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CD Povoa vs Vitoria Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 81-71
17-15 21-21 19-27 24-8
Position#10
Record4-14
FormLLLWL
Points / game72.9
Allowed / game81.3
CD Povoa 🏆
Portugal
vs
Vitoria
Portugal
Position#9
Record8-10
FormLWLWW
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game83.6
PortugalLPBRound 19· Clube Desportivo Póvoa
Other2024-25
Meetings · CD Povoa v Vitoria
13 Feb 2027
CD P v VITO
upcoming
05 Apr 2025
CD P81
VITO71
23 Mar 2024
CD P75
VITO73
11 Mar 2023
CD P97
VITO84
01 Oct 2022
CD P76
VITO86
26 Mar 2022
CD P87
VITO81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CD Povoa winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vitoria winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CD PovoaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPovoa
Date
Competition
Imortal
#7
L
80-84 OT
80
84
-4
66avg 62
H04/01
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
53-93
53
93
-40
44avg 62
H11/01
LPB
FC Porto
#1
L
60-82
60
82
-22
47avg 62
A19/01
Taca de Portugal
Esgueira
#8
L
80-93
80
93
-13
73avg 62
A25/01
LPB
CA Queluz
#11
L
98-102
98
102
-4
81avg 62
H02/02
LPB
Ovarense
#5
L
71-83
71
83
-12
26avg 62
A15/02
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
L
70-75
70
75
-5
60avg 62
H01/03
Taca da Liga
Galitos Barreiro
#6
L
74-80
74
80
-6
60avg 62
H08/03
LPB
Galomar
#12
W
84-72
84
72
+12
76avg 62
A15/03
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
57-84
57
84
-27
40avg 62
A29/03
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-24
13-17
21-17
21-14
7-22
14-20
18-23
14-28
12-23
18-23
19-15
11-21
12-19
12-28
34-23
22-23
26-29
17-26
24-27
31-20
20-17
21-19
24-21
6-26
29-28
19-13
8-15
14-19
21-25
14-18
19-16
20-21
27-20
26-22
12-18
19-12
15-22
20-20
12-21
10-21
157.5Avg total
72.7Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)72.981.3154.2-8.322%
Season at home (9)75.381.9157.2-6.611%
Season away (9)70.680.7151.2-10.133%
Last 10 (10)72.784.8157.5-12.110%
Last 5 (5)71.278.8150.0-7.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)70.482.0152.4-11.621%
vs Similar (8)81.482.0163.4-0.638%
vs Weaker (2)78.080.0158.0-2.050%
This opponent (Vitoria) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VitoriaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVitoria
Date
Competition
Vasco Da Gama
#15
W
122-88
122
88
+34
116avg 75
A18/01
Taca de Portugal
Imortal
#7
L
82-105
82
105
-23
70avg 75
A25/01
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
100-97 OT
100
97
+3
85avg 75
H02/02
LPB
Benfica
#3
L
90-95
90
95
-5
91avg 75
H08/02
Taca de Portugal
Esgueira
#8
W
86-73
86
73
+13
86avg 75
A15/02
LPB
Benfica
#4
L
68-85
68
85
-17
64avg 75
A01/03
Taca da Liga
CA Queluz
#11
W
104-77
104
77
+27
108avg 75
H08/03
LPB
Ovarense
#5
L
76-81
76
81
-5
63avg 75
A15/03
LPB
Galomar
#12
W
82-75
82
75
+7
75avg 75
A22/03
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
103-93
103
93
+10
113avg 75
H29/03
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-20
38-20
28-25
27-23
18-20
22-26
22-32
20-27
23-21
17-20
20-20
18-17
21-26
27-20
20-17
22-32
22-17
23-25
19-19
22-12
15-22
16-28
22-18
15-17
25-11
22-19
33-25
24-22
23-15
13-20
17-25
23-21
23-16
15-31
22-11
22-17
30-17
23-28
24-13
26-35
178.2Avg total
91.3Scored
86.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)82.383.6165.8-1.344%
Season at home (9)83.683.1166.7+0.444%
Season away (9)81.084.0165.0-3.044%
Last 10 (10)91.386.9178.2+4.460%
Last 5 (5)86.682.2168.8+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)76.590.1166.6-13.610%
vs Similar (12)80.681.9162.5-1.342%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)87.974.6162.4+13.386%
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.3-4.3Q1: +4.4+4.4Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: -0.4-0.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.3-4.3Q1: +4.4+4.4Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: -0.4-0.4
CD PovoaVitoria
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CD PovoaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Imortal
#7
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H04/01
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
21-42
21
42
-21
H11/01
LPB
FC Porto
#1
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A19/01
Taca de Portugal
Esgueira
#8
L
24-47
24
47
-23
A25/01
LPB
CA Queluz
#11
L
43-55
43
55
-12
H02/02
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A15/02
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H01/03
Taca da Liga
Galitos Barreiro
#6
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H08/03
LPB
Galomar
#12
W
53-42
53
42
+11
A15/03
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A29/03
LPB
79.5Avg total
36.0Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.140.478.5-2.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.839.878.6-1.060%-
Last 30 away (15)37.341.078.3-3.740%-
Last 10 (10)36.043.579.5-7.530%-
Last 5 (5)42.440.883.2+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)37.738.876.6-1.153%-
vs Similar (8)39.441.180.5-1.862%-
vs Weaker (2)40.049.589.5-9.50%-
This opponent (Vitoria) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VitoriaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vasco Da Gama
#15
W
67-40
67
40
+27
A18/01
Taca de Portugal
Imortal
#7
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A25/01
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H02/02
LPB
Benfica
#3
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H08/02
Taca de Portugal
Esgueira
#8
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A15/02
LPB
Benfica
#4
L
31-50
31
50
-19
A01/03
Taca da Liga
CA Queluz
#11
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H08/03
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A15/03
LPB
Galomar
#12
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A22/03
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
53-45
53
45
+8
H29/03
LPB
86.7Avg total
44.5Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.941.081.9-0.253%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.941.281.1-1.350%-
Last 30 away (16)41.740.982.6+0.856%-
Last 10 (10)44.542.286.7+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)41.041.482.4-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.744.181.8-6.420%-
vs Similar (12)39.640.580.1-0.958%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)43.937.781.6+6.186%-
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
CD Povoatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CD Povoa: 71.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
48%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.417.7
46.1%
51.2%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.27.0
27.8%
32.7%21.0
🏀 Free throws21.515.5
72.1%
69.2%15.5
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vitoriatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vitoria: 90.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
48%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.919.2
53.5%
51.2%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.211.7
37.5%
32.7%35.1
🏀 Free throws25.217.0
67.5%
69.2%17.0
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
CD Povoa
LWLLLLLLLL
Vitoria
WWLWLWLWLW
#10
League position
#9
-16.4
Net rating
+5.2
97.6
Offensive rating
113.1
114.0
Defensive rating
107.9
44.3%
Effective FG%
54.8%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
48.3%
19.2%
Turnover %
19.8%
33.0%
Off. rebound %
35.9%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.38
27.8%
3-point %
37.5%
47.8%
Assist %
63.1%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence97.6 · 113.1Defence114.0 · 107.9Shooting44.3% · 54.8%3-point %27.8% · 37.5%Ball care19.2% · 19.8%Off. rebounds33.0% · 35.9%Free throws0.34 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)10% · 60%
■ CD Povoa   ■ Vitoria
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
CD Povoa wins
4
Vitoria wins
DateGameScore
18/12/24Vitoria v CD Povoa94-72
15/12/24Vitoria v CD Povoa75-78
23/03/24CD Povoa v Vitoria75-73
18/11/23Vitoria v CD Povoa74-83 OT
08/04/23Vitoria v CD Povoa96-92
11/03/23CD Povoa v Vitoria97-84
17/12/22Vitoria v CD Povoa79-76
01/10/22CD Povoa v Vitoria76-86
26/03/22CD Povoa v Vitoria87-81
11/12/21Vitoria v CD Povoa65-77
CD Povoalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/25ASporting CP57-84
15/03/25AGalomar84-72
08/03/25HGalitos Barreiro74-80
01/03/25HGalitos Barreiro70-75
15/02/25AOvarense71-83
02/02/25HCA Queluz98-102
25/01/25AEsgueira80-93
19/01/25AFC Porto60-82
11/01/25HFC Porto53-93
04/01/25HImortal80-84 OT
Vitorialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/25HGalitos Barreiro103-93
22/03/25AGalomar82-75
15/03/25AOvarense76-81
08/03/25HCA Queluz104-77
01/03/25ABenfica68-85
15/02/25AEsgueira86-73
08/02/25HBenfica90-95
02/02/25HFC Porto100-97 OT
25/01/25AImortal82-105
18/01/25AVasco Da Gama122-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

CD Povoa
LPB 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL22%
HomeLLLLL11%
AwayLLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %22%11%33%
Points / game72.975.370.6
Allowed / game81.381.980.7
Point differential-8.3-6.6-10.1
Avg total154.2157.2151.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%0%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)0% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %11%22%0%
Vitoria
LPB 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW44%
HomeLLWWW44%
AwayLLWLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %44%44%44%
Points / game82.383.681.0
Allowed / game83.683.184.0
Point differential-1.3+0.4-3.0
Avg total165.8166.7165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%33%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)25% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica1817194%90.875.2+15.6
2 FC Porto1916384%88.078.5+9.5
3 Sporting CP1913668%85.577.7+7.7
4 Ovarense1811761%78.879.2-0.4
5 Oliveirense1810856%84.979.3+5.6
6 Galitos Barreiro189950%78.879.0-0.2
7 Vitoria1881044%82.383.6-1.3
8 Imortal1881044%79.385.6-6.3
9 Esgueira1981142%82.286.9-4.8
10 CD Povoa1841422%72.981.3-8.3
11 CA Queluz1841422%81.690.2-8.6
12 Galomar1921711%74.182.8-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
CD Povoa1721192481
Vitoria152127871
← all games of the day
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