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CD Povoa vs Ovarense Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 87-76
16-18 19-23 29-16 23-19
Position#6
Record6-8
FormLWLWL
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game85.6
CD Povoa 🏆
Portugal
vs
Ovarense
Portugal
Position#5
Record9-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game78.6
PortugalLPBRound 15· Clube Desportivo Póvoa
Other2023-24
Meetings · CD Povoa v Ovarense
23 Jan 2027
CD P v OVAR
upcoming
02 Nov 2024
CD P69
OVAR75
10 Feb 2024
CD P87
OVAR76
08 Dec 2022
CD P65
OVAR60
30 Jan 2022
CD P73
OVAR69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CD Povoa winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ovarense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CD PovoaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPovoa
Date
Competition
Portimonense
#11
W
81-74 OT
81
74
+7
no box
H25/11
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
L
75-104
75
104
-29
59avg 75
A01/12
LPB
CA Queluz
#9
W
88-84
88
84
+4
77avg 75
H10/12
Taca de Portugal
Benfica
#1
L
58-83
58
83
-25
50avg 75
H16/12
LPB
Esgueira
#9
W
80-72
80
72
+8
70avg 75
A28/12
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
81-97
81
97
-16
75avg 75
A05/01
LPB
Maia
#8
W
98-68
98
68
+30
102avg 75
H14/01
Taca de Portugal
Imortal
#8
L
86-88 OT
86
88
-2
no box
H20/01
LPB
Galomar
#10
W
88-81
88
81
+7
85avg 75
A03/02
LPB
Galomar
#8
L
81-107
81
107
-26
no box
A04/02
Taca da Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-17
15-16
11-17
24-19
15-21
15-33
32-23
13-27
17-19
28-25
24-18
19-22
15-18
21-20
12-22
10-23
21-18
19-12
21-23
19-19
20-27
17-25
22-22
22-23
28-20
26-21
25-13
19-14
22-16
22-19
20-27
17-19
23-22
13-21
22-22
30-16
20-27
23-29
21-20
17-31
167.4Avg total
81.6Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)81.685.6167.2-3.943%
Season at home (6)75.886.5162.3-10.717%
Season away (8)86.084.9170.9+1.162%
Last 10 (10)81.685.8167.4-4.250%
Last 5 (5)86.888.2175.0-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)72.695.5168.1-22.90%
vs Similar (10)81.479.8161.2+1.660%
vs Weaker (11)84.875.5160.4+9.364%
This opponent (Ovarense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OvarensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOvarense
Date
Competition
Benfica
#1
L
52-84
52
84
-32
42avg 73
A18/11
LPB
Esgueira
#9
W
75-71
75
71
+4
77avg 73
H25/11
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
72-79
72
79
-7
64avg 73
A01/12
LPB
Sporting CP
#5
L
79-91
79
91
-12
79avg 73
H09/12
Taca de Portugal
Galomar
#10
W
79-64
79
64
+15
75avg 73
A22/12
LPB
Imortal
#8
W
80-78
80
78
+2
81avg 73
H30/12
LPB
Vitoria
#7
W
91-90
91
90
+1
96avg 73
H06/01
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
W
91-86
91
86
+5
96avg 73
A20/01
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
74-98
74
98
-24
62avg 73
H27/01
Taca da Liga
Lusitania
#12
W
99-70
99
70
+29
104avg 73
H03/02
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-23
9-19
3-29
23-13
15-20
28-15
18-19
14-17
22-23
20-19
14-20
16-17
27-32
12-19
18-24
22-16
19-10
17-19
24-21
19-14
26-21
17-21
22-16
15-20
29-26
17-23
21-17
24-24
23-18
13-26
27-18
28-24
13-25
19-19
22-26
20-28
31-8
13-18
32-23
23-21
160.3Avg total
79.2Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)79.578.6158.1+0.964%
Season at home (7)85.780.7166.4+5.086%
Season away (7)73.376.6149.9-3.343%
Last 10 (10)79.281.1160.3-1.960%
Last 5 (5)87.084.4171.4+2.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)70.988.0158.9-17.122%
vs Similar (4)79.578.5158.0+1.075%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)81.674.3155.9+7.386%
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +1.0+1.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +1.0+1.0
CD PovoaOvarense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CD PovoaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portimonense
#11
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H25/11
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
L
30-54
30
54
-24
A01/12
LPB
CA Queluz
#9
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H10/12
Taca de Portugal
Benfica
#1
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H16/12
LPB
Esgueira
#9
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A28/12
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
37-52
37
52
-15
A05/01
LPB
Maia
#8
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H14/01
Taca de Portugal
Imortal
#8
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H20/01
LPB
Galomar
#10
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A03/02
LPB
Galomar
#8
L
43-56
43
56
-13
A04/02
Taca da Liga
82.5Avg total
39.9Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.841.581.2-1.747%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.539.478.9+0.147%-
Last 30 away (15)40.043.583.5-3.547%-
Last 10 (10)39.942.682.5-2.750%-
Last 5 (5)42.845.488.2-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)34.949.284.1-14.40%-
vs Similar (10)40.939.480.3+1.550%-
vs Weaker (11)41.837.579.3+4.473%-
This opponent (Ovarense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OvarenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Benfica
#1
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A18/11
LPB
Esgueira
#9
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H25/11
LPB
FC Porto
#2
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A01/12
LPB
Sporting CP
#5
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H09/12
Taca de Portugal
Galomar
#10
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A22/12
LPB
Imortal
#8
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H30/12
LPB
Vitoria
#7
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H06/01
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A20/01
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H27/01
Taca da Liga
Lusitania
#12
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H03/02
LPB
79.1Avg total
38.7Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.641.578.2-4.933%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.942.180.0-4.244%-
Last 30 away (14)35.240.976.1-5.621%-
Last 10 (10)38.740.479.1-1.740%-
Last 5 (5)40.241.081.2-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)34.243.777.9-9.511%-
vs Similar (4)39.039.578.5-0.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)41.135.776.9+5.486%-
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
CD Povoatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CD Povoa: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.320.4
50.6%
51.0%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.38.2
38.5%
33.5%24.6
🏀 Free throws26.316.4
62.4%
69.3%16.4
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ovarensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ovarense: 78.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.217.5
51.2%
51.0%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.49.6
39.3%
33.5%28.8
🏀 Free throws19.614.3
73.0%
69.3%14.3
They take 58.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
CD Povoa
LWLWLWLWLW
Ovarense
WLWWWWLLWL
#6
League position
#5
-1.8
Net rating
-2.0
103.5
Offensive rating
105.7
105.3
Defensive rating
107.7
53.1%
Effective FG%
54.4%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.1%
24.0%
Turnover %
23.7%
35.6%
Off. rebound %
33.8%
0.43
Free-throw rate
0.33
38.5%
3-point %
39.3%
49.7%
Assist %
71.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence103.5 · 105.7Defence105.3 · 107.7Shooting53.1% · 54.4%3-point %38.5% · 39.3%Ball care24.0% · 23.7%Off. rebounds35.6% · 33.8%Free throws0.43 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ CD Povoa   ■ Ovarense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
CD Povoa wins
5
Ovarense wins
DateGameScore
21/10/23Ovarense v CD Povoa95-93
14/10/23Ovarense v CD Povoa92-91 OT
08/12/22CD Povoa v Ovarense65-60
24/09/22Ovarense v CD Povoa88-70
30/01/22CD Povoa v Ovarense73-69
19/12/21Ovarense v CD Povoa99-71
07/11/21Ovarense v CD Povoa86-68
CD Povoalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/24AGalomar81-107
03/02/24AGalomar88-81
20/01/24HImortal86-88 OT
14/01/24HMaia98-68
05/01/24AFC Porto81-97
28/12/23AEsgueira80-72
16/12/23HBenfica58-83
10/12/23HCA Queluz88-84
01/12/23AOliveirense75-104
25/11/23HPortimonense81-74 OT
Ovarenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/24HLusitania99-70
27/01/24HBenfica74-98
20/01/24ASporting CP91-86
06/01/24HVitoria91-90
30/12/23HImortal80-78
22/12/23AGalomar79-64
09/12/23HSporting CP79-91
01/12/23AFC Porto72-79
25/11/23HEsgueira75-71
18/11/23ABenfica52-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

CD Povoa
LPB 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW43%
HomeLLWLL17%
AwayWLWLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %43%17%62%
Points / game81.675.886.0
Allowed / game85.686.584.9
Point differential-3.9-10.7+1.1
Avg total167.2162.3170.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%0%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %21%33%12%
Ovarense
LPB 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW64%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayLLLWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %64%86%43%
Points / game79.585.773.3
Allowed / game78.680.776.6
Point differential+0.9+5.0-3.3
Avg total158.1166.4149.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%14%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won70% (10)83% (6)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 FC Porto1512380%86.175.3+10.8
2 Sporting CP1411379%93.681.8+11.9
3 Benfica1511473%87.668.3+19.3
4 Oliveirense1410471%79.475.5+3.9
5 Ovarense149564%79.578.6+0.9
6 Vitoria157847%79.280.5-1.3
7 Imortal157847%77.281.5-4.3
8 CD Povoa146843%81.685.6-3.9
9 Galomar1551033%75.479.1-3.7
10 Portimonense1551033%71.777.9-6.2
11 Esgueira1531220%73.385.5-12.2
12 Lusitania131128%73.189.5-16.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
CD Povoa1619292387
Ovarense1823161976
← all games of the day
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