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Sampaense vs CD Povoa Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 74-104
20-30 13-20 18-24 23-30
Position#10
Record2-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game76.5
Sampaense
Portugal
vs
CD Povoa 🏆
Portugal
Position#1
Record2-0
FormLLLWW
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game62.5
PortugalProligaRound 3· Pavilhao Comendador Serafim Marques
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sampaense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CD Povoa winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SampaensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSampaense
Date
Competition
Santo Andre
#9
L
77-82
77
82
-5
65avg 72
A08/03
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
L
87-89
87
89
-2
69avg 72
A15/03
Proliga
Maia
#8
W
96-72
96
72
+24
96avg 72
H22/03
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
85-71
85
71
+14
79avg 72
H29/03
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
L
79-83
79
83
-4
72avg 72
A05/04
Proliga
Lusitania
#6
L
84-103
84
103
-19
73avg 72
H19/04
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
L
77-81 OT
77
81
-4
66avg 72
A25/04
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
W
82-77
82
77
+5
79avg 72
H04/05
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
W
80-74
80
74
+6
no box
H04/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
84-79
84
79
+5
79avg 72
A11/10
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-16
26-21
17-20
21-25
17-25
21-30
24-18
25-16
20-13
29-23
17-16
30-20
20-17
25-25
20-13
20-16
27-19
16-27
21-15
15-22
25-26
15-24
15-34
29-19
21-21
12-13
17-16
18-18
20-15
27-19
15-15
20-28
20-16
8-26
23-11
29-21
18-26
23-17
23-15
20-21
164.2Avg total
83.1Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)82.076.5158.5+5.5100%
Season at home (1)80.074.0154.0+6.0100%
Season away (1)84.079.0163.0+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)83.181.1164.2+2.050%
Last 5 (5)81.482.8164.2-1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)74.086.8160.8-12.827%
vs Similar (14)86.283.0169.2+3.250%
vs Weaker (5)78.681.0159.6-2.460%
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CD PovoaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPovoa
Date
Competition
Galitos Barreiro
#6
L
74-80
74
80
-6
60avg 62
H08/03
LPB
Galomar
#12
W
84-72
84
72
+12
76avg 62
A15/03
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
57-84
57
84
-27
40avg 62
A29/03
LPB
Vitoria
#9
W
81-71
81
71
+10
72avg 62
H05/04
LPB
Benfica
#4
L
85-106
85
106
-21
78avg 62
A09/04
Taca da Liga
Benfica
#1
L
77-94
77
94
-17
65avg 62
A12/04
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
L
61-68
61
68
-7
47avg 62
H19/04
LPB
Imortal
#7
L
81-85
81
85
-4
74avg 62
A26/04
LPB
Sangalhos
#15
W
80-56
80
56
+24
74avg 62
H04/10
Proliga
Maia
#4
W
91-69
91
69
+22
82avg 62
A11/10
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-25
14-18
19-16
20-21
27-20
26-22
12-18
19-12
15-22
20-20
12-21
10-21
17-15
21-21
19-27
24-8
27-25
15-22
18-28
25-31
13-21
18-22
21-22
25-29
15-20
15-19
17-11
14-18
20-24
21-24
17-15
23-22
13-15
28-10
21-19
18-12
22-15
29-11
17-23
23-20
155.6Avg total
77.1Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)85.562.5148.0+23.0100%
Season at home (1)80.056.0136.0+24.0100%
Season away (1)91.069.0160.0+22.0100%
Last 10 (10)77.178.5155.6-1.440%
Last 5 (5)78.074.4152.4+3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)70.481.6151.9-11.221%
vs Similar (8)82.183.5165.6-1.425%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)85.562.5148.0+23.0100%
This opponent (Sampaense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +0.7+0.7
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +0.7+0.7
SampaenseCD Povoa
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SampaenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Santo Andre
#9
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A08/03
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
L
38-55
38
55
-17
A15/03
Proliga
Maia
#8
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H22/03
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H29/03
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A05/04
Proliga
Lusitania
#6
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H19/04
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A25/04
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H04/05
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
L
28-42
28
42
-14
H04/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A11/10
Proliga
82.2Avg total
40.3Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.341.881.1-2.543%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.440.382.7+2.173%-
Last 30 away (15)36.343.379.5-7.013%-
Last 10 (10)40.341.982.2-1.640%-
Last 5 (5)37.840.678.4-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)36.141.377.4-5.236%-
vs Similar (14)42.542.685.1-0.157%-
vs Weaker (5)37.640.878.4-3.220%-
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CD PovoaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galitos Barreiro
#6
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H08/03
LPB
Galomar
#12
W
53-42
53
42
+11
A15/03
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A29/03
LPB
Vitoria
#9
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H05/04
LPB
Benfica
#4
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A09/04
Taca da Liga
Benfica
#1
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A12/04
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H19/04
LPB
Imortal
#7
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A26/04
LPB
Sangalhos
#15
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H04/10
Proliga
Maia
#4
W
51-26
51
26
+25
A11/10
Proliga
78.8Avg total
39.7Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.539.578.0-1.050%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.138.776.9-0.657%-
Last 30 away (16)38.840.279.1-1.444%-
Last 10 (10)39.739.178.8+0.640%-
Last 5 (5)38.836.275.0+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)37.338.976.3-1.647%-
vs Similar (8)40.543.684.1-3.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)46.025.571.5+20.5100%-
This opponent (Sampaense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sampaensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sampaense: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.121.7
58.5%
50.0%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.76.6
33.5%
30.3%19.8
🏀 Free throws18.112.6
69.6%
67.4%12.6
They take 56.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CD Povoatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CD Povoa: 76.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.920.9
51.1%
50.0%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.67.4
30.1%
30.3%22.2
🏀 Free throws19.212.4
64.6%
67.4%12.4
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sampaense
WWWLLLWWLL
CD Povoa
WWLLLLWLWL
#10
League position
#1
+2.0
Net rating
-2.2
116.6
Offensive rating
99.6
114.6
Defensive rating
101.8
55.6%
Effective FG%
48.9%
55.4%
Opp. effective FG%
46.4%
15.4%
Turnover %
20.0%
33.0%
Off. rebound %
31.2%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.29
33.5%
3-point %
30.1%
42.4%
Assist %
50.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence116.6 · 99.6Defence114.6 · 101.8Shooting55.6% · 48.9%3-point %33.5% · 30.1%Ball care15.4% · 20.0%Off. rebounds33.0% · 31.2%Free throws0.32 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Sampaense   ■ CD Povoa
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Sampaense wins
0
CD Povoa wins
No previous meetings.
Sampaenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/25ASangalhos84-79
04/10/25HLusitania80-74
04/05/25HSanto Andre82-77
25/04/25AGalitos Aveiro77-81 OT
19/04/25HLusitania84-103
05/04/25AGinasio79-83
29/03/25HBenfica Lisboa B85-71
22/03/25HMaia96-72
15/03/25ABarreirense87-89
08/03/25ASanto Andre77-82
CD Povoalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/25AMaia91-69
04/10/25HSangalhos80-56
26/04/25AImortal81-85
19/04/25HOliveirense61-68
12/04/25ABenfica77-94
09/04/25ABenfica85-106
05/04/25HVitoria81-71
29/03/25ASporting CP57-84
15/03/25AGalomar84-72
08/03/25HGalitos Barreiro74-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sampaense
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game82.080.084.0
Allowed / game76.574.079.0
Point differential+5.5+6.0+5.0
Avg total158.5154.0163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
CD Povoa
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game85.580.091.0
Allowed / game62.556.069.0
Point differential+23.0+24.0+22.0
Avg total148.0136.0160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CD Povoa220100%85.562.5+23.0
2 Illiabum220100%81.563.5+18.0
3 Portimonense220100%87.069.0+18.0
4 CAB Madeira330100%86.372.3+14.0
5 Ginasio220100%83.070.5+12.5
6 Sampaense220100%82.076.5+5.5
7 Galomar21150%91.081.0+10.0
8 Imortal B21150%76.572.0+4.5
9 Benfica Lisboa B21150%78.578.5+0.0
10 Ginasio Olhanense21150%84.086.0-2.0
11 Lusitania2020%74.080.5-6.5
12 Maia2020%75.089.0-14.0
13 Sangalhos2020%67.582.0-14.5
14 Santo Andre3030%73.790.7-17.0
15 Academica2020%56.580.5-24.0
16 CB Queluz2020%66.092.0-26.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sampaense2013182374
CD Povoa30202430104
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