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CD Povoa vs Academica Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 116-44
36-14 32-9 22-10 26-11
Position#1
Record5-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game87.6
Allowed / game66.0
vs
Position#16
Record0-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game55.8
Allowed / game73.2
PortugalProligaRound 6· Clube Desportivo Póvoa
Other2025-26
Meetings · CD Povoa v Academica
08 Nov 2025
CD P116
ACAD44
22 Jan 2022
CD P75
ACAD69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CD Povoa winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Academica winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CD PovoaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPovoa
Date
Competition
Vitoria
#9
W
81-71
81
71
+10
72avg 64
H05/04
LPB
Benfica
#4
L
85-106
85
106
-21
78avg 64
A09/04
Taca da Liga
Benfica
#1
L
77-94
77
94
-17
65avg 64
A12/04
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
L
61-68
61
68
-7
47avg 64
H19/04
LPB
Imortal
#7
L
81-85
81
85
-4
74avg 64
A26/04
LPB
Sangalhos
#15
W
80-56
80
56
+24
74avg 64
H04/10
Proliga
Maia
#4
W
91-69
91
69
+22
82avg 64
A11/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
104-74
104
74
+30
no box
A18/10
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
87-75
87
75
+12
85avg 64
H25/10
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
76-56
76
56
+20
69avg 64
A01/11
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-15
21-21
19-27
24-8
27-25
15-22
18-28
25-31
13-21
18-22
21-22
25-29
15-20
15-19
17-11
14-18
20-24
21-24
17-15
23-22
13-15
28-10
21-19
18-12
22-15
29-11
17-23
23-20
30-20
20-13
24-18
30-23
19-19
24-21
22-17
22-18
22-12
12-12
21-16
21-16
157.7Avg total
82.3Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)87.666.0153.6+21.6100%
Season at home (2)83.565.5149.0+18.0100%
Season away (3)90.366.3156.7+24.0100%
Last 10 (10)82.375.4157.7+6.960%
Last 5 (5)87.666.0153.6+21.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)69.681.6151.2-12.118%
vs Similar (7)83.784.6168.3-0.929%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)87.666.0153.6+21.6100%
This opponent (Academica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AcademicaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAcademica
Date
Competition
Imortal B
#12
L
46-82
46
82
-36
no box
A10/03
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#15
W
76-74
76
74
+2
no box
A16/03
Proliga
Barreirense
#7
L
59-64
59
64
-5
no box
H23/03
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#13
W
64-53
64
53
+11
no box
A30/03
Proliga
Imortal B
#12
L
54-58
54
58
-4
no box
H14/04
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
L
67-85
67
85
-18
60avg 43
A04/10
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
46-76
46
76
-30
33avg 43
H11/10
Proliga
Maia
#4
L
60-88
60
88
-28
46avg 43
A18/10
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
L
56-66
56
66
-10
44avg 43
A25/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
L
50-51
50
51
-1
34avg 43
H31/10
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-25
13-17
13-15
10-25
15-18
29-30
14-16
18-10
15-17
16-15
17-17
11-15
21-17
15-11
17-7
11-18
11-13
13-19
15-10
15-16
11-27
15-27
17-8
24-23
19-13
6-26
10-17
11-20
15-22
13-23
16-21
16-22
16-20
12-15
13-10
15-21
9-14
14-12
16-10
11-15
127.5Avg total
57.8Scored
69.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)55.873.2129.0-17.40%
Season at home (2)48.063.5111.5-15.50%
Season away (3)61.079.7140.7-18.70%
Last 10 (10)57.869.7127.5-11.920%
Last 5 (5)55.873.2129.0-17.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)60.874.1134.9-13.317%
vs Similar (3)70.374.0144.3-3.733%
vs Weaker (3)77.777.0154.7+0.767%
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -4.4-4.4Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: -4.9-4.9Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -4.3-4.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -4.4-4.4Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: -4.9-4.9Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -4.3-4.3
CD PovoaAcademica
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CD PovoaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vitoria
#9
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H05/04
LPB
Benfica
#4
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A09/04
Taca da Liga
Benfica
#1
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A12/04
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H19/04
LPB
Imortal
#7
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A26/04
LPB
Sangalhos
#15
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H04/10
Proliga
Maia
#4
W
51-26
51
26
+25
A11/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
50-33
50
33
+17
A18/10
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H25/10
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
34-24
34
24
+10
A01/11
Proliga
76.2Avg total
40.1Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.538.777.2-0.253%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.938.976.8-1.157%-
Last 30 away (16)39.038.577.5+0.550%-
Last 10 (10)40.136.176.2+4.060%-
Last 5 (5)43.829.673.4+14.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)36.938.975.9-2.047%-
vs Similar (7)39.643.683.1-4.043%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)43.829.673.4+14.2100%-
This opponent (Academica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AcademicaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Imortal B
#12
L
23-42
23
42
-19
A10/03
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#15
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A16/03
Proliga
Barreirense
#7
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H23/03
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#13
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A30/03
Proliga
Imortal B
#12
L
24-32
24
32
-8
H14/04
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
L
26-54
26
54
-28
A04/10
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
25-39
25
39
-14
H11/10
Proliga
Maia
#4
L
28-45
28
45
-17
A18/10
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A25/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
L
23-26
23
26
-3
H31/10
Proliga
66.9Avg total
28.8Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.837.970.7-5.123%-
Last 30 at home (15)30.333.764.1-3.420%-
Last 30 away (15)35.342.177.4-6.727%-
Last 10 (10)28.838.166.9-9.310%-
Last 5 (5)26.039.865.8-13.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)31.538.269.8-6.712%-
vs Similar (3)36.037.773.7-1.733%-
vs Weaker (3)40.035.375.3+4.7100%-
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
CD Povoatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CD Povoa: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.320.3
50.4%
50.0%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.57.9
32.2%
30.3%23.7
🏀 Free throws19.612.6
64.3%
67.4%12.6
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Academicatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Academica: 56.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.716.1
47.8%
50.0%32.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.75.4
23.8%
30.3%16.2
🏀 Free throws14.58.4
57.9%
67.4%8.4
They take 56.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
CD Povoa
WWWWWLLLLW
Academica
LLLLLLWLWL
#1
League position
#16
+1.2
Net rating
-17.2
98.5
Offensive rating
80.6
97.4
Defensive rating
97.7
49.6%
Effective FG%
42.9%
46.1%
Opp. effective FG%
48.1%
21.0%
Turnover %
27.8%
29.0%
Off. rebound %
31.0%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.26
32.2%
3-point %
23.8%
57.1%
Assist %
55.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence98.5 · 80.6Defence97.4 · 97.7Shooting49.6% · 42.9%3-point %32.2% · 23.8%Ball care21.0% · 27.8%Off. rebounds29.0% · 31.0%Free throws0.30 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ CD Povoa   ■ Academica
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
CD Povoa wins
0
Academica wins
DateGameScore
22/01/22CD Povoa v Academica75-69
31/10/21Academica v CD Povoa62-73
CD Povoalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/25AIlliabum76-56
25/10/25HGinasio87-75
18/10/25ASampaense104-74
11/10/25AMaia91-69
04/10/25HSangalhos80-56
26/04/25AImortal81-85
19/04/25HOliveirense61-68
12/04/25ABenfica77-94
09/04/25ABenfica85-106
05/04/25HVitoria81-71
Academicalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/25HSangalhos50-51
25/10/25ALusitania56-66
18/10/25AMaia60-88
11/10/25HIlliabum46-76
04/10/25AGinasio67-85
14/04/24HImortal B54-58
30/03/24ABenfica Lisboa B64-53
23/03/24HBarreirense59-64
16/03/24AGinasio Olhanense76-74
10/03/24AImortal B46-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

CD Povoa
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game87.683.590.3
Allowed / game66.065.566.3
Point differential+21.6+18.0+24.0
Avg total153.6149.0156.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Academica
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game55.848.061.0
Allowed / game73.263.579.7
Point differential-17.4-15.5-18.7
Avg total129.0111.5140.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CD Povoa550100%87.666.0+21.6
2 Portimonense65183%84.375.5+8.8
3 Illiabum54180%80.268.4+11.8
4 CAB Madeira54180%85.674.0+11.6
5 Ginasio54180%76.469.4+7.0
6 Galomar64267%84.580.5+4.0
7 Benfica Lisboa B53260%76.068.2+7.8
8 Imortal B53260%79.680.0-0.4
9 Maia52340%76.474.8+1.6
10 Lusitania52340%69.272.6-3.4
11 Sampaense52340%74.882.4-7.6
12 Ginasio Olhanense51420%77.883.4-5.6
13 Santo Andre51420%77.885.2-7.4
14 Sangalhos51420%62.476.0-13.6
15 Academica5050%55.873.2-17.4
16 CB Queluz5050%65.286.6-21.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
CD Povoa36322226116
Academica149101144
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