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Cantu vs Torino Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 May 2019
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 86-76
20-20 16-16 28-22 22-18
Position#8
Record15-13
FormLWLWW
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game86.0
Cantu 🏆
Italy
vs
Torino
Italy
Position#13
Record8-20
FormLWWLL
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game87.6
ItalyLega ARound 29
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Cantu v Torino
05 May 2019
KAN86
TOR76
25 Mar 2018
KAN93
TOR90
27 Nov 2016
KAN77
TOR89
24 Oct 2015
KAN80
TOR70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cantu winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Torino winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CantuItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#14
W
99-89
99
89
+10
A09/02
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
81-79
81
79
+2
H04/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
W
96-94
96
94
+2
H10/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
80-72
80
72
+8
A17/03
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
66-88
66
88
-22
H24/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
91-98
91
98
-7
A31/03
Lega A
Brescia
#12
W
82-76
82
76
+6
H07/04
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
90-94 OT
90
94
-4
A14/04
Lega A
Varese
#7
W
84-75
84
75
+9
H20/04
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
84-74
84
74
+10
A27/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
24-17
31-24
23-29
22-21
22-23
22-17
15-18
20-22
22-20
26-20
28-32
20-22
20-14
15-23
25-13
22-24
16-24
13-23
15-17
26-22
30-21
17-26
18-29
16-20
26-17
21-20
19-19
14-18
23-23
17-17
23-19
18-25
21-15
23-13
22-22
19-25
22-16
17-14
26-19
169.2Avg total
85.3Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)84.286.0170.2-1.854%
Season at home (14)84.284.1168.4+0.164%
Season away (14)84.387.9172.1-3.643%
Last 10 (10)85.383.9169.2+1.470%
Last 5 (5)86.283.4169.6+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)81.489.3170.6-7.927%
vs Similar ◀ (15)85.586.3171.9-0.860%
vs Weaker (4)87.878.8166.5+9.075%
This opponent (Torino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TorinoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#4
W
102-83
102
83
+19
H10/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
91-110
91
110
-19
A03/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
89-96 OT
89
96
-7
A10/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
64-80
64
80
-16
H17/03
Lega A
Brescia
#12
L
89-91
89
91
-2
H24/03
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
87-95
87
95
-8
A30/03
Lega A
Varese
#7
W
72-66
72
66
+6
H07/04
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
81-78
81
78
+3
A14/04
Lega A
Avellino
#9
L
82-109
82
109
-27
A20/04
Lega A
Cremona
#3
L
88-94
88
94
-6
H28/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-20
24-26
24-14
21-23
22-35
12-26
26-22
31-27
24-15
14-29
21-24
23-14
11-27
15-11
19-16
19-26
28-20
17-21
20-30
24-20
19-22
24-23
27-20
17-30
21-15
20-21
13-18
18-12
18-14
20-23
20-20
23-21
17-28
21-33
20-26
24-22
32-23
16-23
20-17
20-31
174.7Avg total
84.5Scored
90.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)83.087.6170.6-4.729%
Season at home (14)80.682.1162.7-1.643%
Season away (14)85.493.1178.5-7.814%
Last 10 (10)84.590.2174.7-5.730%
Last 5 (5)82.088.4170.4-6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)82.591.8174.4-9.312%
vs Similar ◀ (9)81.084.9165.9-3.922%
vs Weaker (4)87.086.5173.5+0.550%
This opponent (Cantu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: -5.3-5.3Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -0.6-0.6
CantuTorino
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CantuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#14
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A09/02
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H04/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H10/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A17/03
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H24/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
56-43
56
43
+13
A31/03
Lega A
Brescia
#12
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H07/04
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A14/04
Lega A
Varese
#7
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H20/04
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A27/04
Lega A
83.2Avg total
42.4Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.742.585.2+0.137%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.541.483.9+1.133%-
Last 30 away (15)42.843.786.5-0.940%-
Last 10 (10)42.440.883.2+1.640%-
Last 5 (5)43.040.483.4+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)42.542.785.3-0.227%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)42.443.185.5-0.740%-
vs Weaker (4)44.039.883.8+4.250%-
This opponent (Torino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TorinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#4
W
57-46
57
46
+11
H10/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
34-61
34
61
-27
A03/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A10/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
26-38
26
38
-12
H17/03
Lega A
Brescia
#12
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H24/03
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A30/03
Lega A
Varese
#7
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H07/04
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A14/04
Lega A
Avellino
#9
L
38-61
38
61
-23
A20/04
Lega A
Cremona
#3
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H28/04
Lega A
86.3Avg total
40.8Scored
45.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.044.784.7-4.737%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.842.882.6-2.947%-
Last 30 away (13)40.247.287.5-7.023%-
Last 10 (10)40.845.586.3-4.750%-
Last 5 (5)41.645.086.6-3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)40.245.685.8-5.435%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)39.243.782.9-4.433%-
vs Weaker (4)40.843.284.0-2.550%-
This opponent (Cantu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cantutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cantu: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.4 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.224.2
53.5%
51.0%48.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.96.6
31.6%
35.1%19.8
🏀 Free throws21.015.5
73.8%
72.3%15.5
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Torinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Torino: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.521.2
53.7%
51.0%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.99.1
39.7%
35.1%27.3
🏀 Free throws19.812.8
64.6%
72.3%12.8
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 May 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cantu
WWLWLLWWWW
Torino
LLWWLLLLLW
#8
League position
#13
+4.2
Net rating
-3.6
109.1
Offensive rating
110.2
104.9
Defensive rating
113.8
51.6%
Effective FG%
55.8%
47.9%
Opp. effective FG%
55.9%
18.7%
Turnover %
16.7%
34.5%
Off. rebound %
26.4%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.32
31.6%
3-point %
39.7%
51.3%
Assist %
60.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence109.1 · 110.2Defence104.9 · 113.8Shooting51.6% · 55.8%3-point %31.6% · 39.7%Ball care18.7% · 16.7%Off. rebounds34.5% · 26.4%Free throws0.32 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Cantu   ■ Torino
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Cantu wins
3
Torino wins
DateGameScore
06/01/19Torino v Cantu96-106 OT
25/03/18Cantu v Torino93-90
19/11/17Torino v Cantu89-94
26/03/17Torino v Cantu87-76
27/11/16Cantu v Torino77-89
07/02/16Torino v Cantu79-72
24/10/15Cantu v Torino80-70
Cantulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/19APistoia84-74
20/04/19HVarese84-75
14/04/19AVenezia90-94 OT
07/04/19HBrescia82-76
31/03/19AOlimpia Milano91-98
24/03/19HTrieste66-88
17/03/19APesaro80-72
10/03/19HVirtus Bologna96-94
04/03/19HBrindisi81-79
09/02/19AReggiana99-89
Torinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/04/19HCremona88-94
20/04/19AAvellino82-109
14/04/19APistoia81-78
07/04/19HVarese72-66
30/03/19ATrento87-95
24/03/19HBrescia89-91
17/03/19HVirtus Bologna64-80
10/03/19ABrindisi89-96 OT
03/03/19AOlimpia Milano91-110
10/02/19HSassari102-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cantu
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW54%
HomeWWLWW64%
AwayWWLLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %54%64%43%
Points / game84.284.284.3
Allowed / game86.084.187.9
Point differential-1.8+0.1-3.6
Avg total170.2168.4172.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%29%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %7%0%14%
Torino
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL29%
HomeWLLWL43%
AwayLLLWL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %29%43%14%
Points / game83.080.685.4
Allowed / game87.682.193.1
Point differential-4.7-1.6-7.8
Avg total170.6162.7178.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%21%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)50% (2)20% (5)
Overtime %18%7%29%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2821775%87.079.5+7.5
2 Venezia2819968%81.875.2+6.5
3 Cremona2819968%83.779.0+4.6
4 Brindisi28171161%81.878.8+3.0
5 Trieste28161257%88.683.9+4.8
6 Sassari28161257%86.481.8+4.6
7 Trento28161257%79.580.5-1.1
8 Varese28151354%79.176.1+3.0
9 Avellino28151354%82.182.0+0.1
10 Cantu28151354%84.286.0-1.8
11 Brescia29141548%80.681.3-0.7
12 Virtus Bologna29141548%79.480.6-1.2
13 Torino2882029%83.087.6-4.7
14 Reggiana2872125%77.983.5-5.6
15 Pesaro2872125%79.991.5-11.5
16 Pistoia2862221%75.483.0-7.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cantu2016282286
Torino2016221876
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