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CD Povoa vs Ovarense Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 23 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 21:00
Scheduled
Position#7
Record4-3
FormLLWWL
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game75.3
CD Povoa
Portugal
vs
Form · last 5 games
3.4/10
Below normal
4.3/10
Below normal
Ovarense
Portugal
Position#3
Record6-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game76.9
PortugalLPBRound 14· Clube Desportivo Póvoa
Other2026-27
Meetings · CD Povoa v Ovarense
23 Jan 2027
CD P v OVAR
upcoming
02 Nov 2024
CD P69
OVAR75
10 Feb 2024
CD P87
OVAR76
08 Dec 2022
CD P65
OVAR60
30 Jan 2022
CD P73
OVAR69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CD Povoa win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Ovarense win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CD PovoaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPovoa
Date
Competition
CAB Madeira
#2
L
72-90
72
90
-18
59avg 68
A24/05
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
W
78-61
78
61
+17
71avg 68
H30/05
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
W
90-72
90
72
+18
77avg 68
H31/05
Proliga
Esgueira
#12
W
84-64
84
64
+20
76avg 68
A03/10
LPB
CAB Madeira
#10
W
73-69
73
69
+4
55avg 68
H10/10
LPB
Ovarense
#3
L
69-78
69
78
-9
48avg 68
A17/10
LPB
Braga
#6
L
71-80
71
80
-9
56avg 68
H25/10
LPB
Vitoria
#9
W
75-68
75
68
+7
63avg 68
A01/11
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
84-74
84
74
+10
no box
H07/11
LPB
Sporting CP
#5
L
69-94
69
94
-25
no box
A14/11
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-21
20-28
19-18
18-23
26-26
22-11
17-17
13-7
30-13
18-18
21-27
21-14
16-25
25-7
17-20
26-12
21-20
18-12
19-20
15-17
12-17
17-20
23-25
17-16
22-20
14-23
14-19
21-18
12-18
16-21
23-14
24-15
19-15
19-14
23-15
23-30
19-25
15-17
13-29
22-23
151.5Avg total
76.5Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)75.075.3150.3-0.357%
Season at home (3)76.074.3150.3+1.767%
Season away (4)74.276.0150.2-1.850%
Last 10 (10)76.575.0151.5+1.560%
Last 5 (5)73.678.8152.4-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)69.784.0153.7-14.30%
vs Similar (1)73.069.0142.0+4.0100%
vs Weaker (26)81.071.4152.3+9.681%
This opponent (Ovarense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OvarensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOvarense
Date
Competition
Oliveirense
#5
W
93-79
93
79
+14
90avg 73
H09/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
L
72-90
72
90
-18
56avg 73
A13/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
L
65-69
65
69
-4
48avg 73
H16/05
LPB
Braga
#6
W
96-83
96
83
+13
47avg 73
H03/10
LPB
Vitoria
#9
W
87-71
87
71
+16
81avg 73
A10/10
LPB
CD Povoa
#7
W
78-69
78
69
+9
63avg 73
H17/10
LPB
Sporting CP
#5
L
70-71
70
71
-1
64avg 73
A24/10
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
78-76
78
76
+2
56avg 73
H31/10
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
W
93-87
93
87
+6
no box
A07/11
LPB
CA Queluz
#8
W
89-81
89
81
+8
no box
H14/11
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-18
21-19
18-15
29-27
23-27
24-25
13-19
12-19
16-10
18-17
18-18
13-24
26-19
26-9
23-20
21-35
17-21
20-17
30-9
20-24
17-12
20-17
25-23
16-17
24-16
12-22
16-14
18-19
23-12
15-24
17-20
23-20
16-26
34-31
26-19
17-11
14-20
23-24
24-26
28-11
159.7Avg total
82.1Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)84.476.9161.3+7.686%
Season at home (4)85.277.2162.5+8.0100%
Season away (3)83.376.3159.7+7.067%
Last 10 (10)82.177.6159.7+4.570%
Last 5 (5)81.676.8158.4+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)71.880.3152.2-8.517%
vs Similar (8)82.279.0161.2+3.262%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)85.377.4162.8+7.981%
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -1.0-1.0
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -1.0-1.0
CD PovoaOvarense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CD PovoaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CAB Madeira
#2
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A24/05
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H30/05
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H31/05
Proliga
Esgueira
#12
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A03/10
LPB
CAB Madeira
#10
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H10/10
LPB
Ovarense
#3
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A17/10
LPB
Braga
#6
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H25/10
LPB
Vitoria
#9
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A01/11
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H07/11
LPB
Sporting CP
#5
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A14/11
LPB
74.7Avg total
37.6Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.537.477.0+2.150%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.836.279.1+6.675%-
Last 30 away (14)35.838.874.6-3.021%-
Last 10 (10)37.637.174.7+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)33.038.071.0-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)33.040.773.7-7.70%-
vs Similar (1)39.032.071.0+7.0100%-
vs Weaker (26)40.337.377.6+3.054%-
This opponent (Ovarense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OvarenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oliveirense
#5
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H09/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A13/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H16/05
LPB
Braga
#6
W
52-28
52
28
+24
H03/10
LPB
Vitoria
#9
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A10/10
LPB
CD Povoa
#7
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H17/10
LPB
Sporting CP
#5
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A24/10
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H31/10
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
L
50-57
50
57
-7
A07/11
LPB
CA Queluz
#8
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H14/11
LPB
80.0Avg total
41.4Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.240.581.7+0.740%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.738.377.9+1.453%-
Last 30 away (15)42.842.785.5+0.127%-
Last 10 (10)41.438.680.0+2.850%-
Last 5 (5)39.640.880.4-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)35.541.577.0-6.017%-
vs Similar (8)43.439.082.4+4.462%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)42.340.983.2+1.438%-
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
CD Povoatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CD Povoa: 74.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.319.8
49.1%
51.1%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.76.8
25.5%
31.9%20.4
🏀 Free throws22.914.2
62.0%
71.1%14.2
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ovarensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ovarense: 71.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.519.3
48.9%
51.1%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.76.8
27.5%
31.9%20.4
🏀 Free throws16.412.0
73.2%
71.1%12.0
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
CD Povoa
LWWLLWWWWL
Ovarense
WWWLWWWLLW
#7
League position
#3
+2.7
Net rating
-5.3
82.9
Offensive rating
83.9
80.2
Defensive rating
89.2
44.8%
Effective FG%
46.0%
44.3%
Opp. effective FG%
48.4%
14.2%
Turnover %
14.8%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.26
25.5%
3-point %
27.5%
50.8%
Assist %
64.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence82.9 · 83.9Defence80.2 · 89.2Shooting44.8% · 46.0%3-point %25.5% · 27.5%Ball care14.2% · 14.8%Free throws0.34 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ CD Povoa   ■ Ovarense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
CD Povoa wins
7
Ovarense wins
DateGameScore
17/10/26Ovarense v CD Povoa78-69
15/02/25Ovarense v CD Povoa83-71
02/11/24CD Povoa v Ovarense69-75
10/02/24CD Povoa v Ovarense87-76
21/10/23Ovarense v CD Povoa95-93
14/10/23Ovarense v CD Povoa92-91 OT
08/12/22CD Povoa v Ovarense65-60
24/09/22Ovarense v CD Povoa88-70
30/01/22CD Povoa v Ovarense73-69
19/12/21Ovarense v CD Povoa99-71
CD Povoalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ASporting CP69-94
07/11/26HPortimonense84-74
01/11/26AVitoria75-68
25/10/26HBraga71-80
17/10/26AOvarense69-78
10/10/26HCAB Madeira73-69
03/10/26AEsgueira84-64
31/05/26HCAB Madeira90-72
30/05/26HCAB Madeira78-61
24/05/26ACAB Madeira72-90
Ovarenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HCA Queluz89-81
07/11/26AOliveirense93-87
31/10/26HFC Porto78-76
24/10/26ASporting CP70-71
17/10/26HCD Povoa78-69
10/10/26AVitoria87-71
03/10/26HBraga96-83
16/05/26HOliveirense65-69
13/05/26AOliveirense72-90
09/05/26HOliveirense93-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

CD Povoa
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL57%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%67%50%
Points / game75.076.074.2
Allowed / game75.374.376.0
Point differential-0.3+1.7-1.8
Avg total150.3150.3150.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ovarense
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW86%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %86%100%67%
Points / game84.485.283.3
Allowed / game76.977.276.3
Point differential+7.6+8.0+7.0
Avg total161.3162.5159.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica76186%88.373.6+14.7
2 FC Porto76186%91.681.6+10.0
3 Ovarense76186%84.476.9+7.6
4 Oliveirense64267%92.290.0+2.2
5 Sporting CP74357%83.674.6+9.0
6 Braga74357%88.181.1+7.0
7 CD Povoa74357%75.075.3-0.3
8 CA Queluz63350%87.891.7-3.8
9 Vitoria72529%68.783.9-15.1
10 CAB Madeira71614%82.786.4-3.7
11 Portimonense71614%78.789.0-10.3
12 Esgueira7070%80.397.7-17.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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