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Torino vs Caserta Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Dec 2016
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 80-77
19-24 27-16 21-23 13-14
Position#12
Record4-6
FormLWLWL
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game85.3
Torino 🏆
Italy
vs
Caserta
Italy
Position#13
Record7-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game83.1
ItalyLega ARound 11
Domestic2016-17
Meetings · Torino v Caserta
11 Dec 2016
TOR80
KAS77
24 Jan 2016
TOR83
KAS87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Torino winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Caserta winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TorinoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Avellino
#3
L
83-86
83
86
-3
A02/10
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
83-79
83
79
+4
H09/10
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
L
77-90
77
90
-13
A17/10
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
85-82 OT
85
82
+3
H23/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
79-87
79
87
-8
A30/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
97-100
97
100
-3
H06/11
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
74-70
74
70
+4
A14/11
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
90-93 OT
90
93
-3
H20/11
Lega A
Cantu
#14
W
89-77
89
77
+12
A27/11
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
L
73-89
73
89
-16
A04/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-26
16-24
23-17
20-19
21-19
20-21
12-21
30-18
26-23
13-25
17-16
21-26
22-18
26-12
11-22
15-22
35-19
18-27
13-21
13-20
26-30
25-27
20-16
26-27
15-17
19-12
17-23
23-18
24-15
20-29
23-21
17-19
25-24
22-7
21-20
21-26
22-20
16-25
22-19
13-25
168.3Avg total
83.0Scored
85.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)83.085.3168.3-2.340%
Season at home (4)88.888.5177.2+0.250%
Season away (6)79.283.2162.3-4.033%
Last 10 (10)83.085.3168.3-2.340%
Last 5 (5)84.685.8170.4-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)78.982.8161.7-3.933%
vs Similar ◀ (15)77.077.9154.9-0.953%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Caserta) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CasertaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#6
W
78-75
78
75
+3
H02/10
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
74-93
74
93
-19
A09/10
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
95-82
95
82
+13
A16/10
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
W
74-65
74
65
+9
H24/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
80-100
80
100
-20
A30/10
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
84-67
84
67
+17
H06/11
Lega A
Cantu
#14
W
83-82
83
82
+1
A13/11
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
W
91-86
91
86
+5
H20/11
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
92-98 OT
92
98
-6
A27/11
Lega A
Brescia
#11
W
89-83
89
83
+6
H04/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-14
22-23
20-26
18-12
23-20
12-23
19-27
20-23
13-19
19-25
32-14
31-24
22-13
19-18
13-19
20-15
12-28
24-27
25-20
19-25
23-17
18-19
22-13
21-18
24-28
17-18
12-13
30-23
25-19
22-18
11-22
33-27
22-14
12-19
16-21
20-16
29-27
17-22
23-13
20-21
167.1Avg total
84.0Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)84.083.1167.1+0.970%
Season at home (5)83.275.2158.4+8.0100%
Season away (5)84.891.0175.8-6.240%
Last 10 (10)84.083.1167.1+0.970%
Last 5 (5)87.883.2171.0+4.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)77.284.1161.2-6.923%
vs Similar ◀ (17)76.677.1153.7-0.465%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Torino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +2.8+2.8
TorinoCaserta
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TorinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Avellino
#3
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A02/10
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H09/10
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A17/10
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H23/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A30/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
51-57
51
57
-6
H06/11
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A14/11
Lega A
Venezia
#1
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H20/11
Lega A
Cantu
#14
W
47-31
47
31
+16
A27/11
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A04/12
Lega A
85.5Avg total
43.5Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.340.078.3-1.640%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.639.180.7+2.554%-
Last 30 away (17)35.840.676.5-4.829%-
Last 10 (10)43.542.085.5+1.550%-
Last 5 (5)42.841.284.0+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)37.940.978.8-2.940%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)38.739.177.8-0.340%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Caserta) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CasertaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#6
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H02/10
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A09/10
Lega A
Cremona
#16
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A16/10
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H24/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
36-55
36
55
-19
A30/10
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H06/11
Lega A
Cantu
#14
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A13/11
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H20/11
Lega A
Venezia
#1
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A27/11
Lega A
Brescia
#11
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H04/12
Lega A
80.4Avg total
39.3Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.940.277.2-3.340%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.038.877.8+0.253%-
Last 30 away (15)34.941.776.5-6.827%-
Last 10 (10)39.341.180.4-1.850%-
Last 5 (5)41.840.282.0+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)35.842.978.7-7.223%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)37.838.276.0-0.453%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Torino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Torinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Torino: 80.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.520.4
50.3%
51.1%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.58.8
38.9%
35.7%26.2
🏀 Free throws19.613.9
70.7%
74.0%13.9
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Casertatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Caserta: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.019.8
52.0%
51.1%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.78.8
38.7%
35.7%26.3
🏀 Free throws18.814.1
75.1%
74.0%14.1
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/9 games with a box score before 11 Dec 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Torino
LWLWLLWLWL
Caserta
WLWWWLWWLW
#12
League position
#13
-5.0
Net rating
+5.2
104.0
Offensive rating
107.8
109.0
Defensive rating
102.6
53.2%
Effective FG%
54.3%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
17.7%
Turnover %
18.3%
23.2%
Off. rebound %
26.0%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.31
38.9%
3-point %
38.7%
55.4%
Assist %
54.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence104.0 · 107.8Defence109.0 · 102.6Shooting53.2% · 54.3%3-point %38.9% · 38.7%Ball care17.7% · 18.3%Off. rebounds23.2% · 26.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Torino   ■ Caserta
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Torino wins
1
Caserta wins
DateGameScore
24/01/16Torino v Caserta83-87
11/10/15Caserta v Torino63-65
Torinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/16APistoia73-89
27/11/16ACantu89-77
20/11/16HVenezia90-93 OT
14/11/16ATrento74-70
06/11/16HOlimpia Milano97-100
30/10/16ABrindisi79-87
23/10/16HCremona85-82 OT
17/10/16ACapo d'Orlando77-90
09/10/16HPesaro83-79
02/10/16AAvellino83-86
Casertalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/16HBrescia89-83
27/11/16AVenezia92-98 OT
20/11/16HCapo d'Orlando91-86
13/11/16ACantu83-82
06/11/16HTrento84-67
30/10/16AOlimpia Milano80-100
24/10/16HPistoia74-65
16/10/16ACremona95-82
09/10/16AVarese74-93
02/10/16HReggiana78-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Torino
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL40%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayLLWWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %40%50%33%
Points / game83.088.879.2
Allowed / game85.388.583.2
Point differential-2.3+0.2-4.0
Avg total168.3177.2162.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%0%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %20%50%0%
Caserta
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW70%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %70%100%40%
Points / game84.083.284.8
Allowed / game83.175.291.0
Point differential+0.9+8.0-6.2
Avg total167.1158.4175.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%20%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %10%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano1110191%88.777.7+11.0
2 Reggiana108280%84.379.6+4.7
3 Venezia118373%83.080.5+2.5
4 Avellino107370%79.175.7+3.4
5 Caserta107370%84.083.1+0.9
6 Capo d'Orlando116555%79.676.5+3.2
7 Brindisi116555%82.279.7+2.5
8 Sassari115645%76.175.8+0.3
9 Brescia115645%81.581.9-0.5
10 Torino104640%83.085.3-2.3
11 Trento114736%75.076.5-1.5
12 Pistoia114736%74.778.7-4.0
13 Varese103730%77.681.3-3.7
14 Cantu103730%77.884.2-6.4
15 Pesaro113827%75.179.3-4.2
16 Cremona112918%76.282.5-6.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Torino1927211380
Caserta2416231477
← all games of the day
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