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Reggiana vs Caserta Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 22 Jan 2017
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 85-86 (OT)
21-22 24-15 18-23 13-16 9-10
Position#6
Record9-6
FormLLWLL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game81.1
Reggiana
Italy
vs
Caserta 🏆
Italy
Position#13
Record7-8
FormLLLLL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game85.3
ItalyLega ARound 16
Domestic2016-17
Meetings · Reggiana v Caserta
22 Jan 2017
REG85
KAS86
20 Dec 2015
REG87
KAS62
04 Jan 2015
REG95
KAS74
02 Nov 2013
REG76
KAS59
13 Jan 2013
REG91
KAS72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Reggiana winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Caserta winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ReggianaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#14
W
90-77
90
77
+13
H06/11
Lega A
Avellino
#3
W
86-81
86
81
+5
A13/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
87-80
87
80
+7
H20/11
Lega A
Brescia
#11
L
88-93
88
93
-5
A27/11
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
W
80-70
80
70
+10
H05/12
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
71-81
71
81
-10
A11/12
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
73-85
73
85
-12
A19/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
91-87
91
87
+4
H27/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
L
71-85
71
85
-14
A02/01
Lega A
Cremona
#16
L
66-83
66
83
-17
H08/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-19
28-19
27-17
8-22
18-16
19-17
28-20
21-28
23-26
25-13
8-21
31-20
25-25
21-23
20-23
22-22
17-20
27-14
17-14
19-22
21-21
12-17
16-16
22-27
18-24
19-25
19-19
17-17
9-19
36-21
27-26
19-21
20-20
18-26
12-17
21-22
6-25
26-24
17-23
17-11
162.5Avg total
80.3Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)81.081.1162.1-0.160%
Season at home (7)83.679.4163.0+4.186%
Season away (8)78.882.6161.4-3.938%
Last 10 (10)80.382.2162.5-1.950%
Last 5 (5)74.484.2158.6-9.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)79.183.4162.5-4.250%
vs Similar ◀ (19)79.081.4160.4-2.453%
vs Weaker (2)88.578.5167.0+10.0100%
This opponent (Caserta) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CasertaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#4
W
84-67
84
67
+17
H06/11
Lega A
Cantu
#14
W
83-82
83
82
+1
A13/11
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
W
91-86
91
86
+5
H20/11
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
92-98 OT
92
98
-6
A27/11
Lega A
Brescia
#11
W
89-83
89
83
+6
H04/12
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
77-80
77
80
-3
A11/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
82-87
82
87
-5
H18/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
72-100
72
100
-28
A27/12
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
82-86
82
86
-4
H01/01
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
77-95
77
95
-18
A08/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-17
18-19
22-13
21-18
24-28
17-18
12-13
30-23
25-19
22-18
11-22
33-27
22-14
12-19
16-21
20-16
29-27
17-22
23-13
20-21
24-19
16-27
23-21
14-13
15-10
21-26
26-20
20-31
16-29
26-27
14-15
16-29
23-22
20-26
23-18
16-20
17-20
17-23
26-31
17-21
169.3Avg total
82.9Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)82.085.3167.3-3.347%
Season at home (7)82.978.4161.3+4.471%
Season away (8)81.291.2172.5-10.025%
Last 10 (10)82.986.4169.3-3.540%
Last 5 (5)78.089.6167.6-11.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)79.487.6167.0-8.215%
vs Similar ◀ (17)77.478.3155.7-0.959%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Reggiana) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -1.2-1.2
ReggianaCaserta
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ReggianaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#14
W
55-38
55
38
+17
H06/11
Lega A
Avellino
#3
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A13/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H20/11
Lega A
Brescia
#11
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A27/11
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H05/12
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A11/12
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A19/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H27/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A02/01
Lega A
Cremona
#16
L
32-49
32
49
-17
H08/01
Lega A
82.9Avg total
41.5Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.940.580.4-0.753%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.437.779.1+3.686%-
Last 30 away (16)38.643.081.6-4.425%-
Last 10 (10)41.541.482.9+0.150%-
Last 5 (5)37.044.481.4-7.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)40.242.482.6-2.150%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)38.440.078.4-1.647%-
vs Weaker (2)51.538.590.0+13.0100%-
This opponent (Caserta) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CasertaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#4
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H06/11
Lega A
Cantu
#14
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A13/11
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H20/11
Lega A
Venezia
#1
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A27/11
Lega A
Brescia
#11
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H04/12
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A11/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H18/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
42-56
42
56
-14
A27/12
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H01/01
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A08/01
Lega A
83.4Avg total
40.4Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.541.479.9-2.837%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.239.179.3+1.153%-
Last 30 away (15)36.943.680.5-6.720%-
Last 10 (10)40.443.083.4-2.630%-
Last 5 (5)39.045.884.8-6.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)38.744.483.1-5.723%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)38.439.177.5-0.647%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Reggiana) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Reggianatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Reggiana: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.019.1
53.1%
51.1%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.29.0
33.1%
35.7%27.0
🏀 Free throws18.214.1
77.5%
74.0%14.1
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Casertatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Caserta: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.418.6
54.1%
51.1%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.39.4
38.7%
35.7%28.2
🏀 Free throws18.113.1
72.4%
74.0%13.1
They take 58.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Jan 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Reggiana
LLWLLWLWWW
Caserta
LLLLLWLWWW
#6
League position
#13
-2.5
Net rating
-4.5
106.0
Offensive rating
106.0
108.6
Defensive rating
110.4
51.6%
Effective FG%
55.7%
57.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
19.4%
Turnover %
19.8%
28.7%
Off. rebound %
24.2%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.31
33.1%
3-point %
38.7%
56.2%
Assist %
66.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence106.0 · 106.0Defence108.6 · 110.4Shooting51.6% · 55.7%3-point %33.1% · 38.7%Ball care19.4% · 19.8%Off. rebounds28.7% · 24.2%Free throws0.29 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Reggiana   ■ Caserta
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Reggiana wins
3
Caserta wins
DateGameScore
02/10/16Caserta v Reggiana78-75
10/04/16Caserta v Reggiana82-87
20/12/15Reggiana v Caserta87-62
03/05/15Caserta v Reggiana75-65
04/01/15Reggiana v Caserta95-74
15/02/14Caserta v Reggiana74-68
02/11/13Reggiana v Caserta76-59
05/05/13Caserta v Reggiana77-80
13/01/13Reggiana v Caserta91-72
Reggianalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/17HCremona66-83
02/01/17APistoia71-85
27/12/16HOlimpia Milano91-87
19/12/16ATorino73-85
11/12/16AVarese71-81
05/12/16HCapo d'Orlando80-70
27/11/16ABrescia88-93
20/11/16HPesaro87-80
13/11/16AAvellino86-81
06/11/16HCantu90-77
Casertalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/17ASassari77-95
01/01/17HAvellino82-86
27/12/16ABrindisi72-100
18/12/16HPesaro82-87
11/12/16ATorino77-80
04/12/16HBrescia89-83
27/11/16AVenezia92-98 OT
20/11/16HCapo d'Orlando91-86
13/11/16ACantu83-82
06/11/16HTrento84-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Reggiana
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL60%
HomeWWWWL86%
AwayWLLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %60%86%38%
Points / game81.083.678.8
Allowed / game81.179.482.6
Point differential-0.1+4.1-3.9
Avg total162.1163.0161.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (1)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Caserta
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL47%
HomeWWWLL71%
AwayWLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %47%71%25%
Points / game82.082.981.2
Allowed / game85.378.491.2
Point differential-3.3+4.4-10.0
Avg total167.3161.3172.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%14%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %7%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano1513287%89.079.7+9.3
2 Avellino1511473%80.774.7+5.9
3 Venezia1511473%82.980.3+2.5
4 Reggiana159660%81.081.1-0.1
5 Sassari158753%78.574.5+3.9
6 Capo d'Orlando158753%77.876.8+1.0
7 Brescia157847%81.981.6+0.3
8 Torino157847%82.184.6-2.5
9 Pistoia157847%75.978.5-2.6
10 Caserta157847%82.085.3-3.3
11 Trento167944%75.674.2+1.4
12 Brindisi167944%82.982.9+0.0
13 Cantu156940%77.982.3-4.4
14 Pesaro1551033%74.977.9-3.0
15 Cremona1541127%76.780.1-3.5
16 Varese1541127%75.780.8-5.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Reggiana21241813985
Caserta221523161086
← all games of the day
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