PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Caserta vs Pesaro Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 27 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 19:30
Scheduled
Position#15
Record2-6
FormWWLLL
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game82.6
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.8/10
Around normal
4.5/10
Below normal
Position#10
Record5-4
FormWLLLL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game79.9
ItalySerie A2Round 32· PalaMaggiò
Other2026-27
Meetings · Caserta v Pesaro
27 Mar 2027
KAS v PES
upcoming
18 Dec 2016
KAS82
PES87
06 Dec 2015
KAS73
PES69
11 Jan 2015
KAS80
PES73
26 Jan 2014
KAS100
PES88
24 Mar 2013
KAS66
PES77
12 Nov 2011
KAS76
PES82
31 Oct 2010
KAS89
PES91
07 Nov 2009
KAS95
PES81
10 Dec 2008
KAS68
PES83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Caserta win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pesaro win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CasertaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCaserta
Date
Competition
Avellino
#3
L
75-79
75
79
-4
no box
A30/04
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
77-70
77
70
+7
no box
H07/05
Lega A
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
L
73-81
73
81
-8
69avg 72
A27/09
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
81-83
81
83
-2
no box
H04/10
Serie A2
Pesaro
#10
L
77-83
77
83
-6
66avg 72
A11/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
96-89
96
89
+7
90avg 72
H18/10
Serie A2
Mestre
#13
W
77-70
77
70
+7
68avg 72
H25/10
Serie A2
Sassari
#11
L
75-95
75
95
-20
68avg 72
A01/11
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#2
L
76-82
76
82
-6
no box
H08/11
Serie A2
Pistoia
#8
L
70-78
70
78
-8
no box
A11/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-8
15-26
17-23
24-22
18-19
19-23
21-11
19-17
18-27
19-17
21-19
15-18
24-26
14-16
21-26
22-15
24-23
15-23
21-16
17-21
21-27
16-25
35-20
24-17
26-17
15-18
16-22
20-13
19-20
16-18
19-29
21-28
25-22
22-22
16-22
13-16
22-21
14-15
14-20
20-22
158.7Avg total
77.7Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)78.182.6160.8-4.525%
Season at home (4)82.581.0163.5+1.550%
Season away (4)73.884.2158.0-10.50%
Last 10 (10)77.781.0158.7-3.330%
Last 5 (5)78.882.8161.6-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)75.782.9158.6-7.212%
vs Similar (14)78.079.6157.6-1.643%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pesaro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Rimini
#8
L
78-91
78
91
-13
68avg 75
H19/05
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
96-81
96
81
+15
92avg 75
A27/09
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
87-84
87
84
+3
32avg 75
H04/10
Serie A2
Caserta
#15
W
83-77
83
77
+6
87avg 75
H11/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#17
W
86-76
86
76
+10
67avg 75
A18/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#12
W
76-68
76
68
+8
76avg 75
H21/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
L
71-73
71
73
-2
61avg 75
H25/10
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#2
L
70-79
70
79
-9
60avg 75
A01/11
Serie A2
Mestre
#13
L
73-85
73
85
-12
no box
H07/11
Serie A2
Sassari
#11
L
87-96 OT
87
96
-9
no box
A11/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
11-27
22-21
27-23
31-14
25-25
20-19
20-23
24-23
21-18
15-26
27-17
23-24
23-15
16-21
21-17
13-15
27-31
22-17
24-13
22-21
20-18
13-15
21-14
15-20
21-20
18-19
17-14
19-21
18-27
13-16
20-15
22-22
18-30
19-12
14-21
25-21
15-22
19-19
20-17
161.7Avg total
80.7Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)81.079.9160.9+1.156%
Season at home (5)78.077.4155.4+0.660%
Season away (4)84.883.0167.8+1.850%
Last 10 (10)80.781.0161.7-0.350%
Last 5 (5)75.480.2155.6-4.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)70.079.0149.0-9.00%
vs Similar (20)82.586.2168.7-3.745%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)85.676.4162.0+9.1100%
This opponent (Caserta) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +3.7+3.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +3.7+3.7
CasertaPesaro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CasertaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Avellino
#3
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A30/04
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H07/05
Lega A
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A27/09
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H04/10
Serie A2
Pesaro
#10
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A11/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
L
37-52
37
52
-15
H18/10
Serie A2
Mestre
#13
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H25/10
Serie A2
Sassari
#11
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A01/11
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#2
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H08/11
Serie A2
Pistoia
#8
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A11/11
Serie A2
79.4Avg total
38.1Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.340.878.2-3.520%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.940.979.8-2.127%-
Last 30 away (15)35.840.776.5-4.913%-
Last 10 (10)38.141.379.4-3.220%-
Last 5 (5)39.241.080.2-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)37.440.878.2-3.319%-
vs Similar (14)37.240.978.1-3.721%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pesaro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rimini
#8
L
29-47
29
47
-18
H19/05
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
56-39
56
39
+17
A27/09
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H04/10
Serie A2
Caserta
#15
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H11/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#17
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A18/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#12
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H21/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H25/10
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#2
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A01/11
Serie A2
Mestre
#13
L
40-52
40
52
-12
H07/11
Serie A2
Sassari
#11
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A11/11
Serie A2
84.5Avg total
41.1Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.341.884.0+0.553%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.440.883.2+1.667%-
Last 30 away (15)42.142.784.9-0.640%-
Last 10 (10)41.143.484.5-2.340%-
Last 5 (5)39.044.483.4-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)37.048.085.0-11.00%-
vs Similar (20)41.643.084.7-1.440%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)44.238.282.4+6.089%-
This opponent (Caserta) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Casertatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Caserta: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.7 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.918.6
56.5%
51.2%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.79.2
33.2%
34.5%27.6
🏀 Free throws19.313.5
69.9%
71.0%13.5
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.7 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.517.5
50.7%
51.2%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.78.5
41.1%
34.5%25.5
🏀 Free throws19.114.8
77.5%
71.0%14.8
They take 55.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Caserta
LLLWWLLLWL
Pesaro
LLLLWWWWWL
#15
League position
#10
-4.2
Net rating
-1.4
106.4
Offensive rating
105.1
110.6
Defensive rating
106.5
53.5%
Effective FG%
54.8%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
13.1%
Turnover %
10.0%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.35
33.2%
3-point %
41.1%
47.1%
Assist %
53.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence106.4 · 105.1Defence110.6 · 106.5Shooting53.5% · 54.8%3-point %33.2% · 41.1%Ball care13.1% · 10.0%Free throws0.32 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Caserta   ■ Pesaro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Caserta wins
5
Pesaro wins
DateGameScore
11/10/26Pesaro v Caserta83-77
15/04/17Pesaro v Caserta83-67
18/12/16Caserta v Pesaro82-87
26/03/16Pesaro v Caserta71-72
06/12/15Caserta v Pesaro73-69
10/05/15Pesaro v Caserta80-70
11/01/15Caserta v Pesaro80-73
26/01/14Caserta v Pesaro100-88
20/10/13Pesaro v Caserta84-93 OT
24/03/13Caserta v Pesaro66-77
Casertalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26APistoia70-78
08/11/26HAvellino Basket76-82
01/11/26ASassari75-95
25/10/26HMestre77-70
18/10/26HJuVi Cremona96-89
11/10/26APesaro77-83
04/10/26HFortitudo Bologna81-83
27/09/26ASebastiani Rieti73-81
07/05/17HSassari77-70
30/04/17AAvellino75-79
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26ASassari87-96 OT
07/11/26HMestre73-85
01/11/26AAvellino Basket70-79
25/10/26HBasket Torino71-73
21/10/26HCividale76-68
18/10/26ARuvo Di Puglia86-76
11/10/26HCaserta83-77
04/10/26HJuVi Cremona87-84
27/09/26ACento96-81
19/05/26HRimini78-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Caserta
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL25%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game78.182.573.8
Allowed / game82.681.084.2
Point differential-4.5+1.5-10.5
Avg total160.8163.5158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pesaro
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL56%
HomeWWWLL60%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %56%60%50%
Points / game81.078.084.8
Allowed / game79.977.483.0
Point differential+1.1+0.6+1.8
Avg total160.9155.4167.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %11%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Libertas Livorno98189%81.269.7+11.6
2 Avellino Basket98189%82.274.7+7.6
3 Fortitudo Bologna97278%79.474.3+5.1
4 Sebastiani Rieti97278%74.872.1+2.7
5 Rimini96367%80.471.8+8.7
6 Brindisi96367%77.473.9+3.6
7 Basket Torino85362%72.872.2+0.5
8 Pistoia106460%77.669.1+8.5
9 Forli95456%82.377.6+4.8
10 Pesaro95456%81.079.9+1.1
11 Sassari95456%77.276.4+0.8
12 Cividale95456%71.874.1-2.3
13 Mestre94544%75.076.4-1.4
14 Vigevano93633%76.381.8-5.4
15 Caserta82625%78.182.6-4.5
16 JuVi Cremona92722%75.377.9-2.6
17 Ruvo Di Puglia92722%74.481.7-7.2
18 Cento92722%72.882.2-9.4
19 Montecatini91811%68.182.3-14.2
20 Urania Milano101910%74.682.7-8.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.