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Caserta vs Brindisi Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 23 Apr 2017
Tip-off: 16:15
Final 86-82
28-26 15-20 18-17 25-19
Position#13
Record10-17
FormLLLWL
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game81.4
Caserta 🏆
Italy
vs
Brindisi
Italy
Position#9
Record13-14
FormLWLLW
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game82.1
ItalyLega ARound 28
Domestic2016-17
Meetings · Caserta v Brindisi
31 Jan 2027
KAS v BRI
upcoming
23 Apr 2017
KAS86
BRI82
27 Dec 2015
KAS80
BRI75
19 Oct 2014
KAS69
BRI78
24 Nov 2013
KAS65
BRI69
07 Apr 2013
KAS78
BRI63
06 Mar 2011
KAS90
BRI76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Caserta winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brindisi winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CasertaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCaserta
Date
Competition
Cremona
#16
W
79-75
79
75
+4
105avg 104
H05/02
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
L
64-77
64
77
-13
89avg 104
A13/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
74-78
74
78
-4
101avg 104
H26/02
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
66-76
66
76
-10
92avg 104
A04/03
Lega A
Cantu
#14
L
79-85
79
85
-6
107avg 104
H12/03
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
L
71-74
71
74
-3
98avg 104
A19/03
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
58-61
58
61
-3
86avg 104
H26/03
Lega A
Brescia
#11
L
62-64
62
64
-2
87avg 104
A02/04
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
83-76
83
76
+7
110avg 104
H09/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
67-83
67
83
-16
92avg 104
A15/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-20
16-22
16-15
33-18
22-29
18-11
11-18
13-19
20-17
15-20
19-17
20-24
13-23
19-17
22-12
12-24
10-21
19-12
28-24
22-28
17-15
19-21
17-21
18-17
21-13
12-10
11-24
14-14
15-6
13-17
16-19
18-22
24-14
21-24
9-25
29-13
14-31
19-20
16-15
18-17
145.2Avg total
70.3Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)77.781.4159.2-3.737%
Season at home (13)79.577.7157.2+1.854%
Season away (14)76.184.9161.1-8.821%
Last 10 (10)70.374.9145.2-4.620%
Last 5 (5)68.271.6139.8-3.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)77.285.3162.5-8.110%
vs Similar (20)77.179.0156.1-2.050%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brindisi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrindisiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrindisi
Date
Competition
Varese
#10
W
80-58
80
58
+22
110avg 108
H12/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
75-77
75
77
-2
no box
A16/02
Italian Cup
Torino
#12
L
88-90
88
90
-2
122avg 108
A26/02
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
94-82
94
82
+12
125avg 108
H05/03
Lega A
Brescia
#11
W
91-81
91
81
+10
116avg 108
A11/03
Lega A
Cantu
#14
L
77-83
77
83
-6
104avg 108
A19/03
Lega A
Avellino
#3
W
94-74
94
74
+20
122avg 108
H26/03
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
78-79
78
79
-1
104avg 108
A02/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
93-94 OT
93
94
-1
no box
H09/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
70-68
70
68
+2
no box
H15/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-18
21-16
21-9
21-15
18-28
26-17
17-16
14-16
23-20
21-23
24-21
20-26
25-21
30-22
14-18
25-21
23-21
19-19
24-24
25-17
26-24
14-19
22-21
15-19
24-5
17-21
23-27
30-21
18-20
16-15
15-31
29-13
25-22
20-22
20-9
16-28
26-19
13-17
14-20
17-12
162.6Avg total
84.0Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)83.782.1165.9+1.648%
Season at home (14)86.178.4164.5+7.871%
Season away (13)81.286.2167.4-5.123%
Last 10 (10)84.078.6162.6+5.450%
Last 5 (5)82.479.6162.0+2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (20)79.279.0158.2+0.245%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)90.185.3175.4+4.856%
This opponent (Caserta) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +2.4+2.4
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +2.4+2.4
CasertaBrindisi
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CasertaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#16
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H05/02
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A13/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H26/02
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A04/03
Lega A
Cantu
#14
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H12/03
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A19/03
Lega A
Venezia
#1
W
33-23
33
23
+10
H26/03
Lega A
Brescia
#11
W
28-23
28
23
+5
A02/04
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H09/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A15/04
Lega A
70.4Avg total
34.1Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.740.377.0-3.627%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.538.677.1-0.140%-
Last 30 away (15)34.941.976.9-7.013%-
Last 10 (10)34.136.370.4-2.230%-
Last 5 (5)35.034.269.2+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)36.742.278.9-5.530%-
vs Similar (20)36.739.376.0-2.625%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brindisi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrindisiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#10
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H12/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A16/02
Italian Cup
Torino
#12
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A26/02
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
55-43
55
43
+12
H05/03
Lega A
Brescia
#11
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A11/03
Lega A
Cantu
#14
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A19/03
Lega A
Avellino
#3
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H26/03
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A02/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H09/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H15/04
Lega A
81.1Avg total
42.2Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.338.879.1+1.560%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.237.779.9+4.580%-
Last 30 away (15)38.539.978.3-1.440%-
Last 10 (10)42.238.981.1+3.370%-
Last 5 (5)39.836.876.6+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (20)38.537.075.5+1.560%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)44.042.186.1+1.967%-
This opponent (Caserta) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Casertatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Caserta: 70.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.916.4
51.4%
51.1%32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.77.8
30.4%
35.7%23.4
🏀 Free throws19.513.8
70.8%
74.0%13.8
They take 57.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brindisitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brindisi: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.617.8
51.4%
51.1%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.311.3
39.9%
35.7%33.9
🏀 Free throws19.214.3
74.5%
74.0%14.3
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Apr 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Caserta
LWLLLLLLLW
Brindisi
WLLWLWWLLW
#13
League position
#9
-7.0
Net rating
+5.4
93.0
Offensive rating
108.3
100.1
Defensive rating
102.9
48.8%
Effective FG%
55.2%
48.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
23.7%
Turnover %
19.6%
25.1%
Off. rebound %
27.3%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.31
30.4%
3-point %
39.9%
43.0%
Assist %
56.0%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence93.0 · 108.3Defence100.1 · 102.9Shooting48.8% · 55.2%3-point %30.4% · 39.9%Ball care23.7% · 19.6%Off. rebounds25.1% · 27.3%Free throws0.34 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Caserta   ■ Brindisi
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Caserta wins
6
Brindisi wins
DateGameScore
27/12/16Brindisi v Caserta100-72
24/04/16Brindisi v Caserta73-55
27/12/15Caserta v Brindisi80-75
01/02/15Brindisi v Caserta60-72
19/10/14Caserta v Brindisi69-78
09/03/14Brindisi v Caserta64-53
24/11/13Caserta v Brindisi65-69
07/04/13Caserta v Brindisi78-63
09/12/12Brindisi v Caserta82-74
06/03/11Caserta v Brindisi90-76
Casertalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/04/17APesaro67-83
09/04/17HTorino83-76
02/04/17ABrescia62-64
26/03/17HVenezia58-61
19/03/17ACapo d'Orlando71-74
12/03/17HCantu79-85
04/03/17ATrento66-76
26/02/17HOlimpia Milano74-78
13/02/17APistoia64-77
05/02/17HCremona79-75
Brindisilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/04/17HOlimpia Milano70-68
09/04/17HPesaro93-94 OT
02/04/17ASassari78-79
26/03/17HAvellino94-74
19/03/17ACantu77-83
11/03/17ABrescia91-81
05/03/17HCremona94-82
26/02/17ATorino88-90
16/02/17AOlimpia Milano75-77
12/02/17HVarese80-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Caserta
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL37%
HomeWLLLW54%
AwayLLLLL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %37%54%21%
Points / game77.779.576.1
Allowed / game81.477.784.9
Point differential-3.7+1.8-8.8
Avg total159.2157.2161.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%8%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (12)43% (7)40% (5)
Overtime %7%0%14%
Brindisi
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW48%
HomeWWWLW71%
AwayLLWLL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %48%71%23%
Points / game83.786.181.2
Allowed / game82.178.486.2
Point differential+1.6+7.8-5.1
Avg total165.9164.5167.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%36%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won22% (9)40% (5)0% (4)
Overtime %15%14%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2721678%85.879.4+6.4
2 Venezia2718967%80.977.7+3.2
3 Avellino28181064%79.976.2+3.8
4 Sassari27161159%76.373.1+3.2
5 Reggiana27161159%81.980.6+1.3
6 Trento27151256%77.273.7+3.5
7 Capo d'Orlando28141450%75.676.4-0.8
8 Brindisi27131448%83.782.1+1.6
9 Pistoia27131448%76.576.9-0.4
10 Brescia27121544%79.480.7-1.3
11 Varese27121544%77.279.7-2.5
12 Torino27121544%81.484.9-3.5
13 Cantu27111641%78.081.6-3.6
14 Caserta27101737%77.781.4-3.7
15 Pesaro2791833%75.079.9-4.9
16 Cremona2772026%77.880.2-2.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Caserta2815182586
Brindisi2620171982
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