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Caserta vs Sassari Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 May 2017
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 77-70
18-19 19-23 21-11 19-17
Position#13
Record11-18
FormLWLWL
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game81.4
Caserta 🏆
Italy
vs
Sassari
Italy
Position#5
Record17-12
FormWWWWL
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game73.8
ItalyLega ARound 30
Domestic2016-17
Meetings · Caserta v Sassari
20 Jan 2027
KAS v SAS
upcoming
07 May 2017
KAS77
SAS70
13 Dec 2015
KAS70
SAS86
26 Apr 2015
KAS94
SAS87
29 Dec 2013
KAS57
SAS82
06 Jan 2013
KAS88
SAS81
06 May 2012
KAS69
SAS95
30 Jan 2011
KAS90
SAS94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Caserta winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sassari winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CasertaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
74-78
74
78
-4
H26/02
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
66-76
66
76
-10
A04/03
Lega A
Cantu
#14
L
79-85
79
85
-6
H12/03
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
L
71-74
71
74
-3
A19/03
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
58-61
58
61
-3
H26/03
Lega A
Brescia
#11
L
62-64
62
64
-2
A02/04
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
83-76
83
76
+7
H09/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
67-83
67
83
-16
A15/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
86-82
86
82
+4
H23/04
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
75-79
75
79
-4
A30/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
15-20
19-17
20-24
13-23
19-17
22-12
12-24
10-21
19-12
28-24
22-28
17-15
19-21
17-21
18-17
21-13
12-10
11-24
14-14
15-6
13-17
16-19
18-22
24-14
21-24
9-25
29-13
14-31
19-20
16-15
18-17
28-26
15-20
18-17
25-19
19-8
15-26
17-23
24-22
147.9Avg total
72.1Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)77.981.4159.3-3.438%
Season at home (14)79.978.0157.9+1.957%
Season away (15)76.184.5160.6-8.520%
Last 10 (10)72.175.8147.9-3.720%
Last 5 (5)74.676.8151.4-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)76.983.8160.7-6.918%
vs Similar (19)78.379.4157.6-1.153%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sassari) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SassariItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
75-82
75
82
-7
H12/03
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
65-77
65
77
-12
A18/03
Lega A
Monaco
#1
L
62-73
62
73
-11
A22/03
Champions League
Cremona
#16
W
78-77
78
77
+1
A26/03
Lega A
Monaco
#1
L
76-79
76
79
-3
H29/03
Champions League
Brindisi
#9
W
79-78
79
78
+1
H02/04
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
66-57
66
57
+9
A08/04
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
W
74-64
74
64
+10
H15/04
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
87-79
87
79
+8
A23/04
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
85-89
85
89
-4
H03/05
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-23
18-21
20-18
20-20
15-26
21-14
18-19
11-18
15-16
15-23
10-21
22-13
27-27
22-21
15-20
14-9
15-18
19-19
20-26
22-16
20-18
15-16
31-15
13-29
20-15
10-18
18-14
18-10
16-20
17-18
24-12
17-14
14-19
18-30
27-14
28-16
30-20
10-29
28-28
17-12
150.2Avg total
74.7Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)76.973.8150.8+3.159%
Season at home (15)81.972.9154.8+8.973%
Season away (14)71.674.8146.4-3.143%
Last 10 (10)74.775.5150.2-0.850%
Last 5 (5)78.273.4151.6+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)74.477.4151.8-3.050%
vs Similar (12)78.874.8153.5+4.075%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)80.070.4150.4+9.671%
This opponent (Caserta) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +2.5+2.5
CasertaSassari
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CasertaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H26/02
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A04/03
Lega A
Cantu
#14
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H12/03
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A19/03
Lega A
Venezia
#1
W
33-23
33
23
+10
H26/03
Lega A
Brescia
#11
W
28-23
28
23
+5
A02/04
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H09/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A15/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H23/04
Lega A
Avellino
#3
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A30/04
Lega A
70.9Avg total
34.8Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.240.377.5-3.127%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.938.377.1+0.640%-
Last 30 away (15)35.642.377.9-6.713%-
Last 10 (10)34.836.170.9-1.330%-
Last 5 (5)36.638.475.0-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)37.041.078.0-4.027%-
vs Similar (19)37.439.977.3-2.526%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sassari) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SassariLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H12/03
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A18/03
Lega A
Monaco
#1
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A22/03
Champions League
Cremona
#16
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A26/03
Lega A
Monaco
#1
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H29/03
Champions League
Brindisi
#9
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H02/04
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A08/04
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H15/04
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A23/04
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H03/05
Lega A
76.5Avg total
35.4Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.538.374.8-1.840%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.838.977.7-0.147%-
Last 30 away (15)34.237.771.9-3.533%-
Last 10 (10)35.441.176.5-5.720%-
Last 5 (5)34.040.674.6-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)34.637.271.8-2.640%-
vs Similar (12)38.140.478.5-2.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)36.136.372.4-0.143%-
This opponent (Caserta) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Casertatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Caserta: 71.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.717.5
51.9%
51.1%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.47.9
31.1%
35.7%23.7
🏀 Free throws18.313.1
71.6%
74.0%13.1
They take 59.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sassaritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sassari: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.418.8
53.1%
51.1%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.08.4
32.3%
35.7%25.2
🏀 Free throws16.613.3
80.1%
74.0%13.3
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 May 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Caserta
LWLWLLLLLL
Sassari
LWWWWLWLLL
#13
League position
#5
-5.9
Net rating
+1.5
95.7
Offensive rating
104.9
101.5
Defensive rating
103.4
49.7%
Effective FG%
51.1%
49.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
22.8%
Turnover %
18.7%
25.9%
Off. rebound %
27.7%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.27
31.1%
3-point %
32.3%
46.9%
Assist %
48.9%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence95.7 · 104.9Defence101.5 · 103.4Shooting49.7% · 51.1%3-point %31.1% · 32.3%Ball care22.8% · 18.7%Off. rebounds25.9% · 27.7%Free throws0.31 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Caserta   ■ Sassari
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Caserta wins
7
Sassari wins
DateGameScore
08/01/17Sassari v Caserta95-77
03/04/16Sassari v Caserta87-75
13/12/15Caserta v Sassari70-86
26/04/15Caserta v Sassari94-87
29/12/14Sassari v Caserta95-84
27/04/14Sassari v Caserta92-95
29/12/13Caserta v Sassari57-82
28/04/13Sassari v Caserta87-74
06/01/13Caserta v Sassari88-81
06/05/12Caserta v Sassari69-95
Casertalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/04/17AAvellino75-79
23/04/17HBrindisi86-82
15/04/17APesaro67-83
09/04/17HTorino83-76
02/04/17ABrescia62-64
26/03/17HVenezia58-61
19/03/17ACapo d'Orlando71-74
12/03/17HCantu79-85
04/03/17ATrento66-76
26/02/17HOlimpia Milano74-78
Sassarilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/05/17HVenezia85-89
23/04/17ATorino87-79
15/04/17HCapo d'Orlando74-64
08/04/17ATrento66-57
02/04/17HBrindisi79-78
29/03/17HMonaco76-79
26/03/17ACremona78-77
22/03/17AMonaco62-73
18/03/17AAvellino65-77
12/03/17HOlimpia Milano75-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Caserta
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL38%
HomeLLLWW57%
AwayLLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %38%57%20%
Points / game77.979.976.1
Allowed / game81.478.084.5
Point differential-3.4+1.9-8.5
Avg total159.3157.9160.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%7%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (14)50% (8)33% (6)
Overtime %7%0%13%
Sassari
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL59%
HomeWLWWL73%
AwayLLWWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %59%73%43%
Points / game76.981.971.6
Allowed / game73.872.974.8
Point differential+3.1+8.9-3.1
Avg total150.8154.8146.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%47%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)40% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2922776%86.079.8+6.3
2 Venezia2920969%81.478.1+3.3
3 Avellino29191066%79.976.1+3.8
4 Trento29171259%78.473.3+5.1
5 Sassari29171259%76.973.8+3.1
6 Reggiana29171259%81.680.8+0.9
7 Brindisi29141548%83.882.0+1.8
8 Pistoia29141548%76.677.1-0.6
9 Capo d'Orlando29141548%75.676.8-1.2
10 Brescia29131645%79.281.6-2.4
11 Varese29131645%77.379.8-2.4
12 Torino29121741%81.685.3-3.8
13 Caserta29111838%77.981.4-3.4
14 Cantu29111838%78.182.3-4.2
15 Pesaro29101934%75.880.1-4.3
16 Cremona2982128%78.280.2-1.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Caserta1819211977
Sassari1923111770
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