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Maia vs CD Povoa Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 69-91
15-22 11-29 23-17 20-23
Position#4
Record0-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game87.0
Maia
Portugal
vs
CD Povoa 🏆
Portugal
Position#1
Record1-0
FormLLLLW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game56.0
PortugalProligaRound 2· Pavilhão Mun. Nortecoope
Other2025-26
Meetings · Maia v CD Povoa
25 Apr 2026
MAIA75
CD P73
11 Oct 2025
MAIA69
CD P91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Maia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CD Povoa winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MaiaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMaia
Date
Competition
Barreirense
#13
W
68-65
68
65
+3
56avg 66
H08/03
Proliga
Lusitania
#6
W
93-86
93
86
+7
88avg 66
H16/03
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
L
72-96
72
96
-24
54avg 66
A22/03
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
77-71
77
71
+6
70avg 66
A29/03
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
84-81 OT
84
81
+3
71avg 66
H05/04
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
W
64-60
64
60
+4
53avg 66
H16/04
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
W
78-73
78
73
+5
73avg 66
A19/04
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
W
88-74
88
74
+14
81avg 66
H25/04
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
76-72
76
72
+4
61avg 66
A04/05
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
81-87
81
87
-6
64avg 66
A04/10
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-17
17-17
16-16
16-15
19-28
30-14
18-17
26-27
13-20
23-29
16-17
20-30
22-14
18-13
24-26
13-18
18-16
23-16
10-19
20-20
19-18
9-13
19-21
17-8
25-16
14-28
21-17
18-12
21-17
10-18
28-18
29-21
22-21
13-17
18-17
23-17
18-21
21-22
26-25
16-19
154.6Avg total
78.1Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)81.087.0168.0-6.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)81.087.0168.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)78.176.5154.6+1.680%
Last 5 (5)77.473.2150.6+4.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)74.183.1157.2-9.036%
vs Similar (15)79.181.1160.3-2.053%
vs Weaker (4)75.068.0143.0+7.0100%
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CD PovoaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPovoa
Date
Competition
Galitos Barreiro
#6
L
70-75
70
75
-5
60avg 61
H01/03
Taca da Liga
Galitos Barreiro
#6
L
74-80
74
80
-6
60avg 61
H08/03
LPB
Galomar
#12
W
84-72
84
72
+12
76avg 61
A15/03
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
57-84
57
84
-27
40avg 61
A29/03
LPB
Vitoria
#9
W
81-71
81
71
+10
72avg 61
H05/04
LPB
Benfica
#4
L
85-106
85
106
-21
78avg 61
A09/04
Taca da Liga
Benfica
#1
L
77-94
77
94
-17
65avg 61
A12/04
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
L
61-68
61
68
-7
47avg 61
H19/04
LPB
Imortal
#7
L
81-85
81
85
-4
74avg 61
A26/04
LPB
Sangalhos
#15
W
80-56
80
56
+24
74avg 61
H04/10
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-28
19-13
8-15
14-19
21-25
14-18
19-16
20-21
27-20
26-22
12-18
19-12
15-22
20-20
12-21
10-21
17-15
21-21
19-27
24-8
27-25
15-22
18-28
25-31
13-21
18-22
21-22
25-29
15-20
15-19
17-11
14-18
20-24
21-24
17-15
23-22
13-15
28-10
21-19
18-12
154.1Avg total
75.0Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)80.056.0136.0+24.0100%
Season at home (1)80.056.0136.0+24.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)75.079.1154.1-4.130%
Last 5 (5)76.881.8158.6-5.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)70.181.4151.5-11.320%
vs Similar (8)82.183.5165.6-1.425%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)80.056.0136.0+24.0100%
This opponent (Maia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -0.1-0.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -0.1-0.1
MaiaCD Povoa
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MaiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barreirense
#13
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H08/03
Proliga
Lusitania
#6
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H16/03
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A22/03
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
40-27
40
27
+13
A29/03
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H05/04
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H16/04
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A19/04
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H25/04
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A04/05
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A04/10
Proliga
74.9Avg total
37.4Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.540.677.1-4.137%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.237.674.9-0.457%-
Last 30 away (16)35.843.279.0-7.419%-
Last 10 (10)37.437.574.9-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)34.438.272.6-3.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)35.343.478.6-8.118%-
vs Similar (15)37.840.378.1-2.547%-
vs Weaker (4)34.834.068.8+0.850%-
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CD PovoaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H01/03
Taca da Liga
Galitos Barreiro
#6
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H08/03
LPB
Galomar
#12
W
53-42
53
42
+11
A15/03
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A29/03
LPB
Vitoria
#9
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H05/04
LPB
Benfica
#4
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A09/04
Taca da Liga
Benfica
#1
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A12/04
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H19/04
LPB
Imortal
#7
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A26/04
LPB
Sangalhos
#15
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H04/10
Proliga
80.0Avg total
39.4Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.840.177.9-2.347%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.138.776.9-0.657%-
Last 30 away (16)37.641.378.9-3.838%-
Last 10 (10)39.440.680.0-1.240%-
Last 5 (5)37.040.477.4-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)37.039.176.2-2.145%-
vs Similar (8)40.543.684.1-3.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)41.025.066.0+16.0100%-
This opponent (Maia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Maiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Maia: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.216.0
46.8%
50.0%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.99.3
33.3%
30.3%27.9
🏀 Free throws23.017.6
76.5%
67.4%17.6
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CD Povoatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CD Povoa: 74.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.020.1
51.5%
50.0%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.07.3
29.2%
30.3%21.9
🏀 Free throws18.712.4
66.3%
67.4%12.4
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Maia
LWWWWWWLWW
CD Povoa
WLLLLWLWLL
#4
League position
#1
+2.5
Net rating
-5.3
106.4
Offensive rating
99.6
103.9
Defensive rating
105.0
48.2%
Effective FG%
48.5%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
47.1%
17.0%
Turnover %
19.5%
30.3%
Off. rebound %
30.3%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.29
33.3%
3-point %
29.2%
58.1%
Assist %
52.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence106.4 · 99.6Defence103.9 · 105.0Shooting48.2% · 48.5%3-point %33.3% · 29.2%Ball care17.0% · 19.5%Off. rebounds30.3% · 30.3%Free throws0.37 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)80% · 30%
■ Maia   ■ CD Povoa
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Maia wins
1
CD Povoa wins
DateGameScore
14/01/24CD Povoa v Maia98-68
Maialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/25AIlliabum81-87
04/05/25ABarreirense76-72
25/04/25HGinasio88-74
19/04/25ASanto Andre78-73
16/04/25HSanto Andre64-60
05/04/25HBenfica Lisboa B84-81 OT
29/03/25AGalitos Aveiro77-71
22/03/25ASampaense72-96
16/03/25HLusitania93-86
08/03/25HBarreirense68-65
CD Povoalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/25HSangalhos80-56
26/04/25AImortal81-85
19/04/25HOliveirense61-68
12/04/25ABenfica77-94
09/04/25ABenfica85-106
05/04/25HVitoria81-71
29/03/25ASporting CP57-84
15/03/25AGalomar84-72
08/03/25HGalitos Barreiro74-80
01/03/25HGalitos Barreiro70-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Maia
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game81.0-81.0
Allowed / game87.0-87.0
Point differential-6.0--6.0
Avg total168.0-168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
CD Povoa
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game80.080.0-
Allowed / game56.056.0-
Point differential+24.0+24.0-
Avg total136.0136.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Portimonense110100%97.063.0+34.0
2 CAB Madeira110100%88.063.0+25.0
3 CD Povoa110100%80.056.0+24.0
4 Ginasio110100%85.067.0+18.0
5 Imortal B110100%78.067.0+11.0
6 Ginasio Olhanense110100%93.086.0+7.0
7 Illiabum110100%87.081.0+6.0
8 Sampaense110100%80.074.0+6.0
9 Galomar21150%91.081.0+10.0
10 Benfica Lisboa B21150%78.578.5+0.0
11 Lusitania1010%74.080.0-6.0
12 Maia1010%81.087.0-6.0
13 Academica1010%67.085.0-18.0
14 Santo Andre2020%71.093.5-22.5
15 Sangalhos1010%56.080.0-24.0
16 CB Queluz2020%66.092.0-26.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Maia1511232069
CD Povoa2229172391
← all games of the day
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