Virtus Roma vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 20 Jan 2013

Tip-off: 17:15

Final 65-64

14-16 19-19 22-14 10-15

Position#6

Record10-5

FormWLWWW

Points / game79.6

Allowed / game75.9

Virtus Roma 🏆

Pesaro

Position#15

Record3-12

FormLLLLW

Points / game70.7

Allowed / game78.3

Lega ARound 16

Domestic2012-13

Meetings · Virtus Roma v Pesaro

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Roma winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Pesaro winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus Roma Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cremona

#10

75-67

A04/11

Lega A

Siena

70-81

-11

H12/11

Lega A

Venezia

75-67

A18/11

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#16

79-85

-6

A25/11

Lega A

Varese

91-87

H02/12

Lega A

Avellino

#11

94-79

+15

A09/12

Lega A

Sassari

81-83

-2

H23/12

Lega A

Brindisi

#13

86-82

A30/12

Lega A

Biella

#17

67-59

H06/01

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#14

86-84 OT

A13/01

Lega A

20-19

20-15

21-18

14-15

11-25

16-18

22-17

21-21

9-6

21-22

27-19

18-20

20-24

18-19

17-24

24-18

25-19

24-22

16-20

26-26

24-21

25-19

21-28

24-11

15-21

26-18

15-14

25-30

11-20

26-23

20-18

29-21

19-5

7-18

10-19

31-17

17-20

12-22

31-19

13-12

157.8Avg total

80.4Scored

77.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (15)	79.6	75.9	155.5	+3.7	67%
Season at home (7)	77.4	73.9	151.3	+3.6	57%
Season away (8)	81.5	77.8	159.2	+3.8	75%
Last 10 (10)	80.4	77.4	157.8	+3.0	70%
Last 5 (5)	82.8	77.4	160.2	+5.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	77.0	80.8	157.8	-3.8	25%
vs Similar (20)	78.5	80.1	158.6	-1.5	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	81.2	72.5	153.7	+8.7	83%

This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Pesaro

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Reggiana

59-71

-12

A04/11

Lega A

Brindisi

#13

55-72

-17

A11/11

Lega A

Cantu

66-76

-10

H18/11

Lega A

Caserta

#12

63-77

-14

H25/11

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#16

58-76

-18

A02/12

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

70-72

-2

H10/12

Lega A

Cremona

#10

73-91

-18

A23/12

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#14

78-93

-15

H30/12

Lega A

Varese

69-82

-13

H06/01

Lega A

Avellino

#11

78-71

A13/01

Lega A

18-19

7-19

17-11

17-22

8-13

7-17

20-23

20-19

21-22

15-18

13-19

17-17

14-13

15-20

19-24

15-20

17-19

13-23

14-22

14-12

20-25

24-13

13-14

13-20

17-20

23-26

17-22

16-23

15-32

19-15

21-24

23-22

13-16

25-21

15-28

16-17

21-21

17-22

19-18

21-10

145.0Avg total

66.9Scored

78.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (15)	70.7	78.3	148.9	-7.6	20%
Season at home (8)	74.4	81.2	155.6	-6.9	12%
Season away (7)	66.4	74.9	141.3	-8.4	29%
Last 10 (10)	66.9	78.1	145.0	-11.2	10%
Last 5 (5)	73.6	81.8	155.4	-8.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	72.3	77.9	150.2	-5.6	22%
vs Similar (11)	72.7	76.2	148.9	-3.5	45%
vs Weaker (1)	82.0	78.0	160.0	+4.0	100%

This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Virtus RomaPesaro

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	19.4	38.4	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.7	17.4	37.1	+2.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.4	21.1	39.4	-2.7	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.1	18.0	35.1	-0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	17.4	34.6	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	18.8	21.5	40.2	-2.8	0%	-
vs Similar (20)	18.4	18.9	37.2	-0.5	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	21.2	19.7	40.8	+1.5	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	20.4	39.1	-1.8	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	21.4	41.9	-0.9	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.9	19.5	36.3	-2.6	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.4	20.0	36.4	-3.6	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	22.8	40.0	-5.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	18.8	21.0	39.8	-2.2	17%	-
vs Similar (11)	18.1	19.3	37.4	-1.2	55%	-
vs Weaker (1)	23.0	23.0	46.0	+0.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	19.6	38.4	-0.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.6	19.9	38.5	-1.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.0	19.3	38.3	-0.3	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	19.6	39.1	-0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	20.0	39.2	-0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	20.8	21.5	42.2	-0.8	50%	-
vs Similar (20)	19.2	20.3	39.5	-1.1	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	16.0	16.0	32.0	+0.0	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	17.4	35.4	+0.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	16.9	36.4	+2.5	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.5	17.9	34.5	-1.4	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.5	19.4	35.9	-2.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	19.4	41.0	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	18.5	17.3	35.8	+1.2	56%	-
vs Similar (11)	16.4	18.6	35.0	-2.3	45%	-
vs Weaker (1)	27.0	7.0	34.0	+20.0	100%	-

Virtus RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cremona

#10

40-34

A04/11

Lega A

Siena

27-43

-16

H12/11

Lega A

Venezia

30-28

A18/11

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#16

38-43

-5

A25/11

Lega A

Varese

49-41

H02/12

Lega A

Avellino

#11

49-40

A09/12

Lega A

Sassari

41-39

H23/12

Lega A

Brindisi

#13

37-43

-6

A30/12

Lega A

Biella

#17

26-23

H06/01

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#14

29-42

-13

A13/01

Lega A

74.2Avg total

36.6Scored

37.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.8	39.0	76.8	-1.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.3	37.4	75.6	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.4	40.4	77.8	-3.0	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.6	37.6	74.2	-1.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.4	37.4	73.8	-1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	39.5	43.0	82.5	-3.5	25%	-
vs Similar (20)	37.6	39.1	76.8	-1.5	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	37.2	35.7	72.8	+1.5	67%	-

This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Reggiana

25-38

-13

A04/11

Lega A

Brindisi

#13

15-30

-15

A11/11

Lega A

Cantu

36-40

-4

H18/11

Lega A

Caserta

#12

29-33

-4

H25/11

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#16

30-42

-12

A02/12

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

44-38

H10/12

Lega A

Cremona

#10

40-46

-6

A23/12

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#14

34-47

-13

H30/12

Lega A

Varese

38-37

H06/01

Lega A

Avellino

#11

38-43

-5

A13/01

Lega A

72.3Avg total

32.9Scored

39.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.7	37.9	74.5	-1.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.9	38.3	78.3	+1.6	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	33.4	37.4	70.8	-4.0	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	32.9	39.4	72.3	-6.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	42.2	81.0	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	37.3	38.3	75.6	-1.0	50%	-
vs Similar (11)	34.5	37.9	72.4	-3.5	36%	-
vs Weaker (1)	50.0	30.0	80.0	+20.0	100%	-

This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	19.9	39.2	-0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.0	18.2	37.2	+0.8	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.6	21.3	40.9	-1.7	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	19.6	39.6	+0.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	19.6	39.0	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	16.2	18.5	34.8	-2.2	25%	-
vs Similar (20)	20.6	20.0	40.6	+0.6	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	17.2	20.3	37.5	-3.2	17%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	19.7	38.4	-0.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.3	20.6	39.9	-1.3	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.2	18.7	36.9	-0.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.8	20.5	37.3	-3.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	21.2	38.2	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	18.2	19.1	37.3	-0.9	44%	-
vs Similar (11)	19.6	20.4	40.0	-0.7	36%	-
vs Weaker (1)	19.0	22.0	41.0	-3.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	18.9	39.6	+1.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.8	21.4	41.1	-1.6	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.4	16.8	38.2	+4.6	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	19.1	41.6	+3.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	18.2	42.6	+6.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	21.2	19.2	40.5	+2.0	75%	-
vs Similar (20)	19.4	20.1	39.5	-0.8	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	24.7	14.7	39.3	+10.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.4	19.7	37.1	-2.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.8	20.2	39.0	-1.4	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	15.9	19.3	35.2	-3.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.2	18.2	35.4	-1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	18.4	36.2	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	16.8	20.5	37.3	-3.7	22%	-
vs Similar (11)	18.6	17.9	36.5	+0.7	64%	-
vs Weaker (1)	13.0	26.0	39.0	-13.0	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.0	38.8	78.8	+1.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.8	39.6	78.4	-0.8	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.1	38.1	79.2	+2.9	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.5	38.7	81.2	+3.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.8	37.8	81.6	+6.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	37.5	37.8	75.2	-0.2	50%	-
vs Similar (20)	40.0	40.1	80.1	-0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	41.8	35.0	76.8	+6.8	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.1	39.4	75.5	-3.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.1	40.8	78.9	-2.7	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.1	38.0	72.1	-3.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.0	38.7	72.7	-4.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.8	39.6	74.4	-4.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	35.1	39.6	74.7	-4.6	39%	-
vs Similar (11)	38.3	38.3	76.5	+0.0	36%	-
vs Weaker (1)	32.0	48.0	80.0	-16.0	0%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Virtus Roma wins

Pesaro wins

Date	Game	Score
30/09/12	Pesaro v Virtus Roma	71-75
02/05/12	Pesaro v Virtus Roma	83-75
11/01/12	Virtus Roma v Pesaro	73-77 OT
30/01/11	Virtus Roma v Pesaro	85-53
24/10/10	Pesaro v Virtus Roma	76-69
14/03/10	Virtus Roma v Pesaro	70-61
15/11/09	Pesaro v Virtus Roma	73-84
15/03/09	Virtus Roma v Pesaro	98-76
23/11/08	Pesaro v Virtus Roma	106-93

Virtus Romalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/01/13	A	Sutor Montegranaro	86-84 OT
06/01/13	H	Biella	67-59
30/12/12	A	Brindisi	86-82
23/12/12	H	Sassari	81-83
09/12/12	A	Avellino	94-79
02/12/12	H	Varese	91-87
25/11/12	A	Virtus Bologna	79-85
18/11/12	A	Venezia	75-67
12/11/12	H	Siena	70-81
04/11/12	A	Cremona	75-67

Pesarolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/01/13	A	Avellino	78-71
06/01/13	H	Varese	69-82
30/12/12	H	Sutor Montegranaro	78-93
23/12/12	A	Cremona	73-91
10/12/12	H	Olimpia Milano	70-72
02/12/12	A	Virtus Bologna	58-76
25/11/12	H	Caserta	63-77
18/11/12	H	Cantu	66-76
11/11/12	A	Brindisi	55-72
04/11/12	A	Reggiana	59-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Roma

Lega A 2012-13

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	67%
Home	WLWLW	57%
Away	WLWWW	75%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	15	7	8
Win %	67%	57%	75%
Points / game	79.6	77.4	81.5
Allowed / game	75.9	73.9	77.8
Point differential	+3.7	+3.6	+3.8
Avg total	155.5	151.3	159.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	20%	29%	12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (6)	50% (2)	75% (4)
Overtime %	7%	0%	12%

Pesaro

Lega A 2012-13

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLW	20%
Home	LLLLL	12%
Away	LLLLW	29%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	15	8	7
Win %	20%	12%	29%
Points / game	70.7	74.4	66.4
Allowed / game	78.3	81.2	74.9
Point differential	-7.6	-6.9	-8.4
Avg total	148.9	155.6	141.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	7%	12%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (4)	0% (2)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Nazionale Italiana	1	1	0	100%	107.0	92.0	+15.0
2	Varese	15	13	2	87%	87.1	78.7	+8.4
3	Sassari	15	12	3	80%	86.5	79.5	+7.1
4	Cantu	15	11	4	73%	79.3	68.9	+10.4
5	Siena	15	11	4	73%	76.5	67.4	+9.1
6	Virtus Roma	15	10	5	67%	79.6	75.9	+3.7
7	Olimpia Milano	16	9	7	56%	79.2	78.0	+1.2
8	Reggiana	15	8	7	53%	77.0	72.9	+4.1
9	Brindisi	15	8	7	53%	81.7	79.3	+2.5
10	Venezia	15	7	8	47%	77.7	78.7	-1.0
11	Caserta	16	7	9	44%	71.2	77.7	-6.4
12	Virtus Bologna	15	6	9	40%	71.3	74.3	-3.1
13	Cremona	15	5	10	33%	75.2	78.3	-3.1
14	Sutor Montegranaro	15	4	11	27%	80.2	86.1	-5.9
15	Avellino	15	4	11	27%	78.0	85.3	-7.3
16	Pesaro	15	3	12	20%	70.7	78.3	-7.6
17	Biella	15	3	12	20%	68.9	80.7	-11.7
18	International All Stars	1	0	1	0%	92.0	107.0	-15.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Virtus Roma	14	19	22	10	65
Pesaro	16	19	14	15	64

← all games of the day

Virtus Roma vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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