PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Bauru vs Cearense Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 18 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 93-88 (OT)
17-21 21-15 24-20 14-20 17-12
Position#5
Record13-8
FormWLWWW
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game77.7
Bauru 🏆
Brazil
vs
Position#8
Record10-10
FormWWLLL
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game76.3
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Panela de Pressao
Other2023-24
Meetings · Bauru v Cearense
18 Dec 2026
BAUR v CEAR
upcoming
05 Mar 2026
BAUR107
CEAR70
27 Nov 2024
BAUR80
CEAR71
18 Jan 2024
BAUR93
CEAR88
15 Dec 2022
BAUR82
CEAR50
10 Nov 2021
BAUR74
CEAR59
03 Apr 2021
BAUR98
CEAR97
16 Jan 2021
BAUR69
CEAR61
31 Oct 2019
BAUR90
CEAR80
14 Jan 2019
BAUR82
CEAR71
10 Jan 2018
BAUR87
CEAR82
09 Mar 2017
BAUR78
CEAR72
17 Dec 2015
BAUR82
CEAR66
07 Nov 2014
BAUR99
CEAR81
11 Apr 2014
BAUR97
CEAR78
09 Apr 2014
BAUR79
CEAR56
15 Mar 2014
BAUR83
CEAR77
16 Feb 2013
BAUR95
CEAR84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bauru winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cearense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BauruBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBauru
Date
Competition
Botafogo
#15
L
80-83
80
83
-3
76avg 70
A29/11
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
58-67
58
67
-9
46avg 70
A02/12
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
82-73
82
73
+9
78avg 70
H09/12
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
90-81
90
81
+9
88avg 70
H11/12
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
88-87 OT
88
87
+1
no box
A18/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
82-74
82
74
+8
74avg 70
A20/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
75-97
75
97
-22
57avg 70
A28/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
93-89 OT
93
89
+4
no box
A06/01
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
66-55
66
55
+11
60avg 70
A08/01
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
W
91-89
91
89
+2
90avg 70
H16/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-22
32-22
14-22
20-17
16-15
9-15
17-13
16-24
16-21
17-23
19-21
30-8
27-20
20-25
24-19
19-17
22-20
18-16
20-21
17-20
29-18
19-20
16-15
18-21
14-27
21-23
19-20
21-27
23-21
24-17
21-33
16-13
11-13
13-14
17-17
25-11
31-25
23-19
17-21
20-24
160.0Avg total
80.5Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)79.477.7157.1+1.762%
Season at home (9)85.372.2157.6+13.1100%
Season away (12)75.081.8156.8-6.833%
Last 10 (10)80.579.5160.0+1.070%
Last 5 (5)81.480.8162.2+0.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)76.789.4166.1-12.714%
vs Similar ◀ (11)76.175.2151.3+0.964%
vs Weaker (12)84.873.0157.8+11.883%
This opponent (Cearense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CearenseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCearense
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#16
L
74-78
74
78
-4
64avg 72
H06/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
L
62-63
62
63
-1
56avg 72
H08/12
NBB
Botafogo
#15
L
86-90
86
90
-4
80avg 72
A18/12
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
74-77
74
77
-3
70avg 72
A22/12
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
75-81
75
81
-6
67avg 72
A23/12
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
87-76
87
76
+11
86avg 72
H27/12
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
83-73
83
73
+10
83avg 72
H29/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
72-77
72
77
-5
64avg 72
H03/01
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
L
75-81
75
81
-6
63avg 72
H13/01
NBB
Franca
#1
L
75-81
75
81
-6
67avg 72
A16/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
18-21
16-20
16-16
17-23
15-9
15-17
15-14
24-26
15-21
26-20
21-23
23-13
20-27
13-14
18-23
21-21
22-24
16-16
16-20
25-12
15-19
24-20
23-25
18-15
20-18
20-21
25-19
22-29
21-22
12-15
17-11
20-18
16-25
22-20
17-18
16-24
22-12
22-22
15-23
154.0Avg total
76.3Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)77.876.3154.1+1.450%
Season at home (10)77.573.9151.4+3.660%
Season away (10)78.078.8156.8-0.840%
Last 10 (10)76.377.7154.0-1.420%
Last 5 (5)78.477.6156.0+0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)76.884.5161.3-7.725%
vs Similar ◀ (11)78.577.5156.1+1.064%
vs Weaker (7)77.775.3153.0+2.457%
This opponent (Bauru) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -0.9-0.9
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -0.9-0.9
BauruCearense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BauruLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Botafogo
#15
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A29/11
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
25-30
25
30
-5
A02/12
NBB
Brasilia
#19
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H09/12
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H11/12
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A18/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A20/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A28/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A06/01
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
24-27
24
27
-3
A08/01
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H16/01
NBB
79.5Avg total
39.9Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.039.280.3+1.853%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.538.181.6+5.367%-
Last 30 away (15)38.640.378.9-1.740%-
Last 10 (10)39.939.679.5+0.360%-
Last 5 (5)41.639.481.0+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)38.346.084.3-7.714%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)39.737.877.5+1.955%-
vs Weaker (12)43.836.680.4+7.275%-
This opponent (Cearense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CearenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#16
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H06/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H08/12
NBB
Botafogo
#15
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A18/12
NBB
Flamengo
#2
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A22/12
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A23/12
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H27/12
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H29/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H03/01
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H13/01
NBB
Franca
#1
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A16/01
NBB
79.4Avg total
39.4Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.939.278.2-0.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.139.578.7-0.447%-
Last 30 away (15)38.738.977.7-0.253%-
Last 10 (10)39.440.079.4-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)39.038.877.8+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)37.240.577.8-3.250%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)40.838.779.5+2.155%-
vs Weaker (7)38.937.976.7+1.043%-
This opponent (Bauru) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Baurutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bauru: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.621.3
53.8%
51.8%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.69.2
32.2%
33.9%27.6
🏀 Free throws16.212.0
74.1%
72.6%12.0
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cearensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cearense: 75.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.819.8
56.9%
51.8%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.07.1
29.6%
33.9%21.3
🏀 Free throws21.014.8
70.5%
72.6%14.8
They take 58.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bauru
WWWLWWWWLL
Cearense
LLLWWLLLLL
#5
League position
#8
+2.2
Net rating
-1.1
104.7
Offensive rating
105.1
102.5
Defensive rating
106.2
51.5%
Effective FG%
51.8%
49.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.2%
16.4%
Turnover %
18.7%
26.8%
Off. rebound %
28.1%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.36
32.2%
3-point %
29.6%
61.6%
Assist %
53.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence104.7 · 105.1Defence102.5 · 106.2Shooting51.5% · 51.8%3-point %32.2% · 29.6%Ball care16.4% · 18.7%Off. rebounds26.8% · 28.1%Free throws0.24 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)70% · 20%
■ Bauru   ■ Cearense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Bauru wins
4
Cearense wins
DateGameScore
31/10/23Cearense v Bauru80-77
22/03/23Cearense v Bauru79-77
15/12/22Bauru v Cearense82-50
13/02/22Cearense v Bauru74-72
10/11/21Bauru v Cearense74-59
03/04/21Bauru v Cearense98-97 OT
16/01/21Bauru v Cearense69-61
07/01/21Cearense v Bauru71-60
14/02/20Cearense v Bauru78-83
31/10/19Bauru v Cearense90-80
Baurulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/24HUnifacisa91-89
08/01/24APaulistano66-55
06/01/24ASao Paulo93-89 OT
28/12/23AFranca75-97
20/12/23ASao Jose82-74
18/12/23AMogi88-87 OT
11/12/23HCerrado90-81
09/12/23HBrasilia82-73
02/12/23AVasco58-67
29/11/23ABotafogo80-83
Cearenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/24AFranca75-81
13/01/24HSao Paulo75-81
03/01/24HFranca72-77
29/12/23HBrasilia83-73
27/12/23HCerrado87-76
23/12/23AVasco75-81
22/12/23AFlamengo74-77
18/12/23ABotafogo86-90
08/12/23HCaxias do Sul62-63
06/12/23HUniao Corinthians74-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bauru
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW62%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLWW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21912
Win %62%100%33%
Points / game79.485.375.0
Allowed / game77.772.281.8
Point differential+1.7+13.1-6.8
Avg total157.1157.6156.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%33%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)100% (3)40% (5)
Overtime %10%0%17%
Cearense
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL50%
HomeLWWLL60%
AwayLLLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %50%60%40%
Points / game77.877.578.0
Allowed / game76.373.978.8
Point differential+1.4+3.6-0.8
Avg total154.1151.4156.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%40%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)40% (5)50% (6)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas2219386%86.572.0+14.5
2 Franca2218482%88.276.7+11.5
3 Flamengo2117481%84.575.3+9.2
4 Paulistano2114767%74.871.7+3.1
5 Vasco2114767%73.570.6+2.9
6 Unifacisa2113862%83.980.4+3.5
7 Bauru2113862%79.477.7+1.7
8 Sao Jose2011955%79.174.6+4.5
9 Cearense20101050%77.876.3+1.4
10 Pato22101245%76.277.7-1.5
11 Pinheiros2091145%76.278.5-2.2
12 Corinthians Paulista1981142%79.881.4-1.6
13 Sao Paulo2291341%77.480.9-3.5
14 Caxias do Sul1961332%72.279.2-6.9
15 Uniao Corinthians1961332%71.980.5-8.5
16 Botafogo2061430%76.584.9-8.3
17 Cerrado1951426%73.875.7-1.9
18 Mogi1931616%73.379.7-6.4
19 Brasilia2031715%70.686.2-15.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Bauru172124141793
Cearense211520201288
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.