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Caserta vs Torino Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Apr 2017
Tip-off: 16:15
Final 83-76
24-14 21-24 9-25 29-13
Position#13
Record9-16
FormLLLLL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game81.6
Caserta 🏆
Italy
vs
Torino
Italy
Position#12
Record12-13
FormLWLWL
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game84.7
ItalyLega ARound 26
Domestic2016-17
Meetings · Caserta v Torino
09 Apr 2017
KAS83
TOR76
11 Oct 2015
KAS63
TOR65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Caserta winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Torino winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CasertaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCaserta
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#6
W
86-85 OT
86
85
+1
no box
A22/01
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
80-86
80
86
-6
106avg 104
H29/01
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
79-75
79
75
+4
105avg 104
H05/02
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
L
64-77
64
77
-13
89avg 104
A13/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
74-78
74
78
-4
101avg 104
H26/02
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
66-76
66
76
-10
92avg 104
A04/03
Lega A
Cantu
#14
L
79-85
79
85
-6
107avg 104
H12/03
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
L
71-74
71
74
-3
98avg 104
A19/03
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
58-61
58
61
-3
86avg 104
H26/03
Lega A
Brescia
#11
L
62-64
62
64
-2
87avg 104
A02/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
15-24
23-18
16-13
21-28
22-19
19-19
18-20
14-20
16-22
16-15
33-18
22-29
18-11
11-18
13-19
20-17
15-20
19-17
20-24
13-23
19-17
22-12
12-24
10-21
19-12
28-24
22-28
17-15
19-21
17-21
18-17
21-13
12-10
11-24
14-14
15-6
13-17
16-19
18-22
148.0Avg total
71.9Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)78.081.6159.6-3.636%
Season at home (12)79.277.8157.0+1.350%
Season away (13)76.885.1161.9-8.223%
Last 10 (10)71.976.1148.0-4.220%
Last 5 (5)67.272.0139.2-4.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)77.485.6163.0-8.28%
vs Similar ◀ (18)77.379.0156.3-1.750%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Torino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TorinoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTorino
Date
Competition
Avellino
#3
W
84-79
84
79
+5
111avg 108
H22/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
66-65
66
65
+1
91avg 108
A29/01
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
L
91-92
91
92
-1
123avg 108
H05/02
Lega A
Cremona
#16
L
82-117
82
117
-35
104avg 108
A12/02
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
90-88
90
88
+2
122avg 108
H26/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
74-81
74
81
-7
100avg 108
A05/03
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
76-67
76
67
+9
108avg 108
H13/03
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
70-89
70
89
-19
93avg 108
A19/03
Lega A
Cantu
#14
W
87-76
87
76
+11
120avg 108
H26/03
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
L
91-95 OT
91
95
-4
no box
H02/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
17-17
22-21
24-21
18-12
18-16
13-23
17-14
25-12
14-27
29-27
23-26
19-30
15-32
17-27
31-28
20-23
23-21
21-24
26-20
20-18
15-25
14-13
25-25
22-16
19-21
15-13
20-17
9-25
26-11
12-35
23-18
25-11
23-21
19-19
20-25
20-13
23-19
9-18
26-28
166.0Avg total
81.1Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)81.784.7166.4-3.048%
Season at home (13)86.584.0170.5+2.562%
Season away (12)76.485.5161.9-9.133%
Last 10 (10)81.184.9166.0-3.850%
Last 5 (5)79.681.6161.2-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)81.386.3167.6-5.038%
vs Similar ◀ (17)81.282.1163.4-0.959%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Caserta) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -4.9-4.9Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +1.3+1.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -4.9-4.9Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +1.3+1.3
CasertaTorino
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CasertaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#6
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A22/01
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H29/01
Lega A
Cremona
#16
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H05/02
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A13/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H26/02
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A04/03
Lega A
Cantu
#14
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H12/03
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A19/03
Lega A
Venezia
#1
W
33-23
33
23
+10
H26/03
Lega A
Brescia
#11
W
28-23
28
23
+5
A02/04
Lega A
70.9Avg total
34.3Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.840.377.1-3.623%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.039.177.1-1.133%-
Last 30 away (15)35.541.577.1-6.013%-
Last 10 (10)34.336.670.9-2.320%-
Last 5 (5)31.631.062.6+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)37.242.880.0-5.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)36.438.775.2-2.322%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Torino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TorinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Avellino
#3
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H22/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A29/01
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H05/02
Lega A
Cremona
#16
L
34-62
34
62
-28
A12/02
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H26/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A05/03
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H13/03
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A19/03
Lega A
Cantu
#14
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H26/03
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H02/04
Lega A
78.2Avg total
39.2Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.140.681.7+0.550%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.738.682.3+5.169%-
Last 30 away (14)38.142.880.9-4.629%-
Last 10 (10)39.239.078.2+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)40.436.076.4+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)41.042.783.7-1.738%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)41.238.980.1+2.259%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Caserta) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Casertatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Caserta: 70.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.116.9
48.1%
51.1%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.47.6
29.9%
35.7%22.8
🏀 Free throws19.514.0
71.8%
74.0%14.0
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Torinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Torino: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.418.3
46.4%
51.1%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.18.5
36.8%
35.7%25.5
🏀 Free throws21.717.7
81.6%
74.0%17.7
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Apr 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Caserta
LLLLLLLWLW
Torino
LWLWLWLLWW
#13
League position
#12
-7.8
Net rating
-3.7
90.2
Offensive rating
102.6
98.0
Defensive rating
106.3
46.8%
Effective FG%
49.7%
48.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
23.0%
Turnover %
19.6%
25.9%
Off. rebound %
25.8%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.35
29.9%
3-point %
36.8%
48.6%
Assist %
54.1%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence90.2 · 102.6Defence98.0 · 106.3Shooting46.8% · 49.7%3-point %29.9% · 36.8%Ball care23.0% · 19.6%Off. rebounds25.9% · 25.8%Free throws0.32 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Caserta   ■ Torino
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Caserta wins
2
Torino wins
DateGameScore
11/12/16Torino v Caserta80-77
24/01/16Torino v Caserta83-87
11/10/15Caserta v Torino63-65
Casertalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/04/17ABrescia62-64
26/03/17HVenezia58-61
19/03/17ACapo d'Orlando71-74
12/03/17HCantu79-85
04/03/17ATrento66-76
26/02/17HOlimpia Milano74-78
13/02/17APistoia64-77
05/02/17HCremona79-75
29/01/17HVarese80-86
22/01/17AReggiana86-85 OT
Torinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/04/17HPistoia91-95 OT
26/03/17HCantu87-76
19/03/17AVenezia70-89
13/03/17HTrento76-67
05/03/17AOlimpia Milano74-81
26/02/17HBrindisi90-88
12/02/17ACremona82-117
05/02/17HCapo d'Orlando91-92
29/01/17APesaro66-65
22/01/17HAvellino84-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Caserta
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL36%
HomeLWLLL50%
AwayWLLLL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %36%50%23%
Points / game78.079.276.8
Allowed / game81.677.885.1
Point differential-3.6+1.3-8.2
Avg total159.6157.0161.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%8%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (12)43% (7)40% (5)
Overtime %8%0%15%
Torino
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL48%
HomeLWWWL62%
AwayWWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %48%62%33%
Points / game81.786.576.4
Allowed / game84.784.085.5
Point differential-3.0+2.5-9.1
Avg total166.4170.5161.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%15%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (13)50% (10)67% (3)
Overtime %12%23%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2621581%86.579.8+6.7
2 Venezia2617965%80.877.7+3.1
3 Avellino25151060%79.476.0+3.4
4 Trento26151158%77.173.3+3.8
5 Sassari26151158%76.373.4+2.9
6 Reggiana25141156%81.981.1+0.8
7 Capo d'Orlando25141156%77.176.6+0.5
8 Brindisi25121348%83.982.2+1.7
9 Pistoia25121348%76.877.8-1.0
10 Torino25121348%81.784.7-3.0
11 Brescia25111444%79.180.6-1.5
12 Varese25111444%77.379.9-2.6
13 Cantu25101540%77.881.6-3.8
14 Caserta2591636%78.081.6-3.6
15 Cremona2571828%77.779.8-2.0
16 Pesaro2571828%73.979.8-6.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Caserta242192983
Torino1424251376
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