Castello vs Forca Lleida Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 09 Feb 2024

Tip-off: 19:00

Final 92-98

21-22 26-37 27-21 18-18

Position#15

Record5-14

FormLLLWL

Points / game77.3

Allowed / game85.4

Castello

Forca Lleida 🏆

Position#1

Record12-7

FormWWWWL

Points / game79.9

Allowed / game75.4

Primera FEBRound 20

Other2023-24

Meetings · Castello v Forca Lleida

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Castello winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Forca Lleida winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Castello

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormCastello

Date

Competition

Estudiantes

68-84

-16

67avg 70

H29/11

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

71-89

-18

59avg 70

A02/12

Primera FEB

Real Betis

88-100

100

-12

85avg 70

H08/12

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

80-90

-10

72avg 70

H16/12

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

66-80

-14

59avg 70

A21/12

Primera FEB

Melilla

#16

65-76

-11

60avg 70

A29/12

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

74-83

-9

65avg 70

H05/01

Primera FEB

Alicante

64-86

-22

55avg 70

A13/01

Primera FEB

Fuenlabrada

#10

77-73

72avg 70

H19/01

Primera FEB

Real Betis

77-98

-21

72avg 70

A02/02

Primera FEB

21-20

19-23

19-22

9-19

19-25

17-23

20-20

15-21

20-30

26-23

25-26

17-21

13-31

19-16

21-25

27-18

19-22

21-13

13-20

13-25

8-22

20-20

19-15

18-19

10-18

22-17

21-24

20-22

11-25

13-22

20-17

22-9

14-27

23-21

18-16

11-17

25-23

14-26

27-32

158.9Avg total

73.0Scored

85.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	77.3	85.4	162.7	-8.2	26%
Season at home (9)	80.0	82.6	162.6	-2.6	44%
Season away (10)	74.8	88.0	162.8	-13.2	10%
Last 10 (10)	73.0	85.9	158.9	-12.9	10%
Last 5 (5)	71.4	83.2	154.6	-11.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	77.2	86.8	164.1	-9.6	33%
vs Similar (9)	79.0	82.2	161.2	-3.2	44%
vs Weaker (3)	83.7	77.0	160.7	+6.7	67%

This opponent (Forca Lleida) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Forca Lleida Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormLleida

Date

Competition

Alicante

79-74

75avg 72

A29/11

Primera FEB

Ourense

#12

90-55

+35

94avg 72

H03/12

Primera FEB

Estudiantes

72-75

-3

60avg 72

A10/12

Primera FEB

Fuenlabrada

#10

75-73

66avg 72

A16/12

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#13

90-84

79avg 72

H22/12

Primera FEB

Clavijo

#18

79-72

72avg 72

H29/12

Primera FEB

Hestia Menorca

#11

70-67

65avg 72

A06/01

Primera FEB

Caceres

#17

95-71

+24

96avg 72

H12/01

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

79-72

72avg 72

A20/01

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

83-85

-2

70avg 72

H02/02

Primera FEB

26-15

18-19

21-17

14-23

23-10

21-16

27-16

19-13

19-14

12-14

16-24

25-23

20-17

14-28

27-14

14-14

22-25

20-27

19-18

29-14

32-24

15-12

13-12

19-24

15-15

18-16

17-16

20-20

25-19

16-20

32-13

22-19

21-25

14-14

26-18

18-15

14-17

23-23

18-21

28-24

154.0Avg total

81.2Scored

72.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	79.9	75.4	155.3	+4.5	63%
Season at home (10)	85.9	74.0	159.9	+11.9	80%
Season away (9)	73.2	76.9	150.1	-3.7	44%
Last 10 (10)	81.2	72.8	154.0	+8.4	80%
Last 5 (5)	81.2	73.4	154.6	+7.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	83.0	85.5	168.5	-2.5	50%
vs Similar (11)	75.5	80.2	155.7	-4.6	27%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	82.9	71.5	154.4	+11.4	82%

This opponent (Castello) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

CastelloForca Lleida

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	21.7	40.5	-2.9	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.7	21.2	40.9	-1.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.9	22.3	40.2	-4.3	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.3	21.6	37.9	-5.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.2	17.6	31.8	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	18.7	22.4	41.1	-3.7	28%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.8	21.8	40.6	-3.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (3)	19.3	17.7	37.0	+1.7	33%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	19.2	39.8	+1.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.8	19.5	41.3	+2.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.5	18.9	38.3	+0.6	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	18.1	39.8	+3.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	20.0	41.4	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	25.5	27.5	53.0	-2.0	50%	-
vs Similar (11)	18.5	18.3	36.7	+0.2	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	21.5	18.8	40.2	+2.7	65%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	20.8	39.4	-2.2	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.8	19.1	38.9	+0.7	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.4	22.5	39.9	-5.1	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	21.0	40.4	-1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	22.4	40.8	-4.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	18.8	21.5	40.3	-2.7	33%	-
vs Similar (9)	17.1	19.7	36.8	-2.6	11%	-
vs Weaker (3)	21.7	20.3	42.0	+1.3	33%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	19.3	38.4	-0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	17.9	38.7	+3.0	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.3	20.7	38.0	-3.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.1	18.9	36.0	-1.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	17.0	34.2	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	17.0	22.0	39.0	-5.0	0%	-
vs Similar (11)	19.2	18.8	38.0	+0.4	36%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	19.2	19.3	38.5	-0.1	65%	-

CastelloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Estudiantes

40-43

-3

H29/11

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

36-48

-12

A02/12

Primera FEB

Real Betis

46-53

-7

H08/12

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

32-47

-15

H16/12

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

40-35

A21/12

Primera FEB

Melilla

#16

28-42

-14

A29/12

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

32-35

-3

H05/01

Primera FEB

Alicante

31-47

-16

A13/01

Primera FEB

Fuenlabrada

#10

36-36

H19/01

Primera FEB

Real Betis

36-40

-4

A02/02

Primera FEB

78.3Avg total

35.7Scored

42.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.4	42.6	80.0	-5.2	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.5	40.3	79.8	-0.9	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.3	44.8	80.1	-9.5	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.7	42.6	78.3	-6.9	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.6	40.0	72.6	-7.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	37.6	43.9	81.4	-6.3	22%	-
vs Similar (9)	35.9	41.4	77.3	-5.6	33%	-
vs Weaker (3)	41.0	38.0	79.0	+3.0	67%	-

This opponent (Forca Lleida) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Forca LleidaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Alicante

44-34

+10

A29/11

Primera FEB

Ourense

#12

44-26

+18

H03/12

Primera FEB

Estudiantes

31-28

A10/12

Primera FEB

Fuenlabrada

#10

34-45

-11

A16/12

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#13

42-52

-10

H22/12

Primera FEB

Clavijo

#18

47-36

+11

H29/12

Primera FEB

Hestia Menorca

#11

33-31

A06/01

Primera FEB

Caceres

#17

41-39

H12/01

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

35-39

-4

A20/01

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

37-40

-3

H02/02

Primera FEB

75.8Avg total

38.8Scored

37.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.7	38.5	78.2	+1.2	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.7	37.3	80.0	+5.3	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.7	39.6	76.3	-2.9	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.8	37.0	75.8	+1.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	37.0	75.6	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	42.5	49.5	92.0	-7.0	50%	-
vs Similar (11)	37.6	37.1	74.7	+0.5	55%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	40.7	38.1	78.8	+2.6	71%	-

This opponent (Castello) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	20.9	42.1	+0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.1	20.4	43.5	+2.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	21.4	40.7	-2.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	22.1	40.9	-3.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	21.6	39.6	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	19.5	22.2	41.7	-2.7	28%	-
vs Similar (9)	24.0	19.8	43.8	+4.2	67%	-
vs Weaker (3)	23.0	16.7	39.7	+6.3	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	17.7	38.1	+2.7	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	17.9	39.1	+3.2	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.6	17.5	37.1	+2.1	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	16.9	38.5	+4.7	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	16.0	37.2	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	15.0	18.0	33.0	-3.0	0%	-
vs Similar (11)	19.0	20.9	39.9	-1.9	36%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	21.9	15.6	37.5	+6.3	94%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	20.9	40.4	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.6	19.4	40.0	+1.2	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	22.4	40.7	-4.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	21.2	39.7	-2.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	21.6	42.4	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	20.2	20.8	40.9	-0.6	44%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.0	20.7	38.7	-2.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (3)	19.7	22.3	42.0	-2.7	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	19.2	39.3	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.0	20.7	42.7	+1.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	17.8	35.9	+0.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	18.9	39.7	+1.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	20.4	41.8	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	25.5	18.0	43.5	+7.5	100%	-
vs Similar (11)	18.6	21.6	40.3	-3.0	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	20.3	17.8	38.1	+2.5	53%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.7	41.8	82.5	-1.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.7	39.8	83.5	+3.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.6	43.8	81.4	-6.2	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.3	43.3	80.6	-6.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	43.2	82.0	-4.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	39.7	42.9	82.6	-3.3	39%	-
vs Similar (9)	42.0	40.4	82.4	+1.6	56%	-
vs Weaker (3)	42.7	39.0	81.7	+3.7	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.4	36.9	77.3	+3.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.1	38.6	81.7	+4.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.7	35.3	72.9	+2.4	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.4	35.8	78.2	+6.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.6	36.4	79.0	+6.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	40.5	36.0	76.5	+4.5	100%	-
vs Similar (11)	37.6	42.5	80.2	-4.9	36%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	42.2	33.4	75.6	+8.8	71%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Castello wins

Forca Lleida wins

Date	Game	Score
12/11/23	Forca Lleida v Castello	97-82
05/04/23	Forca Lleida v Castello	77-88
07/12/22	Castello v Forca Lleida	87-79
06/03/22	Forca Lleida v Castello	80-71
29/10/21	Castello v Forca Lleida	95-98 OT
07/02/21	Forca Lleida v Castello	72-74
09/12/20	Castello v Forca Lleida	65-74
31/01/20	Forca Lleida v Castello	87-80
11/10/19	Castello v Forca Lleida	68-64
29/03/19	Forca Lleida v Castello	88-82

Castellolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/02/24	A	Real Betis	77-98
19/01/24	H	Fuenlabrada	77-73
13/01/24	A	Alicante	64-86
05/01/24	H	Leyma Coruna	74-83
29/12/23	A	Melilla	65-76
21/12/23	A	Tizona Burgos	66-80
16/12/23	H	Gipuzkoa	80-90
08/12/23	H	Real Betis	88-100
02/12/23	A	Real Valladolid	71-89
29/11/23	H	Estudiantes	68-84

Forca Lleidalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/02/24	H	Leyma Coruna	83-85
20/01/24	A	Tizona Burgos	79-72
12/01/24	H	Caceres	95-71
06/01/24	A	Hestia Menorca	70-67
29/12/23	H	Clavijo	79-72
22/12/23	H	Oviedo	90-84
16/12/23	A	Fuenlabrada	75-73
10/12/23	A	Estudiantes	72-75
03/12/23	H	Ourense	90-55
29/11/23	A	Alicante	79-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Castello

Primera FEB 2023-24

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWL	26%
Home	LLLLW	44%
Away	LLLLL	10%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	9	10
Win %	26%	44%	10%
Points / game	77.3	80.0	74.8
Allowed / game	85.4	82.6	88.0
Point differential	-8.2	-2.6	-13.2
Avg total	162.7	162.6	162.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	11%	11%	10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (2)	-
Overtime %	5%	11%	0%

Forca Lleida

Primera FEB 2023-24

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	63%
Home	WWWWL	80%
Away	WLWWW	44%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	10	9
Win %	63%	80%	44%
Points / game	79.9	85.9	73.2
Allowed / game	75.4	74.0	76.9
Point differential	+4.5	+11.9	-3.7
Avg total	155.3	159.9	150.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	26%	50%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (5)	0% (1)	75% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Estudiantes	19	16	3	84%	86.2	73.2	+12.9
2	Leyma Coruna	19	15	4	79%	89.0	80.1	+8.9
3	San Pablo Burgos	19	14	5	74%	85.8	76.1	+9.7
4	Gipuzkoa	19	14	5	74%	81.8	74.7	+7.2
5	Tizona Burgos	19	13	6	68%	87.4	81.4	+6.0
6	Forca Lleida	19	12	7	63%	79.9	75.4	+4.5
7	Alicante	19	12	7	63%	80.1	76.4	+3.7
8	Real Valladolid	19	11	8	58%	78.8	79.5	-0.7
9	Ourense	19	9	10	47%	72.4	78.3	-5.9
10	Oviedo	19	8	11	42%	79.1	80.5	-1.4
11	Real Betis	19	7	12	37%	81.4	79.4	+2.1
12	Fuenlabrada	19	7	12	37%	76.0	78.8	-2.8
13	Hestia Menorca	19	7	12	37%	70.4	75.1	-4.7
14	Melilla	19	7	12	37%	74.4	79.7	-5.3
15	Estela	19	6	13	32%	78.5	82.8	-4.3
16	Castello	19	5	14	26%	77.3	85.4	-8.2
17	Caceres	19	5	14	26%	73.8	84.0	-10.2
18	Clavijo	19	3	16	16%	64.8	76.3	-11.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Castello	21	26	27	18	92
Forca Lleida	22	37	21	18	98

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Castello vs Forca Lleida Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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