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Caserta vs Cremona Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Feb 2017
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 79-75
14-20 16-22 16-15 33-18
Position#13
Record8-9
FormLLLWL
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game85.3
Caserta 🏆
Italy
vs
Cremona
Italy
Position#16
Record4-13
FormLWWLL
Points / game74.6
Allowed / game79.1
ItalyLega ARound 18
Domestic2016-17
Meetings · Caserta v Cremona
05 Feb 2017
KAS79
CRE75
31 Jan 2016
KAS73
CRE64
09 Nov 2014
KAS66
CRE81
04 May 2014
KAS71
CRE65
06 Oct 2012
KAS63
CRE60
01 Apr 2012
KAS74
CRE77
27 Mar 2011
KAS95
CRE79
22 Nov 2009
KAS97
CRE74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Caserta winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cremona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CasertaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCaserta
Date
Competition
Capo d'Orlando
#8
W
91-86
91
86
+5
115avg 109
H20/11
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
92-98 OT
92
98
-6
no box
A27/11
Lega A
Brescia
#11
W
89-83
89
83
+6
117avg 109
H04/12
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
77-80
77
80
-3
103avg 109
A11/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
82-87
82
87
-5
110avg 109
H18/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
72-100
72
100
-28
no box
A27/12
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
82-86
82
86
-4
114avg 109
H01/01
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
77-95
77
95
-18
105avg 109
A08/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
W
86-85 OT
86
85
+1
no box
A22/01
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
80-86
80
86
-6
106avg 109
H29/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-19
22-18
11-22
33-27
22-14
12-19
16-21
20-16
29-27
17-22
23-13
20-21
24-19
16-27
23-21
14-13
15-10
21-26
26-20
20-31
16-29
26-27
14-15
16-29
23-22
20-26
23-18
16-20
17-20
17-23
26-31
17-21
22-21
15-24
23-18
16-13
21-28
22-19
19-19
18-20
171.4Avg total
82.8Scored
88.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)82.185.3167.4-3.247%
Season at home (8)82.579.4161.9+3.162%
Season away (9)81.890.6172.3-8.833%
Last 10 (10)82.888.6171.4-5.830%
Last 5 (5)79.490.4169.8-11.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)79.487.6167.0-8.215%
vs Similar ◀ (17)77.978.9156.9-1.059%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cremona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CremonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCremona
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
72-76
72
76
-4
96avg 99
H20/11
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
83-82
83
82
+1
107avg 99
A26/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
71-73
71
73
-2
103avg 99
H04/12
Lega A
Brescia
#11
L
66-95
66
95
-29
89avg 99
A11/12
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
73-86
73
86
-13
99avg 99
H18/12
Lega A
Cantu
#14
L
71-72
71
72
-1
99avg 99
A27/12
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
85-71
85
71
+14
no box
H02/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
W
83-66
83
66
+17
109avg 99
A08/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
L
59-64
59
64
-5
83avg 99
A22/01
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
59-78
59
78
-19
81avg 99
H29/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-24
21-15
15-12
19-25
19-25
20-10
21-26
23-21
22-29
23-12
13-15
13-17
20-21
21-25
12-18
13-31
21-16
18-19
16-26
18-25
26-15
19-18
13-16
13-23
23-20
17-20
26-20
19-11
25-6
24-26
23-17
11-17
19-9
13-15
12-20
15-20
9-21
15-17
22-17
13-23
148.5Avg total
72.2Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)74.679.1153.6-4.524%
Season at home (8)74.878.8153.5-4.025%
Season away (9)74.479.3153.8-4.922%
Last 10 (10)72.276.3148.5-4.130%
Last 5 (5)71.470.2141.6+1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)71.882.0153.8-10.20%
vs Similar ◀ (22)75.877.1152.9-1.341%
vs Weaker (1)66.073.0139.0-7.00%
This opponent (Caserta) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -5.6-5.6
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -5.6-5.6
CasertaCremona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CasertaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Capo d'Orlando
#8
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H20/11
Lega A
Venezia
#1
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A27/11
Lega A
Brescia
#11
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H04/12
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A11/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H18/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
42-56
42
56
-14
A27/12
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H01/01
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A08/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A22/01
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H29/01
Lega A
84.2Avg total
40.2Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.441.479.8-3.033%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.239.679.8+0.647%-
Last 30 away (15)36.743.279.9-6.520%-
Last 10 (10)40.244.084.2-3.820%-
Last 5 (5)39.847.887.6-8.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)38.744.483.1-5.723%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)38.239.177.4-0.941%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cremona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H20/11
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A26/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H04/12
Lega A
Brescia
#11
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A11/12
Lega A
Avellino
#3
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H18/12
Lega A
Cantu
#14
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A27/12
Lega A
Varese
#10
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H02/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
W
49-32
49
32
+17
A08/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
W
32-24
32
24
+8
A22/01
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
24-38
24
38
-14
H29/01
Lega A
75.5Avg total
39.2Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.438.475.8-1.040%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.136.975.0+1.143%-
Last 30 away (16)36.939.776.6-2.838%-
Last 10 (10)39.236.375.5+2.960%-
Last 5 (5)38.033.471.4+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)34.741.576.2-6.817%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)37.937.075.0+0.945%-
vs Weaker (1)29.038.067.0-9.00%-
This opponent (Caserta) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Casertatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Caserta: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.118.5
52.7%
51.1%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.09.1
37.9%
35.7%27.3
🏀 Free throws19.914.4
72.4%
74.0%14.4
They take 59.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cremonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cremona: 71.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.9 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.618.7
48.4%
51.1%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.36.3
28.3%
35.7%18.9
🏀 Free throws18.214.9
81.9%
74.0%14.9
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Feb 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Caserta
LWLLLLLWLW
Cremona
LLWWLLLLWL
#13
League position
#16
-2.0
Net rating
-5.8
105.6
Offensive rating
96.4
107.6
Defensive rating
102.2
54.4%
Effective FG%
46.2%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.7%
18.6%
Turnover %
19.2%
23.9%
Off. rebound %
25.3%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.30
37.9%
3-point %
28.3%
63.0%
Assist %
56.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence105.6 · 96.4Defence107.6 · 102.2Shooting54.4% · 46.2%3-point %37.9% · 28.3%Ball care18.6% · 19.2%Off. rebounds23.9% · 25.3%Free throws0.34 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Caserta   ■ Cremona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Caserta wins
5
Cremona wins
DateGameScore
16/10/16Cremona v Caserta82-95
31/01/16Caserta v Cremona73-64
18/10/15Cremona v Caserta69-60
01/03/15Cremona v Caserta81-77
09/11/14Caserta v Cremona66-81
04/05/14Caserta v Cremona71-65
05/01/14Cremona v Caserta69-64
27/01/13Cremona v Caserta73-74
06/10/12Caserta v Cremona63-60
01/04/12Caserta v Cremona74-77
Casertalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/17HVarese80-86
22/01/17AReggiana86-85 OT
08/01/17ASassari77-95
01/01/17HAvellino82-86
27/12/16ABrindisi72-100
18/12/16HPesaro82-87
11/12/16ATorino77-80
04/12/16HBrescia89-83
27/11/16AVenezia92-98 OT
20/11/16HCapo d'Orlando91-86
Cremonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/17HTrento59-78
22/01/17APistoia59-64
08/01/17AReggiana83-66
02/01/17HVarese85-71
27/12/16ACantu71-72
18/12/16HAvellino73-86
11/12/16ABrescia66-95
04/12/16HPesaro71-73
26/11/16ASassari83-82
20/11/16HOlimpia Milano72-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Caserta
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL47%
HomeWWLLL62%
AwayLLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %47%62%33%
Points / game82.182.581.8
Allowed / game85.379.490.6
Point differential-3.2+3.1-8.8
Avg total167.4161.9172.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%12%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %12%0%22%
Cremona
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL24%
HomeLLLWL25%
AwayWLLWL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %24%25%22%
Points / game74.674.874.4
Allowed / game79.178.879.3
Point differential-4.5-4.0-4.9
Avg total153.6153.5153.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%25%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won14% (7)0% (2)20% (5)
Overtime %6%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano1714382%87.879.4+8.5
2 Avellino1712571%80.574.9+5.6
3 Venezia1812667%81.979.6+2.4
4 Sassari1710759%78.974.5+4.5
5 Capo d'Orlando179853%78.377.9+0.4
6 Reggiana179853%80.781.5-0.8
7 Torino179853%81.283.1-1.9
8 Trento189950%75.272.4+2.8
9 Brescia178947%81.980.8+1.1
10 Brindisi178947%83.183.0+0.1
11 Pistoia178947%75.877.8-2.1
12 Caserta178947%82.185.3-3.2
13 Cantu1771041%77.781.9-4.2
14 Pesaro1751229%73.978.5-4.5
15 Varese1751229%76.380.9-4.6
16 Cremona1741324%74.679.1-4.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Caserta1416163379
Cremona2022151875
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