-74
84
74
+10
236avg 113
A27/04
Lega A
Torino
#13
W
86-76
86
76
+10
82avg 113
H05/05
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
81-87
81
87
-6
71avg 113
A12/05
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
69-64
69
64
+5
58avg 113
A26/09
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
75-92
75
92
-17
61avg 113
H06/10
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
46-76
46
76
-30
31avg 113
A13/10
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
78-72
78
72
+6
68avg 113
H20/10
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
70-87
70
87
-17
59avg 113
H27/10
Lega A
Cremona
#6
W
78-54
78
54
+24
74avg 113
A03/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-25
21-15
23-13
22-22
19-25
22-16
17-14
26-19
20-20
16-16
28-22
22-18
24-23
20-27
22-11
15-26
19-20
17-11
23-20
10-13
15-19
17-20
21-29
22-24
9-23
19-16
7-20
11-17
26-23
19-11
16-15
17-23
15-24
19-21
13-23
23-19
29-14
20-19
9-14
20-7
150.8Avg total
75.1Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)69.374.2143.5-4.850%
Season at home (3)74.383.7158.0-9.333%
Season away (3)64.364.7129.0-0.367%
Last 10 (10)75.175.7150.8-0.660%
Last 5 (5)69.476.2145.6-6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)76.186.9163.0-10.921%
vs Similar (12)85.381.2166.5+4.283%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)87.878.8166.5+9.075%
This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus RomaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRoma
Date
Competition
Legnano
#15
W
88-83
88
83
+5
no box
A20/04
A2 - West
Fortitudo Bologna
#1
L
77-77
77
77
+0
no box
H28/04
A2 East
Fortitudo Bologna
#1
L
100-103 OT
100
103
-3
no box
A01/05
A2 East
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
67-74
67
74
-7
58avg 70
A25/09
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
63-87
63
87
-24
53avg 70
H29/09
Lega A
Cremona
#6
W
97-94
97
94
+3
96avg 70
H06/10
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
81-67
81
67
+14
74avg 70
A12/10
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
79-65
79
65
+14
no box
H20/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
73-79
73
79
-6
no box
H27/10
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
72-108
72
108
-36
67avg 70
A02/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
22-20
24-14
22-27
17-13
26-25
16-18
18-21
11-27
27-14
21-25
23-16
16-17
13-23
23-24
15-10
14-27
13-16
22-26
14-18
23-26
27-23
21-23
26-22
22-19
19-16
24-17
16-15
21-16
20-20
20-9
18-20
29-16
14-14
15-32
15-17
24-25
11-32
18-31
19-20
163.4Avg total
79.7Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)76.082.0158.0-6.043%
Season at home (4)78.081.2159.2-3.250%
Season away (3)73.383.0156.3-9.733%
Last 10 (10)79.783.7163.4-4.040%
Last 5 (5)80.482.6163.0-2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)78.585.9164.4-7.425%
vs Similar (11)78.877.0155.8+1.855%
vs Weaker (11)87.679.5167.1+8.273%
This opponent (Cantu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +0.0+0.0
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +0.0+0.0
CantuVirtus Roma
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CantuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#7
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H20/04
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A27/04
Lega A
Torino
#13
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H05/05
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A12/05
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A26/09
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H06/10
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A13/10
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H20/10
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H27/10
Lega A
Cremona
#6
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A03/11
Lega A
77.2Avg total
38.4Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.040.981.9+0.240%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.640.180.6+0.531%-
Last 30 away (14)41.641.883.4-0.250%-
Last 10 (10)38.438.877.2-0.430%-
Last 5 (5)37.638.075.6-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)39.943.383.2-3.421%-
vs Similar (12)41.338.479.8+2.958%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)44.039.883.8+4.250%-
This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Legnano
#15
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A20/04
A2 - West
Fortitudo Bologna
#1
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H28/04
A2 East
Fortitudo Bologna
#1
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A01/05
A2 East
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A25/09
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H29/09
Lega A
Cremona
#6
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H06/10
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A12/10
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H20/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H27/10
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
35-57
35
57
-22
A02/11
Lega A
80.0Avg total
38.9Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.140.181.2+0.957%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.338.580.8+3.780%-
Last 30 away (15)39.941.781.6-1.933%-
Last 10 (10)38.941.180.0-2.250%-
Last 5 (5)42.041.483.4+0.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)38.241.880.0-3.550%-
vs Similar (11)40.538.679.1+1.855%-
vs Weaker (11)43.740.584.2+3.364%-
This opponent (Cantu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cantutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cantu: 74.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.519.0
49.4%
52.0%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.08.5
32.7%
35.1%25.5
🏀 Free throws15.810.6
67.1%
73.6%10.6
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Romatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Roma: 75.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.1 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.119.6
50.0%
52.0%39.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.78.0
35.2%
35.1%24.0
🏀 Free throws15.912.3
77.5%
73.6%12.3
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/7 games with a box score before 10 Nov 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cantu
WLWLLWLWWW
Virtus Roma
LLWWWLLLLW
#11
League position
#15
-1.1
Net rating
-7.4
105.7
Offensive rating
103.1
106.8
Defensive rating
110.6
49.2%
Effective FG%
51.0%
48.0%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
15.1%
Turnover %
19.6%
31.4%
Off. rebound %
29.6%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.26
32.7%
3-point %
35.2%
57.5%
Assist %
52.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence105.7 · 103.1Defence106.8 · 110.6Shooting49.2% · 51.0%3-point %32.7% · 35.2%Ball care15.1% · 19.6%Off. rebounds31.4% · 29.6%Free throws0.24 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Cantu   ■ Virtus Roma
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Cantu wins
6
Virtus Roma wins
DateGameScore
10/05/15Virtus Roma v Cantu75-78
11/01/15Cantu v Virtus Roma60-70
24/05/14Virtus Roma v Cantu74-70 OT
22/05/14Cantu v Virtus Roma62-64
20/05/14Cantu v Virtus Roma71-75
16/02/14Cantu v Virtus Roma83-80
03/11/13Virtus Roma v Cantu80-82 OT
06/06/13Virtus Roma v Cantu89-70
04/06/13Cantu v Virtus Roma69-74
02/06/13Virtus Roma v Cantu66-77
Cantulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/19ACremona78-54
27/10/19HSassari70-87
20/10/19HTrento78-72
13/10/19AVenezia46-76
06/10/19HReggiana75-92
26/09/19ABrindisi69-64
12/05/19ASassari81-87
05/05/19HTorino86-76
27/04/19APistoia84-74
20/04/19HVarese84-75
Virtus Romalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/19ASassari72-108
27/10/19HOlimpia Milano73-79
20/10/19HFortitudo Bologna79-65
12/10/19APistoia81-67
06/10/19HCremona97-94
29/09/19HBrindisi63-87
25/09/19AVirtus Bologna67-74
01/05/19AFortitudo Bologna100-103 OT
28/04/19HFortitudo Bologna77-77
20/04/19ALegnano88-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cantu
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW50%
HomeLWL33%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%33%67%
Points / game69.374.364.3
Allowed / game74.283.764.7
Point differential-4.8-9.3-0.3
Avg total143.5158.0129.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Virtus Roma
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL43%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %43%50%33%
Points / game76.078.073.3
Allowed / game82.081.283.0
Point differential-6.0-3.2-9.7
Avg total158.0159.2156.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna770100%82.773.3+9.4
2 Sassari65183%83.868.5+15.3
3 Brindisi75271%84.681.6+3.0
4 Brescia85362%83.275.9+7.4
5 Olimpia Milano74357%81.073.6+7.4
6 Reggiana74357%81.176.6+4.6
7 Trento74357%80.080.4-0.4
8 Fortitudo Bologna74357%75.377.7-2.4
9 Cantu63350%69.374.2-4.8
10 Venezia73443%74.771.9+2.9
11 Varese73443%78.977.9+1.0
12 Treviso73443%77.477.6-0.1
13 Virtus Roma73443%76.082.0-6.0
14 Trieste62433%70.277.8-7.7
15 Cremona62433%74.282.0-7.8
16 Pistoia71614%73.083.1-10.1
17 Pesaro7070%80.693.9-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cantu1928131474
Virtus Roma2317241276
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