Caserta vs Brescia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Dec 2016

Tip-off: 17:15

Final 89-83

29-27 17-22 23-13 20-21

Position#13

Record6-3

FormLWWWL

Points / game83.4

Allowed / game83.1

Caserta 🏆

Brescia

Position#11

Record4-5

FormLLWWW

Points / game79.8

Allowed / game82.9

Lega ARound 10

Domestic2016-17

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Caserta winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Brescia winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Caserta

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Trento

73-70

H04/05

Lega A

Reggiana

78-75

H02/10

Lega A

Varese

#10

74-93

-19

A09/10

Lega A

Cremona

#16

95-82

+13

A16/10

Lega A

Pistoia

74-65

H24/10

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

80-100

100

-20

A30/10

Lega A

Trento

84-67

+17

H06/11

Lega A

Cantu

#14

83-82

A13/11

Lega A

Capo d'Orlando

91-86

H20/11

Lega A

Venezia

92-98 OT

-6

A27/11

Lega A

20-15

11-19

21-10

21-26

18-14

22-23

20-26

18-12

23-20

12-23

19-27

20-23

13-19

19-25

32-14

31-24

22-13

19-18

13-19

20-15

12-28

24-27

25-20

19-25

23-17

18-19

22-13

21-18

24-28

17-18

12-13

30-23

25-19

22-18

11-22

33-27

22-14

12-19

16-21

20-16

164.2Avg total

82.4Scored

81.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	83.4	83.1	166.6	+0.3	67%
Season at home (4)	81.8	73.2	155.0	+8.5	100%
Season away (5)	84.8	91.0	175.8	-6.2	40%
Last 10 (10)	82.4	81.8	164.2	+0.6	70%
Last 5 (5)	86.0	86.6	172.6	-0.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	77.2	84.1	161.2	-6.9	23%
vs Similar ◀ (17)	75.7	76.2	151.9	-0.5	65%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Brescia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Fortitudo Bologna

83-59

+24

H24/06

A2 - Play Offs

Pesaro

#15

63-76

-13

A02/10

Lega A

Cantu

#14

76-56

+20

H09/10

Lega A

Sassari

73-96

-23

A15/10

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

80-97

-17

H23/10

Lega A

Avellino

79-92

-13

A30/10

Lega A

Capo d'Orlando

89-90 OT

-1

H05/11

Lega A

Brindisi

91-83

A13/11

Lega A

Varese

#10

74-68

A19/11

Lega A

Reggiana

93-88

H27/11

Lega A

25-13

20-20

19-10

19-16

14-20

9-19

18-12

22-25

21-17

23-17

15-14

17-8

22-21

15-30

21-20

15-25

16-23

18-27

31-25

15-22

21-25

11-22

19-21

28-24

18-25

24-18

20-16

16-19

23-22

19-23

23-18

26-20

12-24

30-18

17-15

15-11

25-25

23-21

23-20

22-22

160.6Avg total

80.1Scored

80.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	79.8	82.9	162.7	-3.1	44%
Season at home (4)	84.5	82.8	167.2	+1.8	50%
Season away (5)	76.0	83.0	159.0	-7.0	40%
Last 10 (10)	80.1	80.5	160.6	-0.4	50%
Last 5 (5)	85.2	84.2	169.4	+1.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	81.8	91.8	173.6	-10.0	20%
vs Similar ◀ (15)	76.5	73.6	150.1	+2.9	60%
vs Weaker (10)	85.1	79.2	164.3	+5.9	60%

This opponent (Caserta) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

CasertaBrescia

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	20.6	39.6	-1.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.2	18.7	37.9	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	22.5	41.3	-3.8	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	18.7	38.9	+1.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	21.2	42.4	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	17.8	21.9	39.8	-4.1	31%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	19.8	19.6	39.5	+0.2	53%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	20.0	40.2	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	18.5	39.7	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	21.6	40.7	-2.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	21.5	41.2	-1.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	24.2	44.0	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	21.8	22.0	43.8	-0.2	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	18.5	19.3	37.7	-0.8	40%	-
vs Weaker (10)	21.9	20.2	42.1	+1.7	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.5	19.1	36.6	-1.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.9	19.0	37.9	-0.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.1	19.1	35.3	-3.0	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	20.9	38.5	-3.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	20.2	38.8	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	17.9	21.0	38.9	-3.1	23%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	17.2	17.6	34.8	-0.4	53%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	20.3	39.1	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.2	18.4	38.6	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.3	22.3	39.6	-4.9	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	21.5	40.7	-2.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	20.4	41.8	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	16.2	25.2	41.4	-9.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	19.8	17.5	37.3	+2.3	60%	-
vs Weaker (10)	18.5	22.1	40.6	-3.6	30%	-

CasertaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Trento

31-34

-3

H04/05

Lega A

Reggiana

40-37

H02/10

Lega A

Varese

#10

35-43

-8

A09/10

Lega A

Cremona

#16

32-44

-12

A16/10

Lega A

Pistoia

41-31

+10

H24/10

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

36-55

-19

A30/10

Lega A

Trento

41-36

H06/11

Lega A

Cantu

#14

41-46

-5

A13/11

Lega A

Capo d'Orlando

47-37

+10

H20/11

Lega A

Venezia

34-33

A27/11

Lega A

77.4Avg total

37.8Scored

39.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.5	39.7	76.2	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.1	37.7	75.9	+0.4	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.9	41.7	76.5	-6.8	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.8	39.6	77.4	-1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	41.4	81.2	-1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	35.8	42.9	78.7	-7.2	23%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	37.1	37.2	74.3	-0.2	53%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Fortitudo Bologna

45-33

+12

H24/06

A2 - Play Offs

Pesaro

#15

23-39

-16

A02/10

Lega A

Cantu

#14

44-34

+10

H09/10

Lega A

Sassari

37-51

-14

A15/10

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

34-50

-16

H23/10

Lega A

Avellino

32-47

-15

A30/10

Lega A

Capo d'Orlando

42-43

-1

H05/11

Lega A

Brindisi

42-45

-3

A13/11

Lega A

Varese

#10

42-42

A19/11

Lega A

Reggiana

48-46

H27/11

Lega A

81.9Avg total

38.9Scored

43.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.9	40.4	79.3	-1.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.5	36.9	78.3	+4.6	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.4	43.9	80.3	-7.5	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.9	43.0	81.9	-4.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	44.6	85.8	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	38.0	47.2	85.2	-9.2	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	38.3	36.8	75.1	+1.5	53%	-
vs Weaker (10)	40.4	42.3	82.7	-1.9	40%	-

This opponent (Caserta) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	18.5	37.2	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.7	18.3	37.0	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	18.7	37.4	+0.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	18.5	37.6	+0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	17.8	35.0	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	21.3	19.0	40.3	+2.3	54%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	16.7	18.1	34.8	-1.4	29%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	18.5	38.5	+1.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.2	17.9	40.1	+4.3	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.8	19.1	36.9	-1.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	17.1	37.7	+3.5	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	18.0	38.4	+2.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	22.2	21.4	43.6	+0.8	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	18.1	19.3	37.4	-1.3	53%	-
vs Weaker (10)	21.8	15.8	37.6	+6.0	70%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	20.5	40.9	-0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	20.7	41.6	+0.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	20.3	40.2	-0.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.3	20.9	44.2	+2.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	21.8	46.4	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	18.4	20.0	38.4	-1.6	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	21.9	20.9	42.8	+1.1	47%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	18.3	38.3	+1.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.3	17.9	37.1	+1.4	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	18.8	39.5	+1.9	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	19.2	38.7	+0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	19.2	40.6	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	20.6	21.2	41.8	-0.6	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	18.5	16.3	34.8	+2.1	53%	-
vs Weaker (10)	21.9	19.9	41.8	+2.0	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.1	39.0	78.1	+0.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.5	39.1	78.6	+0.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.7	38.9	77.6	-0.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.4	39.4	81.8	+3.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	39.6	81.4	+2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	39.7	39.0	78.7	+0.7	46%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	38.6	39.0	77.6	-0.4	35%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.0	36.8	76.8	+3.1	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.5	35.8	77.3	+5.7	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.5	37.9	76.3	+0.6	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.1	36.3	76.4	+3.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	37.2	79.0	+4.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	42.8	42.6	85.4	+0.2	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	36.5	35.7	72.2	+0.9	67%	-
vs Weaker (10)	43.7	35.7	79.4	+8.0	80%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Casertatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Caserta: 78.9 points a game scored

🏀🏀50%

🏀🏀🏀32%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 50% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.1 pts a game · 32% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game

50%

33%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.9	19.9	51.1%	51.1%	39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	21.8	8.4	38.5%	35.7%	25.1
🏀 Free throws	18.6	14.0	75.2%	74.0%	14.0

They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 77.4 points a game scored

🏀🏀48%

🏀🏀🏀33%

🏀19%

🏀🏀 2-pointers37.5 pts a game · 48% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 33% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 19% of the points

League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game

50%

33%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.8	18.8	48.4%	51.1%	37.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.5	8.5	34.7%	35.7%	25.5
🏀 Free throws	19.2	14.4	74.7%	74.0%	14.4

They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.6	18.1	46.9%	51.1%	36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	21.5	8.0	37.2%	35.7%	24.0
🏀 Free throws	20.1	15.2	75.8%	74.0%	15.2

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.5	20.0	56.3%	51.1%	40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.8	9.5	34.2%	35.7%	28.5
🏀 Free throws	19.0	13.8	72.4%	74.0%	13.8

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.6	18.1	46.9%	51.1%	36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	21.5	8.0	37.2%	35.7%	24.0
🏀 Free throws	20.1	15.2	75.8%	74.0%	15.2

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.5	20.0	56.3%	51.1%	40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.8	9.5	34.2%	35.7%	28.5
🏀 Free throws	19.0	13.8	72.4%	74.0%	13.8

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/8 games with a box score before 04 Dec 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Caserta

LWWWLWWLWW

Brescia

WWWLLLLWLW

#13

League position

#11

+4.6

Net rating

-6.4

106.8

Offensive rating

102.3

Defensive rating

108.8

53.5%

Effective FG%

49.8%

50.1%

Opp. effective FG%

54.2%

18.7%

Turnover %

18.7%

27.3%

Off. rebound %

28.0%

0.31

Free-throw rate

0.30

38.5%

3-point %

34.7%

52.7%

Assist %

57.8%

70%

Form (last 10/10)

50%

Profile

■ Caserta ■ Brescia

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Caserta wins

Brescia wins

No previous meetings.

Casertalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/11/16	A	Venezia	92-98 OT
20/11/16	H	Capo d'Orlando	91-86
13/11/16	A	Cantu	83-82
06/11/16	H	Trento	84-67
30/10/16	A	Olimpia Milano	80-100
24/10/16	H	Pistoia	74-65
16/10/16	A	Cremona	95-82
09/10/16	A	Varese	74-93
02/10/16	H	Reggiana	78-75
04/05/16	H	Trento	73-70

Brescialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/11/16	H	Reggiana	93-88
19/11/16	A	Varese	74-68
13/11/16	A	Brindisi	91-83
05/11/16	H	Capo d'Orlando	89-90 OT
30/10/16	A	Avellino	79-92
23/10/16	H	Olimpia Milano	80-97
15/10/16	A	Sassari	73-96
09/10/16	H	Cantu	76-56
02/10/16	A	Pesaro	63-76
24/06/16	H	Fortitudo Bologna	83-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Caserta

Lega A 2016-17

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWL	67%
Home	WWWW	100%
Away	LWLWL	40%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	4	5
Win %	67%	100%	40%
Points / game	83.4	81.8	84.8
Allowed / game	83.1	73.2	91.0
Point differential	+0.3	+8.5	-6.2
Avg total	166.6	155.0	175.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	22%	25%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (3)	100% (2)	100% (1)
Overtime %	11%	0%	20%

Brescia

Lega A 2016-17

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWW	44%
Home	WLLW	50%
Away	LLLWW	40%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	4	5
Win %	44%	50%	40%
Points / game	79.8	84.5	76.0
Allowed / game	82.9	82.8	83.0
Point differential	-3.1	+1.8	-7.0
Avg total	162.7	167.2	159.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	11%	25%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	50% (2)	-
Overtime %	11%	25%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Olimpia Milano	9	9	0	100%	88.9	77.0	+11.9
2	Reggiana	9	7	2	78%	84.8	80.7	+4.1
3	Avellino	10	7	3	70%	79.1	75.7	+3.4
4	Venezia	10	7	3	70%	82.5	80.1	+2.4
5	Caserta	9	6	3	67%	83.4	83.1	+0.3
6	Capo d'Orlando	9	5	4	56%	80.8	77.4	+3.3
7	Sassari	9	4	5	44%	78.6	76.9	+1.7
8	Brindisi	9	4	5	44%	80.7	80.0	+0.7
9	Trento	9	4	5	44%	76.1	75.6	+0.6
10	Torino	9	4	5	44%	84.1	84.9	-0.8
11	Brescia	9	4	5	44%	79.8	82.9	-3.1
12	Pistoia	9	3	6	33%	74.3	79.3	-5.0
13	Varese	10	3	7	30%	77.6	81.3	-3.7
14	Cantu	10	3	7	30%	77.8	84.2	-6.4
15	Cremona	9	2	7	22%	77.9	82.1	-4.2
16	Pesaro	9	2	7	22%	73.0	77.7	-4.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Caserta	29	17	23	20	89
Brescia	27	22	13	21	83

← all games of the day

Caserta vs Brescia Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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